Financials Obsidian Energy Ltd.

Equities

OBE

CA6744822033

Oil & Gas Exploration and Production

Market Closed - Toronto S.E. 04:00:00 2024-04-26 pm EDT 5-day change 1st Jan Change
12.32 CAD +2.58% Intraday chart for Obsidian Energy Ltd. +10.39% +37.04%

Valuation

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Capitalization 1 67.9 63.96 420.6 740.3 707.2 945.1 -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 562.9 531.8 834.1 1,057 1,037 1,237 1,171
P/E ratio -0.09 x -0.08 x 0.98 x 0.94 x 7.02 x 7.04 x 6.62 x
Yield - - - - - - -
Capitalization / Revenue 0.16 x 0.23 x - 0.83 x 0.98 x 1.13 x 0.82 x
EV / Revenue 1.35 x 1.89 x - 1.18 x 1.44 x 1.48 x 1.01 x
EV / EBITDA - 3.16 x 3.2 x 2.13 x 2.57 x 2.6 x 2 x
EV / FCF -21.6 x 24 x 14.4 x 7.44 x 17.7 x 8.67 x 6.49 x
FCF Yield -4.62% 4.17% 6.93% 13.4% 5.64% 11.5% 15.4%
Price to Book - - - - - - -
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 73,010 73,516 80,734 82,440 78,669 76,715 -
Reference price 2 0.9300 0.8700 5.210 8.980 8.990 12.32 12.32
Announcement Date 3/30/20 3/29/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Net sales 1 418 281.7 - 897.3 720.6 834 1,155
EBITDA 1 - 168.4 260.8 497.1 403.9 476 586
EBIT 1 - - - 563.7 - 523 685
Operating Margin - - - 62.82% - 62.71% 59.31%
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - -
Net income 1 - - - 810.1 108 267.2 -
Net margin - - - 90.28% 14.99% 32.04% -
EPS 2 -10.81 -10.53 5.340 9.600 1.280 1.750 1.860
Free Cash Flow 1 -26 22.2 57.8 142 58.5 142.7 180.3
FCF margin -6.22% 7.88% - 15.83% 8.12% 17.11% 15.61%
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) - 13.18% 22.16% 28.57% 14.48% 29.97% 30.77%
FCF Conversion (Net income) - - - 17.53% 54.17% 53.38% -
Dividend per Share - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 3/30/20 3/29/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2022 Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q4 2023 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023 Q4 2024 Q1
Net sales - - 205.6 231.2 - - - - - -
EBITDA 1 - 85 125.1 - - - 99.2 119.4 - 98
EBIT - - 73.7 113.9 - - - - - -
Operating Margin - - 35.85% 49.26% - - - - - -
Earnings before Tax (EBT) - - - - - - - - - -
Net income - - 23.8 113.9 - - - - - -
Net margin - - 11.58% 49.26% - - - - - -
EPS 2 0.6000 0.2700 0.2800 1.350 7.470 0.3600 0.2200 0.3000 0.4000 0.2700
Dividend per Share - - - - - - - - - -
Announcement Date 11/8/21 2/24/22 5/4/22 7/28/22 2/23/23 5/4/23 8/2/23 11/9/23 2/22/24 -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

Balance Sheet Analysis

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Net Debt 1 495 468 414 317 330 292 226
Net Cash position 1 - - - - - - -
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 2.778 x 1.586 x 0.6373 x 0.8175 x 0.6124 x 0.3852 x
Free Cash Flow 1 -26 22.2 57.8 142 58.5 143 180
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) - - - 69.1% 6.7% 8% 8%
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) - - - - - - -
Assets 1 - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share - - - - - - -
Cash Flow per Share 2 1.600 1.170 2.490 5.000 4.030 5.700 6.850
Capex 1 103 57.2 141 315 293 372 438
Capex / Sales 24.64% 20.31% - 35.08% 40.59% 44.56% 37.95%
Announcement Date 3/30/20 3/29/21 2/24/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 - -
1CAD in Million2CAD
Estimates

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Trading Rating
Investor Rating
ESG Refinitiv
C-
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
12.32 CAD
Average target price
14.38 CAD
Spread / Average Target
+16.68%
Consensus
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