Spar Nord update
Danske Bank
Nordic Banking Seminar
Lasse Nyby, CEO
4 March 2024
2023, A historical great year for Spar Nord
Profitability at very satisfactory level | |||||
SPAR NORD BANK | |||||
● Net profit at DKK 2.4 billion | DKKm | 2023 | 2022 | Index | |
Net interest income | 3,538 | 2,011 | 176 | ||
● 19.7% ROE after tax | |||||
Net fees, charges and commissions | 1,493 | 1,689 | 88 | ||
● Capital distribution of 69% | Market-v alue adjustments and div idends | 452 | 323 | 140 | |
Other income | 175 | 122 | 143 | ||
Continued business growth and record high NII | Core income | 5,658 | 4,145 | 136 | |
Staff costs | 1,493 | 1,384 | 108 | ||
● 3% growth in total business volume | Operating expenses | 1,057 | 953 | 111 | |
Costs and expenses | 2,550 | 2,338 | 109 | ||
● Net interest income above DKK 3.5 billion | |||||
Core earnings before impairment | 3,108 | 1,808 | 172 | ||
● Net reversal of impairment charges | Impairments of loans and adv ances | -33 | 78 | - | |
Profit before tax | 3,141 | 1,730 | 182 | ||
Tax | 720 | 313 | 230 | ||
ROE among the best in Denmark | Profit | 2,421 | 1,417 | 171 | |
ROE
(% after tax)
Arbejdernes Landsbank Jyske Bank
Spar Nord Bank
Sydbank
Ringkjøbing Landbobank
Sparekassen Danmark*
Average (Peer group)
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
8.0 | 4.4 | 14.4 | 6.7 | 14.7 |
7.1 | 4.4 | 8.8 | 10.0 | 14.4 |
11.7 | 7.4 | 12.9 | 12.5 | 19.7 |
7.4 | 6.7 | 11.3 | 14.5 | 23.4 |
13.2 | 11.7 | 14.6 | 16.6 | 21.8 |
13.0 | 7.7 | 11.2 | 7.3 | 12.9 |
10.1 | 7.1 | 12.2 | 11.3 | 17.8 |
ROE after tax 2023 | 23.4 | |
21.8 | ||
Avg. ROE | 19.7 | |
(5 year) | ||
9.6 | 14.4 | |
8.9 | ||
12.7 | ||
12.8 | 11.4 | |
12.7 | ||
15.6 | ||
10.4 | ||
11.7 |
*ROE in 2023 based on company estimates
Nykredit | Danske Bank | Jyske Bank | Spar Nord | Ringkjøbing | Sydbank | 2 |
Landbobank |
Strong trend in NII/NCI less costs
Net interest income
- Strong increase in lending rates - up 187 bp. y/y
- In the same period, CB rate has been raised by 185 bp.
- Deposit margin well-established - deposit rates up a modest 69 bp. y/y
- Increase in NII from excess liquidity of DKK 1,145 million compared to 2022
- For 2024, decline expected in net interest income
- Sustained organic growth in lending from strategic focus on business customers, growth in leasing business and bank mortgage loans
- Pressure on deposit margins and higher funding costs
- Expectation of three rate cuts from June 2024 and onwards totaling 75 bp.
