Projected Income Statement: Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Net Debt 1 15,268 13,054 12,831 12,070 12,090 13,037 14,337 14,391
Change - -14.5% -1.71% -5.93% 0.17% 7.83% 9.97% 0.38%
Announcement Date 2/2/20 2/4/21 2/4/22 2/14/23 2/27/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
CAPEX 1 1,849 1,474 1,423 1,833 2,060 2,673 3,217 2,598
Change - -20.28% -3.46% 28.81% 12.38% 29.74% 20.37% -19.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,958 1,958 2,113 1,914 2,536 980 391 1,037
Change - 0% 7.92% -9.42% 32.5% -61.36% -60.1% 165.22%
Announcement Date 2/2/20 2/4/21 2/4/22 2/14/23 2/27/24 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.26% 22.48% 15.94% 14.59% 24.21% 20.29% 21.56% 23.1%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.73% 13.55% 11.01% 9.08% 15.34% 13.26% 13.67% 14.25%
EBT Margin (%) 9.86% -0.23% 8.12% 7.5% 13.45% 11.02% 11.24% 10.96%
Net margin (%) 6.08% -2.26% 5.48% 4.85% 8.78% 7.14% 7.16% 7.24%
FCF margin (%) 8.5% 12.76% 9.54% 5.64% 11.21% 3.85% 1.67% 4.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) 139.76% -564.27% 174.01% 116.07% 127.69% 53.94% 23.36% 65.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.5% 2.16% 3.16% 4.19% 5.07% 4.48% 4.04% 3.75%
ROE 13.32% 9.39% 17.69% 24.5% 23.33% 18.22% 16% 14.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.27x 3.78x 3.64x 2.44x 2.21x 2.53x 2.84x 2.85x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.8x 6.67x 6.07x 6.31x 4.77x 13.3x 36.67x 13.88x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.03% 9.61% 6.43% 5.4% 9.11% 10.51% 13.75% 11.87%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.61% 42.74% 40.32% 37% 37.63% 51.8% 63.79% 51.39%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 94.43% 75.28% 67.35% 95.77% 81.23% 272.72% 822.76% 250.55%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.113 3.566 1.039 4.425 5.055 3.44 3.25 3.15
Change - -13.31% -70.86% 325.85% 14.25% -31.95% -5.52% -3.08%
Dividend per Share 1 1.37 1.12 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.399 1.4
Change - -18.25% 7.14% 0% 25% -6.67% -0.06% 0.06%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.87 8.354 6.074 7.808 9.833 9.96 10.4 11.12
Change - -23.17% -27.3% 28.55% 25.94% 1.28% 4.46% 6.87%
EPS 1 1.43 -0.36 1.26 1.72 2.07 1.873 1.697 1.615
Change - -125.17% -450% 36.51% 20.35% -9.5% -9.42% -4.85%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 973,310 960,938 960,938 960,918 960,881 960,734 960,734 960,734
Announcement Date 2/2/20 2/4/21 2/4/22 2/14/23 2/27/24 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2024 *2025 *
P/E ratio 12.2x 13.5x
PBR 2.3x 2.2x
EV / Sales 1.38x 1.55x
Yield 6.12% 6.12%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
A-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
22.86EUR
Average target price
24.14EUR
Spread / Average Target
+5.59%
Consensus
  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. NTGY Stock
  4. Financials Naturgy Energy Group, S.A.
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