Projected Income Statement: ORIX Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,772,860 3,911,858 4,486,659 5,015,164 4,960,815 5,223,371 5,322,708 5,415,157
Change - 3.68% 14.69% 11.78% -1.08% 5.29% 1.9% 1.74%
Announcement Date 5/13/21 5/11/22 5/10/23 5/8/24 5/12/25 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
CAPEX 1 992,911 753,953 917,296 1,080,074 1,200,874 1,357,672
Change - -24.07% 21.66% 17.75% 11.18% 13.06%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 473,048 986,142 656,290 492,300 304,923 568,715
Change - 108.47% -33.45% -24.99% -38.06% 86.51%
Announcement Date 6/30/20 6/29/21 6/29/22 6/26/23 6/27/24 6/24/25
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ORIX Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.29% 25.09% 25.03% 25.76% 25.44% 13.51% 14.13% 14.41%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.29% 11.99% 11.78% 12.82% 11.54% 14.64% 15.23% 15.86%
EBT Margin (%) 12.54% 20.03% 13.77% 16.7% 16.71% 20.5% 19.33% 19.92%
Net margin (%) 8.39% 12.38% 10.24% 12.3% 12.23% 14.35% 13.62% 14.12%
FCF margin (%) - 24.84% - 19.33% 16.14% - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - 200.61% - 157.17% 131.92% - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 2.16% 3.63% 2.49% 2.98% 2.9% 2.5% 2.43% 2.53%
ROE 6.4% 9.9% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 10.62% 9.95% 10.55%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 14.58x 6.19x 6.72x 6.92x 6.78x 12.36x 11.55x 10.95x
Debt / Free cash flow - 6.25x - 9.22x 10.69x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 30.97% 36.4% 40.51% 24.85% 29.09% - - -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 274.33% 145.04% 161.83% 96.47% 114.35% - - -
CAPEX / FCF (%) - 146.49% - 128.56% 180.29% - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 411 533.9 530.8 612.7 657.5 - - -
Change - 29.9% -0.58% 15.44% 7.3% - - -
Dividend per Share 1 78 85.6 85.6 98.6 120 156.8 163.8 185.2
Change - 9.74% 0% 15.19% 21.71% 30.65% 4.47% 13.08%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,488 2,733 2,868 3,423 3,599 3,962 4,214 4,495
Change - 9.85% 4.95% 19.34% 5.15% 10.07% 6.38% 6.66%
EPS 1 155.5 259.4 231.4 298.6 307.7 403.2 413.3 466.9
Change - 66.75% -10.8% 29.05% 3.08% 31.03% 2.51% 12.95%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,217,295 1,165,774 1,146,829 1,151,412 1,136,168 1,102,422 1,102,422 1,102,422
Announcement Date 5/13/21 5/11/22 5/10/23 5/8/24 5/12/25 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 13.5x 13.2x
PBR 1.37x 1.29x
EV / Sales 3.59x 3.47x
Yield 2.88% 3.01%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
5,443.00JPY
Average target price
4,853.33JPY
Spread / Average Target
-10.83%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 8591 Stock
  4. Financials ORIX Corporation