Net fee income
- Overall lower level of activity within the housing market
- Also decline in activity within securities trading and assets under management, where fee income was also negatively affected by last year's decline in volume within assets under management
- For 2024, modest increase expected in net fee income
- Continuing organic growth and additional customer activity driven by improved distribution capabilities through establishment of new branches
- Increase in net fee income from a higher level of activity in areas such as pension, insurance and securities trading, as well as a higher asset management volume at the beginning of the year
DKKm | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Net interest income | 1,573 | 1,584 | 1,736 | 2,011 | 3,538 |
Net fees, charges and commissions | 1,225 | 1,238 | 1,541 | 1,689 | 1,493 |
NII and NCI | 2,799 | 2,822 | 3,277 | 3,701 | 5,031 |
Costs | 2,014 | 2,099 | 2,237 | 2,338 | 2,550 |
NII and NCI less costs | 784 | 723 | 1,040 | 1,363 | 2,481 |
Bank loans and leasing | ||||||||||||||||||||
DKKb | 2019 - 2023: CAGR of 7.4% | |||||||||||||||||||
60 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Pct.-point | 5.48 | 50 | ||||||||||||||||||
3.77 | 3.62 | 3.66 | 4.30 | 40 | ||||||||||||||||
30 | ||||||||||||||||||||
4.49 | 6.36 | |||||||||||||||||||
3.62 | 3.34 | 3.16 | 0.19 | 0.88 | 20 | |||||||||||||||
10 | ||||||||||||||||||||
-0.15 | -0.28 | -0.50 | ||||||||||||||||||
0 | ||||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | |||||||||||
Deposits | Loans | Margin | ||||||||||||||||||
DKKm | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Mortgage fee | 430 | 434 | 511 | 548 | 474 |
Loan transaction fees | 137 | 108 | 130 | 147 | 89 |
Securities and asset management | 382 | 401 | 471 | 504 | 441 |
Other fees | 276 | 294 | 429 | 491 | 489 |
Total net fees | 1,225 | 1,238 | 1,541 | 1,689 | 1,493 |
3
National foothold
North Denmark Region
Business volume DKK 115 billion (2019: 106)
FTE 321 (2019: 378)
Branches 21 (2019: 21)
Central Denmark Region
Business volume DKK 79 billion (2019: 62)
FTE 233 (2019: 222)
Branches 9 (2019: 9)
Region of Southern Denmark
Business volume DKK 42 billion (2019: 30)
FTE 133 (2019: 115)
Branches 9 (2019: 8)
New Local Banks established in recent years
- 2020
- Branch in Herlev
- 2021
- Branch in Korsør
- Branch in Solrød Strand
- 2022
- Branch in Hørsholm
- Banking area on Nykøbing Falster
- Banking area in Allerød
- 2023
- Branch in Helsinge
- Banking area in Frederikssund
Capital Region of Denmark
Business volume DKK 53 billion (2019: 21)
FTE 180 (2019: 83)
Branches 15 (2019: 5)
Region Zealand
Business volume DKK 53 billion (2019: 37)
FTE 143 (2019: 122)
Branches 8 (2019: 5)
4
Costs/income ratio down to 45
- Total costs amounted to DKK 2,550 million versus DKK 2,338 million in 2022 (9%)
- Payroll costs increases by DKK 109 million (8%)
- 1,703 employees by end of 2023, which was 59 more than at end of 2022
- The increase was mainly driven by recent years' opening of new local banks and banking areas on Zealand and within leasing and the Large Corporates area
- Operating expenses up by DKK 104 million (11%)
- The increase in operating expenses was mainly due to higher IT costs relating to the Bank's data processing centre, BEC and other IT costs
Trend in costs
DKKm | ||||||
2,600 | 32 | |||||
76 | 5 | |||||
2,450 | ||||||
109 | ||||||
2,300 | 2,550 | |||||
2,150 | 2,338 | |||||
2,000 | ||||||
2022 | Staff costs | IT expenses | Other | Depreciation | 2023 | |
administrative | ||||||
expenses |
- C/I Ratio of 45 versus C/I Ratio of 56 in 2022
- Cost expectations for 2024
- Increase in payroll costs driven by a higher average headcount and pay increases in accordance with collective agreements
- Increase in IT costs due to recent years' growth, partly to work to complete several in-house IT projects
- Expected one-off costs of approx. DKK 40 million related to the bank's 200th anniversary and cloud migration
