NMI Holdings, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2021 Financial Results - Form 8-K
November 02, 2021 at 04:26 pm EDT
Share
NMI Holdings, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2021 Financial Results
EMERYVILLE, Calif., Nov. 2, 2021 -- NMI Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: NMIH) today reported net income of $60.2 million, or $0.69 per diluted share, for the third quarter ended September 30, 2021, which compares to $57.5 million, or $0.65 per diluted share, in the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 and $38.2 million, or $0.45 per diluted share, in the third quarter ended September 30, 2020. Adjusted net income for the quarter was $61.8 million, or $0.71 per diluted share, which compares to $58.1 million, or $0.67 per diluted share, in the second quarter ended June 30, 2021 and $40.4 million, or $0.47 per diluted share, in the third quarter ended September 30, 2020. The non-GAAP financial measures adjusted net income, adjusted diluted earnings per share and adjusted return on equity are presented in this release to enhance the comparability of financial results between periods. See "Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures" and our reconciliation of such measures to their most comparable GAAP measures, below.
Claudia Merkle, CEO of National MI, said, "We delivered strong operating performance, significant growth in our high-quality insured portfolio and record financial results in the third quarter.Our credit performance continued to trend in a favorable direction, and we remain optimistic about the broad strength of the economy and resiliency of the housing market. We are an organization that is leading with impact, and believe we are well positioned to continue to support borrowers in need of down payment assistance, drive disciplined growth in our insurance in-force and deliver strong risk-adjusted returns going forward."
Selected third quarter 2021 highlights include:
•Primary insurance-in-force at quarter end was $143.6 billion, up 5% from $136.6 billion in the second quarter and 37% compared to $104.5 billion in the third quarter of 2020
•Net premiums earned were $113.6 million, up 2% compared to $110.9 million in the second quarter and 15% compared to $98.8 million in the third quarter of 2020
•Underwriting and operating expenses were $34.7 million, including $1.3 million of costs incurred in connection with our CEO transition and $0.5 million of capital market transaction costs, compared to $34.7 million in the second quarter and $34.0 million in the third quarter of 2020
•Insurance claims and claim expenses were $3.2 million, compared to $4.6 million in the second quarter and $15.7 million in the third quarter of 2020
•Shareholders' equity was $1.5 billion at quarter end, equal to $17.68 per share, up 4% compared to $17.03 per share in the second quarter and 15% compared to $15.42 per share in the third quarter of 2020
•Annualized return on equity for the quarter was 16.2% and annualized adjusted return on equity was 16.6%
•At quarter-end, total PMIERs available assets were $2.0 billion and net risk-based required assets were $1.4 billion
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Quarter Ended
Quarter Ended
Quarter Ended
Change (1)
Change (1)
9/30/2021
6/30/2021
9/30/2020
Q/Q
Y/Y
INSURANCE METRICS ($billions)
Primary Insurance-in-Force
143.6
136.6
104.5
5
%
37
%
New Insurance Written - NIW
Monthly premium
16.9
19.4
16.5
(13)
%
2
%
Single premium
1.2
3.3
2.0
(63)
%
(38)
%
Total (2)
18.1
22.8
18.5
(21)
%
(2)
%
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS (Unaudited, $millions, except per share amounts)
Net Premiums Earned
113.6
110.9
98.8
2
%
15
%
Insurance Claims and Claim Expenses
3.2
4.6
15.7
(31)
%
(80)
%
Underwriting and Operating Expenses
34.7
34.7
34.0
-
%
2
%
Net Income
60.2
57.5
38.2
5
%
58
%
Adjusted Net Income
61.8
58.1
40.4
6
%
53
%
Cash and Investments
2,152
2,062
1,884
4
%
14
%
Shareholders' Equity
1,516
1,460
1,308
4
%
16
%
Book Value per Share
17.68
17.03
15.42
4
%
15
%
Loss Ratio
2.8
%
4.2
%
15.9
%
Expense Ratio
30.5
%
31.3
%
34.4
%
(1) Percentages may not be replicated based on the rounded figures presented in the table.
(2) Total may not foot due to rounding.
Conference Call and Webcast Details
The company will hold a conference call, which will be webcast live today, November 2, 2021, at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time / 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time. The webcast will be available on the company's website, www.nationalmi.com, in the "Investor Relations" section. The conference call can also be accessed by dialing (888) 734-0328 in the U.S., or (914) 495-8578 internationally, and using Conference ID: 1091419 or by referencing NMI Holdings, Inc.
About NMI Holdings, Inc.
NMI Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: NMIH), is the parent company of National Mortgage Insurance Corporation (National MI), a U.S.-based, private mortgage insurance company enabling low down payment borrowers to realize home ownership while protecting lenders and investors against losses related to a borrower's default. To learn more, please visit www.nationalmi.com.
