Projected Income Statement: Ferrari N.V.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ferrari N.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,363 1,286 1,423 1,355 1,610 1,272 1,071 873
Change - -5.65% 10.65% -4.78% 18.82% -20.99% -15.8% -18.49%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/2/22 2/2/23 2/1/24 2/4/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ferrari N.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 709 737 806 869 989 929 934.3 962.7
Change - 3.95% 9.36% 7.82% 13.81% -6.07% 0.57% 3.04%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 172 546 597 848 938 1,376 1,471 1,680
Change - 217.44% 9.34% 42.04% 10.61% 46.64% 6.95% 14.18%
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/2/22 2/2/23 2/1/24 2/4/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ferrari N.V.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 33.03% 35.85% 34.8% 38.17% 38.27% 38.51% 38.96% 39.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.69% 25.17% 24.08% 27.09% 28.28% 29.19% 29.64% 30.03%
EBT Margin (%) 19.28% 24.4% 23.12% 26.83% 28.29% 28.79% 29.33% 30.14%
Net margin (%) 17.57% 19.5% 18.43% 21.06% 22.85% 22.46% 22.81% 22.96%
FCF margin (%) 4.97% 12.78% 11.72% 14.2% 14.05% 19.3% 19.26% 20.61%
FCF / Net Income (%) 28.29% 65.55% 63.58% 67.46% 61.47% 85.94% 84.44% 89.75%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.12% 12.69% 12.75% 15.83% 17.34% 16.11% 15.73% 15.1%
ROE 32.7% 41.74% 38.87% 44.29% 46.15% 41.31% 39.13% 37.66%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.19x 0.84x 0.8x 0.59x 0.63x 0.46x 0.36x 0.27x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.92x 2.36x 2.38x 1.6x 1.72x 0.92x 0.73x 0.52x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 20.49% 17.26% 15.82% 14.56% 14.81% 13.03% 12.23% 11.81%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 62.03% 48.14% 45.46% 38.13% 38.71% 33.85% 31.4% 29.92%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 412.21% 134.98% 135.01% 102.48% 105.44% 67.54% 63.51% 57.32%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.526 6.946 7.664 9.46 10.71 13.06 13.99 15.01
Change - 53.46% 10.34% 23.43% 13.18% 21.99% 7.09% 7.29%
Dividend per Share 1 0.867 1.362 - 2.443 2.986 3.205 3.767 4.156
Change - 57.09% - - 22.23% 7.34% 17.53% 10.31%
Book Value Per Share 1 9.66 12 - 16.86 19.63 22.19 25.03 28.24
Change - 24.21% - - 16.43% 13.03% 12.78% 12.84%
EPS 1 3.28 4.5 5.09 6.9 8.46 8.933 9.797 10.63
Change - 37.2% 13.11% 35.56% 22.61% 5.59% 9.67% 8.51%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 184,748 183,843 181,953 180,418 179,044 177,301 177,301 177,301
Announcement Date 2/2/21 2/2/22 2/2/23 2/1/24 2/4/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 35.2x 32.1x
PBR 14.2x 12.6x
EV / Sales 8x 7.44x
Yield 1.02% 1.2%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
BB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
314.40EUR
Average target price
386.81EUR
Spread / Average Target
+23.03%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise