Projected Income Statement: SMCP S.A

Forecast Balance Sheet: SMCP S.A

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 803 730 696 699 681 643 593 529
Change - -9.09% -4.66% 0.43% -2.58% -5.64% -7.78% -10.79%
Announcement Date 3/24/21 3/9/22 3/2/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SMCP S.A

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 56.1 47.2 44.5 55.6 38.9 41.28 46.82 44.95
Change - -15.86% -5.72% 24.94% -30.04% 6.11% 13.45% -4%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 147.2 69.8 34.3 14.4 48.9 97.5 119.3 128.1
Change - -52.58% -50.86% -58.02% 239.58% 99.39% 22.39% 7.35%
Announcement Date 3/24/21 3/9/22 3/2/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SMCP S.A

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 20.57% 24.03% 22.11% 19.21% 17.86% 18.87% 20.39% 20.72%
EBIT Margin (%) 0.8% 9.18% 9.16% 6.46% 4.37% 6.8% 8.74% 9.11%
EBT Margin (%) -12.45% 3.44% 5.7% 1.84% -1.35% 4% 6.1% 6.95%
Net margin (%) -11.71% 2.27% 4.25% 0.91% -1.95% 2.43% 4.03% 4.37%
FCF margin (%) 16.86% 6.72% 2.84% 1.17% 4.04% 7.94% 9.53% 9.93%
FCF / Net Income (%) -144.03% 295.76% 66.86% 128.57% -207.2% 326.82% 236.3% 227.26%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - 1.5% 2.5% 2.6%
ROE -8.94% 2.13% 4.47% 0.95% 1.14% 3.29% 4.64% 5.04%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.47x 2.93x 2.61x 2.96x 3.15x 2.77x 2.32x 1.98x
Debt / Free cash flow 5.46x 10.46x 20.29x 48.51x 13.93x 6.6x 4.97x 4.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.43% 4.54% 3.69% 4.52% 3.21% 3.36% 3.74% 3.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.24% 18.91% 16.69% 23.52% 17.98% 17.8% 18.33% 16.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 38.11% 67.62% 129.74% 386.11% 79.55% 42.33% 39.24% 35.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.745 3.179 2.647 2.698 2.994 1.805 2.004 2.161
Change - 15.81% -16.74% 1.93% 10.99% -39.71% 11.02% 7.81%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 13.84 15.18 - 15.47 15.25 15.41 16.14 16.99
Change - 9.69% - - -1.44% 1.08% 4.73% 5.29%
EPS 1 -1.38 0.3 0.65 0.14 -0.31 0.3796 0.6508 0.75
Change - 121.74% 116.67% -78.46% -321.43% 222.46% 71.41% 15.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 74,138 75,183 75,595 75,170 75,438 78,660 78,660 78,660
Announcement Date 3/24/21 3/9/22 3/2/23 2/28/24 2/27/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 17x 9.91x
PBR 0.42x 0.4x
EV / Sales 0.94x 0.88x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
6.450EUR
Average target price
7.660EUR
Spread / Average Target
+18.76%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise