Q2 FY2020
Earnings Presentation
2 0 2 0 /8/ 5
Table of Contents
Ⅰ Q2 FY2020 Financial Summary | P 3-16 | |
Ⅱ | FY2020 Earnings Forecast | P17-20 |
Ⅲ | Outlook | P21-30 |
Reference material | P31-34 |
Ⅰ
Q2 FY2020
Financial Summary
FY2020 Summary (January-June 2020
Business Environment and Events
- The economic recession ensuing from the COVID-19 pandemic materially impacted the Q2 financial results
- Our two core business Graphite electrode and Carbon black was severely depressed by decline in demand of steel industry and tire industry. On the other hand, demand for Fine carbon and Industrial furnaces was strong due to the growth of 5G/IoT-related markets.
- Under these circumstances, Tokai Carbon deployed the measures to improve profitability by company-wide investment restraint, production adjustment/inventory reduction, productivity improvement/cost reduction and took financial measures to secure liquidity.
- Completed acquisition of all shares of Carbone Savoie International SAS, which owns Carbone Savoie SAS, a French carbon graphite product manufacturer (July 17, 2020)
- Issued the second hybrid corporate bond (subordinated corporate bond) through public offering (June 30, 2020)
- Tanoura Plant (Kumamoto Prefecture), a manufacturing site to produce material for the fine carbon business, was damaged by heavy rain in July 4, 2020. Restoration of production facilities will be in late August apart from the graphitization furnace where the fire broke out. Impact on supply chain is limited due to effective utilization of production facilities and inventory within the group.
Operating Trends
Net Sales | ¥93.7 billion decreased 32.6% YoY |
- Lower sales volume and price (Graphite electrodes and Carbon black)
- Tokai COBEX contributes to the consolidated company sales from August 2019
Operating income | ¥5.8 billion decreased 85.6% YoY |
Summary of Consolidated Results
- Net sales ¥93.7 billion, Operating income ¥5.8 billion, ROS 6.2
- Net sales and Operating income decreased YoY
Millions of yen | |||||||||
Jan-Jun 2019 | Jan-Jun 2020 | YoY Change | %Change | ||||||
Net sales | 139,176 | 93,738 | ▲45,438 | ▲32.6% | |||||
Operating income | 40,441 | 5,817 | ▲34,623 | ▲85.6% | |||||
Ordinary income | 40,562 | 5,163 | ▲35,399 | ▲87.3% | |||||
Net income attributable to | |||||||||
owners | 26,067 | 2,158 | ▲23,908 | ▲91.7% | |||||
of the parent company | |||||||||
Group companies | As of June 30, 2020 | Average exchange rates: | |||||||
Consolidated subsidiaries: | 33 | 2019 | USD1 | ¥110.05, EUR1=¥124.32 | |||||
Equity method affiliates: | 2 | 2020 | USD1 | ¥108.27, EUR1=¥119.3 |
YoY Analysis: Net Sales
- Lower sales volume and lower margin (Graphite electrodes and Carbon black)
- Results in, Net sales decline 32.6% YoY
increase/
Millions of yen
Summary
(decrease)
Graphite electrodes: ¥22.6bn
Volume 25,598 Carbon black: :( ¥16.3bn)
Smelting and Lining: (+¥12.9bn)
Sales | 18,016 | Graphite electrodes: | ¥12.9bn |
Price | Carbon black ( ¥5.1bn) | ||
Volume | Sales Price | FX |
25,598 18,016 1,822
FX | 1,822 | Yen appreciation USD Euro |
Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | |||
2019 | 2020 | |||
139,176 | 93,738 | Total | ▲45,438 | |
YoY Analysis: Operating Income
- Lower sales volume and lower margin (Graphite electrodes and Carbon black)
- Result in, Operating income decline 85.6% YoY
Amortizationof goodwill: | 4,070 |
Increase/
(Millions of yen)
Summary
Acquisition-related expenses | + 755 |
Inventory valuation loss return | + 999 |