Certain statements contained in this press release or any other written or oral statements made by or on behalf of the Company in connection therewith may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the "Securities Act"), Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 (the "PSLRA"). The PSLRA provides a "safe harbor" for any forward-looking statements. All statements other than statements of historical fact included in or incorporated by reference in this release are forward-looking statements, including any statements about our expectations, outlook, beliefs, plans, predictions, forecasts, objectives, assumptions or future events or performance. These statements are often, but not always, made through the use of words or phrases such as "anticipate," "believe," "can," "could," "may," "predict," "assume," "potential," "should," "will," "estimate," "plan," "project," "continuing," "ongoing," "expect," "intend" and similar words or phrases. All forward-looking statements are only predictions and involve estimates, known and unknown risks, assumptions and uncertainties that may turn out to be inaccurate and could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in them. Many risks and uncertainties are inherent in our industry and markets. Others are more specific to our business and operations. Important factors that could cause actual events or results to differ materially from those indicated in such statements include, but are not limited to: uncertainty relating to the COVID-19 pandemic and the measures taken by governmental authorities and
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other third parties to combat it, including their impact on the global economy, the U.S. housing, real estate, housing finance and mortgage insurance markets, and the Company's business, operations and personnel; changes in the business practices of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (collectively, the "GSEs"), including decisions that have the impact of decreasing or discontinuing the use of mortgage insurance as credit enhancement generally, or with first time homebuyers or on very high loan-to-value mortgages; our ability to remain an eligible mortgage insurer under the private mortgage insurer eligibility requirements ("PMIERs") and other requirements imposed by the GSEs, which they may change at any time; retention of our existing certificates of authority in each state and the District of Columbia ("D.C.") and our ability to remain a mortgage insurer in good standing in each state and D.C.; our future profitability, liquidity and capital resources; actions of existing competitors, including other private mortgage insurers and government mortgage insurers, such as the Federal Housing Administration, U.S. Department of Agriculture's Rural Housing Service and the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs, and potential market entry by new competitors or consolidation of existing competitors; developments in the world's financial and capital markets and our access to such markets, including reinsurance; adoption of new or changes to existing laws, rules and regulations that impact our business or financial condition directly or the mortgage insurance industry generally or their enforcement and implementation by regulators, including theimplementation of the final rules defining and/or concerning "Qualified Mortgage" and "Qualified Residential Mortgage"; U.S. federal tax reform and other potential changes in tax law and their impact on us and our operations; legislative or regulatory changes to the GSEs' role in the secondary mortgage market or other changes that could affect the residential mortgage industry generally or mortgage insurance industry in particular; potential future lawsuits, investigations or inquiries or resolution of current lawsuits or inquiries; changes in general economic, market and political conditions and policies, interest rates, inflation and investment results or other conditions that affect the housing market or the markets for home mortgages or mortgage insurance; our ability to successfully execute and implement our capital plans, including our ability to access the capital, credit and reinsurance markets and to enter into, and receive approval of, reinsurance arrangements on terms and conditions that are acceptable to us, the GSEs and our regulators; our ability to implement our business strategy, including our ability to write mortgage insurance on high quality low-down payment residential mortgage loans, implement successfully and on a timely basis, complex infrastructure, systems, procedures, and internal controls to support our business and regulatory and reporting requirements of the insurance industry; our ability to attract and retain a diverse customer base, including the largest mortgage originators; failure of risk management or pricing or investment strategies; decrease in the length of time our insurance policies are in force; emergence of unexpected claim and coverage issues, including claims exceeding our reserves or amounts we had expected to experience; potential adverse impacts arising from natural disasters, including, with respect to affected areas, a decline in new business, adverse effects on home prices, and an increase in notices of default on insured mortgages; the inability of our counterparties, including third party reinsurers, to meet their obligations to us; failure to maintain, improve and continue to develop necessary information technology systems or the failure of technology providers to perform; and, our ability to recruit, train and retain key personnel. These risks and uncertainties also include, but are not limited to, those set forth under the heading "Risk Factors" detailed in Item 1A of Part I of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020, as subsequently updated through other reports we file with the SEC. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to the Company or persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by these cautionary statements. We caution you not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statement, which speaks only as of the date on which it is made, and we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement to reflect new information, future events or circumstances that occur after the date on which the statement is made or to reflect the occurrence of unanticipated events except as required by law.
Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures
We believe the use of the non-GAAP measures of adjusted income before tax, adjusted net income, adjusted diluted EPS, adjusted return-on-equity, adjusted expense ratio and adjusted combined ratio enhances the comparability of our fundamental financial performance between periods, and provides relevant information to investors. These non-GAAP financial measures align with the way the company's business performance is evaluated by management. These measures are not prepared in accordance with GAAP and should not be viewed as alternatives to GAAP measures of performance. These measures have been presented to increase transparency and enhance the comparability of our fundamental operating trends across periods. Other companies may calculate these measures differently; their measures may not be comparable to those we calculate and present.
