GOOD START TO THE YEAR DESPITE FIRST COVID-19 IMPACT
Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 2020 results
Stefan Oschmann, CEO
Belén Garijo, CEO Healthcare
Marcus Kuhnert, CFO
May 14, 2020
DISCLAIMER
Publication of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany. In the United States and Canada the group of companies affiliated with Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany operates under individual business names (EMD Serono, Millipore Sigma, EMD Performance Materials). To reflect such fact and to avoid any misconceptions of the reader of the publication certain logos, terms and business descriptions of the publication have been substituted or additional descriptions have been added. This version of the publication, therefore, slightly deviates from the otherwise identical version of the publication provided outside the United States and Canada.
2 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Disclaimer
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements and financial indicators
This communication may include "forward-looking statements." Statements that include words such as "anticipate," "expect," "should," "would," "intend," "plan," "project," "seek," "believe," "will," and other words of similar meaning in connection with future events or future operating or financial performance are often used to identify forward-looking statements. All statements in this communication, other than those relating to historical information or current conditions, are forward-looking statements. We intend these forward-looking statements to be covered by the safe harbor provisions for forward-looking statements in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond control of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany, which could cause actual results to differ materially from such statements.
Risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: the risks of more restrictive regulatory requirements regarding drug pricing, reimbursement and approval; the risk of stricter regulations for the manufacture, testing and marketing of products; the risk of destabilization of political systems and the establishment of trade barriers; the risk of a changing marketing environment for multiple sclerosis products in the European Union; the risk of greater competitive pressure due to biosimilars; the risks of research and development; the risks of discontinuing development projects and regulatory approval of developed medicines; the risk of a temporary ban on products/production facilities or of non-registration of products due to non-compliance with quality standards; the risk of an import ban on products to the United States due to an FDA warning letter; the risks of dependency on suppliers; risks due to product-related crime and espionage; risks in relation to the use of financial instruments; liquidity risks; counterparty risks; market risks; risks of impairment on balance sheet items; risks from pension obligations; risks from product-related and patent law disputes; risks from antitrust law proceedings; risks from drug pricing by the divested Generics Group; risks in human resources; risks from e-crime and cyber attacks; risks due to failure of business-critical information technology applications or to failure of data center capacity; environmental and safety risks; unanticipated contract or regulatory issues; a potential downgrade in the rating of the indebtedness of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany; downward pressure on the common stock price of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany and its impact on goodwill impairment evaluations, as well as the impact of future regulatory or legislative actions.
The foregoing review of important factors should not be construed as exhaustive and should be read in conjunction with the other cautionary statements that are included elsewhere, including the Report on Risks and Opportunities Section of the most recent annual report and quarterly report of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany. Any forward-looking statements made in this communication are qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements, and there can be no assurance that the actual results or developments anticipated by us will be realized or, even if substantially realized, that they will have the expected consequences to, or effects on, us or our business or operations. Except to the extent required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to update publicly or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise.
This presentation contains certain financial indicators such as EBITDA pre exceptionals, net financial debt and earnings per share pre exceptionals, which are not defined by International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS). These financial indicators should not be taken into account in order to assess the performance of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany in isolation or used as an alternative to the financial indicators presented in the consolidated financial statements and determined in accordance with IFRS. The figures presented in this statement have been rounded. This may lead to individual values not adding up to the totals presented.
3 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Agenda
Executive summary
Financial overview
Guidance
4 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Beyond focusing on the health & safety of our employees and on business continuity, we have contributed to help face global COVID-19 pandemic
- Our Business:
- Supplying critical raw
materials, components, and manufacturing products for vaccine production & diagnostics
- Life Science continues to keep global supply chain operational by implementing additional safety precautions to provide indispensable products and services to aid COVID-19response
• | Collaborations: | • Research Grants: | • | Donations: |
• Part of pharma and Life | • 2019: €1 m Future | • | 290,000 units of | |
Science consortium | Insight Prize for | interferon (Rebif ®) to | ||
together with the Bill | outstanding research in | WHO for global | ||
& Melinda Gates | field of pandemic | SOLIDARITY trial, | ||
Foundation | preparedness | investigating therapies | ||
• | Life Science actively | • 2020: up to €500,000 | for treating COVID-19 | |
Liquid Handling | ||||
collaborating with | p.a. for 3 years and | • | ||
leading institutions, to | extension option for | Center of Life Science, | ||
speed up development, | technological | increasing capacity to | ||