Breakdown of operating expenses
Operating expenses | |||
(DKKm) | 2023 | 2022 | Change |
Staff-related expenses | 57 | 46 | 10 |
Travel expenses | 20 | 16 | 4 |
Marketing costs | 70 | 65 | 5 |
IT expenses | 620 | 544 | 76 |
Cost of premises | 59 | 61 | -2 |
Other administrative expenses | 138 | 123 | 15 |
Depreciation | 94 | 98 | -5 |
Operating expenses | 1,057 | 953 | 104 |
5
Impairment reserves at a high level
- Net reversal of impairment charges of DKK 33 million in 2023
- In 2023, management estimates and model-calculated impairments has continued to front-run impairment charges
- Continued decline in the number of exposures flagged for OEI and improved credit quality resulted in lower individual impairments in stage 3 of DKK 72 million
- Total increase in impairments in stage 1 and 2 and management estimates of DKK 79 million, whereof 88 was attributable to an underlying increase in management estimate
- Total management estimate of DKK 662 million breaks down into DKK 389 million on corporate customers and DKK 273 million on private customers
- For 2024, Impairment charges are budgeted at a level around 0.30% of loans, advances and guarantees
Impairments by type | Q4 | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 |
(DKKm) | 2022 | 2023 | 2023 | 2023 | 2023 |
Management estimates | 574 | 588 | 646 | 671 | 662 |
Impairments in Stage 1 and 2 | 469 | 472 | 473 | 497 | 460 |
Impairments in Stage 1 and 2 + Estimates | 1,043 | 1,060 | 1,119 | 1,169 | 1,122 |
Impairments in Stage 3 | 623 | 608 | 569 | 543 | 551 |
Total impairments | 1,666 | 1,667 | 1,688 | 1,712 | 1,673 |
DKKm | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 |
Management estimates | 40 | 303 | 570 | 536 | 574 | 662 |
Profit impact from management estimates | 263 | 267 | -34 | 38 | 88 | |
Income statement, impairment charges | 22 | 309 | -120 | 78 | -33 | |
Impairment charges ex. effect from change | ||||||
in management estimates | -241 | 42 | -86 | 40 | -121 |
6
Well diversified loan book maintained
- Loan book is generally very well diversified on industries
- No abnormal exposure to any business sectors
- Largest sector exposure is property which accounts for 12%
-
83% collateralized with property mortgages - of which
75% are first mortgages
-
83% collateralized with property mortgages - of which
- Exposure to private customers accounts for 44% of loans and guarantees - against a sector average of approx. 1/3
Loans and guarantees broken down by industry*
DKKm | Pct. | |||||
Industry | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
Public authorities | 760 | 1,358 | 1,259 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
Agriculture | 2,643 | 2,802 | 2,743 | 3.8 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
Fisheries | 56 | 93 | 114 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 |
Industry | 3,416 | 3,666 | 3,055 | 5.0 | 5.3 | 4.5 |
Utilities | 1,872 | 2,159 | 1,842 | 2.7 | 3.1 | 2.7 |
Building and construction | 3,046 | 3,106 | 2,993 | 4.4 | 4.5 | 4.4 |
Trade | 4,465 | 4,977 | 4,191 | 6.5 | 7.2 | 6.1 |
Transport, Hotels and Restaurants | 3,157 | 3,165 | 2,897 | 4.6 | 4.6 | 4.2 |
Information | 351 | 330 | 389 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Financing and insurance | 4,231 | 4,469 | 4,139 | 6.1 | 6.4 | 6.1 |
Property | 8,393 | 8,200 | 7,343 | 12.2 | 11.8 | 10.8 |
Other industries | 6,241 | 5,580 | 5,008 | 9.1 | 8.1 | 7.3 |
Total Business customers | 38,630 | 39,905 | 35,973 | 56.1 | 57.6 | 52.7 |
Private customers | 30,234 | 29,385 | 32,260 | 43.9 | 42.4 | 47.3 |
Total | 68,864 | 69,290 | 68,234 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
* Excl. rev erse repo transactions
7
Total credit distribution by industry*
Bank loans and guarantees + Originated mortageloans - 2023 (DKKm)
Spar Nord | Spar Nord | Originated | ||||||
On balance sheet | Off balance sheet | mortgage loans | Total | |||||