Adjusted income before tax is defined as GAAP income before tax, excluding the pre-tax effects of the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio, and other infrequent, unusual or non-operating items in the periods in which such items are incurred.
Adjusted net income is defined as GAAP net income, excluding the after-tax effects of the gain or loss related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability, periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, net realized gains or losses from our investment portfolio, and other infrequent, unusual or non-operating items in the periods in which such items
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are incurred. Adjustments to components of pre-tax income are tax effected using the applicable federal statutory tax rate for the respective periods.
Adjusted diluted EPS is defined as adjusted net income divided by adjusted weighted average diluted shares outstanding. Adjusted weighted average diluted shares outstanding is defined as weighted average diluted shares outstanding, adjusted for changes in the dilutive effect of non-vested shares that would otherwise have occurred had GAAP net income been calculated in accordance with adjusted net income. There will be no adjustment to weighted average diluted shares outstanding in the periods that non-vested shares are anti-dilutive under GAAP.
Adjusted return on equity is calculated by dividing adjusted net income on an annualized basis by the average shareholders' equity for the period.
Adjusted expense ratio is defined as GAAP underwriting and operating expenses, excluding the pre-tax effects of periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions, divided by net premiums earned.
Adjusted combined ratio is defined as the total of GAAP underwriting and operating expenses, excluding the pre-tax effects of periodic costs incurred in connection with capital markets transactions and insurance claims and claims expenses, divided by net premiums earned.
Although adjusted income before tax, adjusted net income, adjusted diluted EPS, adjusted return-on-equity, adjusted expense ratio and adjusted combined ratio exclude certain items that have occurred in the past and are expected to occur in the future, the excluded items: (1) are not viewed as part of the operating performance of our primary activities; or (2) are impacted by market, economic or regulatory factors and are not necessarily indicative of operating trends, or both. These adjustments, and the reasons for their treatment, are described below.
(1) Change in fair value of warrant liability. Outstanding warrants at the end of each reporting period are revalued, and any change in fair value is reported in the statement of operations in the period in which the change occurred. The change in fair value of our warrant liability can vary significantly across periods and is influenced principally by equity market and general economic factors that do not impact or reflect our current period operating results. We believe trends in our operating performance can be more clearly identified by excluding fluctuations related to the change in fair value of our warrant liability.
(2) Capital markets transaction costs. Capital markets transaction costs result from activities that are undertaken to improve our debt profile or enhance our capital position through activities such as debt refinancing and capital markets reinsurance transactions that may vary in their size and timing due to factors such as market opportunities, tax and capital profile, and overall market cycles.
(3) Net realized investment gains and losses. The recognition of the net realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the timing is highly discretionary and is influenced by factors such as market opportunities, tax and capital profile, and overall market cycles that do not reflect our current period operating results.
(4) Other infrequent, unusual or non-operating items. Items that are the result of unforeseen or uncommon events, and are not expected to recur with frequency in the future. Identification and exclusion of these items provides clarity about the impact special or rare occurrences may have on our current financial performance. Infrequent, unusual or non-operating adjustments for the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, include severance, restricted stock modification and other expenses incurred in connection with the CEO transition we announced on September 9, 2021. Past adjustments under this category include the effects of the release of the valuation allowance recorded against our net federal and certain state net deferred tax assets in 2016 and the re-measurement of our net deferred tax assets in connection with tax reform in 2017. We believe such items are infrequent or non-recurring in nature, and are not indicative of the performance of, or ongoing trends in, our primary operating activities or business.
Investor Contact
John M. Swenson
Vice President, Investor Relations and Treasury
john.swenson@nationalmi.com
(510) 788-8417
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Consolidated statements of operations and comprehensive income (unaudited)
For the three months ended September 30,
For the nine months ended September 30,
2021
2020
2021
2020
Revenues
(In Thousands, except for per share data)
Net premiums earned
$
113,594
$
98,802
$
330,361
$
296,463
Net investment income
9,831
8,337
28,027
23,511
Net realized investment gains (losses)
3
(4)
15
635
Other revenues
613
648
1,597
2,771
Total revenues
124,041
107,783
360,000
323,380
Expenses
Insurance claims and claim expenses
3,204
15,667
12,806
55,698
Underwriting and operating expenses
34,669
33,969
103,460
96,616
Service expenses
787
557
1,859
2,381
Interest expense
7,930
7,796
23,767
16,481
(Gain) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability
-
437
(454)
(4,286)
Total expenses
46,590
58,426
141,438
166,890
Income before income taxes
77,451
49,357
218,562
156,490
Income tax expense
17,258
11,178
47,956
33,192
Net income
$
60,193
$
38,179
$
170,606
$
123,298
Earnings per share
Basic
$
0.70
$
0.45
$
1.99
$
1.63
Diluted
$
0.69
$
0.45
$
1.96
$
1.55
Weighted average common shares outstanding
Basic
85,721
84,805
85,563
75,695
Diluted
86,880
85,599
86,794
76,867
Loss ratio (1)
2.8%
15.9%
3.9%
18.8%
Expense ratio (2)
30.5%
34.4%
31.3%
32.6%
Combined ratio (3)
33.3%
50.2%
35.2%
51.4%
Net income
$
60,193
$
38,179
$
170,606
$
123,298
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax:
Unrealized (losses) gains in accumulated other comprehensive gain (loss), net of tax (benefit) expense of $(2,165) and $2,494 for the three months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, and $(9,168) and $7,655 for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively
(8,144)
9,381
(34,487)
28,799
Reclassification adjustment for realized (gains) losses included in net income, net of tax expense (benefit) of $1 and ($1) for the three months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, and $3 and ($258) for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and 2020, respectively
(2)
3
(12)
972
Other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax
(8,146)
9,384
(34,499)
29,771
Comprehensive income
$
52,047
$
47,563
$
136,107
$
153,069
(1) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing insurance claims and claim expenses by net premiums earned.