Volume Margin FX Other
16,101 | 16,203 | 266 | 2,053 |
Jan-Jun
(decrease)
Graphite electrodes: ( ¥14.6bn)
Volume 16,101 Carbon black: ( ¥5.8bn) Smelting and Lining: (+¥43bn)
Margin | 16,203 | Graphite electrodes ¥15.8bn |
Carbon black ( ¥3bn) | ||
FX | 266 | Yen appreciation |
Jan-Jun
2019
40,441
2020
5,817
Other | 2,053 | Goodwill amortization, etc. |
Total ▲34,623
Net Sales and Operating Income by Segment
- Net sales and Operating income decreased YoY
- Tokai COBEX business was newly segmented as "Smelting and Lining" (from August 2019)
Millions of yen | ||||||||
Net sales | Operating income | |||||||
Jan-Jun2019 | Jan-Jun2020 | YoY Change | Jan-Jun2019 | Jan-Jun2020 | YoY Change | |||
Graphite Electrodes | 57,052 | 20,927 | ▲36,124 | 31,340 | 1,522 | ▲29,818 | ||
Carbon Black | 54,595 | 32,630 | ▲21,964 | 5,686 | ▲108 | ▲5,795 | ||
Fine Carbon | 15,960 | 15,544 | ▲415 | 3,455 | 3,484 | +28 | ||
Smelting and Lining | 12,900 | +12,900 | ▲972 | ▲238 | +733 | |||
Industrial Furnaces and | 5,013 | 6,390 | +1,376 | 1,348 | 1,659 | +310 | ||
Related Products | ||||||||
Friction | 3,916 | 3,175 | ▲741 | |||||
materials | ||||||||
Other | Anode | 2,564 | 2,097 | ▲467 | ||||
materials | ||||||||
Operation | ||||||||
Others | 72 | 71 | ▲1 | |||||
6,554 | 5,344 | ▲1,210 | 199 | 233 | +34 | |||
Inter-segment eliminations | ▲618 | ▲734 | ▲116 | |||||
Total | 139,176 | 93,738 | ▲45,438 | 40,441 | 5,817 | ▲34,623 | ||
Graphite Electrodes
- Graphite electrode demand declined by weak steel demand and inventory adjustment at customer. COVID-19 pandemic was an further hit to this condition
- Decline in Sales 63.3%, Operating income 95.1% YoY
Millions of yen | Net Sales Difference | Operating Income Difference | |||||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | YoY | % | ||||||||||||||
2019 | 2020 | Change | Change | ||||||||||||||
Inventory valuation loss return +660 | |||||||||||||||||
Net sales | 57,052 | 20,927 | ▲36,124 | ▲63.3% | Sales | ||||||||||||
Volume | FX | ||||||||||||||||
22,684 | price | 474 | |||||||||||||||
Operating | 31,340 | 1,522 | ▲29,818 | ▲95.1% | 12,966 | Volume | Margin | FX | Other | ||||||||
14,608 | 15,897 | 42 | +729 | ||||||||||||||
income | |||||||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | |||||||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | 2020 | ||||||||||||||
ROS | 54.9% | 7.3% | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 1,522 | |||||||||||
57,052 | 20,927 | 31,340 | |||||||||||||||
Carbon Black
- Auto and tire producers suspended operation one after another from late March. Demand of Carbon black for April to June period was severely depressed. Recorded around 30% drop in volume YoY
- Implemented production cuts corresponding to the collapse in carbon black demand. ROS ▲0.3% (10.4% YoY) due to the sharp increase in cost of sales ratio
Millions of yen | Net Sales Difference | Operating Income Difference | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | YoY | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 2020 | Change | Change | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Net sales | 54,595 | 32,630 | ▲21,964 | ▲40.2% | Volume | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
16,332 | Sales | FX | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
price | Fixed cost: +368 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
505 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5,127 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Operating | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
