NAPCO SECURITY TECHNOLOGIES, INC. |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 43.86 USD | +1.11% |
|
+9.60% | +28.06% |
| Apr. 26 | DA Davidson Starts NAPCO Security Technologies With Buy Rating, $52 Price Target | MT |
| Apr. 11 | Napco Security Technologies: A small security champion |  |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 548.3 | 429.1 | 667.4 | 756.3 | 1,274 | 1,615 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 548.3 | 429.1 | 667.4 | 756.3 | 1,274 | 1,615 | 1,615 | 1,615 |
| P/E ratio | 45 x | 50.8 x | 44.9 x | 38.8 x | 47.5 x | 34 x | 29.6 x | 20.6 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 5.33 x | 4.23 x | 5.85 x | 5.27 x | 7.49 x | 8.47 x | 7.39 x | 5.88 x |
| EV / Revenue | 5.33 x | 4.23 x | 5.85 x | 5.27 x | 7.49 x | 8.47 x | 7.39 x | 5.88 x |
| EV / EBITDA | 36.5 x | 29.1 x | 34.3 x | 33.4 x | 37.1 x | 28.1 x | 23.1 x | 15.1 x |
| EV / FCF | - | - | 30.4 x | 110 x | 58.6 x | 36 x | 34.4 x | - |
| FCF Yield | - | - | 3.29% | 0.91% | 1.71% | 2.78% | 2.91% | - |
| Price to Book | - | - | 7.16 x | 6.67 x | 9.09 x | 8.87 x | 6.82 x | - |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 36,950 | 36,692 | 36,702 | 36,734 | 36,768 | 36,820 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 14.84 | 11.70 | 18.18 | 20.59 | 34.65 | 43.86 | 43.86 | 43.86 |
| Announcement Date | 9/3/19 | 9/8/20 | 9/13/21 | 8/29/22 | 8/29/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 102.9 | 101.4 | 114 | 143.6 | 170 | 190.7 | 218.4 | 274.5 |
| EBITDA 1 | 15.04 | 14.74 | 19.47 | 22.63 | 34.3 | 57.51 | 69.87 | 107.1 |
| EBIT 1 | 13.94 | 13.51 | 18.2 | 21.25 | 30.32 | 52.9 | 62.08 | 93.67 |
| Operating Margin | 13.54% | 13.33% | 15.96% | 14.8% | 17.84% | 27.74% | 28.42% | 34.13% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 13.44 | 10.8 | 17.33 | 21.85 | 31.23 | 55.54 | 65.04 | 96.59 |
| Net income 1 | 12.22 | 8.52 | 14.9 | 19.6 | 27.13 | 46.84 | 55.13 | 79.2 |
| Net margin | 11.87% | 8.41% | 13.07% | 13.65% | 15.96% | 24.56% | 25.24% | 28.86% |
| EPS 2 | 0.3300 | 0.2300 | 0.4050 | 0.5300 | 0.7300 | 1.290 | 1.482 | 2.130 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | - | 21.98 | 6.85 | 21.74 | 44.84 | 46.93 | - |
| FCF margin | - | - | 19.27% | 4.77% | 12.79% | 23.51% | 21.49% | - |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | 112.91% | 30.27% | 63.39% | 77.96% | 67.16% | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | 147.51% | 34.95% | 80.13% | 95.73% | 85.13% | - |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 9/3/19 | 9/8/20 | 9/13/21 | 8/29/22 | 8/29/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: June | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 | 2025 Q2 | 2025 Q3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 31.05 | 33.41 | 35.9 | 43.23 | 39.49 | 42.31 | 43.53 | 44.66 | 41.68 | 47.55 | 48.57 | 50.79 | 47.4 | 52.34 | 54.5 |
| EBITDA 1 | 8.61 | 2.971 | 5.219 | 9.255 | 8.318 | 10.3 | 12.74 | 13.04 | 12.86 | 15.1 | 14.47 | 15.21 | 14.52 | 16.42 | 17.07 |
| EBIT 1 | 4.179 | 1.27 | 4.88 | 8.902 | 7.249 | 9.436 | 11.93 | 11.81 | 11.56 | 13.8 | 13.41 | 14.13 | 13.22 | 15.42 | 15.96 |
| Operating Margin | 13.46% | 3.8% | 13.59% | 20.59% | 18.36% | 22.3% | 27.41% | 26.44% | 27.73% | 29.03% | 27.6% | 27.83% | 27.88% | 29.46% | 29.28% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 8.1 | 1.328 | 3.93 | 8.013 | 7.146 | 9.623 | 12.37 | 12.19 | 12 | 14.53 | 14.14 | 14.87 | 14.16 | 16.05 | 16.7 |
| Net income 1 | 7.752 | 1.037 | 2.879 | 7.537 | 6.402 | 8.446 | 10.84 | 10.56 | 10.48 | 12.61 | 12.05 | 12.68 | 12 | 13.61 | 14.15 |
| Net margin | 24.97% | 3.1% | 8.02% | 17.44% | 16.21% | 19.96% | 24.9% | 23.66% | 25.14% | 26.52% | 24.82% | 24.97% | 25.32% | 26% | 25.96% |
| EPS 2 | 0.2100 | 0.0300 | 0.0800 | 0.2000 | 0.1700 | 0.2300 | 0.2900 | 0.2800 | 0.2800 | 0.3400 | 0.3250 | 0.3450 | 0.3250 | 0.3650 | 0.3800 |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 11/8/21 | 2/7/22 | 5/9/22 | 8/29/22 | 11/7/22 | 2/6/23 | 5/8/23 | 8/29/23 | 11/6/23 | 2/5/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: June | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Net Cash position | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | - | 22 | 6.85 | 21.7 | 44.8 | 46.9 | - |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Assets 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | - | - | 2.540 | 3.090 | 3.810 | 4.940 | 6.430 | - |
| Cash Flow per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capex 1 | - | - | 1.01 | 1.48 | 2.96 | 1.02 | 3 | - |
| Capex / Sales | - | - | 0.88% | 1.03% | 1.74% | 0.54% | 1.37% | - |
| Announcement Date | 9/3/19 | 9/8/20 | 9/13/21 | 8/29/22 | 8/29/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
D
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
43.86
USD
Average target price
44.6
USD
Spread / Average Target
+1.69%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| +28.06% | 1.61B | |
| -5.33% | 42.32B | |
| -2.24% | 10.83B | |
| -5.91% | 7.84B | |
| -5.72% | 5.79B | |
| +5.63% | 2.9B | |
| +6.61% | 2.22B | |
| +7.69% | 1.71B | |
| +5.71% | 1.53B | |
| +2.83% | 1.52B |
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