production & delivery of | solutions for | produce and donate | ||
diagnostics, vaccines | pandemic outbreak | 250,000 liters of | ||
and treatment of | preparedness and | disinfectant | ||
COVID-19. | fighting viral infections | • | Donated 2,000,000 | |
FFP2-Masksto local | ||||
communities in U.S. and | ||||
Europe |
6 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Highlights
Operations
Healthcare: double-digit growth fueled by Mavenclad® ramp-up and General Medicine
Life Science: Process Solutions with double digit growth while Academia and Applied end markets reflect temporary demand slow down in Asia due to COVID-19
Performance Materials: Strong uptake of Semiconductor Solutions offset by Display and Surface Solutions decline; Versum integration on track
7 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Financials
Q1 organic sales growth of +7.6%;
Q1 organic EBITDA pre growth of +14.5%
Guidance:
Net sales: €16.8 - 17.8 bn
EBITDA pre: €4,350 - 4,850 m
EPS pre: €5.50 - 6.35
Net financial debt to EBITDA pre at 2.6 on March 31, 2020 - continued focus on deleveraging
Healthcare and Life Science fuel strong organic top- and bottom-line performance; significant portfolio effect from Versum
Q1 YoY Net Sales | ||||
Organic | Currency | Portfolio | Total | |
Healthcare | 15.3% | -0.4% | 0.0% | 14.9% |
Life Science | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 6.5% |
Performance Materials | -5.4% | 2.4% | 52.1% | 49.0% |
Group | 7.6% | 0.6% | 8.4% | 16.7% |
- Healthcare with double-digit growth from strong General Medicine (in parts supported by COVID-19 driven pull-in effect), continued Mavenclad® ramp-up, and strong demand for Oncology
- Life Science reflects double-digit growth of Process Solutions overcompensating temporarily lower demand for Applied and Research Solutions amidst COVID-19 pandemic
- Performance Materials shows expected strong uptake of Semiconductor Solutions offset by declining market demand in Display and in Surface Solutions impacted by COVID-19
Q1 YoY EBITDA pre
14.5% | 2.0% | 10.7% | 1,181 | |
929 | ||||
Q1 2019 | Organic | Currency | Portfolio | Q1 2020 |
- EBITDA pre growing twice as fast as net sales organically fueled by strong top-line growth, and cost management further benefitting from reduced travel & events during COVID-19 pandemic
- Positive FX tailwinds on EBITDA pre mainly from U.S. dollar and major Asian currencies
8 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 | Totals may not add up due to rounding |
Organic growth driven by North America, Europe and Latin America
Regional breakdown of net sales [€ m] | Regional organic development |
Europe +9.7%
org.
• About stable APAC due to double-digit growth of General Medicine, more than offsetting COVID-19 related flat Life
North America +12.0%
org.
26%
Latin America +21.6%
org.
30%
Q1 2020 | ||
Net sales: | ||
€4,370 m | 35% | Asia-Pacific |
6%
3%
Middle East & Africa -4.0%
org.
+1.2%
org.
Science and decline in Display Solutions
• Strong Europe driven by double-digit growth in General Medicine and Process Solutions and support from Mavenclad®
• North America reflects robust demand in Life Science and strong uptake of Mavenclad®
• Double-digit growth in LATAM from strong Healthcare & Life Science demand
• Middle East and Africa with moderate decline due to phasing in Healthcare
9 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
FINANCIAL OVERVIEW
Q1 2020: Overview
Key figures
[€m] | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | |
Net sales | 3,746 | 4,370 | 16.7% |
EBITDA pre | 929 | 1,181 | 27.2% |
Margin (in % of net sales) | 24.8% | 27.0% | |
EPS pre | 1.13 | 1.50 | 32.7% |
Operating cash flow | 493 | 516 | 4.9% |
[€m] | Dec. 31, 2019 | March 31, 2020 | |
Net financial debt | 12,363 | 12,285 | -0.6% |
Working capital | 3,944 | 4,392 | 11.3% |
Employees | 57,071 | 57,451 | 0.7% |
11 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Comments
- Net sales driven by organic growth of Healthcare and Life Science, further fueled by portfolio effect from Versum
- EBITDA pre & margin increase due to strong operating leverage in Healthcare and Life Science
- EPS pre growing faster than EBITDA pre supported by better financial result
- Higher operating cash flow reflects strong business performance partially compensated by trade account receivables build-up due to COVID-19
- Working capital follows business activity
Totals may not add up due to rounding
Reported figures
Reported results
[€m] | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | |
EBIT | 379 | 716 | 89.0% |
Financial result | -113 | -98 | -12.5% |
Profit before tax | 266 | 617 | 131.9% |
Income tax | -67 | -159 | 137.4% |
Effective tax rate (%) | 25.2% | 25.8% | |
Net income | 189 | 456 | 141.9% |
EPS (€) | 0.43 | 1.05 | 144.2% |
12 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Comments
- Higher EBIT driven by strong top line growth in Healthcare and Life Science as well as consolidation of Versum and divestment gain from Allergopharma*
- Financial result benefits from comparison with last years' revaluation of F-Star purchase option (-€45 m) partially offset by the current year higher interest expense related to Versum financing
- Effective tax rate within guidance range of ~24-26%
- Higher net income and EPS reflects higher EBIT and better financial result
* closed March 31st ,2020
Totals may not add up due to rounding
Healthcare: Strong General Medicine supported by COVID-19pull-in effect and ongoing Mavenclad® uptake; improved margins from top line leverage
Healthcare P&L | ||
[€m] | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 |
Net sales | 1,481 | 1,701 |
Marketing and selling | -550 | -423 |
Administration | -88 | -79 |
Research and development | -380 | -417 |
EBIT | 128 | 422 |
EBITDA | 329 | 501 |
EBITDA pre | 332 | 472 |
Margin (in % of net sales) | 22.4% | 27.8% |
Net sales bridge
15.3% -0.4% 0.0% €1,701 m
€1,481 m
Q1 2019 | Organic | Currency | Portfolio | Q1 2020 |
+0.0% |
EBITDA pre bridge
40.9% 1.3% 0.0% €472 m
€332 m
Q1 2019 | Organic | Currency | Portfolio | Q1 2020 |
Comments
- Strong demand in General Medicine supported by COVID-19pull-in and phasing
- Mavenclad® growth vs. Q1 2019, especially in U.S.; however about flat vs. Q4 2019 due to COVID-19, while Rebif® posts less pronounced decline explained by U.S. inventory effects, and Russia tender phasing
- Strong growth of Erbitux® particularly in Europe offsetting weaker China amidst COVID-19; Bavencio® developing as expected
- Moderate Fertility decline from COVID-19 impact most pronounced in China; strong first quarter in U.S.
