Q1 Results 2020
Conference Call with Investors & Analysts
30 April 2020 - Investor Relations
Q1 2020 Review
- Sharp decline in traffic beginning in February and intensifying in March
- IATA forecasts passenger traffic to decline by 48% in 2020
- Measurements implemented to minimize infection risks for employees and to reduce cash consumption
- Temporary suspension of operations at sites in Germany and Poland
- Short-timework arrangements for German locations after initial suspension
- Overhaul shops in China, Vancouver and Dallas in operation
- MTU Maintenance Canada becomes F138 engine depot for the United States Air Force
- AGM postponed and dividend proposal suspended
- Guidance for financial year 2020 withdrawn
- Measures to secure additional liquidity under negotiation
- Impact of reduced demand not seen in Q1 2020 results
- Crisis will begin to negatively influence demand and results beginning in Q2
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 2 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Financial Highlights Q1 2020
Revenues | |
(in m€) | |
1.273 | |
1.131 +13% | |
3M 2019 | 3M 2020 |
EBIT adjusted
(in m€) | ||
188 | 182 | |
(16.6%) | -3% | |
(14.3%) | ||
3M 2019 | 3M 2020 |
Net income adj.
(in m€)
134 | -4% | 128 |
3M 2019 | 3M 2020 |
Free Cash Flow
(in m€)
141 | |
-51% | |
69 | |
3M 2019 | 3M 2020 |
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
3
OEM Segment
(in m €) | 3M 2019 | 3M 2020 | Change | ||
Revenues | 491 | 497 | 1% | ||
Military Business | 105 | 98 | -7% | ||
Commercial Business | 386 | 399 | 4% | ||
EBIT adj. | 131 | 116 | -11% | ||
EBIT adj. margin % | 26.6% | 23.4% | |||
- US$ Commercial business growth: ~ 1%
- Military revenues down by 7%
- EBIT margin down due to change in business mix (Military Business vs. Commercial Business)
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 4 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Commercial MRO
(in m €) | 3M 2019 | 3M 2020 | Change | ||
Revenues | 655 | 795 | 21% | ||
EBIT adj. | 57 | 66 | 16% | ||
EBIT adj. margin % | 8.7% | 8.3% |
- US$ Organic Revenue growth ~ 19%
- EBIT margin slightly down
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 5 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
MTU expects an commercial aviation market recovery to 2019-level in 2022
Market recovery & risks and opportunities
Market recovery - basic assumptions for passenger traffic
- MTU follows basically the IATA assumptions regarding the Covid19 impact on commercial aviation in 2020 as published in week 16/2020
- Nearly standstill of global commercial flights in Q2/2020
- Recovery of domestic flights starting in Q3/2020
- Recovery of international flights starting in Q4/2020
- Air traffic demand back on 2019 levels in 2022. Domestic air travel will recover earlier than international travel due to border restrictions
Risks for further market recovery delay
- No effective medicine and/or vaccine available well into 2021
- New increase of Covid19 infection rates in Winter 2020/21
- Extended global recession, lasting longer than 2021
- Resurge of trade wars and international conflicts after immediate Covid19 crisis
Opportunities for earlier market recovery
- Effective medicine or vaccine available 2ndhalf of 2020
- Positive impulse on global trade due to constructive political environment
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 6 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
MTU business segments 2020 market expectation
Scenarios modelled lead to a yet volatile outlook for 2020
- Military business to remain largely unaffected
- Civil aerospace business with significant reduction in demand in both OE and AM
- Standard Commercial MRO to see reduced demand at least through Q2 and Q3
- High air freight demand leads to robust operation at specialized operators
- Availability of capacities allows more PW1100 warranty work
- Cost and cash saving measures identified and initiated
- Market environment still highly volatile
- Implementation of measures secures financial health
Still too early to provide forward looking guidance at the current time
