Projected Income Statement: Napco Security Technologies, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Napco Security Technologies, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 9/13/21 8/29/22 8/29/23 8/26/24 8/25/25 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Napco Security Technologies, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1.007 1.482 2.962 1.594 2.116 2.1 2.75
Change - 47.17% 99.87% -46.19% 32.75% -0.76% 30.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 21.98 6.85 21.74 43.77 51.41 49.1 50.45
Change - -68.84% 217.34% 101.37% 17.45% -4.5% 2.75%
Announcement Date 9/13/21 8/29/22 8/29/23 8/26/24 8/25/25 - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Napco Security Technologies, Inc.

Fiscal Period: June 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

         
EBITDA Margin (%) - 17.07% 15.76% 20.17% 31.21% 28.7% 30.17% 30.5% -
EBIT Margin (%) - 15.96% 14.8% 17.84% 28.5% 25.47% 28.4% 28.74% -
EBT Margin (%) - 15.2% 15.21% 18.37% 29.86% 27.57% 30.01% 30.01% -
Net margin (%) - 13.07% 13.65% 15.96% 26.38% 23.9% 25.44% 25.45% -
FCF margin (%) - 19.27% 4.77% 12.79% 23.18% 28.31% 24.28% 22.68% -
FCF / Net Income (%) - 147.51% 34.95% 80.13% 87.87% 118.44% 95.43% 89.11% -

Profitability

         
ROA 8.26% 9.46% 8.95% 11.85% 18.53% 14.44% - - -
ROE 11.43% 17.41% 19.01% 21.36% 31.23% 24.98% - - -

Financial Health

         
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

         
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - 0.88% 1.03% 1.74% 0.84% 1.17% 1.04% 1.24% -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - 5.17% 6.55% 8.64% 2.7% 4.06% 3.44% 4.05% -
CAPEX / FCF (%) - 4.58% 21.64% 13.63% 3.64% 4.12% 4.28% 5.45% -

Items per share

         
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 1.22 1.466 1 1 -
Change - - - - - 20.2% -31.81% 0% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 - 2.54 3.086 3.812 4.826 - - - -
Change - - 21.5% 23.51% 26.6% - - - -
EPS 1 - 0.405 0.53 0.73 1.34 1.19 1.428 1.57 -
Change - - 30.86% 37.74% 83.56% -11.19% 20.03% 9.92% -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) - 36,702 36,734 36,768 36,873 35,656 35,664 35,664 -
Announcement Date - 9/13/21 8/29/22 8/29/23 8/26/24 8/25/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 29.8x 27.1x
PBR - -
EV / Sales 7.51x 6.83x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
42.59USD
Average target price
49.67USD
Spread / Average Target
+16.62%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NSSC Stock
  4. Financials Napco Security Technologies, Inc.