- M&S decrease due to stringent cost management, resource prioritization across franchises and expired amortization of Rebif ®
- R&D cost control offset by Avelumab H&N study termination accrual (-€15 m)
- Higher EBITDA pre driven by strong top-line performance and rigorous cost management
13 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 | Totals may not add up due to rounding |
Mavenclad® - Global launch continues to make progress, with Q1 showing initial impact of COVID; regaining of momentum expected in H2 2020
Global: First signs of COVID-19 related slow-down
visible as of March, impacting Q1 2020
net sales, [€m]
140 | 127 | 123 | ||||||
120 | ||||||||
CAGR +43.1% | ||||||||
100 | 89 | |||||||
80 | 61 | |||||||
60 | ||||||||
43 | ||||||||
40 | ||||||||
20 | ||||||||
0 | ||||||||
Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 | ||||
- Approved in 78 countries
- Launches progressing well, with momentum into early Q1 across the U.S. and EU4
- Number of prescribers increasing +70% in the US, with average depth increasing +50%1
- COVID-19has restricted HCP access and forced pivot to digital engagement only
- Significant decline of patient consults with neurologists, leading to fewer treatment initiations and fewer treatment switches
1: MSLL SRF data; Internal data on file/March 2020; Acronyms: HCP = Healthcare Professional; EU4 = Germany, UK, Spain, Italy | |
14 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Mavenclad® - Aiming to capitalize on "waitlisted" patient opportunity amid COVID-19 pandemic
HE MS market:
Significant opportunity for rebound in H2
- Diverse guidelines published - KOL debate ongoing
- Infection risk number 1 choice driver
- 15% of HE patient starts put on hold and a further 5% "bridged" to platform therapies1
Mavenclad® :
Profile suited to evolved choice drivers
- Lack of continuous immunosuppression3
- Transient preferential targeting of B and T lymphocytes4
US dynamic market2: | • | Specifically important for viral defense … |
15.0% | "Waitlisted" HE Patients | • Moderate T cell reduction with lower impact on |
CD8+4 | ||
High Efficacy | • Minimal impact on innate immunity5-7 | |
• Mavenclad® is easy to use, with short-course | ||
5.0% | "Bridged" INJ Patients | at-home oral dosing and a low monitoring |
Platform | burden3 | |
• High efficacy that is sustained beyond total
lymphocyte recovery3 | ||
Pre COVID | Current |
- "Monitoring the Impact of COVID-19 on the Pharmaceutical Market", IQVIA; 2: IQVIA weekly data; 3: Mavenclad® EU SmPC, 2020; 4: Comi G, et al. Mult Scler Relat Disord. 2019;29:168-174;
- Rieckmann P, et al. ECTRIMS 2009 [P816]; 6: Sorensen PS et al. ECTRIMS-ACTRIMS 2017 [P1141]; 7: Giovannoni G et al. N Engl J Med 2010;362:416-26 (and suppl. info).;
Acronyms: HE = High Efficacy, INJ = Injectables, KOL = Key Opinion Leader
15 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Bavencio® - Enhancing its foundation in GU cancers with transformative OS data from JAVELIN Bladder 100 trial featured at ASCO 2020 plenary session
Urothelial
Cancer 1L (UC)
(~90% of bladder
cancers,
10th most prevalent
cancer globally)
Renal Cell
Carcinoma 1L
(RCC)
NSCLC 1L
- First immunotherapy to significantly prolong OS vs standard of care in 1L locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma, and first to demonstrate OS benefit regardless of PD-L1 status
- Breakthrough Therapy Designation, completion of sBLA submission, and review under the FDA's Real-Time Oncology Review (RTOR) program announced on April 9, 2020
- New treatment paradigm offered by the unique JAVELIN Bladder 100 Regimen, potential to be practice changing, offering benefit beyond chemotherapy, the standard of care for the last 20+ years
- Launch to leverage existing RCC resources and experiences
- Approved by U.S. FDA in May 2019, by the European Commission in October 2019, and by the Japanese PMDA in December 2019
- Participating in the establishment of IO-TKI as the leading class in 1L mRCC
- Expected to benefit from strong 1L UC data:
- Enhanced overall brand value (first demonstrated OS benefit for Bavencio®)
- Greater efficiency (75-80% overlap with UC and RCC prescribers in key markets)
- Ph III data read-out expected in 2021
- Core tumor for IO, 1L NSCLC remains a large indication
- Highly competitive landscape - Complex study design (e.g. multiple arms) might provide differentiated data in patient subgroups
Acronyms: EMA = European Medicines Agency, FDA = Food and Drug Administration, GU = genitourinary, IO = Immuno-Oncology, mRCC = Metastatic Renal Cell Carcinoma, OS = Overall Survival, PMDA = Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency, sBLA = supplemental Biologics License Application, TKI = Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor
16 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Core business - Q1 growth rates reflect initial effects of COVID-19 and indicate future developments
Q1 2020 net sales contribution1 & | Expected Impact of COVID-19 |
org. growth (%) in Q1 2020 (FY 2019) |
+7.1% | -3.5% | ||||||
(+5.9% FY 2019) | |||||||
(+6.7% FY 2019) | |||||||
Erbitux®; | Fertility; | ||||||