5,686 | ▲108 | ▲5,795 | % | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
income | 2019 | Volume | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | 5,686 | 5,855 | Margin | Other | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
ROS | 10.4% | 0.3% | Jan-Jun | 389 | FX | +458 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 2020 | 8 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
54,595 | 32,630 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
2020 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
▲108
Fine Carbon
- Sales volume for general industry dropped by production/inventory adjustments at customer due to the spread of COVID-19 pandemic
- Robust sales of Semiconductors and PV business
- Results in, 2.6% decline in Net sales, 0.8% increase in Operating income on YoY
Net Sales Difference | Operating income Difference |
Millions of yen |
Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | YoY | % | |
2019 | 2020 | Change | Change | |
Net sales | 15,960 | 15,544 | ▲415 | ▲2.6% |
Operating | 3,455 | 3,484 | +28 | +0.8% |
income | ||||
ROS | 21.7% | 22.4% | ||
Fixed cost: 192
Volume | FX | ||||||||||||||
+305 | 789 | ||||||||||||||
Volume | Margin | FX | Other | ||||||||||||
+148 | +263 | 206 | 176 | ||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | ||||||||||||
2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | ||||||||||||
15,960 | 15,544 | 3,455 | 3,484 | ||||||||||||
Smelting and Lining
- Tokai COBEX (TCX) consolidated from August 2019
- Q2 Operating income of TCX resulted in ¥4.4b. Contribution to the consolidated operating income although was negative ¥0.2b since in the segment accounting, 2.4b amortization cost of valuation difference arising from the allocation of acquisition cost, ¥1.9 goodwill amortization and ¥0.2b one-off M&A related cost for Carbone Savoie acquired in July 17, 2020, were accounted
Millions of yen | Net sales Difference | Operating income Difference | |||||||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | YoY | % | Valuation difference amortization: | 2,444 | ||||||||||||||
2019 | 2020 | Change | Change | Sales | Goodwill amortization: | 1,944 | |||||||||||||
Volume | FX | Acquisition related expenses: | +755 | ||||||||||||||||
price | |||||||||||||||||||
+12,900 | |||||||||||||||||||
Net sales | 12,900 | +12,900 | |||||||||||||||||
Operating | ▲972 | ▲238 | +733 | +75.4% | |||||||||||||||
income | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | |||||||||||||||||
Volume | Margin FX | Other | |||||||||||||||||
2019 | 2020 | ||||||||||||||||||
ROS | % | 1.9% | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | ▲972 | +4,397 | 3,664 | ▲238 | |||||||||||
2020 | |||||||||||||||||||
2019 | |||||||||||||||||||
12,900 | |||||||||||||||||||
Industrial Furnace and Related Products
- Ceramic heaters: Lower sales YoY. Demand of Electric components industry and in China dropped by the spread of COVID-19 pandemic.
- Industrial furnaces: Higher sales YoY. Robust CAPEX in IT industry and Energy related industry
Millions of yen | Net Sales Difference | Operating income Difference | |||||||||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | YoY | % | ||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 2020 | Change | Change | ||||||||||||||||||
Volume | Sales | FX | |||||||||||||||||||
price | |||||||||||||||||||||
44 | |||||||||||||||||||||
Net sales | 5,013 | 6,390 | +1,376 | +27.4% | +1,527 | 107 | |||||||||||||||
