Projected Income Statement: Five Below, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Five Below, Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 -65 -332 -180 -332 -724 -1,021 -1,357 -1,586
Change - -410.77% 45.78% -84.44% -118.07% -41.08% -32.91% -16.88%
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/15/23 3/20/24 3/19/25 3/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Five Below, Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 288.2 252 335 324 174.7 240.9 260.1 277.2
Change - -12.57% 32.98% -3.3% -46.07% 37.87% 7.97% 6.56%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 39.74 62.97 164.6 106.7 411.7 389.1 449 459.3
Change - 58.44% 161.34% -35.19% 286% -5.49% 15.4% 2.3%
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/15/23 3/20/24 3/19/25 3/18/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Five Below, Inc.

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.32% 14.65% 14.51% 13.51% 13.95% 15.01% 15.17% 15.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 13.34% 11.22% 10.83% 9.19% 9.92% 11.05% 11.13% 11.16%
EBT Margin (%) 12.87% 11.3% 11.27% 8.74% 10.08% 11.56% 11.49% 11.42%
Net margin (%) 9.79% 8.5% 8.46% 6.54% 7.53% 8.56% 8.6% 8.49%
FCF margin (%) 1.4% 2.05% 4.62% 2.75% 8.64% 7.3% 7.66% 7.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 14.26% 24.08% 54.65% 42.05% 114.79% 85.26% 89.05% 83.89%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.73% 8.43% 8.37% 6.77% 7.97% 8.94% 8.72% 8.74%
ROE 27.85% 21.07% 20.44% 16.37% 18.49% 18.53% 17.34% 17.21%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.12% 8.19% 9.41% 8.36% 3.67% 4.52% 4.44% 4.3%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 62.01% 55.91% 64.89% 61.89% 26.29% 30.11% 29.26% 27.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 725.04% 400.1% 203.59% 303.78% 42.45% 61.92% 57.93% 60.35%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.824 5.649 8.982 7.808 10.64 12.47 13.67 15.08
Change - -3% 59% -13.07% 36.28% 17.24% 9.62% 10.28%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 20.13 24.52 28.71 32.85 39.8 48.02 56.65 65.72
Change - 21.84% 17.09% 14.39% 21.16% 20.66% 17.98% 16.02%
EPS 1 4.95 4.69 5.41 4.6 6.47 8.182 9.092 9.979
Change - -5.25% 15.35% -14.97% 40.65% 26.46% 11.12% 9.76%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 56,025 55,514 55,193 55,010 55,157 55,238 55,238 55,238
Announcement Date 3/30/22 3/15/23 3/20/24 3/19/25 3/18/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E ratio 25.5x 22.9x
PBR 4.34x 3.68x
EV / Sales 1.97x 1.73x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
208.51USD
Average target price
261.77USD
Spread / Average Target
+25.54%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. FIVE Stock
  4. Financials Five Below, Inc.