14% | |||||||
19% | |||||||
Rebif®; | |||||||
20% | |||||||
-3.4% | |||||||
General Medicine & | |||||||
(-13.9% FY 2019) | |||||||
Endocrinology; 47% | |||||||
+20.9%
GENERAL
MEDICINE &
ENDOCRINOLOGY
FERTILITY
REBIF®
- Q1 supported by COVID-19 related moderate stocking effects across the globe, suggesting phasing impact in upcoming quarters
- Rx duration for Glucophage® and Concor® extended in most Chinese provinces to reduce frequency of hospital visits
- Chinese VBP roll out expected to continue despite COVID-19
- Medical societies issued guidance for suspension of new, non-urgent treatments2 in late Q1, leading to temporary closure of clinics globally
- Situation now improving, >90% of Chinese centers reopened at reduced capacity, several APAC and EMEA clinics reopening in line with newly published guidance on recommencing of ART3
- Catch-upeffects expected post-recovery
-
Potential benefit from changed treatment patterns:
o Decreased switches from Rebif® to High-Efficacy drugs due to guidelines and less frequent patient visits
o Increased new patient numbers due to greater preference for platform therapies
(+8.3% FY 2019)
® | • Decreased diagnosis rates due to lower physician/hospital |
ERBITUX | access given prioritization of COVID-19 treatment |
- Net sales contribution reflected in pie chart; 2:https://www.asrm.org/news-and-publications/news-and-research/press-releases-and-bulletins/asrm-issues-new-guidance-on-fertility-care-during-covid-19-pandemiccalls-for-suspension-of-most-treatments/,3: published by ESHRE and ASRM on April 23 2020,https://www.eshre.eu/Press-Room/ESHRE-News;Acronyms: ART = Assisted Reproductive Technology, ASRM = American Society for Reproductive Medicine, ESHRE = European Society of Human Reproduction and Embryology, VBP = Volume Based Procurement
17 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Pipeline - 2020 characterized by developmental progress of innovative Oncology, Immuno-Oncology and Neurology assets
Q2 2020 | H2 2020 |
ASCO 2020
May 29 - Jun 2
(Virtual)
Tepotinib (c-Met-inhibitor)
Bavencio®: Late-breaking JAVELIN Bladder 100 data (1L urothelial carcinoma) presented at the Plenary Session on May 31
Tepotinib: Primary efficacy & biomarker analyses from VISION study for first-in-class tepotinib1 in NSCLC with METex14 skipping alterations
- METex14: Approved in Japan on March 25, 2020
- METex14: Expected filing in the USA in H1 2020 (BTD granted in 2019)
Bavencio® (Avelumab/Anti-PD-L1)
- JAVELIN Bladder 100 (1L urothelial carcinoma): Expected FDA decision & potential launch
Bintrafusp alfa (Anti-PD-L1/TGF-ß-Trap)
- Initiation of further studies (incl. TNBC)
Evobrutinib (BTK-inhibitor)
- RMS: Recruitment in the modified studies to start shortly
Oncology Immuno-Oncology
Neurology
- not yet approved in any markets outside of Japan; Acronyms: BTD = Breakthrough Therapy Designation, EMA = European Medicines Agency, FDA = U.S. Food and Drug Administration, NSCLC = Non-Small- Cell Lung Carcinoma, RMS = Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis, RTOR = Real-Time Oncology Review, sBLA = Supplemental Biologics License Application, TNBC = Triple-Negative Breast Cancer, UC = Urothelial Cancer
18 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Life Science: Showing strong resilience, Process Solutions with double-digit growth, Research and Applied flat
Life Science P&L | ||||
[€m] | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | ||
Net sales | 1,661 | 1,769 | ||
Marketing and selling | -470 | -498 | ||
Administration | -88 | -89 | ||
Research and development | -62 | -75 | ||
EBIT | 313 | 345 | ||
EBITDA | 507 | 541 | ||
EBITDA pre | 516 | 553 | ||
Margin (in % of net sales) | 31.0% | 31.2% |
Net sales bridge
€1,661 m | 5.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | €1,769 m | ||||||||||||||
Q1 2019 | Organic | Currency | Portfolio | Q1 2020 |
EBITDA pre bridge
€516m | 8.2% | -0.5% | -0.5% | €553 m | ||||||||||||||||
Q1 2019 | Organic | Currency | Portfolio | Q1 2020 |
Comments
- Double-digitgrowth of Process Solutions mainly driven by downstream and single use, with COVID-19 demand contributing
- About stable Applied Solutions reflects high comps and decline in lab water due to inaccessibility of labs
- Research Solutions flat: increased demand of bulk chemicals offset by temporary slowdown in academia due to COVID-19
- Higher M&S reflecting increased logistics cost
- Increased R&D driven by investments in strategic projects
- EBITDA pre reflects operational leverage from strong top-line growth
19 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 | Totals may not add up due to rounding |
Performance Materials: Strong Semi more than offset by LC's accelerated underlying negative trajectory and declining Surface amid COVID-19
Performance Materials P&L | ||||
[€m] | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | ||
Net sales | 604 | 900 | ||
Marketing and selling | -66 | -136 | ||
Administration | -23 | -38 | ||
Research and development | -72 | -71 | ||
EBIT | 95 | 116 | ||
EBITDA | 157 | 251 | ||
EBITDA pre | 193 | 286 | ||
