Financials GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd.

Equities

GHG

US39579V1008

Hotels, Motels & Cruise Lines

Market Closed - Nyse 04:10:00 2024-04-26 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
3.1 USD +8.39% Intraday chart for GreenTree Hospitality Group Ltd. +9.37% -17.55%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Capitalization 1 9,070 7,801 8,934 5,184 2,637 2,295 2,295 -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 6,873 6,897 7,928 5,594 2,362 2,727 1,452 1,306
P/E ratio 22.5 x 17.6 x 34.4 x 24.5 x -6.4 x 10.3 x 6.24 x 6.46 x
Yield 2.26% 2.31% - 7.37% - 3.83% 4.81% 6.77%
Capitalization / Revenue 9.6 x 7.14 x 9.61 x 4.3 x 2.79 x 1.68 x 1.35 x 1.17 x
EV / Revenue 7.27 x 6.32 x 8.52 x 4.64 x 2.5 x 1.68 x 0.85 x 0.67 x
EV / EBITDA 11.3 x 11.6 x 22.3 x 17.6 x 11.2 x 5.28 x 2.7 x 2.49 x
EV / FCF 16,501,558 x 16,569,305 x 42,769,426 x -33,290,113 x - - - -
FCF Yield 0% 0% 0% -0% - - - -
Price to Book 4.89 x 4.2 x 4.28 x 2.79 x 1.8 x 1.36 x 1.31 x 1.24 x
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 101,552 101,866 102,179 103,050 103,050 102,179 102,179 -
Reference price 2 89.31 76.58 87.44 50.31 25.59 22.46 22.46 22.46
Announcement Date 3/14/19 4/14/20 4/14/21 5/12/22 4/7/23 3/26/24 - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Net sales 1 945 1,092 930 1,206 945.1 1,627 1,699 1,955
EBITDA 1 609.7 594.1 355.5 317.7 211.6 516.6 536.9 524.1
EBIT 1 535 504.6 319.3 241.7 -437.7 311.8 440.4 424.5
Operating Margin 56.62% 46.21% 34.33% 20.04% -46.32% 19.16% 25.93% 21.71%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 401.9 626.1 354.3 312.8 -453.7 356.5 475.9 466.1
Net income 1 394.1 442.7 261.3 211.6 -376.4 265.8 367.5 355.7
Net margin 41.7% 40.55% 28.1% 17.54% -39.82% 16.33% 21.64% 18.2%
EPS 2 3.970 4.340 2.540 2.050 -4.000 2.600 3.600 3.475
Free Cash Flow 416.5 416.2 185.4 -168 - - - -
FCF margin 44.07% 38.12% 19.93% -13.93% - - - -
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) 68.31% 70.06% 52.15% - - - - -
FCF Conversion (Net income) 105.68% 94.02% 70.93% - - - - -
Dividend per Share 2 2.017 1.766 - 3.706 - 0.8600 1.080 1.520
Announcement Date 3/14/19 4/14/20 4/14/21 5/12/22 4/7/23 3/26/24 - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1 2024 Q2 2024 Q3 2024 Q4
Net sales 1 347.1 310.4 307.4 415 460.9 372.2 - - - -
EBITDA 111.2 73.72 68.77 - - - - - - -
EBIT 1 89.3 54.88 36.15 98.61 137.8 23.06 - - - -
Operating Margin 25.73% 17.68% 11.76% 23.76% 29.9% 6.2% - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - - - - -
Net income 81.32 34.44 25.93 - - - - - - -
Net margin 23.43% 11.09% 8.44% - - - - - - -
EPS 2 0.7900 0.3300 0.2500 1.220 1.150 0.1100 0.5200 0.9800 1.130 -0.1800
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 11/15/21 1/12/22 5/12/22 9/18/23 11/21/23 3/26/24 - - - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Net Debt 1 - - - 410 - - - -
Net Cash position 1 2,197 904 1,006 - 275 331 843 990
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - 1.289 x - - - -
Free Cash Flow 416 416 185 -168 - - - -
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) 30.5% 25.7% 13.2% 10.7% -22.8% 16.4% 14.5% 15.6%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) 16.5% 12.8% 6.61% 4.53% - - - -
Assets 1 2,385 3,448 3,956 4,667 - - - -
Book Value Per Share 2 18.30 18.20 20.40 18.00 14.20 16.50 17.20 18.20
Cash Flow per Share 5.600 5.040 - - - - - -
Capex 138 97.7 112 561 - - - -
Capex / Sales 14.65% 8.95% 12.04% 46.52% - - - -
Announcement Date 3/14/19 4/14/20 4/14/21 5/12/22 4/7/23 3/26/24 - -
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
D
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
22.46 CNY
Average target price
30.38 CNY
Spread / Average Target
+35.25%
Consensus
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