Projected Income Statement: Mercari, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mercari, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -100,315 -130,055 -88,741 1,310 52,347 90,719 89,190 47,055
Change - -29.65% 31.77% 101.48% 3,895.95% 73.3% -1.69% -47.24%
Announcement Date 8/12/21 8/8/22 8/10/23 8/13/24 8/5/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mercari, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 420 669 471 155 300 1,094 1,124 1,157
Change - 59.29% -29.6% -67.09% 93.55% 264.83% 2.72% 2.93%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 10,274 -26,888 -37,515 -44,214 -43,313 -16,750 -3,800 550
Change - -361.71% -39.52% -17.86% 2.04% 61.33% 77.31% 114.47%
Announcement Date 8/12/21 8/8/22 8/10/23 8/13/24 8/5/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mercari, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.68% -1.97% 10.44% 10.42% 15.4% 17.59% 18.9% 19.26%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.89% -2.53% 9.89% 10.07% 14.31% 16.76% 17.87% 18.6%
EBT Margin (%) 11.19% -2.72% 9.52% 9.55% 15.12% 16.89% 18.05% 18.69%
Net margin (%) 5.39% -5.15% 7.6% 7.18% 13.56% 11.77% 12.44% 13.05%
FCF margin (%) 9.68% -18.29% -21.8% -23.59% -22.48% -8.01% -1.69% 0.23%
FCF / Net Income (%) 179.62% 355.24% -287.03% -328.46% -165.86% -68.04% -13.55% 1.77%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.16% -2.51% 4.62% 3.9% 5.57% 4.66% 4.72% 4.83%
ROE 15.5% -20% 28.9% 21.2% 30.5% 21.71% 20.35% 18.61%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - 0.07x 1.76x 2.46x 2.09x 1.03x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - -0.03x -1.21x -5.42x -23.47x 85.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.4% 0.45% 0.27% 0.08% 0.16% 0.52% 0.5% 0.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 6.97% -23.09% 2.62% 0.79% 1.01% 2.97% 2.64% 2.53%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 4.09% -2.49% -1.26% -0.35% -0.69% -6.53% -29.59% 210.4%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 41.8 -42.22 86.79 94.98 170.2 142.1 164.6 180.5
Change - -201% 305.57% 9.44% 79.2% -16.48% 15.81% 9.66%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 247.5 228.6 329.8 438.3 603.3 758.3 919.7 1,109
Change - -7.66% 44.29% 32.91% 37.63% 25.69% 21.3% 20.59%
EPS 1 36.43 -47.34 81.01 82.48 159 149.6 170.5 188.3
Change - -229.95% 271.12% 1.81% 92.83% -5.92% 13.95% 10.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 157,756 160,608 161,791 163,800 164,393 164,702 164,702 164,702
Announcement Date 8/12/21 8/8/22 8/10/23 8/13/24 8/5/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 22.1x 19.4x
PBR 4.36x 3.59x
EV / Sales 3.04x 2.81x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
3,305.00JPY
Average target price
3,080.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
-6.81%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 4385 Stock
  4. Financials Mercari, Inc.