Margin (in % of net sales) | 31.9% | 31.7% |
Net sales bridge | 52.1% | €900 m | |||
€604 m | -5.4% | 2.4% | |||
Q1 2019 Organic Currency Portfolio Q1 2020
EBITDA pre bridge | 52.1% | €286 m | ||||
€193 m | -8.8% | 5.1% | ||||
Q1 2019 | Organic | Currency | Portfolio | Q1 2020 |
Comments
- Sales growth of nearly 50% reflects portfolio effect from Versum and positive FX, overcompensating organic decline
- Display Solutions: LC's negative underlying trajectory with high comps, not yet significantly impacted by COVID-19; OLED impacted
- Surface Solutions decline driven by impact of COVID-19 on the Automotive and Cosmetics industries
- M&S reflects consolidation of Versum acquisition and diligent underlying cost management in framework of Bright Future transformation
- Semiconductor Solutions showing strong growth, both organically as well • R&D staying flat due to Bright Future related provisions in Q1 2019,
as for Versum portfolio; recovery started already in Q1 | while Q1 2020 includes Versum consolidation | |
• Increase in EBITDA pre largely reflects consolidation effect from Versum | ||
20 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 | Totals may not add up due to rounding |
Balance sheet
Assets [€ bn] | Liabilities [€ bn] | |||||||
43.8 | 44.7 | 44.7 | 43.8 | |||||
1.5 | ||||||||
Cash & cash equivalents | 0.8 | |||||||
3.5 | 3.7 | |||||||
Receivables | ||||||||
3.3 | 3.4 | |||||||
Inventories | 18.6 | 17.9 | Net equity | |||||
Intangible Assets | 26.3 | 26.5 | |||||
13.9 | 13.2 | Financial debt | |||||
Property, plant | 2.4 | 2.6 | Payables/refund liabilities | ||||
6.2 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 3.3 | Provisions for employee benefits | |||
& equipment | 6.7 | 6.8 | Other liabilities | ||||
Other assets | 3.6 | 3.5 | |||||
Dec. 31, 2019 | Mar. 31, 2020 | Mar. 31, 2020 | Dec. 31, 2019 |
- Balance sheet reflects consolidation of Versum since Dec. 31 2019
- Higher cash (+€750 m) is driven by securing liquidity given the COVID-19 pandemic
- Increase in equity mainly driven by profit after tax and FX translations (equity ratio of 41.6%)
- Financial debt increase reflects new bonds (€1.5 bn) and utilization of available credit lines partially offset by due bonds repayment (€2.0 bn)
21 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 | Totals may not add up due to rounding |
Cash flow statement
Q1 2020 - cash flow statement
[€m] | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | |
Profit after tax | 190 | 458 | 268 |
D&A | 474 | 431 | -42 |
Changes in provisions | 100 | 16 | -84 |
Changes in other assets/liabilities | -89 | -23 | 66 |
Other operating activities | -4 | -10 | -6 |
Changes in working capital | -178 | -356 | -178 |
Operating cash flow | 493 | 516 | 24 |
Investing cash flow | -329 | -288 | 41 |
thereof Capex on PPE | -209 | -341 | -132 |
Financing cash flow | -3 | 542 | 545 |
22 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Cash flow drivers
- Profit after tax driven by higher EBIT and Allergopharma disposal* gain, neutralized in other operating activities
- D&A lower mainly from expired Rebif ® amortization, compensated by Versum
- Changes in provisions reflect last year's build up for transformation programs
- Increased working capital driven by trade accounts receivables in Life Science partially impacted by COVID-19
- Higher financing cash flow reflecting new bond issuance (€1.5 bn) and utilization of available credit lines, partially offset by repayment of due bonds (€2.0 bn)
- closed March 31st
Totals may not add up due to rounding
GUIDANCE
Our assumptions regarding the development of COVID-19 have changed significantly post pandemic classification by WHO and subsequent events
Previous Assumptions (disclosed in March) | Current assumptions (disclosed in May) |
- Impact mainly in China
- Outbreak peaks in Q1
- Situation eases in Q2
- Situation normal in H2
• Impactacross all regions
• Cases expected to peak in Q2
• Situation eases in H2
• Pandemic crisis lasts for FY
+
• Stressed health systems
- Some countries have a less
effective response than China
• However, no major resurgences
24 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Group
COVID-19 Update: new assumptions on financial impact of COVID-19
GROUP
HEALTHCARE
LIFE SCIENCE
PERFORMANCE
MATERIALS
- Mid single-digit percentage Sales impact
- Global impact across many businesses
- Strong Q2 impact, also from Q1 pull-in
- Lasting until at least Q3
- Highest anticipated impact in absolute terms
- Biggest impact anticipated in Fertility due to discretionary nature of treatment
- Lowest anticipated impact in absolute terms
- Process Solutions largely unaffected, main impact in Applied and Research Solutions
- Semiconductor expected to show strong growth despite COVID-19
- COVID-19additionally weighs on Display decline
- High impact on Surface's end markets
We assume a top-line impact of
around mid single digit and thereof 50% to 60% hitting EBITDA pre
25 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Group
Key earnings drivers to remember for 2020
EBITDA1-SUPPORTING FACTORS | EBITDA1-REDUCING FACTORS |