(2) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing other underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Combined ratio may not foot due to rounding
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Consolidated balance sheets (unaudited)
September 30, 2021
December 31, 2020
Assets
(In Thousands, except for share data)
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale, at fair value (amortized cost of $2,024,639 and $1,730,835 as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively)
$
2,054,419
$
1,804,286
Cash and cash equivalents (including restricted cash of $3,572 and $5,555 as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively)
97,260
126,937
Premiums receivable
58,499
49,779
Accrued investment income
12,114
9,862
Prepaid expenses
4,409
3,292
Deferred policy acquisition costs, net
61,362
62,225
Software and equipment, net
32,066
29,665
Intangible assets and goodwill
3,634
3,634
Prepaid reinsurance premiums
2,969
6,190
Reinsurance recoverable
20,420
17,608
Other assets
51,162
53,188
Total assets
$
2,398,314
$
2,166,666
Liabilities
Debt
$
394,282
$
393,301
Unearned premiums
139,624
118,817
Accounts payable and accrued expenses
78,657
61,716
Reserve for insurance claims and claim expenses
104,604
90,567
Reinsurance funds withheld
6,280
8,653
Warrant liability, at fair value
3,010
4,409
Deferred tax liability, net
151,364
112,586
Other liabilities
4,267
7,026
Total liabilities
882,088
797,075
Shareholders' equity
Common stock - class A shares, $0.01 par value; 85,743,638 and 85,163,039 shares issued and outstanding as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively (250,000,000 shares authorized)
857
852
Additional paid-in capital
948,395
937,872
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax
(Gain) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability
-
(658)
437
(454)
(4,286)
Total expenses
46,590
47,110
58,426
141,438
166,890
Income before income taxes
77,451
73,655
49,357
218,562
156,490
Income tax expense
17,258
16,133
11,178
47,956
33,192
Net income
$
60,193
$
57,522
$
38,179
$
170,606
$
123,298
Adjustments:
Net realized investment (gains) losses
(3)
(12)
4
(15)
(635)
(Gain) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability
-
(658)
437
(454)
(4,286)
Capital markets transaction costs
481
1,615
2,254
2,474
5,518
Other infrequent, unusual or non-operating items (6)
1,289
-
-
1,289
-
Adjusted income before taxes
79,218
74,600
52,052
221,856
157,087
Income tax expense on adjustments (7)
139
337
474
555
1,025
Adjusted net income
$
61,821
$
58,130
$
40,400
$
173,345
$
122,870
Weighted average diluted shares outstanding
86,880
86,819
85,599
86,794
76,867
Diluted EPS (1)
$
0.69
$
0.65
$
0.45
$
1.96
$
1.55
Adjusted diluted EPS
$
0.71
$
0.67
$
0.47
$
2.00
$
1.60
Return-on-equity
16.2
%
16.2
%
11.9
%
15.8
%
14.7
%
Adjusted return-on-equity
16.6
%
16.4
%
12.6
%
16.0
%
14.6
%
Expense ratio (2)
30.5
%
31.3
%
34.4
%
31.3
%
32.6
%
Adjusted expense ratio (3)
29.0
%
29.9
%
32.1
%
30.2
%
31.6
%
Combined ratio (4)
33.3
%
35.5
%
50.2
%
35.2
%
51.4
%
Adjusted combined ratio (5)
31.8
%
34.0
%
48.0
%
34.1
%
50.4
%
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(1) Diluted net income for the quarter ended September 30, 2020, excludes the impact of the warrant fair value change as it was anti-dilutive. For all other periods presented, diluted net income equals reported net income as the impact of the warrant fair value change was dilutive.
