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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 8.660 USD | -2.15% |
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-6.18% | -20.40% |
| Feb. 23 | Flowers Foods, Inc. Announces Executive Resignations | CI |
| Feb. 20 | Flowers Foods Keeps Quarterly Dividend at $0.2475 per Share, Payable March 20 to Shareholders of Record March 6 | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Flowers Foods, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: January | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,331 | 4,806 | 5,091 | 5,103 | 5,256 | 5,192 | 5,224 | 5,232 |
| Change | - | 10.97% | 5.93% | 0.25% | 3% | -1.24% | 0.63% | 0.14% |
| EBITDA 1 | 490.9 | 502 | 501.7 | 538.5 | 535.2 | 477.3 | 475.5 | 479.3 |
| Change | - | 2.28% | -0.06% | 7.33% | -0.61% | -10.82% | -0.38% | 0.8% |
| EBIT 1 | 354.3 | 360.1 | 350 | 379.3 | 367.8 | 309.7 | 308 | 311.9 |
| Change | - | 1.63% | -2.79% | 8.37% | -3.04% | -15.8% | -0.55% | 1.26% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -8.001 | -5.277 | -16.03 | -19.62 | -59.29 | -67.28 | -72 | -75 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 270.8 | 298.7 | 157.1 | 328.9 | 115.1 | 230.7 | 230.6 | 200 |
| Change | - | 10.32% | -47.41% | 109.37% | -65.02% | 100.52% | -0.06% | -13.27% |
| Net income 1 | 206.2 | 228.4 | 123.4 | 248.1 | 83.82 | 165.6 | 161 | 140 |
| Change | - | 10.77% | -45.96% | 101.04% | -66.22% | 97.53% | -2.75% | -13.06% |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/22 | 2/9/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/7/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Flowers Foods, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: January | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 708 | 772 | 1,073 | 1,017 | 1,767 | 1,707 | 1,706 | 1,706 |
| Change | - | 9.04% | 38.99% | -5.22% | 73.75% | -3.41% | -0.06% | 0% |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/22 | 2/9/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/7/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Flowers Foods, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: January | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 136 | 169.1 | 129.1 | 132.1 | 127.1 | 136.6 | 138.9 | 140.1 |
| Change | - | 24.35% | -23.65% | 2.33% | -3.77% | 7.47% | 1.66% | 0.88% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 208.6 | 191.8 | 220.3 | 280.6 | 319.1 | 313.3 | 301.6 | 174 |
| Change | - | -8.07% | 14.84% | 27.38% | 13.73% | -1.8% | -3.74% | -42.31% |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/22 | 2/9/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/7/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Flowers Foods, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: January | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 11.33% | 10.45% | 9.86% | 10.55% | 10.18% | 9.19% | 9.1% | 9.16% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 8.18% | 7.49% | 6.88% | 7.43% | 7% | 5.97% | 5.9% | 5.96% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 6.25% | 6.22% | 3.09% | 6.45% | 2.19% | 4.44% | 4.41% | 3.82% |
| Net margin (%) | 4.76% | 4.75% | 2.42% | 4.86% | 1.59% | 3.19% | 3.08% | 2.68% |
| FCF margin (%) | 4.82% | 3.99% | 4.33% | 5.5% | 6.07% | 6.04% | 5.77% | 3.33% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 101.19% | 83.99% | 178.48% | 113.08% | 380.66% | 189.23% | 187.3% | 124.29% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 8% | 8.26% | 7.6% | 7.96% | 6.11% | 4.23% | 4.42% | 4.58% |
| ROE | 18.9% | 18.99% | 18.34% | 19.67% | 17.07% | 14.22% | 14.6% | 15.55% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.44x | 1.54x | 2.14x | 1.89x | 3.3x | 3.58x | 3.59x | 3.56x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 3.39x | 4.03x | 4.87x | 3.62x | 5.54x | 5.45x | 5.66x | 9.81x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 3.14% | 3.52% | 2.54% | 2.59% | 2.42% | 2.63% | 2.66% | 2.68% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 27.7% | 33.68% | 25.73% | 24.53% | 23.75% | 28.62% | 29.21% | 29.23% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 65.16% | 88.14% | 58.6% | 47.08% | 39.84% | 43.6% | 46.05% | 80.52% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.618 | 1.692 | 1.637 | 1.945 | 2.104 | 1.66 | 1.572 | 1.578 |
| Change | - | 4.63% | -3.26% | 18.8% | 8.14% | -21.08% | -5.33% | 0.43% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.83 | 0.87 | 0.91 | 0.95 | - | 0.8925 | 0.86 | 0.866 |
| Change | - | 4.82% | 4.6% | 4.4% | - | - | -3.64% | 0.7% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 6.672 | 6.836 | 6.336 | 6.647 | 6.145 | 5.945 | 5.76 | 5.576 |
| Change | - | 2.46% | -7.32% | 4.91% | -7.55% | -3.26% | -3.12% | -3.18% |
| EPS 1 | 0.97 | 1.07 | 0.58 | 1.17 | 0.4 | 0.778 | 0.755 | 0.66 |
| Change | - | 10.31% | -45.79% | 101.72% | -65.81% | 94.5% | -2.96% | -12.58% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 211,395 | 211,133 | 211,120 | 210,598 | 211,178 | 211,554 | 211,554 | 211,554 |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/22 | 2/9/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/7/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 11.1x | 11.5x |
| PBR | 1.46x | 1.5x |
| EV / Sales | 0.68x | 0.68x |
| Yield | 10.3% | 9.93% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Flowers Foods, Inc.
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