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| 4.710 USD | +1.51% |
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4.780 | +1.49% |
| Jan. 15 | Macquarie Upgrades NIO to Outperform From Neutral, Price Target is $6.10 | MT |
| Jan. 15 | Chinese Sales of New Cars Rise 9% in 2025, Association Says | MT |
Projected Income Statement: NIO Inc.
Annual
Quarterly
Halfyear
Annual
Quarterly
Halfyear
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 16,258 | 36,136 | 49,269 | 55,618 | 65,732 | 86,896 | 126,822 | 146,433 |
| Change | - | 122.27% | 36.34% | 12.89% | 18.18% | 32.2% | 45.95% | 15.46% |
| EBITDA 1 | -3,561 | -2,788 | -10,492 | -16,908 | -14,070 | -10,036 | 687.2 | 5,132 |
| Change | - | 21.7% | -276.3% | -61.15% | 16.79% | 28.67% | 106.85% | 646.76% |
| EBIT 1 | -4,608 | -4,496 | -15,641 | -20,286 | -19,946 | -15,790 | -7,121 | -3,298 |
| Change | - | 2.42% | -247.86% | -29.7% | 1.68% | 20.84% | 54.9% | 53.69% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -426 | -637.4 | -333.2 | -403.5 | -798.4 | -934.2 | -787.1 | -727.2 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -5,298 | -3,975 | -14,382 | -20,459 | -22,425 | -16,185 | -6,802 | -2,497 |
| Change | - | 24.97% | -261.84% | -42.25% | -9.61% | 27.82% | 57.98% | 63.29% |
| Net income 1 | -5,611 | -10,572 | -14,559 | -21,147 | -22,658 | -16,247 | -6,869 | -3,026 |
| Change | - | -88.43% | -37.71% | -45.25% | -7.14% | 28.29% | 57.72% | 55.95% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/21 | 3/24/22 | 3/1/23 | 3/5/24 | 3/21/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: NIO Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -34,507 | -37,422 | -22,896 | -26,881 | -2,159 | 3,245 | 4,392 | 6,299 |
| Change | - | -8.45% | 38.82% | -17.4% | 91.97% | 250.33% | 35.35% | 43.42% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/21 | 3/24/22 | 3/1/23 | 3/5/24 | 3/21/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: NIO Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,128 | 4,079 | 6,973 | 14,341 | 9,142 | 7,364 | 6,654 | 6,576 |
| Change | - | 261.69% | 70.96% | 105.67% | -36.25% | -19.45% | -9.64% | -1.18% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 823.2 | -2,112 | -10,839 | -15,722 | -16,991 | -23,872 | -4,023 | 2,633 |
| Change | - | -356.6% | -413.11% | -45.06% | -8.07% | -40.49% | 83.15% | 165.44% |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/21 | 3/24/22 | 3/1/23 | 3/5/24 | 3/21/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: NIO Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | -21.9% | -7.72% | -21.3% | -30.4% | -21.41% | -11.55% | 0.54% | 3.5% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | -28.34% | -12.44% | -31.75% | -36.47% | -30.34% | -18.17% | -5.62% | -2.25% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -32.59% | -11% | -29.19% | -36.78% | -34.12% | -18.63% | -5.36% | -1.71% |
| Net margin (%) | -34.51% | -29.26% | -29.55% | -38.02% | -34.47% | -18.7% | -5.42% | -2.07% |
| FCF margin (%) | 5.06% | -5.85% | -22% | -28.27% | -25.85% | -27.47% | -3.17% | 1.8% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -14.67% | 19.98% | 74.45% | 74.35% | 74.99% | 146.93% | 58.56% | -87.01% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | -16.21% | -15.38% | -16.25% | -17.29% | -18.12% | -15.09% | -7.09% | -1.94% |
| ROE | -53.77% | -34.17% | -49.71% | -74.77% | -129.35% | -209.57% | -99.91% | -33.18% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | -0.32x | 6.39x | 1.23x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | -0.14x | -1.09x | 2.39x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 6.94% | 11.29% | 14.15% | 25.78% | 13.91% | 8.47% | 5.25% | 4.49% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | -31.67% | -146.28% | -66.46% | -84.82% | -64.98% | -73.38% | 968.37% | 128.15% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 136.99% | -193.09% | -64.33% | -91.21% | -53.81% | -30.85% | -165.42% | 249.78% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.65 | 1.25 | -2.362 | -0.8126 | -3.82 | -2.1 | 5.522 | -0.4162 |
| Change | - | -24.21% | -288.88% | 65.59% | -370.14% | 45.03% | 362.97% | -107.54% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 17.31 | 21.12 | 14.58 | 15.03 | 2.904 | -3.89 | -5.108 | -4.24 |
| Change | - | 21.96% | -30.96% | 3.05% | -80.67% | -233.96% | -31.31% | 17.01% |
| EPS 1 | -4.74 | -6.72 | -8.89 | -12.44 | -11.03 | -7.477 | -3.502 | -1.747 |
| Change | - | -41.77% | -32.29% | -39.93% | 11.33% | 32.21% | 53.16% | 50.12% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,562,643 | 1,590,573 | 1,652,453 | 2,079,974 | 2,076,918 | 2,528,452 | 2,528,452 | 2,528,452 |
| Announcement Date | 3/1/21 | 3/24/22 | 3/1/23 | 3/5/24 | 3/21/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY
Estimates
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | -4.39x | -9.37x |
| PBR | -8.44x | -6.42x |
| EV / Sales | 0.99x | 0.69x |
| Yield | - | - |
More valuation ratios
* Estimated data
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Sell
Buy

Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
32.82CNY
Average target price
47.27CNY
Spread / Average Target
+44.04%
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- NIO Stock
- Financials NIO Inc.
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