Volume | Margin | FX | Other | ||||||||||||||||||
+435 | 61 | 8 | 56 | ||||||||||||||||||
Operating | 1,348 | 1,659 | +310 | +23.0% | |||||||||||||||||
income | |||||||||||||||||||||
Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | ||||||||||||||||||
ROS | 26.9% | 26.0% | 2019 | 2020 | 2019 | 2020 | |||||||||||||||
5,013 | 6,390 | 1,348 | 1,659 | ||||||||||||||||||
Other Business Friction Material,LiB Anode Materials
Friction materials: Lower sales volume due to the exit from the four-wheel automotive business and spread of the COVID-19 pandemic
Net sales ¥3,175 million 18.9% YoY
Anode materials Lower sales volume YoY due to the harsh competition driven by the new
entrants | |
Net sales ¥2,097 million | 18.2% YoY |
Millions of yen | |||||
Jan-Mar | Jan-Mar | YoY | % | ||
2019 | 2020 | Change | Change | ||
Net sales | 6,554 | 5,344 | 1,210 | 18.5% | |
Operating | 199 | 233 | +34 | +17.3% | |
income | |||||
ROS | 3.0% | 4.4% | |||
Net Sales Difference | Operating income Difference |
Inventory valuation loss return: +234
Fixed cost: | +539 |
Volume Sales FX
1,314 price 10
+115
Jan-Jun | Volume | Margin | FX | Other | Jan-Jun | ||
2019 | 2020 | ||||||
Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | 199 | 618 | 119 | 2 | +773 | 233 |
2019 | 2020 |
6,554 | 5,344 |
Cash Flow
Major Cash Flow items | Millions of yen | |||
Jan-Jun 2019 | Jan-Jun 2020 | Summary | ||
Cash flows from operating activities | 15,027 | 25,536 | ||
Net income (loss) before income taxes | 40,295 | 5,074 | ||
Depreciation and amortization | 6,743 | 9,998 | ||
Amortization on goodwill | 1,315 | 3,194 | ||
Decrease (increase) in trade receivable | 433 | 15,716 | ||
Decrease (increase) in inventories | 17,840 | 7,077 | ||
Working capital +10,933 (Jan-Jun 2019: 19,651) | ||||
Increase (decrease) in accounts payable- | 2,244 | 11,860 | ||
trade | ||||
Income tax paid | 13,675 | 3,663 | ||
Cash flows from investing activities | 9,661 | 13,532 | Free cash flow: ¥12,003 million increase +¥6,638 million YoY | |
Purchase of property, pant and | 9,466 | 12,063 | ||
equipment | ||||
Cash flows from financing activities | 8,420 | 9,095 | ||
Net increase (decrease) in short-term | 5,008 | 4,944 | ||
Loans payable | ||||
Bond issuance | - | 20,000 | ||
Payment of dividends | 2,557 | 5,115 | ||
Cash and cash equivalents at end of period | 37,172 | 66,630 |
※Working capital = Trade receivables + Inventories - accounts payable-trade
Balance Sheet
Major Balance Sheet Items | Millions of yen | ||||||
December 31, | June 30, | Summary | |||||
2019 | 2020 | ||||||
Total assets | 462,872 | 448,563 | |||||
Current assets | 196,446 | 190,957 | Cash/monthly sales: 4.7times End of FY2019:2.4 times | ||||
Cash and cash equivalents | 52,695 | 74,198 | |||||
Inventory | ¥8,262 million from the end of FY2019) | ||||||
Notes and accounts | 50,648 | 34,146 | |||||
receivable | |||||||
Inventory | 86,380 | 78,118 | Tangible fixed assets: +¥4,752 million from the end of FY2019 | ||||
Fixed assets | 266,425 | 257,606 | |||||
Intangible fixed assets: | ¥101,22 million from the end of FY 2019 | ||||||
Tangible fixed assets | 101,343 | 106,096 | |||||
Intangible fixed assets | 141,966 | 131,844 | |||||
Investments and other | 23,115 | 19,666 | |||||
assets | |||||||
Total liabilities | 229,896 | 228,331 | Interest-bearing debt:¥163,046 million +15,016 million from End of FY2019 | ||||
Current liabilities | 117,541 | 83,396 | Direct-funding ratio:58.3 | (End of FY2019: 43.9%) |
Long-term debt ratio: 68.3 % (End of FY2019: 53.8%)
