Spar Nord update

Danske Bank

Nordic Banking Seminar

Lasse Nyby, CEO

4 March 2024

2023, A historical great year for Spar Nord

Profitability at very satisfactory level

SPAR NORD BANK

Net profit at DKK 2.4 billion

DKKm

2023

2022

Index

Net interest income

3,538

2,011

176

19.7% ROE after tax

Net fees, charges and commissions

1,493

1,689

88

Capital distribution of 69%

Market-v alue adjustments and div idends

452

323

140

Other income

175

122

143

Continued business growth and record high NII

Core income

5,658

4,145

136

Staff costs

1,493

1,384

108

3% growth in total business volume

Operating expenses

1,057

953

111

Costs and expenses

2,550

2,338

109

Net interest income above DKK 3.5 billion

Core earnings before impairment

3,108

1,808

172

Net reversal of impairment charges

Impairments of loans and adv ances

-33

78

-

Profit before tax

3,141

1,730

182

Tax

720

313

230

ROE among the best in Denmark

Profit

2,421

1,417

171

ROE

(% after tax)

Arbejdernes Landsbank Jyske Bank

Spar Nord Bank

Sydbank

Ringkjøbing Landbobank

Sparekassen Danmark*

Average (Peer group)

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

8.0

4.4

14.4

6.7

14.7

7.1

4.4

8.8

10.0

14.4

11.7

7.4

12.9

12.5

19.7

7.4

6.7

11.3

14.5

23.4

13.2

11.7

14.6

16.6

21.8

13.0

7.7

11.2

7.3

12.9

10.1

7.1

12.2

11.3

17.8

ROE after tax 2023

23.4

21.8

Avg. ROE

19.7

(5 year)

9.6

14.4

8.9

12.7

12.8

11.4

12.7

15.6

10.4

11.7

*ROE in 2023 based on company estimates

Nykredit

Danske Bank

Jyske Bank

Spar Nord

Ringkjøbing

Sydbank

2

Landbobank

Strong trend in NII/NCI less costs

Net interest income

  • Strong increase in lending rates - up 187 bp. y/y
    • In the same period, CB rate has been raised by 185 bp.
  • Deposit margin well-established - deposit rates up a modest 69 bp. y/y
  • Increase in NII from excess liquidity of DKK 1,145 million compared to 2022
  • For 2024, decline expected in net interest income
    • Sustained organic growth in lending from strategic focus on business customers, growth in leasing business and bank mortgage loans
    • Pressure on deposit margins and higher funding costs
    • Expectation of three rate cuts from June 2024 and onwards totaling 75 bp.

Net fee income

  • Overall lower level of activity within the housing market
  • Also decline in activity within securities trading and assets under management, where fee income was also negatively affected by last year's decline in volume within assets under management
  • For 2024, modest increase expected in net fee income
    • Continuing organic growth and additional customer activity driven by improved distribution capabilities through establishment of new branches
    • Increase in net fee income from a higher level of activity in areas such as pension, insurance and securities trading, as well as a higher asset management volume at the beginning of the year

DKKm

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Net interest income

1,573

1,584

1,736

2,011

3,538

Net fees, charges and commissions

1,225

1,238

1,541

1,689

1,493

NII and NCI

2,799

2,822

3,277

3,701

5,031

Costs

2,014

2,099

2,237

2,338

2,550

NII and NCI less costs

784

723

1,040

1,363

2,481

Bank loans and leasing

DKKb

2019 - 2023: CAGR of 7.4%

60

Pct.-point

5.48

50

3.77

3.62

3.66

4.30

40

30

4.49

6.36

3.62

3.34

3.16

0.19

0.88

20

10

-0.15

-0.28

-0.50

0

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Deposits

Loans

Margin

DKKm

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Mortgage fee

430

434

511

548

474

Loan transaction fees

137

108

130

147

89

Securities and asset management

382

401

471

504

441

Other fees

276

294

429

491

489

Total net fees

1,225

1,238

1,541

1,689

1,493

3

National foothold

North Denmark Region

Business volume DKK 115 billion (2019: 106)

FTE 321 (2019: 378)

Branches 21 (2019: 21)

Central Denmark Region

Business volume DKK 79 billion (2019: 62)

FTE 233 (2019: 222)

Branches 9 (2019: 9)

Region of Southern Denmark

Business volume DKK 42 billion (2019: 30)

FTE 133 (2019: 115)

Branches 9 (2019: 8)