(2) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Adjusted expense ratio is calculated by dividing adjusted underwriting and operating expense (underwriting and operating expenses excluding costs related to capital markets reinsurance transactions and infrequent or unusual non-operating items) by net premiums earned.
(4) Combined ratio is calculated by dividing the total of underwriting and operating expenses and insurance claims and claims expense by net premiums earned.
(5) Adjusted combined ratio is calculated by dividing the total of adjusted underwriting and operating expenses (underwriting and operating expenses excluding costs related to capital market reinsurance transaction and infrequent or unusual non-operating items) and insurance claims and claims expense by net premiums earned.
(6) Represents severance, restricted stock modification and other expenses incurred in connection with the CEO transition announced on September 9, 2021.
(7) Marginal tax impact of non-GAAP adjustments is calculated based on our statutory U.S. federal corporate income tax rate of 21%, except for those items that are not eligible for an income tax deduction. Such non-deductible items include gains or losses from the change in the fair value of our warrant liability and certain costs incurred in connection with the CEO transition, which are limited under Section 162(m) of the Internal Revenue Code.
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Historical Quarterly Data
2021
2020
September 30
June 30
March 31
December 31
September 30
June 30
Revenues
(In Thousands, except for per share data)
Net premiums earned
$
113,594
$
110,888
$
105,879
$
100,709
$
98,802
$
98,944
Net investment income
9,831
9,382
8,814
8,386
8,337
7,070
Net realized investment gains (losses)
3
12
-
295
(4)
711
Other revenues
613
483
501
513
648
1,223
Total revenues
124,041
120,765
115,194
109,903
107,783
107,948
Expenses
Insurance claims and claim expenses
3,204
4,640
4,962
3,549
15,667
34,334
Underwriting and operating expenses
34,669
34,725
34,065
34,994
33,969
30,370
Service expenses
787
481
591
459
557
1,090
Interest expense
7,930
7,922
7,915
7,906
7,796
5,941
(Gain ) loss from change in fair value of warrant liability
-
(658)
205
1,379
437
1,236
Total expenses
46,590
47,110
47,738
48,287
58,426
72,971
Income before income taxes
77,451
73,655
67,456
61,616
49,357
34,977
Income tax expense
17,258
16,133
14,565
13,348
11,178
8,129
Net income
$
60,193
$
57,522
$
52,891
$
48,268
$
38,179
$
26,848
Earnings per share
Basic
$
0.70
$
0.67
$
0.62
$
0.57
$
0.45
$
0.36
Diluted
$
0.69
$
0.65
$
0.61
$
0.56
$
0.45
$
0.36
Weighted average common shares outstanding
Basic
85,721
85,647
85,317
84,956
84,805
73,617
Diluted
86,880
86,819
86,487
86,250
85,599
74,174
Other data
Loss Ratio(1)
2.8
%
4.2
%
4.7
%
3.5
%
15.9
%
34.7
%
Expense Ratio(2)
30.5
%
31.3
%
32.2
%
34.7
%
34.4
%
30.7
%
Combined ratio (3)
33.3
%
35.5
%
36.9
%
38.3
%
50.2
%
65.4
%
(1) Loss ratio is calculated by dividing insurance claims and claim expenses by net premiums earned.
(2) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing underwriting and operating expenses by net premiums earned.
(3) Combined ratio may not foot due to rounding.
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Portfolio Statistics
The table below highlights trends in our primary portfolio as of the date and for the periods indicated.
Primary portfolio trends
As of and for the three months ended
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
March 31, 2021
December 31, 2020
September 30, 2020
June 30, 2020
($ Values In Millions, except as noted below)
New insurance written
$
18,084
$
22,751
$
26,397
$
19,782
$
18,499
$
13,124
New risk written
$
4,640
5,650
6,531
4,868
4,577
3,260
Insurance in force (IIF) (1)
143,618
136,598
123,777
111,252
104,494
98,905
Risk in force (1)
$
36,253
34,366
31,206
28,164
26,568
25,238
Policies in force (count) (1)
490,714
471,794
436,652
399,429
381,899
372,934
Average loan size($ value in thousands)(1)
$
293
$
290
$
283
$
279
$
274
$
265
Coverage percentage (2)
25.2
%
25.2
%
25.2
%
25.3
%
25.4
%
25.5
%
Loans in default (count) (1)
7,670
8,764
11,090
12,209
13,765
10,816
Default rate (1)
1.56
%
1.86
%
2.54
%
3.06
%
3.60
%
2.90
%
Risk in force on defaulted loans (1)
$
546
$
625
$
785
$
874
$
1,008
$
799
Net premium yield (3)
0.32
%
0.34
%
0.36
%
0.37
%
0.39
%
0.40
%
Earnings from cancellations
$
7.7
$
7.0
$
9.9
$
11.7
$
12.6
$
15.5
Annual persistency (4)
58.1
%
53.9
%
51.9
%
55.9
%
60.0
%
64.1
%
Quarterly run-off (5)
8.1
%
8.0
%
12.5
%
12.5
%
13.1
%
12.9
%
(1) Reported as of the end of the period.
