Financials Post Holdings, Inc.

Equities

POST

US7374461041

Food Processing

Real-time Estimate Cboe BZX Other stock markets 10:45:14 2025-02-07 am EST			5-day change	1st Jan Change
112.10 ^USD	+5.89%		+5.40%	-2.25%

Feb. 06	Post Holdings Fiscal Q1 Adjusted Earnings Increase, Sales Flat	MT
Feb. 06	Post Holdings, Inc. announces an Equity Buyback for $500 million worth of its shares.	CI

Projected Income Statement: Post Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: September	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Net sales ¹	5,699	6,227	5,851	6,991	7,923	8,016	8,141	8,202
Change	-	9.27%	-6.03%	19.48%	13.33%	1.18%	1.55%	0.75%
EBITDA ¹	1,140	1,123	963.5	1,233	1,404	1,445	1,497	1,544
Change	-	-1.51%	-14.23%	28.01%	13.8%	2.98%	3.58%	3.12%
EBIT ¹	720.4	647.1	517.5	826.3	926.7	864.5	909	939.2
Change	-	-10.17%	-20.03%	59.67%	12.15%	-6.71%	5.14%	3.32%
Interest Paid ¹	-388.6	-375.8	-317.8	-279.1	-316.5	-339.3	-333.4	-328.9
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	63.4	337.2	895.3	-	472.1	518.6	572.9	621.6
Change	-	431.86%	165.51%	-100%	-	9.84%	10.48%	8.49%
Net income ¹	0.8	166.7	756.6	-	366.7	397.3	436.3	473.6
Change	-	20,737.5%	353.87%	-100%	-	8.34%	9.82%	8.56%
Announcement Date	11/19/20	11/18/21	11/17/22	11/16/23	11/14/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Fiscal Period: September	2020 Q1	2020 Q2	2020 Q3	2020 Q4	2021 Q1	2021 Q2	2021 Q3	2021 Q4	2022 Q1	2022 Q2	2022 Q3	2022 Q4	2023 Q1	2023 Q2	2023 Q3	2023 Q4	2024 Q1	2024 Q2	2024 Q3	2024 Q4	2025 Q1	2025 Q2	2025 Q3	2025 Q4	2026 Q1	2026 Q2	2026 Q3	2026 Q4
Net sales ¹	1,457	1,494	1,336	1,411	1,458	1,483	1,590	1,696	1,644	1,410	1,525	1,579	1,566	1,620	1,859	1,945	1,966	1,999	1,948	2,010	1,975	2,013	1,977	2,038	2,021	2,045	2,007	2,076
Change	-	2.57%	-10.56%	5.6%	3.31%	1.74%	7.18%	6.65%	-3.06%	-14.24%	8.17%	3.55%	-0.81%	3.42%	14.78%	4.63%	1.05%	1.68%	-2.57%	3.2%	-1.76%	1.94%	-1.81%	3.09%	-0.81%	1.16%	-1.85%	3.46%
EBITDA ¹	303.1	291.7	270.9	274.8	284.4	263.8	302.6	272.5	263.1	229.7	250.8	279.7	269.9	276.3	338.2	349	359.5	345.2	350.2	348.7	369.9	360.4	361.3	364.6	373.9	374.4	373.3	375.1
Change	-	-3.76%	-7.13%	1.44%	3.49%	-7.24%	14.71%	-9.95%	-3.45%	-12.69%	9.19%	11.52%	-3.5%	2.37%	22.4%	3.19%	3.01%	-3.98%	1.45%	-0.43%	6.08%	-2.57%	0.24%	0.93%	2.55%	0.13%	-0.3%	0.48%
EBIT ¹	201.4	186.9	165.6	166.5	176.4	136.5	179	155.2	145.2	117	157	167.5	160.3	161.9	231.7	235.2	247.1	225.6	229.5	224.5	249.6	216.4	215.1	217.9	227.2	228.8	229.8	226.4
Change	-	-7.2%	-11.4%	0.54%	5.95%	-22.62%	31.14%	-13.3%	-6.44%	-19.42%	34.19%	6.69%	-4.3%	1%	43.11%	1.51%	5.06%	-8.7%	1.73%	-2.18%	11.18%	-13.32%	-0.57%	1.28%	4.27%	0.72%	0.45%	-1.5%
Charge d'intérêts ¹	-102.9	-94	-96.4	-95.3	-96.6	-94.8	-91.9	-92.5	-91.2	-87.2	-75.6	-72.2	-65.9	-63.8	-72.7	-76.7	-78.1	-80	-78.8	-79.6	-86.89	-84.9	-84.02	-83.65	-85.65	-83.9	-82.96	-82.42
Earnings before Tax (EBT) ¹	144.8	-221.8	49.6	90.8	122.1	147.3	-4.2	72	3.6	567.7	219.6	146.6	118.4	74.5	125.1	94.9	116.7	125.9	131.6	97.9	145.4	129.7	129	132.6	140.6	138.3	132.9	135.6
Change	-	-	-	83.06%	34.47%	20.64%	-	-	-95%	15,669.44%	-61.32%	-33.24%	-19.24%	-37.08%	67.92%	-24.14%	22.97%	7.88%	4.53%	-25.61%	48.52%	-10.81%	-0.52%	2.83%	5.99%	-1.64%	-3.9%	2.03%
Net income ¹	99.2	-191.4	36	57	81.2	109.9	-54.3	29.9	-20.8	523.3	170.2	83.9	91.9	54.1	89.6	65.7	88.1	97.2	99.8	81.6	113.3	99.3	98.65	101.6	105.4	103.6	99.6	101.7
Change	-	-	-	58.33%	42.46%	35.34%	-	-	-	-	-67.48%	-50.71%	9.54%	-41.13%	65.62%	-26.67%	34.09%	10.33%	2.67%	-18.24%	38.85%	-12.36%	-0.65%	2.97%	3.77%	-1.71%	-3.86%	2.11%
Announcement Date	2/6/20	5/7/20	8/6/20	11/19/20	2/4/21	5/6/21	8/5/21	11/18/21	2/3/22	5/5/22	8/4/22	11/17/22	2/2/23	5/4/23	8/3/23	11/16/23	2/1/24	5/2/24	8/1/24	11/14/24	2/6/25	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Forecast Balance Sheet: Post Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: September	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Net Debt ¹	5,836	6,223	5,371	5,947	6,025	6,052	5,997	5,872
Change	-	6.63%	-13.69%	10.72%	1.31%	0.44%	-0.91%	-2.08%
Announcement Date	11/19/20	11/18/21	11/17/22	11/16/23	11/14/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Post Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: September	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
CAPEX ¹	234.6	192.5	255.3	303	429.5	402	363	345
Change	-	-17.95%	32.62%	18.68%	41.75%	-6.4%	-9.7%	-4.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) ¹	391	395.7	-	447.3	502.2	638	725.5	799
Change	-	1.2%	-	-	12.27%	27.05%	13.7%	10.14%
Announcement Date	11/19/20	11/18/21	11/17/22	11/16/23	11/14/24	-	-	-