Industry | Bank loans | SparXpres | Leasing loans | Guarantees | Totalkredit | DLR Kredit | Total | in pct. |
Public authorities | 755 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 760 | 0.5 | |
Agriculture and Fisheries | 1,502 | 937 | 11 | 310 | 3,098 | 5,859 | 3.5 | |
Industry | 1,988 | 993 | 405 | 316 | 173 | 3,874 | 2.3 | |
Utilities | 958 | 817 | 79 | 29 | 24 | 1,907 | 1.1 | |
Construction and engineering | 1,348 | 1,339 | 272 | 820 | 336 | 4,115 | 2.4 | |
Trade | 3,467 | 695 | 227 | 889 | 331 | 5,610 | 3.3 | |
Transport, hotels and restaurants | 1,305 | 1,713 | 101 | 391 | 107 | 3,617 | 2.1 | |
Informations | 275 | 40 | 14 | 365 | 12 | 706 | 0.4 | |
Financing and insurance | 3,607 | 232 | 338 | 185 | 398 | 4,759 | 2.8 | |
Property | 7,664 | 183 | 162 | 2,106 | 3,946 | 14,061 | 8.3 | |
Other industries | 3,862 | 2,042 | 157 | 2,767 | 293 | 9,121 | 5.4 |
Total businesss customers | 26,730 | 8,994 | 1,767 | 8,180 | 8,717 | 54,388 | 32.3 | |
Private customers | 22,897 | 509 | 10 | 1,503 | 87,566 | 1,706 | 114,191 | 67.7 |
Total | 49,627 | 509 | 9,004 | 3,270 | 95,745 | 10,424 | 168,579 | 100.0 |
*Gross credit distribution excl. reverse repo transactions
8
Solid capital coverage and distribution of 69%
- Capital ratios, year-end 2023
- CET1: 17.7 (strategic target: 13.5)
- Own funds ratio: 22.3 (strategic target: 17.5)
- Individual solvency requirement of 9.8% and combined buffer requirement of 6.0%
- Excess coverage of 6.2 percentage points or DKK 3.8 billion
- Deductions for the share buyback programme are expected to reduce Spar Nord's capital ratios by 0.9 of a percentage point at the end of Q1 2024
- IRB-project,status
- Application submitted to the Danish FSA at early July 2023
- The Danish FSA's processing of the application is progressing as planned
- Implementation of IRB models at the 2024/2025 changeover
- Initial effect from IRB-implementation partly offset by Basel III / CRD IV
- Over time, increasing positive effects from IRB implementation
Capital position
Pct. / DKKm | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | ||
Common equity Tier 1 capital ratio | 17.7 | 16.4 | 16.3 | 17.2 | 14.6 | ||
Additional Tier 1 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.5 | ||
Tier 1 capital ratio | 19.7 | 18.4 | 18.3 | 18.6 | 16.1 | ||
Tier 2 capital | 2.6 | 2.6 | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.3 | ||
Own funds ratio | 22.3 | 20.9 | 20.8 | 21.0 | 18.5 | ||
Total Risk Exposure | 60,369 | 60,463 | 60,479 | 54,865 | 55,963 | ||
Of wihich Credit Risk | 49,563 | 50,063 | 50,165 | 45,277 | 47,068 | ||
Of wihich Market Risk | 3,958 | 3,901 | 4,140 | 3,994 | 3,340 | ||
Of wihich Operationel Risk | 6,848 | 6,499 | 6,174 | 5,594 | 5,555 | ||
Payout ratio
2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |
Dividend per share (DKK) | 10.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
Share buyback (DKKm) | 500 | 300 | 225 | - | - |
Payout ratio | 69 | 60 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Dividend policy
- Spar Nord aims to distribute 40-60% of the net profit for the year with due consideration to meeting the Bank's capital targets
- The Bank intends to the make distributions in the form of cash dividends and share buybacks, always provided that at least 30% of the net profit will be distributed as cash dividends
9
Financial guidance and financial targets 2023-25
- Financial guidance for 2024
- Core earnings before impairments expected to be in the DKK 2.4-2.9 billion range
- Impairment charges are budgeted at a level around 0.30% of loans, advances and guarantees
- Profit after tax expected to be in the DKK 1.7-2.1 billion range
- Corresponding to a ROE after tax in the 13-16% range
10
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Disclaimer
Spar Nord Bank A/S published this content on 04 March 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 04 March 2024 08:08:07 UTC.