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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 2,425.00 COP | -1.62% |
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-2.02% | +29.68% |
| May. 13 | LatAm assets mixed as markets await Trump-Xi meeting, Iran peace progress | RE |
| May. 13 | Ecopetrol S.A. Reports Earnings Results for the First Quarter Ended March 31, 2026 | CI |
Projected Income Statement: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 91,744,000 | 159,474,000 | 143,079,000 | 133,328,000 | 119,694,000 | 126,712,563 | 122,274,397 | 123,805,870 |
| Change | - | 73.82% | -10.28% | -6.82% | -10.23% | 5.86% | -3.5% | 1.25% |
| EBITDA 1 | 41,967,000 | 75,244,000 | 60,718,000 | 54,143,000 | 46,676,000 | 53,345,675 | 49,837,694 | 50,696,292 |
| Change | - | 79.29% | -19.31% | -10.83% | -13.79% | 14.29% | -6.58% | 1.72% |
| EBIT 1 | 29,594,000 | 60,381,000 | 43,746,000 | 37,593,000 | 26,656,000 | 37,799,572 | 34,289,311 | 33,728,180 |
| Change | - | 104.03% | -27.55% | -14.07% | -29.09% | 41.81% | -9.29% | -1.64% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -4,028,056 | -6,710,107 | -8,063,096 | -8,571,515 | -8,528,000 | -7,275,207 | -6,739,381 | -7,016,090 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 26,322,000 | 54,026,000 | 36,788,000 | 30,705,000 | 18,861,000 | 32,006,580 | 27,197,937 | 28,203,974 |
| Change | - | 105.25% | -31.91% | -16.54% | -38.57% | 69.7% | -15.02% | 3.7% |
| Net income 1 | 16,695,000 | 33,406,000 | 19,062,000 | 14,935,000 | 9,029,000 | 13,338,741 | 12,257,369 | 12,900,210 |
| Change | - | 100.1% | -42.94% | -21.65% | -39.54% | 47.73% | -8.11% | 5.24% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/4/25 | 3/4/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 78,883,872 | 98,571,654 | 91,618,484 | 105,059,013 | 96,668,000 | 96,263,457 | 91,095,783 | 87,193,901 |
| Change | - | 24.96% | -7.05% | 14.67% | -7.99% | -0.42% | -5.37% | -4.28% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/4/25 | 3/4/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 12,850,616 | 20,731,000 | 23,314,320 | 20,061,877 | 20,325,000 | 23,247,252 | 22,352,532 | 22,585,146 |
| Change | - | 61.32% | 12.46% | -13.95% | 1.31% | 14.38% | -3.85% | 1.04% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 9,685,405 | 15,504,000 | -3,513,768 | 25,065,639 | 11,908,000 | 9,930,412 | 16,322,023 | 9,867,372 |
| Change | - | 60.08% | -122.66% | 813.35% | -52.49% | -16.61% | 64.36% | -39.55% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/4/25 | 3/4/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Ecopetrol S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 45.74% | 47.18% | 42.44% | 40.61% | 39% | 42.1% | 40.76% | 40.95% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 32.26% | 37.86% | 30.57% | 28.2% | 22.27% | 29.83% | 28.04% | 27.24% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 28.69% | 33.88% | 25.71% | 23.03% | 15.76% | 25.26% | 22.24% | 22.78% |
| Net margin (%) | 18.2% | 20.95% | 13.32% | 11.2% | 7.54% | 10.53% | 10.02% | 10.42% |
| FCF margin (%) | 10.56% | 9.72% | -2.46% | 18.8% | 9.95% | 7.84% | 13.35% | 7.97% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 58.01% | 46.41% | -18.43% | 167.83% | 131.89% | 74.45% | 133.16% | 76.49% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 8.7% | 12.25% | 6.48% | 5.12% | 3.11% | 7% | 5.32% | 5.18% |
| ROE | 26.96% | 43.2% | 22.5% | 18.43% | 10.86% | 19.53% | 17.03% | 14.54% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.88x | 1.31x | 1.51x | 1.94x | 2.07x | 1.8x | 1.83x | 1.72x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 8.14x | 6.36x | -26.07x | 4.19x | 8.12x | 9.69x | 5.58x | 8.84x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 14.01% | 13% | 16.29% | 15.05% | 16.98% | 18.35% | 18.28% | 18.24% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 30.62% | 27.55% | 38.4% | 37.05% | 43.54% | 43.58% | 44.85% | 44.55% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 132.68% | 133.71% | -663.51% | 80.04% | 170.68% | 234.1% | 136.95% | 228.89% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 548.1 | 881.3 | 532 | 1,098 | 810.9 | 915.3 | 1,020 | - |
| Change | - | 60.79% | -39.63% | 106.29% | -26.12% | 12.87% | 11.42% | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 243 | 487 | - | - | - | 131.4 | 146.5 | 214.2 |
| Change | - | 100.41% | - | - | - | - | 11.49% | 46.25% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 1,745 | 2,095 | 1,907 | 2,036 | 2,037 | 2,069 | 2,183 | 2,374 |
| Change | - | 20.1% | -9.01% | 6.77% | 0.08% | 1.56% | 5.51% | 8.77% |
| EPS 1 | 406 | 768.7 | 512.2 | 363.2 | 219.6 | 520.6 | 430.4 | 441.1 |
| Change | - | 89.33% | -33.37% | -29.09% | -39.54% | 137.09% | -17.34% | 2.5% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 | 41,116,695 |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/29/24 | 3/4/25 | 3/4/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 4.66x | 5.63x |
| PBR | 1.17x | 1.11x |
| EV / Sales | 1.55x | 1.56x |
| Yield | 5.42% | 6.04% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Ecopetrol S.A.
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