(2) Calculated as end of period risk-in-force (RIF) divided by end of period IIF.
(3) Calculated as net premiums earned, divided by average primary IIF for the period, annualized.
(4) Defined as the percentage of IIF that remains on our books after a given twelve-month period.
(5) Defined as the percentage of IIF that is no longer on our books after a given three month period.
New Insurance Written (NIW), Insurance in Force (IIF) and Premiums
The tables below present primary NIW and primary and pool IIF, as of the dates and for the periods indicated.
Primary NIW
Three months ended
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
March 31, 2021
December 31, 2020
September 30, 2020
June 30, 2020
(In Millions)
Monthly
$
16,861
$
19,422
$
23,764
$
17,789
$
16,516
$
11,885
Single
1,223
3,329
2,633
1,993
1,983
1,239
Primary
$
18,084
$
22,751
$
26,397
$
19,782
$
18,499
$
13,124
Primary and pool IIF
As of
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
March 31, 2021
December 31, 2020
September 30, 2020
June 30, 2020
(In Millions)
Monthly
$
124,767
$
117,629
$
106,920
$
95,336
$
88,584
$
82,848
Single
18,851
18,969
16,857
15,916
15,910
16,057
Primary
143,618
136,598
123,777
111,252
104,494
98,905
Pool
1,339
1,460
1,642
1,855
2,115
2,340
Total
$
144,957
$
138,058
$
125,419
$
113,107
$
106,609
$
101,245
10
The following table presents the amounts related to the company's quota-share reinsurance transactions (the 2016 QSR Transaction, 2018 QSR Transaction, 2020 QSR Transaction and 2021 QSR Transaction, and collectively, the QSR Transactions), and Insurance-Linked Note transactions (the 2017 ILN Transaction, 2018 ILN Transaction, 2019 ILN Transaction, 2020-1 ILN Transaction, 2020-2 ILN Transaction and 2021 -1 ILN Transaction and collectively, the ILN Transactions) for the periods indicated.
For the three months ended
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
March 31, 2021
December 31, 2020
September 30, 2020
June 30, 2020
(In Thousands)
The QSR Transactions
Ceded risk-in-force
$
7,610,870
$
7,113,707
$
6,330,409
$
5,543,969
$
5,159,061
$
4,563,676
Ceded premiums earned
(28,366)
(27,537)
(25,747)
(24,161)
(24,517)
(23,210)
Ceded claims and claim expenses
840
1,194
1,180
601
3,200
8,669
Ceding commission earned
6,142
5,961
5,162
4,787
4,798
4,428
Profit commission
15,191
14,391
13,380
13,184
11,034
5,271
The ILN Transactions
Ceded premiums
$
(10,390)
$
(10,169)
$
(9,397)
$
(9,422)
$
(6,268)
$
(3,267)
Primary NIW by FICO
For the three months ended
For the nine months ended
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
September 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
($ In Millions)
>= 760
$
8,073
$
11,390
$
11,600
$
32,377
$
25,942
740-759
3,254
4,246
2,575
12,812
6,056
720-739
2,563
3,152
2,187
9,678
5,373
700-719
2,099
1,798
1,217
6,255
3,214
680-699
1,487
1,292
793
4,139
1,872
<=679
608
873
127
1,971
463
Total
$
18,084
$
22,751
$
18,499
$
67,232
$
42,920
Weighted average FICO
749
754
764
753
761
Primary NIW by LTV
For the three months ended
For the nine months ended
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
September 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
(In Millions)
95.01% and above
$
1,957
$
2,177
$
587
$
6,585
$
1,855
90.01% to 95.00%
8,344
9,941
7,767
29,336
18,161
85.01% to 90.00%
4,961
6,262
6,968
19,071
16,117
85.00% and below
2,822
4,371
3,177
12,240
6,787
Total
$
18,084
$
22,751
$
18,499
$
67,232
$
42,920
Weighted average LTV
91.8
%
91.3
%
90.7
%
91.3
%
90.8
%
11
Primary NIW by purchase/refinance mix
For the three months ended
For the nine months ended
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
September 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
(In Millions)
Purchase
$
16,400
$
18,911
$
12,764
$
53,220
$
28,531
Refinance
1,684
3,840
5,735
14,012
14,389
Total
$
18,084
$
22,751
$
18,499
$
67,232
$
42,920
The table below presents a summary of our primary IIF and RIF by book year as of September 30, 2021.
