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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 95.12 USD | -3.23% |
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-0.46% | -15.21% |
| Mar. 03 | Buyback plans aren't enough to soothe investors after software-sector rout | RE |
| Feb. 26 | Paychex, Inc. Unveils Cutting-Edge AI and Agentic Workforce Management Solutions | CI |
Projected Income Statement: Paychex, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: May | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 4,057 | 4,612 | 5,007 | 5,278 | 5,572 | 6,500 | 6,879 | 7,270 |
| Change | - | 13.68% | 8.57% | 5.42% | 5.56% | 16.66% | 5.83% | 5.69% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,692 | 2,050 | 2,212 | 2,389 | 2,540 | 2,996 | 3,252 | 3,429 |
| Change | - | 21.17% | 7.92% | 7.96% | 6.32% | 17.99% | 8.52% | 5.43% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,493 | 1,840 | 2,033 | 2,214 | 2,370 | 2,802 | 2,976 | 3,160 |
| Change | - | 23.25% | 10.49% | 8.88% | 7.07% | 18.24% | 6.19% | 6.21% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -26.5 | -15.4 | 15.1 | 43.9 | -31.8 | -201.4 | -190.4 | -196 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,434 | 1,825 | 2,048 | 2,218 | 2,176 | 2,401 | 2,729 | 2,931 |
| Change | - | 27.22% | 12.25% | 8.29% | -1.9% | 10.33% | 13.67% | 7.4% |
| Net income 1 | 1,098 | 1,393 | 1,557 | 1,690 | 1,657 | 1,795 | 2,025 | 2,227 |
| Change | - | 26.91% | 11.81% | 8.55% | -1.96% | 8.32% | 12.82% | 9.94% |
| Announcement Date | 6/25/21 | 6/29/22 | 6/29/23 | 6/26/24 | 6/25/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Paychex, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: May | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -235 | -426 | -787 | -686 | 3,304 | 3,985 | 3,399 | 2,767 |
| Change | - | -81.28% | -84.74% | 12.83% | 581.63% | 20.62% | -14.71% | -18.59% |
| Announcement Date | 6/25/21 | 6/29/22 | 6/29/23 | 6/26/24 | 6/25/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Paychex, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: May | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 114.6 | 132.6 | 143 | 161.4 | 191.8 | 233.5 | 238.4 | 233.9 |
| Change | - | 15.71% | 7.84% | 12.87% | 18.84% | 21.74% | 2.1% | -1.87% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,146 | 1,373 | 1,573 | 1,736 | 1,759 | 2,088 | 2,262 | 2,602 |
| Change | - | 19.83% | 14.58% | 10.37% | 1.32% | 18.7% | 8.31% | 15.05% |
| Announcement Date | 6/25/21 | 6/29/22 | 6/29/23 | 6/26/24 | 6/25/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Paychex, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: May | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 41.71% | 44.45% | 44.19% | 45.25% | 45.58% | 46.1% | 47.27% | 47.16% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 36.8% | 39.9% | 40.6% | 41.94% | 42.54% | 43.11% | 43.26% | 43.47% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 35.35% | 39.56% | 40.91% | 42.02% | 39.05% | 36.93% | 39.67% | 40.31% |
| Net margin (%) | 27.05% | 30.2% | 31.1% | 32.03% | 29.74% | 27.62% | 29.44% | 30.63% |
| FCF margin (%) | 28.24% | 29.77% | 31.42% | 32.9% | 31.58% | 32.13% | 32.88% | 35.79% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 104.39% | 98.57% | 101.01% | 102.72% | 106.15% | 116.33% | 111.68% | 116.86% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 12.35% | 14.77% | 15.43% | 16.15% | 13.38% | 11.39% | 12.12% | 12.5% |
| ROE | 38.31% | 46.17% | 47.08% | 46.35% | 45.48% | 48.01% | 49.25% | 46.47% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | 1.3x | 1.33x | 1.05x | 0.81x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | 1.88x | 1.91x | 1.5x | 1.06x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.82% | 2.88% | 2.86% | 3.06% | 3.44% | 3.59% | 3.47% | 3.22% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 6.77% | 6.47% | 6.46% | 6.76% | 7.55% | 7.79% | 7.33% | 6.82% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 10% | 9.66% | 9.09% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.18% | 10.54% | 8.99% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 3.481 | 4.146 | 4.691 | 5.241 | 5.39 | 5.42 | 5.8 | - |
| Change | - | 19.13% | 13.13% | 11.73% | 2.84% | 0.56% | 7.01% | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 2.52 | 2.77 | 3.26 | 3.65 | 4.02 | 4.397 | 4.746 | 5.076 |
| Change | - | 9.92% | 17.69% | 11.96% | 10.14% | 9.39% | 7.94% | 6.94% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 8.193 | 8.572 | 9.69 | 10.55 | 11.45 | 11.54 | 12.85 | 14.36 |
| Change | - | 4.63% | 13.04% | 8.87% | 8.54% | 0.76% | 11.4% | 11.69% |
| EPS 1 | 3.03 | 3.84 | 4.3 | 4.67 | 4.58 | 4.996 | 5.682 | 6.196 |
| Change | - | 26.73% | 11.98% | 8.6% | -1.93% | 9.09% | 13.73% | 9.04% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 360,360 | 361,017 | 360,467 | 359,963 | 360,191 | 358,967 | 358,967 | 358,967 |
| Announcement Date | 6/25/21 | 6/29/22 | 6/29/23 | 6/26/24 | 6/25/25 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 19x | 16.7x |
| PBR | 8.24x | 7.4x |
| EV / Sales | 5.87x | 5.46x |
| Yield | 4.62% | 4.99% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Paychex, Inc.
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