Projected Income Statement: Phillips 66

Forecast Balance Sheet: Phillips 66

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 13,379 11,301 11,057 16,036 18,324 18,997 17,828 16,717
Change - -15.53% -2.16% 45.03% 14.27% 3.67% -6.15% -6.23%
Announcement Date 1/29/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Phillips 66

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,920 1,860 2,194 2,418 1,859 2,126 2,248 2,288
Change - -36.3% 17.96% 10.21% -23.12% 14.39% 5.72% 1.79%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -820 4,157 8,619 4,611 2,332 3,672 3,855 5,849
Change - 606.95% 107.34% -46.5% -49.43% 57.47% 4.98% 51.73%
Announcement Date 1/29/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Phillips 66

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 2.8% 5.48% 8.59% 8.45% 4.99% 5.99% 7.19% 7.32%
EBIT Margin (%) -6.82% 2.02% 8.68% 6.92% 2.46% 3.29% 5.36% 5.45%
EBT Margin (%) -7.58% 1.51% 8.33% 6.32% 1.84% 2.39% 4.44% 4.61%
Net margin (%) -6.07% 1.15% 6.27% 4.68% 1.46% 1.82% 3.32% 3.74%
FCF margin (%) -1.25% 3.62% 4.91% 3.08% 1.6% 2.78% 3% 4.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) 20.63% 315.64% 78.18% 65.73% 110.16% 152.27% 90.47% 120.07%

Profitability

        
ROA -0.67% 4.57% 13.48% 9.23% 2.86% 3.36% 6.31% 5.94%
ROE -1.74% 13.22% 36.58% 23.85% 8.98% 9.21% 15.55% 16.14%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 7.29x 1.8x 0.73x 1.27x 2.53x 2.4x 1.93x 1.75x
Debt / Free cash flow -16.32x 2.72x 1.28x 3.48x 7.86x 5.17x 4.62x 2.86x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.46% 1.62% 1.25% 1.61% 1.28% 1.61% 1.75% 1.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 159.21% 29.57% 14.54% 19.08% 25.63% 26.87% 24.38% 23.96%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -356.1% 44.74% 25.46% 52.44% 79.72% 57.91% 58.32% 39.12%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.545 8.852 22.68 19.51 9.934 13.58 16.17 18.76
Change - 59.65% 156.24% -13.96% -49.09% 36.66% 19.08% 16.02%
Dividend per Share 1 3.6 3.64 3.83 4.2 4.5 4.753 4.957 5.128
Change - 1.11% 5.22% 9.66% 7.14% 5.62% 4.29% 3.45%
Book Value Per Share 1 43.45 43.76 63.31 71.48 67.11 67.8 72.46 78.19
Change - 0.7% 44.69% 12.91% -6.12% 1.02% 6.88% 7.91%
EPS 1 -9.06 2.97 23.27 15.48 4.99 6.016 10.96 12.62
Change - 132.78% 683.5% -33.48% -67.76% 20.56% 82.19% 15.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 436,800 438,202 472,632 439,956 412,989 402,921 402,921 402,921
Announcement Date 1/29/21 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 23.5x 12.9x
PBR 2.09x 1.95x
EV / Sales 0.58x 0.58x
Yield 3.36% 3.5%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
141.54USD
Average target price
151.60USD
Spread / Average Target
+7.11%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. PSX Stock
  4. Financials Phillips 66