New Local Banks established in recent years

  • 2020
    • Branch in Herlev
  • 2021
    • Branch in Korsør
    • Branch in Solrød Strand
  • 2022
    • Branch in Hørsholm
    • Banking area on Nykøbing Falster
    • Banking area in Allerød
  • 2023
    • Branch in Helsinge
    • Banking area in Frederikssund

Capital Region of Denmark

Business volume DKK 53 billion (2019: 21)

FTE 180 (2019: 83)

Branches 15 (2019: 5)

Region Zealand

Business volume DKK 53 billion (2019: 37)

FTE 143 (2019: 122)

Branches 8 (2019: 5)

4

Costs/income ratio down to 45

  • Total costs amounted to DKK 2,550 million versus DKK 2,338 million in 2022 (9%)
    • Payroll costs increases by DKK 109 million (8%)
      • 1,703 employees by end of 2023, which was 59 more than at end of 2022
        • The increase was mainly driven by recent years' opening of new local banks and banking areas on Zealand and within leasing and the Large Corporates area
    • Operating expenses up by DKK 104 million (11%)
      • The increase in operating expenses was mainly due to higher IT costs relating to the Bank's data processing centre, BEC and other IT costs

Trend in costs

DKKm

2,600

32

76

5

2,450

109

2,300

2,550

2,150

2,338

2,000

2022

Staff costs

IT expenses

Other

Depreciation

2023

administrative

expenses

  • C/I Ratio of 45 versus C/I Ratio of 56 in 2022
  • Cost expectations for 2024
    • Increase in payroll costs driven by a higher average headcount and pay increases in accordance with collective agreements
    • Increase in IT costs due to recent years' growth, partly to work to complete several in-house IT projects
    • Expected one-off costs of approx. DKK 40 million related to the bank's 200th anniversary and cloud migration

Breakdown of operating expenses

Operating expenses

(DKKm)

2023

2022

Change

Staff-related expenses

57

46

10

Travel expenses

20

16

4

Marketing costs

70

65

5

IT expenses

620

544

76

Cost of premises

59

61

-2

Other administrative expenses

138

123

15

Depreciation

94

98

-5

Operating expenses

1,057

953

104

5

Impairment reserves at a high level

  • Net reversal of impairment charges of DKK 33 million in 2023
  • In 2023, management estimates and model-calculated impairments has continued to front-run impairment charges
    • Continued decline in the number of exposures flagged for OEI and improved credit quality resulted in lower individual impairments in stage 3 of DKK 72 million
    • Total increase in impairments in stage 1 and 2 and management estimates of DKK 79 million, whereof 88 was attributable to an underlying increase in management estimate
    • Total management estimate of DKK 662 million breaks down into DKK 389 million on corporate customers and DKK 273 million on private customers
  • For 2024, Impairment charges are budgeted at a level around 0.30% of loans, advances and guarantees

Impairments by type

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

(DKKm)

2022

2023

2023

2023

2023

Management estimates

574

588

646

671

662

Impairments in Stage 1 and 2

469

472

473

497

460

Impairments in Stage 1 and 2 + Estimates

1,043

1,060

1,119

1,169

1,122

Impairments in Stage 3

623

608

569

543

551

Total impairments

1,666

1,667

1,688

1,712

1,673

DKKm

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

Management estimates

40

303

570

536

574

662

Profit impact from management estimates

263

267

-34

38

88

Income statement, impairment charges

22

309

-120

78

-33

Impairment charges ex. effect from change

in management estimates

-241

42

-86

40

-121

6

Well diversified loan book maintained

  • Loan book is generally very well diversified on industries
    • No abnormal exposure to any business sectors
    • Largest sector exposure is property which accounts for 12%
      • 83% collateralized with property mortgages - of which
        75% are first mortgages
  • Exposure to private customers accounts for 44% of loans and guarantees - against a sector average of approx. 1/3

Loans and guarantees broken down by industry*

DKKm

Pct.

