Projected Income Statement: Kelsian Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Kelsian Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 295 361 423 648 885 803 770 758
Change - 22.37% 17.17% 53.19% 36.57% -9.31% -4.11% -1.56%
Announcement Date 8/30/20 8/24/21 8/23/22 8/29/23 8/25/24 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Kelsian Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 29.46 41.7 43.11 100.2 148.5 191.9 117.1 125.5
Change - 41.56% 3.38% 132.37% 48.27% 29.24% -38.97% 7.15%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 60.6 70.15 95.43 28.81 -1.817 -23.44 84.22 82.48
Change - 15.76% 36.03% -69.81% -106.31% 1,190.22% -459.24% -2.06%
Announcement Date 8/30/20 8/24/21 8/23/22 8/29/23 8/25/24 - - -
1AUD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Kelsian Group Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.09% 14.28% 13.82% 11.42% 13.16% 13.48% 13.89% 14.1%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.97% 6.23% 6.33% 5.96% 6.05% 6.58% 7.19% 7.59%
EBT Margin (%) -1.13% 4.18% 4.87% 2.35% 3.54% 3.82% 4.53% 5.16%
Net margin (%) -2.1% 3.22% 3.99% 1.48% 2.88% 2.92% 3.38% 3.94%
FCF margin (%) 9.37% 5.98% 7.2% 2.03% -0.09% -1.1% 3.78% 3.59%
FCF / Net Income (%) -446.51% 185.6% 180.37% 137.2% -3.13% -37.53% 111.93% 91.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.94% 5.52% 3.65% 2.75% 2.53% 3.53% 4.01% 3.42%
ROE 4.33% 12.36% 8.48% 6.34% 6.27% 6.71% 7.92% 8.9%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.11x 2.16x 2.31x 4.01x 3.34x 2.79x 2.49x 2.34x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.86x 5.15x 4.44x 22.51x -487.29x -34.26x 9.14x 9.19x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.56% 3.55% 3.25% 7.06% 7.36% 8.98% 5.26% 5.47%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 41.09% 24.9% 23.54% 61.87% 55.96% 66.62% 37.86% 38.76%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 48.61% 59.44% 45.17% 347.68% -8,173.86% -818.76% 139.1% 152.18%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.544 0.5111 0.6324 0.5557 0.5412 0.6433 0.7567 0.805
Change - -6.05% 23.73% -12.13% -2.61% 18.87% 17.62% 6.39%
Dividend per Share 1 0.11 0.16 0.165 0.17 0.175 0.1798 0.2046 0.235
Change - 45.45% 3.13% 3.03% 2.94% 2.71% 13.84% 14.85%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.749 2.784 2.93 3.431 3.438 3.487 3.571 3.684
Change - 1.3% 5.25% 17.07% 0.2% 1.43% 2.41% 3.17%
EPS 1 -0.082 0.173 0.242 0.09 0.214 0.2298 0.2729 0.3236
Change - -310.98% 39.88% -62.81% 137.78% 7.37% 18.79% 18.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 218,399 218,399 218,399 269,218 269,359 271,140 271,140 271,140
Announcement Date 8/30/20 8/24/21 8/23/22 8/29/23 8/25/24 - - -
1AUD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 15.9x 13.4x
PBR 1.05x 1.02x
EV / Sales 0.84x 0.79x
Yield 4.92% 5.61%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
3.650AUD
Average target price
5.225AUD
Spread / Average Target
+43.15%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. KLS Stock
  4. Financials Kelsian Group Limited