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 7 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 8 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix
Group Order Book almost stable
19.8 bn€ | -2% | 19.4 bn€ |
Order book 2019/12/31 | Order book 2020/03/31 | |
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 9 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix
US$ Exchange Rate / Hedge Portfolio
Hedge book as of April 30, 2020 (% of net exposure)
in m$
1,330
(=75%)
1,060
(=57%)
740
(=38%)
440
(=23%)
40
(=2%)
2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | |
Average hedge | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 1.13 |
rate (€/US$) | |||||
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 10 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix
Profit & Loss
3M 2019 | 3M 2020 | Change | ||||||
Revenues | 1,131 | 1,273 | 13% | |||||
Total cost of sales | -893 | -1,035 | ||||||
Gross profit | 238 | 238 | 0% | |||||
Gross profit margin % | 21.1% | 18.7% | ||||||
R&D according to IFRS | -17 | -15 | ||||||
SG&A | -53 | -59 | ||||||
Other operating income (expense) | -9 | -4 | ||||||
P&L of companies accounted at equity and equity investments | 15 | 9 | ||||||
EBIT reported | 175 | 169 | -3% | |||||
EBIT adjusted | 188 | 182 | -3% | |||||
EBIT adjusted margin % | 16.6% | 14.3% | ||||||
Financial result | -1 | -6 | ||||||
Profit before tax (EBT) | 173 | 163 | -6% | |||||
Taxes (IFRS) | -47 | -51 | ||||||
Net Income reported | 127 | 112 | -12% | |||||
Net Income adj. | 134 | 128 | ||||||
EPS reported* | 2.42 | 2.10 | ||||||
EPS adj. | 2.59 | 2.42 | ||||||
* without non-controlling interests | ||||||||
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 11 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix
Reconciliation to adjusted Key Performance Indicators
3M 2019 | 3M 2020 | Change | |||
EBIT reported | 175 | 169 | -3% | ||
Adjustment (PPA Depreciation & Amortization) | 5 | 5 | |||
Adjustment (IAE Upshare) | 8 | 8 | |||
EBIT adjusted | 188 | 182 | -3% | ||
thereof P&L of companies accounted "at equity" | 14 | 9 | |||
Interest result | -1 | -3 | |||
Interest for pension provisions | -4 | -2 | |||
EBT adj. w/o P&L "at equity" | 169 | 167 | -1% | ||
Tax rate normalized | -29% | -29% | |||
Taxes | -49 | -49 | |||
Net Income adj. | 134 | 128 | -4% | ||
EPS adj. | 2.59 | 2.42 | -6% |
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 12 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix
Segment Revenues and EBIT adj.
3M 2019 | 3M 2020 | Change | |||
Revenues Group | 1,131 | 1,273 | 13% | ||
OEM Commercial | 386 | 399 | 4% | ||
OEM Military | 105 | 98 | -7% | ||
MRO | 655 | 795 | 21% | ||
Consolidation | -15 | -19 | |||
EBIT adjusted Group | 188 | 182 | -3% | ||
OEM (Commercial / Military) | 131 | 116 | -11% | ||
MRO | 57 | 66 | 16% | ||
Consolidation | 0 | 0 | |||
EBIT adjusted margin Group | 16.6% | 14.3% | |||
OEM (Commercial / Military) | 26.6% | 23.4% | |||
MRO | 8.7% | 8.3% |
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 13 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix
Research & Development
3M 2019 | 3M 2020 | Change | |||
Total R&D | 58 | 60 | 3% | ||
Customer funded R&D | -6 | -10 | -65% | ||
Company expensed R&D | 52 | 50 | -5% | ||
Capitalization of R&D | -27 | -24 | |||
Amortisation | 5 | 5 | |||
Total R&D impact P&L (on EBIT) | 30 | 31 | 3% | ||
thereof booked into sales and COGS | 13 | 16 | |||
thereof booked into R&D according to IFRS (P&L) | 17 | 15 |
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 14 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix
Financial Result
3M 2019 | 3M 2020 | Change | |||
Interest income | 3 | 1 | -68% | ||
Interest expense | -4 | -4 | 0% | ||
Interest result | -1 | -3 | -121% | ||
Financial result on other items | 0 | -3 | |||
US$ / non cash valuations / others | 4 | -1 | |||
Interest for pension provisions | -4 | -2 | |||
Financial result | -1 | -6 | <-300% |
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 15 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix
MTU's Cash development January - March 2020
16
Free Cashflow: | +69 |
-80 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
149 | 0 | -0 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||
