Projected Income Statement: Lindt

Forecast Balance Sheet: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 423 209 295 571 943 993 955 881
Change - -50.59% 41.15% 93.56% 65.15% 5.27% -3.83% -7.75%
Announcement Date 3/3/20 3/2/21 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 235.2 249.1 240.8 229.9 301 336.2 331.8 338.7
Change - 5.91% -3.33% -4.53% 30.93% 11.69% -1.29% 2.07%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 595.7 538.5 586 526.1 477.6 500.3 573.3 701.1
Change - -9.6% 8.82% -10.22% -9.22% 4.76% 14.58% 22.3%
Announcement Date 3/3/20 3/2/21 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Lindt

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.12% 17.33% 20.1% 20.48% 21.03% 21.19% 21.05% 21.3%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.96% 10.46% 14.06% 14.98% 15.63% 15.94% 16.01% 16.32%
EBT Margin (%) 12.44% 9.81% 13.56% 14.52% 15.14% 15.55% 15.48% 15.88%
Net margin (%) 11.3% 8.01% 10.7% 11.46% 12.91% 11.9% 11.94% 12.19%
FCF margin (%) 13.21% 13.41% 12.78% 10.59% 9.18% 9.08% 9.67% 11.12%
FCF / Net Income (%) 116.9% 167.39% 119.47% 92.35% 71.13% 76.32% 80.98% 91.19%

Profitability

        
ROA - - 5.77% 6.74% 8.5% 8.31% 8.56% 9.02%
ROE 11.15% 6.94% 9.99% 11.84% 15.51% 15.09% 15.24% 15.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.42x 0.3x 0.32x 0.56x 0.86x 0.85x 0.76x 0.66x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.71x 0.39x 0.5x 1.09x 1.98x 1.99x 1.67x 1.26x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.22% 6.2% 5.25% 4.63% 5.79% 6.1% 5.6% 5.37%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.58% 35.79% 26.13% 22.59% 27.52% 28.8% 26.59% 25.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 39.48% 46.26% 41.09% 43.7% 63.02% 67.19% 57.89% 48.31%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3,492 3,236 3,404 - 3,350 6,109 6,312 6,968
Change - -7.32% 5.18% - - 82.35% 3.33% 10.38%
Dividend per Share 1 1,750 1,100 1,200 - 1,400 1,486 1,605 1,732
Change - -37.14% 9.09% - - 6.15% 8% 7.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 19,626 19,088 21,818 - 18,131 19,387 20,319 21,644
Change - -2.74% 14.3% - - 6.93% 4.81% 6.52%
EPS 1 2,124 1,322 2,019 2,387 2,859 2,808 3,053 3,309
Change - -37.75% 52.76% 18.21% 19.77% -1.79% 8.73% 8.38%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 236 233 241 232 233 231.2 231.2 231.2
Announcement Date 3/3/20 3/2/21 3/8/22 3/7/23 3/5/24 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 39x 35.9x
PBR 5.65x 5.39x
EV / Sales 4.82x 4.47x
Yield 1.36% 1.46%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
B+
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
109,600.00CHF
Average target price
108,250.00CHF
Spread / Average Target
-1.23%
Consensus
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