OATLY GROUP AB |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 0.995 USD | +14.37% |
|
+4.79% | -15.68% |
| Mar. 25 | Oatly Group Supplies Oatmilk Across Virgin Voyages Fleet | MT |
| Mar. 25 | Oatly Group AB Sets Sail with Virgin Voyages, Marking Its First Cruise Line Distribution Deal | CI |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 4,711 | 1,030 | 700 | 592.1 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 4,314 | 1,030 | 700 | 900.4 | 989.8 | 986.1 |
| P/E ratio | -20.4 x | -2.64 x | -1.69 x | -3.39 x | -4.95 x | -5.24 x |
| Yield | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 7.32 x | 1.43 x | 0.89 x | 0.71 x | 0.65 x | 0.6 x |
| EV / Revenue | 6.71 x | 1.43 x | 0.89 x | 1.08 x | 1.09 x | 1 x |
| EV / EBITDA | -29.4 x | -3.84 x | -4.44 x | -17.2 x | 108 x | 19.1 x |
| EV / FCF | -8.85 x | - | -2.98 x | -6.03 x | -11.9 x | -17.9 x |
| FCF Yield | -11.3% | - | -33.5% | -16.6% | -8.39% | -5.58% |
| Price to Book | 3.79 x | - | 2.1 x | 3.37 x | 9.48 x | -14.2 x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 591,777 | 591,901 | 593,201 | 595,060 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 7.960 | 1.740 | 1.180 | 0.9950 | 0.9950 | 0.9950 |
| Announcement Date | 3/9/22 | 3/15/23 | 2/15/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 421.4 | 643.2 | 722.2 | 783.3 | 832 | 904.9 | 987.5 |
| EBITDA 1 | - | -147 | -267.9 | -157.6 | -52.32 | 9.15 | 51.5 |
| EBIT 1 | - | -213.7 | -396 | -457 | -122.1 | -63.48 | -36.6 |
| Operating Margin | - | -33.23% | -54.83% | -58.34% | -14.68% | -7.02% | -3.71% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | - | -215 | -397.4 | -408.2 | -166.3 | -109.4 | -118.5 |
| Net income 1 | - | -212.4 | -392.6 | -416.9 | -169.5 | -117.7 | -110.5 |
| Net margin | - | -33.02% | -54.35% | -53.22% | -20.37% | -13.01% | -11.19% |
| EPS 2 | -0.1330 | -0.3900 | -0.6600 | -0.7000 | -0.2936 | -0.2011 | -0.1900 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | -487.6 | - | -234.7 | -149.3 | -83 | -55 |
| FCF margin | - | -75.81% | - | -29.96% | -17.95% | -9.17% | -5.57% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 3/25/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/15/23 | 2/15/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 Q3 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 | 2025 Q1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 171.1 | 185.9 | 166.2 | 178 | 183 | 195.1 | 195.6 | 196 | 187.6 | 204.1 | 197.7 | 203 | 207.6 | 224.1 | 213.5 |
| EBITDA 1 | -26.97 | -65.61 | -71.39 | -53.37 | -82.7 | -60.46 | -49.87 | -52.47 | -36 | -19.22 | -22.7 | -18.84 | -7.78 | 0.52 | -0.1333 |
| EBIT 1 | -44.46 | -92.67 | -92.16 | -74.43 | -104.4 | -125 | -71.57 | -75.48 | -67.35 | -242.6 | -41.12 | -35.33 | -25.75 | -16.61 | -21.26 |
| Operating Margin | -25.99% | -49.84% | -55.45% | -41.82% | -57.02% | -64.1% | -36.58% | -38.51% | -35.9% | -118.86% | -20.8% | -17.4% | -12.4% | -7.41% | -9.96% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -40.63 | -85.19 | -88.58 | -75.02 | -111.9 | -121.9 | -73.56 | -86.99 | 45.49 | -293.1 | -46.48 | -44.08 | -34.48 | -35.65 | -23.7 |
| Net income 1 | -41.19 | -79.75 | -87.46 | -71.99 | -107.9 | -125.2 | -75.58 | -86.72 | 44.08 | -298.7 | -47.32 | -43.48 | -35.15 | -35 | -22.97 |
| Net margin | -24.08% | -42.9% | -52.63% | -40.45% | -58.98% | -64.17% | -38.63% | -44.25% | 23.5% | -146.32% | -23.94% | -21.42% | -16.93% | -15.62% | -10.76% |
| EPS 2 | -0.0700 | -0.1300 | -0.1500 | -0.1200 | -0.1800 | -0.2100 | -0.1300 | -0.1500 | 0.0700 | -0.5000 | -0.0840 | -0.0808 | -0.0650 | -0.0593 | -0.0540 |
| Dividend per Share | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 11/15/21 | 3/9/22 | 5/4/22 | 8/2/22 | 11/14/22 | 3/15/23 | 5/9/23 | 7/27/23 | 11/9/23 | 2/15/24 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | - | - | - | - | 308 | 398 | 394 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | 396 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | -5.894 x | 43.47 x | 7.651 x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | - | -488 | - | -235 | -149 | -83 | -55 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | - | -27% | - | -74.1% | -139% | -229% | - |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | -11.6% | - | -35.6% | -17.9% | -14.8% | - |
| Assets 1 | - | 1,834 | - | 1,171 | 946.7 | 795.4 | - |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | - | 2.100 | - | 0.5600 | 0.3000 | 0.1100 | -0.0700 |
| Cash Flow per Share | - | -0.9000 | - | - | - | - | - |
| Capex 1 | - | 274 | - | 69 | 69 | 72 | 75 |
| Capex / Sales | - | 42.56% | - | 8.81% | 8.29% | 7.96% | 7.6% |
| Announcement Date | 3/25/21 | 3/9/22 | 3/15/23 | 2/15/24 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
0.995
USD
Average target price
1.969
USD
Spread / Average Target
+97.86%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -15.68% | 592M | |
| +4.71% | 24.52B | |
| -23.24% | 8.1B | |
| -4.24% | 6.82B | |
| +8.16% | 6.26B | |
| -3.85% | 5.36B | |
| -3.18% | 5.16B | |
| +19.79% | 4.98B | |
| +1.41% | 5.02B | |
| +22.01% | 4.53B |
- Stock Market
- Equities
- OTLY Stock
- Financials Oatly Group AB
