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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 3,665.00 JPY | -2.79% |
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-7.10% | -3.04% |
Projected Income Statement: Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 37,034 | 57,087 | 71,527 | 55,796 | 55,646 | 59,332 | 68,710 | 77,427 |
| Change | - | 54.15% | 25.29% | -21.99% | -0.27% | 6.62% | 15.81% | 12.69% |
| EBITDA 1 | 7,330 | 16,994 | 19,800 | 10,487 | 8,030 | 9,815 | 13,974 | 17,790 |
| Change | - | 131.84% | 16.51% | -47.04% | -23.42% | 22.23% | 42.37% | 27.31% |
| EBIT 1 | 865.9 | 8,739 | 10,224 | 124 | 6.993 | 2,021 | 6,528 | 9,952 |
| Change | - | 909.22% | 16.99% | -98.79% | -94.36% | 28,798.97% | 223.01% | 52.46% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -106 | -138 | -166 | -177 | -224 | -195 | -210 | -210 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,019 | 9,011 | 10,194 | -27,606 | 4,780 | 2,196 | 6,618 | 9,697 |
| Change | - | 784% | 13.13% | -370.81% | 117.32% | -54.06% | 201.4% | 46.52% |
| Net income 1 | 662.5 | 6,643 | 7,595 | -24,806 | 3,474 | 1,581 | 4,838 | 7,330 |
| Change | - | 902.72% | 14.33% | -426.61% | 114% | -54.47% | 205.91% | 51.53% |
| Announcement Date | 5/14/21 | 5/13/22 | 5/12/23 | 5/13/24 | 5/14/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -14,530 | -2,570 | 6,553 | 3,458 | -4,213 | -6,042 | -4,454 | -4,149 |
| Change | - | 82.31% | 354.98% | -47.23% | -221.83% | -43.43% | 26.28% | 6.85% |
| Announcement Date | 5/14/21 | 5/13/22 | 5/12/23 | 5/13/24 | 5/14/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,952 | 5,690 | 9,236 | 4,955 | 3,765 | 7,038 | 7,549 | 6,942 |
| Change | - | 191.5% | 62.32% | -46.35% | -24.02% | 86.93% | 7.25% | -8.03% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 7,603 | 5,145 | 2,012 | 6,778 | 3,751 | 965 | 5,822 | 5,357 |
| Change | - | -32.33% | -60.9% | 236.96% | -44.66% | -74.27% | 503.28% | -7.99% |
| Announcement Date | 5/14/21 | 5/13/22 | 5/12/23 | 5/13/24 | 5/14/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 19.79% | 29.77% | 27.68% | 18.79% | 14.43% | 16.54% | 20.34% | 22.98% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 2.34% | 15.31% | 14.29% | 0.22% | 0.01% | 3.41% | 9.5% | 12.85% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 2.75% | 15.78% | 14.25% | -49.48% | 8.59% | 3.7% | 9.63% | 12.52% |
| Net margin (%) | 1.79% | 11.64% | 10.62% | -44.46% | 6.24% | 2.67% | 7.04% | 9.47% |
| FCF margin (%) | 20.53% | 9.01% | 2.81% | 12.15% | 6.74% | 1.63% | 8.47% | 6.92% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 1,147.63% | 77.45% | 26.49% | -27.32% | 107.99% | 61.02% | 120.34% | 73.07% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 1.02% | 4.69% | 7.23% | 0.42% | 6.01% | 1.4% | 2.86% | 4.31% |
| ROE | 0.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | -27.1% | 4.4% | 2.21% | 6.03% | 8.49% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | 0.33x | 0.33x | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | 3.26x | 0.51x | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 5.27% | 9.97% | 12.91% | 8.88% | 6.77% | 11.86% | 10.99% | 8.97% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 26.63% | 33.48% | 46.65% | 47.25% | 46.89% | 71.7% | 54.02% | 39.02% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 25.67% | 110.6% | 459.14% | 73.1% | 100.37% | 729.33% | 129.66% | 129.6% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 74.03 | 144.6 | 169 | -164.3 | 121 | 96.53 | 124.3 | 158.7 |
| Change | - | 95.34% | 16.89% | -197.21% | 173.67% | -20.25% | 28.81% | 27.6% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 20 | 21 | 28 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21.9 | 29.26 |
| Change | - | 5% | 33.33% | -28.57% | 0% | 0% | 9.52% | 33.56% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 1,069 | 1,027 | 1,094 | 836 | 831.8 | 813.5 | 844.5 | 899.5 |
| Change | - | -3.92% | 6.48% | -23.55% | -0.5% | -2.2% | 3.81% | 6.51% |
| EPS 1 | 6.88 | 69.02 | 79.67 | -261 | 36.57 | 16.7 | 51.07 | 77.55 |
| Change | - | 903.2% | 15.43% | -427.6% | 114.01% | -54.34% | 205.83% | 51.84% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 96,263 | 96,263 | 95,064 | 94,976 | 94,956 | 94,667 | 94,667 | 94,667 |
| Announcement Date | 5/14/21 | 5/13/22 | 5/12/23 | 5/13/24 | 5/14/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 219x | 71.8x |
| PBR | 4.51x | 4.34x |
| EV / Sales | 5.75x | 4.98x |
| Yield | 0.55% | 0.6% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Investor
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Global
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Quality
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Harmonic Drive Systems Inc.
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