Long-term liabilities | 144,934 | Short term credit line:¥62 billion (End of FY2019: ¥40 billion), ¥20 billion executed | ||
112,355 | Liquidation of receivables and CP issuance limit: | |||
¥58 billion (End of FY2019: ¥48 billion), ¥40 billion executed | ||||
Total net assets | 232,975 | 220,232 | Capital-to-asset ratio: 44.5% (End of 2019 45.8%) | |
Shareholder's capital | 203,819 | 200,881 | ||
Adjusted Capital-to-asset ratio*:52,3% (End of 2019: 51.2%) | ||||
Other accumulated | ||||
8,019 | 1,412 | Net D/E ratio: 0.4 times (End of 2019: 0.5 times) | ||
Comprehensive income | ||||
Adjusted Net D/E ratio: 0.2 times (End of 2019: 0.3 times) | ||||
Non-controlling interests | 21,137 | 20,764 | ||
Total liabilities and net assets | 462,872 | 448,563 | ||
※Adjusted capital-to-asset ratio is the ratio that takes into account the equity qualifications of rating agencies in hybrid finance
Ⅱ
F Y 2 0 2 0
Earnings Forecast
Consolidated Earnings Forecast FY2020
- Sales and Operating income steeply declined from Q2 in Graphite electrodes and Carbon black business
- Limited impact of COVID-19 to Fine carbon, Smelting and lining and Industrial furnace business
Millions of yen | ||||||||
Previous Forecast February 12 | Updated Forecast for FY 2020 | YoY | % Change | |||||
Change | ||||||||
1H | 2H | Full Year | 1H | 2H | Full Year | |||
Net sales | 120,100 | 131,100 | 251,200 | 93,738 | 96,262 | 190,000 | 61,200 | 24.4% |
Operating income | 10,500 | 17,700 | 28,200 | 5,817 | 283 | 6,100 | 22,100 | 78.4% |
Ordinary income | 10,300 | 17,500 | 27,800 | 5,163 | 163 | 5,000 | 22,800 | 82.0% |
Net Income | ||||||||
attributable to owners | 5,600 | 11,000 | 16,600 | 2,158 | 1,158 | 1,000 | 15,600 | 94.0% |
of the parent | ||||||||
company | ||||||||
ROS | 8.8% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 0.3% | 3.2% | ||
ROIC | 5.7% | |||||||
ROE | 8.0% | 0.5% | ||||||
Group companies | Average exchange rates: |
Consolidated subsidiaries: 34 | |
USD1=¥106 , EUR1=¥119 | |
Equity method affiliates: 2 | |
Net Sales and Operating Income Forecast by Segment
Millions of yen
Previous Forecast (February 12) | Updated Forecast for FY 2020 | YoY Change | % Change | |||||||||
1H | 2H | Full year | 1H | 2H | Full year | |||||||
Net Sales | 120,100 | 131,100 | 251,200 | 93,738 | 96,262 | 190,000 | 61,200 | 24.4% | ||||
Graphite Electrodes | 31,100 | 34,800 | 65,900 | 20,927 | 16,172 | 37,100 | 28,800 | ▲43.7% | ||||
Carbon Black | 46,900 | 46,400 | 93,300 | 32,630 | 29,069 | 61,700 | 31,600 | ▲33.9% | ||||
Fine Carbon | 13,700 | 15,000 | 28,700 | 15,544 | 14,555 | 30,100 | +1,400 | +4.9% | ||||
Smelting and Lining | 16,000 | 21,000 | 37,000 | 12,900 | 23,399 | 36,300 | 700 | ▲1.9% | ||||
Industrial Furnaces and | 7,100 | 8,500 | 15,600 | 6,390 | 8,310 | 14,700 | 900 | ▲5.8% | ||||
Related Products | ||||||||||||
Friction materials | 3,900 | 3,900 | 7,800 | 3,175 | 2,925 | 6,100 | 1,700 | ▲21.8% | ||||
Other | Anode materials | 1,300 | 1,400 | 2,700 | 2,097 | 1,803 | 3,900 | +1,200 | +44.4% | |||
Operation | Others | 100 | 100 | 200 | 71 | 28 | 100 | 100 | ▲50.0% | |||
Total Others | 5,300 | 5,400 | 10,700 | 5,344 | 4,756 | 10,100 | 600 | ▲5.6% | ||||
Operating Income | 10,500 | 17,700 | 28,200 | 5,817 | 283 | 6,100 | 22,100 | 78.4% | ||||
Graphite Electrodes | 2,900 | 5,100 | 8,000 | 1,522 | ▲5,222 | ▲3,700 | 11,700 | ▲146.3% | ||||
Carbon Black | 3,600 | 4,000 | 7,600 | 108 | 309 | 200 | 7,400 | ▲97.4% | ||||
Fine Carbon | 2,200 | 2,900 | 5,100 | 3,484 | 2,516 | 6,000 | +900 | +17.6% | ||||