-50 | 3 | 0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
156 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
140 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Adjusted Non-operating | ||||||||||||||||||||||
exceptional items: | -0 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Cash and | CF from | CF from | Payments for | Sales | Acquisition | CF from | Translation | Adjustments | Cash and | |||||||||||||
cash | operating | investing | liquidity | Financing | payments for | financing | differences | cash | ||||||||||||||
equivalents | activities | activities | management | program | activities | equivalents | ||||||||||||||||
Jan 1st | shares | Mar 31st | ||||||||||||||||||||
2020 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 16 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix | |||||||
Cash Flow | |||||||
(in m €) | 3M 2019 | 3M 2020 | Change | ||||
Net Income IFRS | 127 | 112 | -12% | ||||
Depreciation and amortization | 60 | 66 | |||||
Change in provisions and liabilities | 79 | 76 | |||||
Change in working capital | -83 | -115 | |||||
Taxes | 20 | 12 | |||||
Interest, derivatives, others | 0 | -1 | |||||
Cash Flow from operating activities | 202 | 149 | -26% | ||||
Net Investment in intangible assets | -18 | -15 | |||||
Net Investment in R&D payments and entry fees | -1 | -10 | |||||
Net Capital expenditure on property, plant and equipment | -37 | -38 | |||||
Net Investments in financial assets | 5 | -17 | |||||
Cash Flow from investing activities | -50 | -80 | -60% | ||||
Adjustments | -10 | 0 | |||||
Free Cash Flow | 141 | 69 | -51% | ||||
Cash Flow from financing activities | -46 | -50 | -9% | ||||
Cash and cash equivalents at 31.03. | 208 | 156 |
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 17 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix | |||||||||
Net debt | |||||||||
(in m €) | 31.12.2019 | 31.03.2020 | Change | ||||||
Bonds and notes | 100 | 101 | |||||||
Convertible bonds | 562 | 563 | |||||||
Financial liabilities to bank | 40 | 30 | |||||||
thereof Revolving Credit Facility | 0 | 0 | |||||||
thereof Note Purchase Agreement | 30 | 30 | |||||||
Financial lease liabilities | 147 | 176 | |||||||
Loans from related companies and third parties | 0 | 1 | |||||||
Financial liabilities arising from program participation | 300 | 279 | |||||||
thereof arising from IAE V2500 Upshare | 271 | 266 | |||||||
Gross financial debt | 1,150 | 1,150 | 0% | ||||||
Cash and cash equivalents | 140 | 156 | |||||||
Loans to third parties | 50 | 51 | |||||||
Loans to related companies | 0 | 0 | |||||||
Financial assets | 189 | 206 | 9% | ||||||
Net financial debt | 961 | 943 | -2% |
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 18 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix | ||||||||
Working capital | ||||||||
(in m €) | 31.12.2019 | 31.03.2020 | Change | |||||
Inventories | 1,279 | 1,359 | ||||||
Prepayments | -396 | -414 | ||||||
Receivables | 2,083 | 2,216 | ||||||
Payables | -1,456 | -1,536 | ||||||
Working Capital | 1,510 | 1,625 | 8% |
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 19 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix | |||||||||
Balance Sheet | |||||||||
(in m €) | 31.12.2019 | 31.03.2020 | Change | ||||||
Intangible assets | 1,163 | 1,170 | |||||||
Property, plant, equipment | 1,101 | 1,122 | |||||||
other non-current assets | 1,892 | 1,891 | |||||||
Total non-current assets | 4,155 | 4,183 | 1% | ||||||
Current assets | 3,610 | 3,841 | 6% | ||||||
Total assets | 7,765 | 8,024 | 3% | ||||||
Equity | 2,421 | 2,438 | 1% | ||||||
Non-current liabilities | 2,130 | 2,197 | 3% | ||||||
Current liabilities | 3,214 | 3,389 | 5% | ||||||
Total equity and liabilities | 7,765 | 8,024 | 3% | ||||||
thereof pension provisions | 976 | 977 |
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 20 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Appendix
PPA Depreciation / Amortization
3M 2019 | 3M 2020 | Change | ||||
OEM | 43 | 46 | ||||
MRO | 17 | 20 | ||||
Total depreciation / amortization* | 60 | 66 | 10% | |||
PPA OEM | 5 | 5 | ||||
PPA MRO | 1 | 1 | ||||
IAE Upshare OEM | 8 | 8 | ||||