- Increasing sales contribution from Mavenclad® and Bavencio®
- Stringent M&S and R&D cost management in HC (decrease YoY absolute and as % of sales)
- Ongoing strength in Life Science with above-market sales growth
- Recovery of Semiconductor Solutions and cost savings from Bright Future program related initiatives
- High level of cost consciousness and prioritization
- Four quarters of Versum
- No more support from Pfizer deferred income (€191 m in 2019)
- Lower income from pipeline management
- Continued decline of Liquid Crystals and Rebif®
- COVID-19related sales and earnings effect
1EBITDA pre
26 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Group
Full-year 2020 guidance
Net sales:
Slight to moderate organic sales growth, Versum growth contribution in the mid-single digits %
FX between +1% to -2% YoY
~€16.8 - 17.8 bn
EBITDA pre:
Organically about stable, mid-single digit % growth from Versum
FX headwinds of 0% to -3% YoY ~€4,350 - 4,850 m1
EPS pre: ~€5.50 - 6.35
1CO guidance 2020: Slightly higher than last year
27 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Group
2020 business sector guidance1
Net sales | ||
Healthcare | | Organically about stable |
| COVID-19 significantly impacting | |
fertility performance | ||
| Sustained performance of new | |
products |
EBITDA pre
- Slight organic decline due to COVID-19
- Slight to moderate adverse FX impact
Life Science
Net sales | EBITDA pre |
- Strong organic growth
- Process Solutions strength offsets weakness in academic and applied end markets
- Strong organic growth
- Neutral to moderate adverse FX impact
Performance
Materials
Net sales | EBITDA pre |
1Divisional guidances are only support to the group guidance and do not have to add up
- Moderate to strong organic decline
- COVID-19weighing on Display and Surface, while Semiconductor Solutions growing strongly
- Display declining, driven by LC
- Low to mid-thirties % contribution from Versum
- Low- to mid-teens % organic decline
- Moderate support from FX
- Low to mid-thirties % contribution from Versum
28 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
APPENDIX
Additional financial guidance 2020
Further financial details
Corporate & Other EBITDA pre | slightly higher than last year |
Interest result | ~ -245 to -275 m |
Effective tax rate | ~24 % to 26% |
Capex on PPE | ~1.1 bn to 1.2 bn |
Hedging/USD assumption | FY 2020 hedge ratio ~50% |
at EUR/USD ~1.18 | |
2020 Ø EUR/USD assumption | ~1.08 to 1.12 |
31 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Maturity profile reflects Sigma-Aldrich and Versum financing transactions
Maturity profile as of March 31, 2020
Coupon
3.250% | ||||||||||||||||||
[€ m/US $] | 0.125% | |||||||||||||||||
2.950% | ||||||||||||||||||
1.375% | ||||||||||||||||||
1 600 | ||||||||||||||||||
2.625% | 1.625% | 2.875% | ||||||||||||||||
1 000 | 3.375% | |||||||||||||||||
0.500% | 0.875% | |||||||||||||||||
500 | ||||||||||||||||||
1 000 | 0.005% | 0.375% | 1000 | |||||||||||||||
750 | 750 | 800 | ||||||||||||||||
550 | 600 | 500 | 600 | |||||||||||||||
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 | 2031 | |||||||
EUR bonds | USD bonds | Hybrids (first call dates) | ||||||||||||||||
Balanced maturity profile in upcoming years avoids refinancing risks;
Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany will become a more frequent issuer
32 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 | Totals may not add up due to rounding |
Healthcare organic growth by franchise/product
Q1 2020 organic sales growth [%] by key franchise/products [€ m]
295 | |||||||||||||
299 | |||||||||||||
234 | |||||||||||||
180 | |||||||||||||
211 | |||||||||||||
199 | |||||||||||||
167 | |||||||||||||
168 | |||||||||||||
150 | |||||||||||||
117 | |||||||||||||
123 | |||||||||||||
43 | |||||||||||||
114 | |||||||||||||
91 | |||||||||||||
33 | |||||||||||||
22 | Q1 2020 | Q1 2019 | |||||||||||
Organic
-3%
+32%
+7%
-1%
+29%
+184%
+28%
+50%
33 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Neurology & Immunology: Paused Mavenclad® ramp up amid Covid-19 uncertainties offset by slower than anticipated organic Rebif® decline
Sales development NDI, [€m]
500 | org. | org. | org. | org. | org. |
-7.2% | -5.1% | 2.3% | 17.2% | 20.3% | |
450
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Rebif | Mavenclad | |
Rebif® net sales, [€m]
350 | 299 | 331 | 318 | 326 | 295 | ||||||||
300 | |||||||||||||
250 | |||||||||||||
200 | |||||||||||||
150 | |||||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||||
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Mavenclad® net sales, [€m]
160 | 127 | 123 | |
140 | |||
120 | 89 | ||
100 | |||
- 61
- 43
0 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
- Rebif ® sales of €295 m in Q1 '20 reflect lower organic decline of - 3.4%, further mitigated by FX effect of +2%
- Slower than anticipated U.S. decline from inventory effect while ex-U.S. remains stable
- Q-o-Qdecline more pronounced against exceptionally strong Q4 '19 from rebate provision releases
Mavenclad® nearly tripling vs. Q1 '19 but flattish vs. Q4 '19 amid COVID-19 uncertainties in Europe and U.S.