Primary IIF and RIF
As of September 30, 2021
IIF
RIF
(In Millions)
September 30, 2021
$
64,885
$
16,274
2020
47,196
11,848
2019
14,502
3,800
2018
5,675
1,446
2017
4,845
1,213
2016 and before
6,515
1,672
Total
$
143,618
$
36,253
The tables below present our total primary IIF and RIF by FICO and LTV and total primary RIF by loan type as of the dates indicated.
Primary IIF by FICO
As of
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
(In Millions)
>= 760
$
73,080
$
70,583
$
53,742
740-759
24,676
23,175
16,193
720-739
19,898
18,857
14,352
700-719
13,206
12,230
10,235
680-699
8,678
7,927
6,713
<=679
4,080
3,826
3,259
Total
$
143,618
$
136,598
$
104,494
Primary RIF by FICO
As of
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
(In Millions)
>= 760
$
18,200
$
17,531
$
13,563
740-759
6,280
5,873
4,141
720-739
5,086
4,798
3,694
700-719
3,432
3,161
2,635
680-699
2,243
2,047
1,730
<=679
1,012
956
805
Total
$
36,253
$
34,366
$
26,568
12
Primary IIF by LTV
As of
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
(In Millions)
95.01% and above
$
13,179
$
12,026
$
8,130
90.01% to 95.00%
63,828
60,358
47,828
85.01% to 90.00%
44,451
43,064
35,224
85.00% and below
22,160
21,150
13,312
Total
$
143,618
$
136,598
$
104,494
Primary RIF by LTV
As of
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
(In Millions)
95.01% and above
$
3,932
$
3,552
$
2,310
90.01% to 95.00%
18,810
17,774
14,056
85.01% to 90.00%
10,902
10,555
8,642
85.00% and below
2,609
2,485
1,560
Total
$
36,253
$
34,366
$
26,568
Primary RIF by Loan Type
As of
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
Fixed
99
%
99
%
99
%
Adjustable rate mortgages
Less than five years
-
-
-
Five years and longer
1
1
1
Total
100
%
100
%
100
%
13
The table below presents a summary of the change in total primary IIF during the periods indicated.
Primary IIF
For the three months ended
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
(In Millions)
IIF, beginning of period
$
136,598
$
123,777
$
98,905
NIW
18,084
22,751
18,499
Cancellations, principal repayments and other reductions
(11,064)
(9,930)
(12,910)
IIF, end of period
$
143,618
$
136,598
$
104,494
Geographic Dispersion
The following table shows the distribution by state of our primary RIF as of the periods indicated.
Top 10 primary RIF by state
As of
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
California
10.2
%
10.3
%
11.3
%
Texas
9.9
9.8
8.3
Florida
8.6
8.3
6.7
Virginia
4.9
5.0
5.4
Colorado
4.0
4.1
4.0
Maryland
3.8
3.9
3.6
Illinois
3.7
3.8
4.0
Georgia
3.7
3.5
3.0
Washington
3.5
3.6
3.5
Pennsylvania
3.2
3.2
3.5
Total
55.5
%
55.5
%
53.3
%
The table below presents selected primary portfolio statistics, by book year, as of September 30, 2021.
As of September 30, 2021
Book year
Original Insurance Written
Remaining Insurance in Force
% Remaining of Original Insurance
Policies Ever in Force
Number of Policies in Force
Number of Loans in Default
# of Claims Paid
Incurred Loss Ratio (Inception to Date) (1)
Cumulative Default Rate (2)
Current default rate (3)
($ Values in Millions)
2013
$
162
$
7
4
%
655
52
3
1
0.5
%
0.6
%
5.8
%
2014
3,451
310
9
%
14,786
1,898
68
49
4.2
%
0.8
%
3.6
%
2015
12,422
1,923
15
%
52,548
10,427
366
115
3.3
%
0.9
%
3.5
%
2016
21,187
4,275
20
%
83,626
21,244
797
128
2.9
%
1.1
%
3.8
%
2017
21,582
4,845
22
%
85,897
24,478
1,286
93
4.5
%
1.6
%
5.3
%
2018
27,295
5,675
21
%
104,043
27,844
1,723
81
8.6
%
1.7
%
6.2
%
2019
45,141
14,502
32
%
148,423
57,685
2,038
16
12.7
%
1.4
%
3.5
%
2020
62,702
47,196
75
%
186,174
147,395
1,170
1
6.7
%
0.6
%
0.8
%
2021
67,232
64,885
97
%
205,291
199,691
219
-
1.2
%
0.1
%
0.1
%
Total
$
261,174
$
143,618
881,443
490,714
7,670
484
(1) Calculated as total claims incurred (paid and reserved) divided by cumulative premiums earned, net of reinsurance.
(2) Calculated as the sum of the number of claims paid ever to date and number of loans in default divided by policies ever in force.
(3) Calculated as the number of loans in default divided by number of policies in force.