PPA depreciation / amortization & IAE Upshare amortization (EBIT adjustme | 13 | 13 | -1% | |||
OEM | 31 | 34 | ||||
MRO | 16 | 19 | ||||
Depreciation / amortization w/o PPA and w/o IAE Upshare | 47 | 53 | 12% | |||
* incl. amortization of intangible assets, capitalized program assets and purchased development
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 21 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements
Certain of the statements contained herein may be statements of future expectations and other forward-looking statements that are based on management's current views and assumptions and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. In addition to statements that are forward-looking by reason of context, the words "may," "will," "should," "expect," "plan," "intend," "anticipate," "forecast," "believe," "estimate," "predict," "potential," or "continue" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements.
Actual results, performance or events may differ materially from those in such statements due to, without limitation, (i) competition from other companies in MTU's industry and MTU's ability to retain or increase its market share, (ii) MTU's reliance on certain customers for its sales, (iii) risks related to MTU's participation in consortia and risk and revenue sharing agreements for new aero engine programs, (iv) the impact of non-compete provisions included in certain of MTU's contracts,
- the impact of a decline in German or other European defense budgets or changes in funding priorities for military aircraft, (vi) risks associated with government funding, (vii) the impact of significant disruptions in MTU's supply from key vendors, (viii) the continued success of MTU's research and development initiatives, (ix) currency exchange rate fluctuations, (x) changes in tax legislation, (xi) the impact of any product liability claims, (xii) MTU's ability to comply with regulations affecting its business and its ability to respond to changes in the regulatory environment, (xiii) the cyclicality of the airline industry and the current financial difficulties of commercial airlines, (xiv) our substantial leverage and (xv) general local and global economic conditions. Many of these factors may be more likely to occur, or more pronounced, as a result of terrorist activities and their consequences.
The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement.
Any securities referred to herein have not been and will not be registered under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), and may not be offered or sold without registration thereunder or pursuant to an available exemption therefrom. Any public offering of securities of MTU Aero Engines to be made in the United States would have to be made by means of a prospectus that would be obtainable from MTU Aero Engines and would contain detailed information about the issuer of the securities and its management, as well as financial statements.
Neither this document nor the information contained herein constitutes an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any securities.
These materials do not constitute an offer of securities for sale in the United States; the securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration or an exemption from registration.
No money, securities or other consideration is being solicited, and, if sent in response to the information contained herein, will not be accepted.
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 22 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
Proprietary Notice
This document contains proprietary information of the MTU Aero Engines AG group companies. The document and its contents shall not be copied or disclosed to any third party or used for any purpose other than that for which it is provided, without the prior written agreement of MTU Aero Engines AG.
30 April 2020 | Q1 2020 Results - Investor Relations | 23 |
© MTU Aero Engines AG. The information contained herein is proprietary to the MTU Aero Engines group companies.
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MTU Aero Engines AG published this content on 30 April 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 19 May 2020 08:02:02 UTC