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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 39.72 USD | +0.97% |
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+0.94% | -23.07% |
| Feb. 25 | BMO Capital Downgrades Ryan Specialty to Market Perform From Outperform, Cuts Price Target to $43 From $66 | MT |
| Feb. 25 | Analyst recommendations: IBM, Axon, Caterpillar, Fair Isaac, Gilead… |  |
Projected Income Statement: Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,433 | 1,725 | 2,078 | 2,516 | 3,051 | 3,458 | 3,925 | 4,410 |
| Change | - | 20.41% | 20.42% | 21.09% | 21.28% | 13.33% | 13.5% | 12.37% |
| EBITDA 1 | 460.2 | 517.4 | 624.7 | 811.2 | 966.7 | 1,078 | 1,238 | 1,430 |
| Change | - | 12.42% | 20.74% | 29.85% | 19.17% | 11.52% | 14.81% | 15.56% |
| EBIT 1 | 140.9 | 289.5 | 359.1 | 427.8 | 493.6 | 613.1 | 752 | 940.2 |
| Change | - | 105.44% | 24.03% | 19.14% | 15.39% | 24.21% | 22.64% | 25.04% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -79.35 | -104.8 | -119.5 | -158.4 | -222.4 | -211.7 | -210.1 | -199.6 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 61.56 | 179.2 | 237.9 | 272.6 | 293.2 | 415.5 | 528.9 | 704.7 |
| Change | - | 191.07% | 32.78% | 14.55% | 7.57% | 41.71% | 27.31% | 33.23% |
| Net income 1 | -7.064 | 137.4 | 61.04 | 229.9 | 214.2 | 334.4 | 429.4 | 517.5 |
| Change | - | 2,044.65% | -55.57% | 276.68% | -6.85% | 56.13% | 28.41% | 20.53% |
| Announcement Date | 3/15/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/27/24 | 2/20/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,203 | 959 | 1,105 | 2,691 | 3,193 | 3,070 | 2,776 | 2,246 |
| Change | - | -20.28% | 15.22% | 143.53% | 18.65% | -3.86% | -9.58% | -19.09% |
| Announcement Date | 3/15/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/27/24 | 2/20/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 9.781 | 15.04 | 29.78 | 47 | 67.95 | 51.89 | 58.28 | 65.7 |
| Change | - | 53.8% | 97.94% | 57.85% | 44.58% | -23.64% | 12.33% | 12.71% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -79.45 | 312.8 | 447.4 | 467.9 | 575.7 | 589.4 | 696.2 | 843.2 |
| Change | - | 493.67% | 43.06% | 4.57% | 23.05% | 2.39% | 18.12% | 21.1% |
| Announcement Date | 3/15/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/27/24 | 2/20/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 32.12% | 29.99% | 30.07% | 32.25% | 31.68% | 31.18% | 31.54% | 32.43% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 9.84% | 16.78% | 17.28% | 17.01% | 16.18% | 17.73% | 19.16% | 21.32% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 4.3% | 10.39% | 11.45% | 10.83% | 9.61% | 12.01% | 13.48% | 15.98% |
| Net margin (%) | -0.49% | 7.96% | 2.94% | 9.14% | 7.02% | 9.67% | 10.94% | 11.73% |
| FCF margin (%) | -5.54% | 18.13% | 21.54% | 18.6% | 18.87% | 17.05% | 17.74% | 19.12% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 1,124.66% | 227.67% | 733.04% | 203.5% | 268.83% | 176.29% | 162.16% | 162.93% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 5.81% | 2.32% | 5.51% | 10.82% | 5.42% | 46.9% | 68.4% | - |
| ROE | 140.3% | 33.42% | 72.36% | 83.13% | 85.95% | 72.63% | 82.34% | 83.21% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.61x | 1.85x | 1.77x | 3.32x | 3.3x | 2.85x | 2.24x | 1.57x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -15.14x | 3.07x | 2.47x | 5.75x | 5.55x | 5.21x | 3.99x | 2.66x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 0.68% | 0.87% | 1.43% | 1.87% | 2.23% | 1.5% | 1.49% | 1.49% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 2.13% | 2.91% | 4.77% | 5.79% | 7.03% | 4.81% | 4.71% | 4.59% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -12.31% | 4.81% | 6.65% | 10.05% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 8.37% | 7.79% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | - | 0.71 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.547 | 0.6 |
| Change | - | - | - | - | -33.8% | 10.64% | 5.19% | 9.69% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 1.33 | 1.842 | 2.146 | 2.391 | 2.475 | 4.474 | 4.671 | 8.573 |
| Change | - | 38.53% | 16.46% | 11.42% | 3.5% | 80.78% | 4.4% | 83.54% |
| EPS 1 | -0.07 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.71 | 0.47 | 1.102 | 1.487 | 1.863 |
| Change | - | 842.86% | 0% | 36.54% | -33.8% | 134.4% | 34.96% | 25.27% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 109,904 | 112,365 | 118,299 | 125,172 | 128,776 | 129,681 | 129,681 | 129,681 |
| Announcement Date | 3/15/22 | 2/28/23 | 2/27/24 | 2/20/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 36.1x | 26.7x |
| PBR | 8.88x | 8.5x |
| EV / Sales | 2.38x | 2.02x |
| Yield | 1.31% | 1.38% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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