Industry

2023

2022

2021

2023

2022

2021

Public authorities

760

1,358

1,259

1.1

2.0

1.8

Agriculture

2,643

2,802

2,743

3.8

4.0

4.0

Fisheries

56

93

114

0.1

0.1

0.2

Industry

3,416

3,666

3,055

5.0

5.3

4.5

Utilities

1,872

2,159

1,842

2.7

3.1

2.7

Building and construction

3,046

3,106

2,993

4.4

4.5

4.4

Trade

4,465

4,977

4,191

6.5

7.2

6.1

Transport, Hotels and Restaurants

3,157

3,165

2,897

4.6

4.6

4.2

Information

351

330

389

0.5

0.5

0.6

Financing and insurance

4,231

4,469

4,139

6.1

6.4

6.1

Property

8,393

8,200

7,343

12.2

11.8

10.8

Other industries

6,241

5,580

5,008

9.1

8.1

7.3

Total Business customers

38,630

39,905

35,973

56.1

57.6

52.7

Private customers

30,234

29,385

32,260

43.9

42.4

47.3

Total

68,864

69,290

68,234

100

100

100

* Excl. rev erse repo transactions

7

Total credit distribution by industry*

Bank loans and guarantees + Originated mortageloans - 2023 (DKKm)

Spar Nord

Spar Nord

Originated

On balance sheet

Off balance sheet

mortgage loans

Total

Industry

Bank loans

SparXpres

Leasing loans

Guarantees

Totalkredit

DLR Kredit

Total

in pct.

Public authorities

755

2

2

0

0

760

0.5

Agriculture and Fisheries

1,502

937

11

310

3,098

5,859

3.5

Industry

1,988

993

405

316

173

3,874

2.3

Utilities

958

817

79

29

24

1,907

1.1

Construction and engineering

1,348

1,339

272

820

336

4,115

2.4

Trade

3,467

695

227

889

331

5,610

3.3

Transport, hotels and restaurants

1,305

1,713

101

391

107

3,617

2.1

Informations

275

40

14

365

12

706

0.4

Financing and insurance

3,607

232

338

185

398

4,759

2.8

Property

7,664

183

162

2,106

3,946

14,061

8.3

Other industries

3,862

2,042

157

2,767

293

9,121

5.4

Total businesss customers

26,730

8,994

1,767

8,180

8,717

54,388

32.3

Private customers

22,897

509

10

1,503

87,566

1,706

114,191

67.7

Total

49,627

509

9,004

3,270

95,745

10,424

168,579

100.0

*Gross credit distribution excl. reverse repo transactions

8

Solid capital coverage and distribution of 69%

  • Capital ratios, year-end 2023
    • CET1: 17.7 (strategic target: 13.5)
    • Own funds ratio: 22.3 (strategic target: 17.5)
  • Individual solvency requirement of 9.8% and combined buffer requirement of 6.0%
    • Excess coverage of 6.2 percentage points or DKK 3.8 billion
  • Deductions for the share buyback programme are expected to reduce Spar Nord's capital ratios by 0.9 of a percentage point at the end of Q1 2024
  • IRB-project,status
    • Application submitted to the Danish FSA at early July 2023
    • The Danish FSA's processing of the application is progressing as planned
    • Implementation of IRB models at the 2024/2025 changeover
    • Initial effect from IRB-implementation partly offset by Basel III / CRD IV
    • Over time, increasing positive effects from IRB implementation

Capital position

Pct. / DKKm

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

Common equity Tier 1 capital ratio

17.7

16.4

16.3

17.2

14.6

Additional Tier 1

1.9

1.9

1.9

1.4

1.5

Tier 1 capital ratio

19.7

18.4

18.3

18.6

16.1

Tier 2 capital

2.6

2.6

2.5

2.4

2.3

Own funds ratio

22.3

20.9

20.8

21.0

18.5

Total Risk Exposure

60,369

60,463

60,479

54,865

55,963

Of wihich Credit Risk

49,563

50,063

50,165

45,277

47,068

Of wihich Market Risk

3,958

3,901

4,140

3,994

3,340

Of wihich Operationel Risk

6,848

6,499

6,174

5,594

5,555

Payout ratio

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

Dividend per share (DKK)

10.0

4.5

5.0

1.5

0.0

Share buyback (DKKm)

500

300

225

-

-

Payout ratio

69

60

61

25

0

Dividend policy

  • Spar Nord aims to distribute 40-60% of the net profit for the year with due consideration to meeting the Bank's capital targets
  • The Bank intends to the make distributions in the form of cash dividends and share buybacks, always provided that at least 30% of the net profit will be distributed as cash dividends

9

Financial guidance and financial targets 2023-25

  • Financial guidance for 2024
    • Core earnings before impairments expected to be in the DKK 2.4-2.9 billion range
    • Impairment charges are budgeted at a level around 0.30% of loans, advances and guarantees
    • Profit after tax expected to be in the DKK 1.7-2.1 billion range
      • Corresponding to a ROE after tax in the 13-16% range

10

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Disclaimer

Spar Nord Bank A/S published this content on 04 March 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 04 March 2024 08:08:07 UTC.