GONGNIU GROUP CO.,LTD. |
End-of-day quote
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 116.5 CNY | +8.12% |
|
+6.41% | +21.80% |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 123,300 | 100,578 | 86,110 | 85,276 | 103,865 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 123,300 | 100,578 | 82,353 | 81,527 | 99,848 | 97,189 | 97,312 |
| P/E ratio | 52.8 x | 35.7 x | 27 x | 21.9 x | 22.7 x | 20.5 x | 17.3 x |
| Yield | 0.97% | 1.43% | 2.3% | 3.24% | 3.28% | 3.14% | 3.95% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 12.3 x | 8.1 x | 6.12 x | 5.43 x | 5.77 x | 5.11 x | 4.45 x |
| EV / Revenue | 12.3 x | 8.1 x | 5.85 x | 5.19 x | 5.55 x | 4.79 x | 4.17 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 40.6 x | 25.9 x | 20.3 x | 16.3 x | 18.2 x | 15.9 x | 13.8 x |
| EV / FCF | 40.8 x | 39.3 x | 40.3 x | 19.5 x | 26.3 x | 19.8 x | - |
| FCF Yield | 2.45% | 2.55% | 2.48% | 5.12% | 3.81% | 5.04% | - |
| Price to Book | 13.5 x | 9.35 x | 6.95 x | 5.9 x | 6.4 x | 5.67 x | 5.08 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 888,908 | 889,747 | 889,595 | 891,541 | 891,541 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 138.7 | 113.0 | 96.80 | 95.65 | 116.5 | 116.5 | 116.5 |
| Announcement Date | 4/28/21 | 3/11/22 | 4/9/23 | 4/25/24 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 10,040 | 10,051 | 12,422 | 14,081 | 15,695 | 17,990 | 20,260 | 23,196 |
| EBITDA 1 | 2,965 | 3,037 | 3,881 | 4,065 | 4,997 | 5,473 | 6,085 | 7,047 |
| EBIT 1 | 2,769 | 2,803 | 3,676 | 3,814 | 4,727 | 5,211 | 5,947 | 6,636 |
| Operating Margin | 27.58% | 27.88% | 29.59% | 27.09% | 30.12% | 28.97% | 29.35% | 28.61% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 2,695 | 2,755 | 3,352 | 3,754 | 4,536 | 5,360 | 5,968 | 7,104 |
| Net income 1 | 2,304 | 2,313 | 2,813 | 3,189 | 3,870 | 4,581 | 5,045 | 5,977 |
| Net margin | 22.94% | 23.02% | 22.65% | 22.64% | 24.66% | 25.47% | 24.9% | 25.77% |
| EPS 2 | 2.595 | 2.628 | 3.169 | 3.581 | 4.360 | 5.047 | 5.607 | 6.508 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | 3,021 | 2,561 | 2,043 | 4,175 | 3,802 | 4,902 | - |
| FCF margin | - | 30.05% | 20.62% | 14.51% | 26.6% | 21.13% | 24.19% | - |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | 99.47% | 66% | 50.25% | 83.55% | 69.47% | 80.55% | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | 130.57% | 91.05% | 64.06% | 107.87% | 82.99% | 97.17% | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | 1.351 | 1.622 | 2.230 | 3.100 | 3.824 | 3.653 | 4.597 |
| Announcement Date | 4/26/20 | 4/28/21 | 3/11/22 | 4/9/23 | 4/25/24 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 S1 | 2021 S1 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,109 | 5,820 | 3,410 | - | 3,760 | 6,838 | 3,636 | 3,607 | 3,334 | 4,258 | 4,014 | 4,088 | 3,803 | 4,779 | 4,779 | 4,963 | - | - |
| EBITDA 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1,415 | 1,415 | 1,464 | - | - |
| EBIT 1 | - | - | - | - | 1,037 | - | 1,007 | 999.4 | 879.8 | 1,300 | 1,253 | 1,294 | 1,117 | 1,286 | 1,286 | 1,335 | - | - |
| Operating Margin | - | - | - | - | 27.58% | - | 27.69% | 27.71% | 26.39% | 30.53% | 31.22% | 31.66% | 29.37% | 26.9% | 26.9% | 26.9% | - | - |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net income 1 | 803.7 | 1,421 | 606.7 | 641.4 | 866.4 | 1,508 | 853.6 | - | - | 1,086 | 991.3 | 1,057 | 929.3 | 1,178 | 1,178 | 1,224 | - | - |
| Net margin | 19.56% | 24.42% | 17.79% | - | 23.04% | 22.05% | 23.48% | - | - | 25.5% | 24.69% | 25.85% | 24.44% | 24.66% | 24.66% | 24.66% | - | - |
| EPS 2 | - | - | - | 0.7230 | 0.9730 | - | 0.9595 | 0.9257 | - | 0.8300 | 1.120 | 1.190 | 1.050 | 1.322 | 1.322 | 1.372 | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3.558 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 8/17/20 | 8/17/22 | 3/11/22 | 4/26/22 | 8/17/22 | 8/17/22 | 10/27/22 | 4/9/23 | 4/27/23 | 8/17/23 | 10/26/23 | 4/25/24 | 4/25/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | 3,758 | 3,748 | 4,016 | 6,675 | 6,553 |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | 3,021 | 2,561 | 2,043 | 4,175 | 3,802 | 4,902 | - |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 52.4% | 26.9% | 28.3% | 27.9% | 29.2% | 28.5% | 27.7% | 29.5% |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 36.6% | 23.3% | 18.9% | - | - | 21.8% | 21% | - |
| Assets 1 | 6,290 | 9,927 | 14,913 | - | - | 20,988 | 24,158 | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 6.950 | 10.30 | 12.10 | 13.90 | 16.20 | 18.20 | 20.50 | 22.90 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 2.880 | 3.870 | 3.390 | 3.440 | 5.410 | 5.290 | 5.900 | 6.160 |
| Capex 1 | 449 | 417 | 453 | 1,015 | 653 | 512 | 518 | 703 |
| Capex / Sales | 4.47% | 4.15% | 3.65% | 7.21% | 4.16% | 2.85% | 2.55% | 3.01% |
| Announcement Date | 4/26/20 | 4/28/21 | 3/11/22 | 4/9/23 | 4/25/24 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C-
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
116.5
CNY
Average target price
128.5
CNY
Spread / Average Target
+10.28%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +21.80% | 14.33B | |
| +4.53% | 149B | |
| +34.66% | 130B | |
| +19.57% | 130B | |
| +12.90% | 62.82B | |
| +7.65% | 41.04B | |
| +94.65% | 35B | |
| +6.26% | 32.1B | |
| -9.78% | 32.1B | |
| +3.97% | 27.31B |
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- Financials Gongniu Group Co.,Ltd.