34 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Oncology: High double-digit growth in Bavencio®, while Erbitux is impacted by interruption of treatment protocols with infusions due to COVID-19
Sales development Oncology, [€m]
org. | org. | org. | org. | org. | |
300 | 2.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 16.9% | 14.3% |
250
200
150
Erbitux® net sales, [€m] | | Absolute sales of €211 m reflect | |||||||||||||
6.1% growth in Q1 | |||||||||||||||
300 | 222 | 237 | (org. 7.1%; FX -1.0%) | ||||||||||||
250 | 199 | 212 | 211 | ||||||||||||
200 | |||||||||||||||
| Erbitux: COVID-19 related | ||||||||||||||
150 | |||||||||||||||
slowdown in APAC (org. +0.6%) | |||||||||||||||
100 | |||||||||||||||
offset by double-digit growth in | |||||||||||||||
50 | |||||||||||||||
Europe due to tender phasing | |||||||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||||||
Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 | |||||||||||
100
50
0
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Others Erbitux Bavencio
Bavencio® net sales, [€m]
35 | 29 | 33 | |||||||||||
29 | |||||||||||||
30 | 22 | 23 | |||||||||||
25 | |||||||||||||
20 | |||||||||||||
15 | |||||||||||||
10 | |||||||||||||
5 | |||||||||||||
0 | |||||||||||||
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Recent Bavencio® approvals for RCC in U.S., Europe and Japan fuel 50,3% growth in Q1 (org. 49.8%; FX -0.5%)
35 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Fertility: As anticipated, strongest COVID-19 impact among all franchises particularly pronounced in China, Central and Western Europe
Sales development Fertility, [€m]
350 | org. | org. | org. | org. | org. |
7.9% | 3.5% | 9.0% | 3.3% | -3.5% |
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Other Fertility products | Gonal-f | |
Gonal-f® net sales, [€m]
250 | 191 | 206 | |||
200 | 178 | ||||
168 | 167 | ||||
150 | |||||
100 | |||||
50 | |||||
0 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
Other Fertility net sales, [€m]
150 | 119 | 123 | 128 | 135 | 111 | |
100 | ||||||
50 | ||||||
0 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2019 Q1 2020
- Entire Fertility portfolio shows a moderate organic decline of - 3.5% primarily due to COVID-19
- COVID-19triggering nearly 50% sales decline in China, offset partially by strong growth in North America
- Milder decline in Gonal-f® (org. -1.2%; FX 0.4%) explained by different quarterly phasing in North America
36 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
General Medicine and Endocrinology: Strong growth further accelerated by stocking effects more than offsetting negative COVID-19 impact in China
Sales evolution
[€m] | Endocrinology | | Organic | |||||||||||||||||||||||
150 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
83 | 90 | 91 | 99 | 95 | +16.0% org. | |||||||||||||||||||||
100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
50 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
[€m] | General Medicine* | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
601 | 588 | 593 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
600,0 | 489 | 583 | Organic | |||||||||||||||||||||||
400,0 | +21.7% org. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
200,0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
0,0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 2019 | Q2 2019 | Q3 2019 | Q4 2019 | Q1 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Q1 2020 organic drivers
- Endocrinology reflects strong demand for Saizen® particularly in APAC and Latin America partially explained through competitor stockout
- Continuously strong demand for Glucophage® further accelerated in APAC (org. +39%), Latin America (org. +33%), and Europe (org. +18%) due to COVID-19 related trends
37 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
Clinical Pipeline | April 30, 2020 |
Phase I
berzosertib (M6620) | bintrafusp alfa | |
ATR inhibitor | TGFbeta trap/anti-PD-L1 | |
Solid tumors | Solid tumors | |
peposertib (M3814) | M9241 (NHS-IL12) | |
DNA-PK inhibitor | Cancer immunotherapy | |
Solid tumors1 | Solid tumors1 | |
M1774 | ||
ATR inhibitor | M5049 | |
Solid tumors | TLR7/8 antagonist | |
M3258 | Immunology | |
LMP7 inhibitor | M6495 | |