¹USD in Million

Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Post Holdings, Inc.

Fiscal Period: September	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2025	2026	2027
Profitability
EBITDA Margin (%)	20.01%	18.04%	16.47%	17.64%	17.72%	18.03%	18.39%	18.82%
EBIT Margin (%)	12.64%	10.39%	8.84%	11.82%	11.7%	10.78%	11.17%	11.45%
EBT Margin (%)	1.11%	5.42%	15.3%	-	5.96%	6.47%	7.04%	7.58%
Net margin (%)	0.01%	2.68%	12.93%	-	4.63%	4.96%	5.36%	5.78%
FCF margin (%)	6.86%	6.35%	-	6.4%	6.34%	7.96%	8.91%	9.74%
FCF / Net Income (%)	48,875%	237.37%	-	-	136.95%	160.6%	166.28%	168.69%
Profitability
ROA	-	1.36%	6.38%	2.63%	2.99%	3.08%	3.36%	3.58%
ROE	6.57%	5.96%	25.24%	8.49%	9.25%	9.71%	10.73%	11.57%
Financial Health
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA)	5.12x	5.54x	5.57x	4.82x	4.29x	4.19x	4.01x	3.8x
Debt / Free cash flow	14.93x	15.73x	-	13.29x	12x	9.49x	8.27x	7.35x
Capital Intensity
CAPEX / Current Assets (%)	4.12%	3.09%	4.36%	4.33%	5.42%	5.01%	4.46%	4.21%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%)	20.57%	17.14%	26.5%	24.57%	30.6%	27.81%	24.25%	22.35%
CAPEX / FCF (%)	60%	48.65%	-	67.74%	85.52%	63%	50.04%	43.18%
Items per share
Cash flow per share ¹	8.924	9.008	6.102	-	-	-	-	-
Change	-	0.93%	-32.26%	-	-	-	-	-
Dividend per Share ¹	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Change	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Book Value Per Share ¹	41.43	42.72	51.9	-	-	-	-	-
Change	-	3.11%	21.49%	-	-	-	-	-
EPS ¹	0.01	2.38	12.09	4.82	5.64	6.218	7.055	7.965
Change	-	23,700%	407.98%	-60.13%	17.01%	10.24%	13.47%	12.9%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands)	67,704	63,707	59,758	61,219	58,428	58,181	58,181	58,181
Announcement Date	11/19/20	11/18/21	11/17/22	11/16/23	11/14/24	-	-	-