8 July | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Consensus H1 22 | Consensus FY 22 | Consensus FY 23 | Consensus FY 24 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Median | High | Low | # of est. | Median | High | Low | # of est. | Median | High | Low | # of est. | Median | High | Low | # of est. | |||||||||||||||||
Total JDE Peet's | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Volume/mix | -0.5% | 1.4% | -3.0% | 10 | -1.2% | 1.5% | -3.5% | 10 | 3.0% | 6.0% | -3.5% | 10 | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Price | 12.7% | 18.5% | 10.0% | 10 | 13.4% | 19.2% | 10.5% | 10 | 2.0% | 7.6% | -3.0% | 10 | 0.1% | 1.3% | -0.5% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Organic growth (%) | 12.3% | 16.8% | 10.0% | 10 | 12.0% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 10 | 4.0% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 10 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
CPG Europe | 7.0% | 15.3% | 2.0% | 9 | 8.8% | 16.4% | 2.0% | 10 | 3.3% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 10 | 2.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
CPG LARMEA | 23.0% | 40.0% | 18.0% | 9 | 16.4% | 37.0% | 11.5% | 10 | 5.5% | 12.0% | 0.2% | 10 | 5.3% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
CPG APAC | 7.0% | 15.0% | -4.2% | 9 | 11.3% | 20.3% | 3.4% | 10 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 10 | 5.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Peet's | 15.5% | 19.4% | 11.0% | 9 | 12.5% | 18.4% | 7.0% | 10 | 7.3% | 11.5% | -3.5% | 10 | 6.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
OOH | 30.0% | 45.6% | 19.5% | 9 | 21.0% | 35.3% | 12.0% | 10 | 6.3% | 15.0% | 0.0% | 10 | 3.0% | 6.0% | 0.0% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
M&A | 0.0% | 0.8% | -2.6% | 10 | 0.0% | 0.4% | -4.3% | 10 | 0.0% | 0.3% | -3.0% | 10 | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
FX | 2.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 10 | 2.9% | 4.8% | 0.0% | 10 | 0.0% | 2.7% | -0.5% | 10 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -0.5% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Reported sales growth (%) | 14.9% | 20.0% | 10.7% | 10 | 14.1% | 21.4% | 7.2% | 10 | 4.1% | 7.2% | 1.1% | 10 | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Sales (EUR m) | 3,739 | 3,903 | 3,602 | 10 | 7,989 | 8,496 | 7,509 | 10 | 8,325 | 9,087 | 7,817 | 10 | 8,590 | 9,457 | 8,158 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
COGS | (2,294) | (2,362) | (2,232) | 5 | (4,894) | (5,187) | (4,801) | 6 | (5,021) | (5,470) | (4,765) | 6 | (5,149) | (5,635) | (4,919) | 6 | ||||||||||||||||
Gross Profit | 1,443 | 1,503 | 1,307 | 5 | 3,007 | 3,029 | 2,708 | 6 | 3,210 | 3,311 | 2,897 | 6 | 3,376 | 3,562 | 3,100 | 6 | ||||||||||||||||
Total SG&A | (959) | (1,000) | (927) | 4 | (1,956) | (1,967) | (1,879) | 5 | (2,062) | (2,076) | (2,036) | 5 | (2,131) | (2,188) | (2,113) | 5 | ||||||||||||||||
Adjusted EBIT (in EUR m) | 583 | 605 | 545 | 10 | 1,234 | 1,310 | 1,115 | 10 | 1,307 | 1,413 | 1,160 | 10 | 1,383 | 1,526 | 1,203 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Organic adjusted EBIT growth (%) | -10.4% | -4.9% | -14.3% | 8 | -7.5% | -3.6% | -11.3% | 8 | 7.1% | 12.2% | -7.3% | 8 | 5.9% | 9.2% | 3.7% | 8 | ||||||||||||||||
Adjusted EBITDA (in EUR m) | 731 | 762 | 716 | 7 | 1,558 | 1,638 | 1,409 | 10 | 1,658 | 1,770 | 1,482 | 10 | 1,742 | 1,906 | 1,535 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Operating Profit / EBIT (in EUR m) | 490 | 519 | 453 | 9 | 1,042 | 1,161 | 935 | 10 | 1,137 | 1,253 | 1,034 | 10 | 1,209 | 1,376 | 1,130 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Net financial income / (expense) | (44) | (65) | (34) | 9 | (86) | (115) | (67) | 10 | (77) | (110) | (54) | 10 | (64) | (105) | (28) | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Share of net profit of associates | 0 | (1) | 0 | 8 | (1) | (1) | 0 | 9 | (1) | (1) | 0 | 9 | (1) | (1) | 0 | 9 | ||||||||||||||||
Income tax expenses | (108) | (142) | (98) | 9 | (239) | (294) | (210) | 10 | (268) | (309) | (234) | 10 | (286) | (337) | (260) | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Underlying tax rate | 25.0% | 25.0% | 23.0% | 8 | 25.0% | 25.2% | 23.0% | 9 | 25.0% | 25.2% | 23.0% | 9 | 25.0% | 25.2% | 23.0% | 9 | ||||||||||||||||
Non-controlling interest | (1) | (4) | 2 | 8 | (1) | (8) | 3 | 10 | (1) | (10) | 3 | 10 | (1) | (11) | 3 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Profit attr. to the owners | 325 | 355 | 285 | 8 | 711 | 814 | 628 | 10 | 781 | 872 | 710 | 10 | 843 | 969 | 794 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Underlying profit attr. to the owners | 404 | 425 | 371 | 9 | 859 | 909 | 761 | 10 | 918 | 992 | 821 | 10 | 995 | 1,082 | 860 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Free cash flow | 478 | 500 | 396 | 3 | 1,139 | 1,254 | 711 | 8 | 1,025 | 1,267 | 787 | 8 | 1,098 | 1,366 | 984 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||
Basic earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.66 | 0.85 | 0.57 | 9 | 1.42 | 1.79 | 1.26 | 10 | 1.61 | 1.73 | 1.42 | 10 | 1.72 | 1.94 | 1.59 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Underlying earnings per share (in EUR) | 0.81 | 0.84 | 0.74 | 9 | 1.72 | 1.86 | 1.51 | 10 | 1.89 | 1.97 | 1.66 | 10 | 2.03 | 2.18 | 1.78 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Dividend per share (in EUR) | N/A | N/A | N/A | 0 | 0.72 | 0.85 | 0.70 | 10 | 0.75 | 0.92 | 0.70 | 10 | 0.81 | 1.03 | 0.70 | 10 | ||||||||||||||||
Weighted avg nr of shares (in m) | 496.96 | 500.00 | 496.96 | 13 | 490.51 | 492.61 | 489.20 | 13 | 484.17 | 507.70 | 483.26 | 13 | 484.17 | 507.70 | 483.26 | 13 |
Disclaimer: This analyst consensus overview, including any kind of underlying projections or forecasts, are the analysts' own opinions and is published for information purposes only. They do not represent the opinions, forecasts, estimates, projections or predictions of JDE Peet's or its management. By providing these estimates, JDE Peet's does not imply, and expressively disclaims, any endorsement of, or concurrence with, any of these estimates provided by the analysts. JDE Peet's assumes no liability for the accuracy of such estimates and undertakes no obligation to update or revise such estimates.
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JDE Peet's NV published this content on 08 July 2022 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 08 July 2022 07:13:18 UTC.