Multiple myeloma | anti-ADAMTS-5 nanobody | |
M4344 | Osteoarthritis | |
ATR inhibitor | ||
Solid tumors | M5717 | |
M8891 | ||
PeEF2 inhibitor | ||
MetAP2 inhibitor | Malaria |
Solid tumors
Phase II
peposertib (M3814) DNA-PK inhibitor
Rectal cancer
tepotinib
MET kinase inhibitor
Non-small cell lung cancer
abituzumab
pan-αν integrin inhibiting mAb
Colorectal cancer 1L
avelumab anti-PD-L1 mAb
Merkel cell cancer 1L
avelumab anti-PD-L1 mAb
Solid tumors2
avelumab anti-PD-L1 mAb
Non-small cell lung cancer2
avelumab anti-PD-L1 mAb
Urothelial cancer2
bintrafusp alfa
TGFbeta trap/anti-PD-L1
Non-small cell lung cancer 1L
bintrafusp alfa
TGFbeta trap/anti-PD-L1
Non-small cell lung cancer 1L/2L
bintrafusp alfa
TGFbeta trap/anti-PD-L1
Locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer
bintrafusp alfa
TGFbeta trap/anti-PD-L1
Biliary tract cancer 1L
bintrafusp alfa
TGFbeta trap/anti-PD-L1
Biliary tract cancer 2L
bintrafusp alfa
TGFbeta trap/anti-PD-L1
Cervical cancer 2L
atacicept anti-BlyS/APRIL fusion protein
Systemic lupus erythematosus
Phase III
avelumab anti-PD-L1 mAb
Non-small cell lung cancer 1L
evobrutinib BTK inhibitor
Multiple sclerosis
Registration
tepotinib
MET kinase inhibitor
Non-small cell lung cancer, METex14 skipping4
avelumab anti-PD-L1 mAb
Urothelial cancer 1L-M5
1L, first-line treatment; 1L-M,first-line maintenance treatment; 2L, second-line treatment.
1 Includes studies in combination with avelumab. 2 Avelumab combination studies with talazoparib, axitinib, ALK inhibitors, cetuximab, or chemotherapy. 3 As announced on March 30 2017, in an agreement with Avillion, anti-IL-17 A/F nanobody will be developed by Avillion for plaque psoriasis and commercialized by Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany. 4 As announced on March 25 2020, tepotinib was approved in Japan for the treatment of patients with non-small cell lung cancer harboring METex14 skipping. 5 As announced on April 09 2020, a supplemental Biologics License Application (sBLA) has been submitted to the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for avelumab for first-line maintenance treatment of patients with locally advanced or metastatic urothelial carcinoma.
Pipeline products are under clinical investigation and have not been proven to be safe and effective. There is no guarantee any product will be approved in the sought-after indication.
38 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
atacicept anti-BlyS/APRIL fusion protein
IgA nephropathy
sprifermin
fibroblast growth factor 18
Osteoarthritis
M1095 (ALX-0761)3 anti-IL-17 A/F nanobody
Psoriasis
Oncology
Immuno-Oncology
Immunology
Neurology
Global Health
Adjustments in Q1 2020
Adjustments in EBIT
[€m] | Q1 2019 | Q1 2020 | ||
Adjustments | thereof D&A | Adjustments | thereof D&A | |
Healthcare | 3 | 0 | -27 | 2 |
Life Science | 9 | 0 | 11 | 0 |
Performance Materials | 35 | 0 | 35 | 0 |
Corporate & Other | 28 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
Total | 76 | 0 | 36 | 2 |
39 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 | Totals may not add up due to rounding |
Financial calendar
Date | Event |
May 14, 2020 | Q1 2020 Earnings release |
May 28, 2020 | Virtual Annual General Meeting |
August 6, 2020 | Q2 2020 Earnings release |
November 12, 2020 | Q3 2020 Earnings release |
40 | Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany Q1 20 Results Presentation | May 14th, 2020 |
CONSTANTIN FEST
Head of Investor Relations
+49 6151 72-5271 constantin.fest@emdgroup.com
AMELIE SCHRADER
Institutional Investors / Analysts
+49 6151 72-22076 amelie.schrader@emdgroup.com
SVENJA BUNDSCHUH
Assistant Investor Relations
+49 6151 72-3744 svenja.bundschuh@emdgroup.com
EVA STERZEL
ESG / Institutional & Retail Investors / AGM
+49 6151 72-5355 eva.sterzel@emdgroup.com
ALESSANDRA HEINZ
Assistant Investor Relations
+49 6151 72-3321 alessandra.heinz@emdgroup.com
GUNNAR ROMER
Institutional Investors /
Analysts
+49 6151 72-2584 gunnar.romer@emdgroup.com
EMAIL:investor.relations@emdgroup.com
WEB:www.emdgroup.com/investors
FAX: +49 6151 72-913321
Attachments
- Original document
- Permalink
Disclaimer
Merck KGaA published this content on 14 May 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 14 May 2020 05:09:06 UTC