14
The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending reserve balances for primary insurance claims and claim expenses:
For the three months ended
For the nine months ended
September 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
September 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
(In Thousands)
Beginning balance
$
101,235
$
69,903
$
90,567
$
23,752
Less reinsurance recoverables (1)
(19,726)
(14,307)
(17,608)
(4,939)
Beginning balance, net of reinsurance recoverables
81,509
55,596
72,959
18,813
Add claims incurred:
Claims and claim expenses incurred:
Current year (2)
3,649
18,682
19,275
61,198
Prior years (3)
(445)
(3,015)
(6,469)
(5,500)
Total claims and claim expenses incurred
3,204
15,667
12,806
55,698
Less claims paid:
Claims and claim expenses paid:
Current year (2)
3
113
15
152
Prior years (3)
526
1,100
1,566
4,309
Total claims and claim expenses paid
529
1,213
1,581
4,461
Reserve at end of period, net of reinsurance recoverables
84,184
70,050
84,184
70,050
Add reinsurance recoverables (1)
20,420
17,180
20,420
17,180
Ending balance
$
104,604
$
87,230
$
104,604
$
87,230
(1) Related to ceded losses recoverable under the QSR Transactions.
(2) Related to insured loans with their most recent defaults occurring in the current year. For example, if a loan had defaulted in a prior year and subsequently cured and later re-defaulted in the current year, the default would be included in the current year. Amounts are presented net of reinsurance and included $14.0 million attributed to net case reserves and $4.8 million attributed to net IBNR reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and $55.4 million attributed to net case reserves and $4.8 million attributed to net IBNR reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2020.
(3) Related to insured loans with defaults occurring in prior years, which have been continuously in default before the start of the current year. Amounts are presented net of reinsurance and included $1.8 million attributed to net case reserves and $5.0 million attributed to net IBNR reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2021 and $4.0 million attributed to net case reserves and $1.3 million attributed to net IBNR reserves for the nine months ended September 30, 2020.
The following table provides a reconciliation of the beginning and ending count of loans in default for the periods indicated.
For the three months ended
For the nine months ended
September 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
September 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
Beginning default inventory
8,764
10,816
12,209
1,448
Plus: new defaults
1,624
6,588
4,486
16,870
Less: cures
(2,694)
(3,598)
(8,964)
(4,426)
Less: claims paid
(24)
(40)
(59)
(123)
Less: claims denied
-
(1)
(2)
(4)
Ending default inventory
7,670
13,765
7,670
13,765
15
The following table provides details of our claims paid, before giving effect to claims ceded under the QSR Transactions, for the periods indicated.
For the three months ended
For the nine months ended
September 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
September 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
(In Thousands)
Number of claims paid (1)
24
40
59
123
Total amount paid for claims
$
674
$
1,540
$
1,982
$
5,621
Average amount paid per claim
$
28
$
39
$
34
$
46
Severity(2)
55
%
67
%
60
%
80
%
(1) Count includes six and tenclaims settled without payment during the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, respectively, and six and eight claims settled without payment during the three and nine months ended 2020, respectively.
(2) Severity represents the total amount of claims paid including claim expenses divided by the related RIF on the loan at the time the claim is perfected, and is calculated including claims settled without payment.
The following table shows our average reserve per default, before giving effect to reserves ceded under the QSR Transactions, as of the periods indicated.
Average reserve per default:
As of September 30, 2021
As of September 30, 2020
(In Thousands)
Case (1)
$
12.6
$
5.8
IBNR (1)(2)
1.0
0.5
Total
$
13.6
$
6.3
(1) Defined as the gross reserve per insured loan in default.
(2) Amount includes claims adjustment expenses.
The following table provides a comparison of the PMIERs financial requirements as reported by NMIC as of the dates indicated.
As of
September 30, 2021
June 30, 2021
September 30, 2020
(In Thousands)
Available Assets
$
1,992,964
$
1,886,993
$
1,671,990
Risk-Based Required Assets
1,365,656
1,170,854
990,678
16
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NMI Holdings Inc. published this content on 02 November 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 02 November 2021 20:22:22 UTC.
NMI Holdings, Inc. provides mortgage insurance (MI) through its wholly owned insurance subsidiaries, National Mortgage Insurance Corporation (NMIC) and National Mortgage Reinsurance Inc One (Re One). NMIC is its primary insurance subsidiary and is licensed to write MI coverage in all 50 states and District of Columbia (D.C.). Its subsidiary, NMI Services, Inc. (NMIS), provides outsourced loan review services to mortgage loan originators. It offers two principal types of MI coverage, primary and pool. Primary MI provides default protection on individual mortgage loans at specified coverage percentages. All its primary insurance is written on first-lien mortgage loans, with nearly all secured by owner-occupied single-family homes (defined as one-to-four family homes and condominiums). Pool insurance is generally used to provide additional credit enhancement for certain secondary market mortgage transactions. It offers outsourced loan review services to mortgage originators through NMIS.