Projected Income Statement: Ero Copper Corp.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ero Copper Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -82.3 139 423 786 688 119 -503 -601
Change - 268.89% 204.32% 85.82% -12.47% -82.7% -522.69% -19.48%
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ero Copper Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 234.5 407.8 620.3 481.1 387.3 400.7 303.9 259.4
Change - 73.88% 52.1% -22.44% -19.49% 3.47% -24.15% -14.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 235.7 -210.1 -400.7 -273.8 154.5 433.9 517.5 484.6
Change - -189.15% -90.66% 31.65% 156.43% 180.76% 19.28% -6.37%
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1CAD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ero Copper Corp.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 67.75% 48.92% 42.91% 45.96% 52.14% 60.12% 63.49% 57.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 55.56% 30.44% 23.49% 27.38% 37.41% 48.86% 49.81% 45.14%
EBT Margin (%) - - 26.28% -16.04% 42.12% 49.75% 50.63% 43.92%
Net margin (%) 41.05% 23.88% 21.71% -14.56% 33.56% 37.85% 38.01% 37.18%
FCF margin (%) 37.31% -35.87% -69.6% -40.86% 14.34% 25.81% 30.14% 29.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) 90.88% -150.22% -320.62% 280.64% 42.73% 68.2% 79.29% 78.74%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - 15.6% 20% 16.15% 13.05%
ROE - - 13.82% -9.84% 34.64% 37% 27.8% 21.47%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.48x 1.71x 2.55x 1.22x 0.12x - -
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.66x -1.06x -2.87x 4.45x 0.27x - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 37.12% 69.62% 107.75% 71.78% 35.94% 23.84% 17.7% 15.67%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 54.78% 142.31% 251.1% 156.17% 68.94% 39.66% 27.88% 27.28%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 99.49% -194.06% -154.81% -175.67% 250.62% 92.36% 58.73% 53.53%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.127 2.145 2.315 1.998 5.203 8.321 8.28 6.876
Change - -58.17% 7.93% -13.68% 160.4% 59.93% -0.49% -16.96%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 1.764 5.708
Change - - - - - - - 223.58%
Book Value Per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
EPS 1 2.851 1.511 1.317 -0.9405 3.469 6.142 6.397 6.165
Change - -46.99% -12.85% -171.42% 468.87% 77.02% 4.16% -3.63%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 89,696 91,113 102,448 103,304 103,890 104,276 104,276 104,276
Announcement Date 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1CAD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 7.03x 6.75x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 2.75x 2.33x
Yield - 4.09%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
43.15CAD
Average target price
47.61CAD
Spread / Average Target
+10.33%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ERO Stock
  4. Financials Ero Copper Corp.