Projected Income Statement: Nikon Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nikon Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -218,903 -240,215 -77,317 -39,939 29,980 61,921 91,721 98,080
Change - -9.74% 67.81% 48.34% 175.06% 106.54% 37.25% 6.93%
Announcement Date 5/13/21 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/9/24 5/8/25 5/8/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nikon Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 31,697 45,857 135,547 78,265 84,153 66,156 65,000 57,600
Change - 44.67% 195.59% -42.26% 7.52% -21.39% 12.8% -11.38%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -26,731 30,966 -112,131 -47,498 -3,905 -17,042 -30,702 -4,420
Change - 215.84% -462.11% 57.64% 91.78% -336.41% -558.24% 85.6%
Announcement Date 5/13/21 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/9/24 5/8/25 5/8/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nikon Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -6.25% 13.86% 13.37% 10.52% 6.52% -10.24% 7.15% 9%
EBIT Margin (%) -12.46% 9.25% 8.74% 5.55% 0.34% -16.61% 1.2% 3.32%
EBT Margin (%) -10.05% 10.58% 9.08% 5.95% 0.63% -15.73% 1.7% 3.77%
Net margin (%) -7.65% 7.91% 7.16% 4.54% 0.86% -12.71% 1.3% 2.91%
FCF margin (%) -5.92% 5.74% -17.85% -6.62% -0.55% -2.52% -4.28% -0.59%
FCF / Net Income (%) 77.49% 72.56% -249.49% -145.83% -63.78% 19.8% -330.47% -20.24%

Profitability

        
ROA -4.54% 5.63% 5.46% 3.88% 0.54% -7.88% 0.81% 1.73%
ROE -6.4% 7.5% 7.4% 5% 0.9% -14.1% 2.14% 3.37%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - 0.64x -0.89x 1.79x 1.45x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - -7.68x -3.63x -2.99x -22.19x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.02% 8.5% 21.58% 10.91% 11.76% 9.77% 9.07% 7.66%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -112.34% 61.31% 161.43% 103.74% 180.54% -95.38% 126.79% 85.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -118.58% 148.09% -120.88% -164.78% -2,155.01% -388.19% -211.71% -1,303.17%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -17.62 183.9 206.6 197 146.8 -130.6 173.3 154.7
Change - 1,143.81% 12.32% -4.64% -25.5% -189.02% 208.73% -10.76%
Dividend per Share 1 20 40 45 50 50 40 20 33.78
Change - 100% 12.5% 11.11% 0% -20% -53.85% 68.89%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,464 1,627 1,776 1,974 1,940 1,781 1,743 1,815
Change - 11.15% 9.16% 11.1% -1.7% -8.19% -3.43% 4.12%
EPS 1 -93.96 116.2 125.5 94.03 17.86 -261.6 27.71 65.37
Change - 223.7% 7.94% -25.05% -81.01% -1,564.56% 123.02% 135.88%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 367,150 367,221 346,976 346,446 328,779 329,409 329,409 329,409
Announcement Date 5/13/21 5/12/22 5/11/23 5/9/24 5/8/25 5/8/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E ratio -7.22x 65.9x
PBR 1.06x 1.05x
EV / Sales 1.01x 0.97x
Yield 2.12% 1.1%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
1,825.00JPY
Average target price
1,639.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
-10.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
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  4. Financials Nikon Corporation
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