Smelting and Lining | 800 | 4,000 | 4,800 | 238 | 1,939 | 1,700 | 3,100 | ▲64.6% | ||||
Industrial Furnaces and | 1,600 | 2,200 | 3,800 | 1,659 | 1,740 | 3,400 | 400 | ▲10.5% | ||||
Related Products | ||||||||||||
Others | 200 | 200 | 400 | 233 | ▲234 | 0 | 400 | ▲100.0% | ||||
Inter-segment eliminations | 800 | 700 | 1,500 | 734 | 765 | 1,500 | 0 | - | ||||
▲ | ▲ | ▲ | ▲ |
Dividend policy
- Steady dividends on a continued base targeting 30% payout ratio
- FY2020 dividend of ¥30 per share projected (¥15 per share each for mid and year-end dividend)
Dividend per share and Net income
yen/share | Millions of yen | |||||||||||||||||||||
Yen/Share | Net Income (right axis) | |||||||||||||||||||||
48 | 70,000 | |||||||||||||||||||||
50,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
24 | 30 | 30,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||
Consistently stable dividend | ||||||||||||||||||||||
12 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 10,000 | ||||||||||||||||
(10,000) | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Year | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020f | |||||||||||
Total dividend | 1742 | 1,708 | 1,708 | 1,280 | 1,280 | 1,280 | 1,280 | 2,556 | 5,114 | 10,230 | 6,394 | |||||||||||
Millions of yen | ||||||||||||||||||||||
Payout ratio | 31% | 28% | 75% | 106% | 50% | 52% | - | 21% | 7% | 32% | 640% | |||||||||||
Ⅲ
F Y 2 0 2 0
Outlook
Achieving the target of T-2022
T-2022 Basic policies unchanged
Outlook for the Graphite Electrode Business
- Demand declined corresponding to the operational cuts in EAF. Still highly uncertain of the 2nd half business negotiation
- Full recovery may not arrive until the end of 2021
- Fundamentals surrounding the business remain unchanged (electrode demand will grow over the medium term)
Short-Term Forecast for Steel Material Demand (World Steel Association
Steel demand may not fully recover until the end of 2021
Million tons | YoY growth | |||||
2019 | 2020f | 2021f | 2019 | 2020f | 2021f | |
EU(28) | 158.1 | 133.1 | 147.0 | -5.6% | -15.8% | 10.4% |
Europe | 33.8 | 33.3 | 36.5 | -10.0% | -1.6% | 9.7% |
(other) | ||||||
CIS | 58.8 | 52.7 | 56.5 | 5.6% | -10.3% | 7.1% |
NAFTA | 135.0 | 108.0 | 114.7 | -4.0% | -20.0% | 6.2% |
Latin | 42.4 | 35.1 | 39.3 | -3.6% | -17.3% | 12.2% |
America | ||||||
Africa | 36.4 | 33.0 | 34.9 | 0.4% | -9.4% | 5.9% |
The Middle | 48.7 | 40.2 | 45.4 | -2.3% | -17.4% | 12.9% |
East | ||||||
Asia and | 1253.3 | 1218.6 | 1243.2 | 6.5% | -2.8% | 2.0% |
others | ||||||
Global total | 1766.5 | 1653.9 | 1717.4 | 3.4% | -6.4% | 3.8% |
Medium- to Long-Term Perspective
Fundamentals surrounding the electrode business remain unchanged
Regional Breakdown of Global | Percentage of EAF Steel by Region (2018) |
Crude Steel Production |
To be raised above | |||||||
66% | 25% | ||||||
Other | |||||||
North | 53 | ||||||
44% | |||||||
Americ | China | 41% | |||||
a | Approx. | ||||||
EU | |||||||
50 | 11% | ||||||
Asia | |||||||
India | North | India | Asia | Other | China | ||
2018 | America | ||||||
Over the medium to long term, global crude steel production is expected to continue its growth track, while a switch to Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) will be promoted to reduce environmental burden; growth in electrode demand is thus anticipated.
Source WSA f=forecast
Outlook for the Carbon Black Business
- Demand significantly fell in the short term due to temporary shutdown by automakers and tire manufacturers
- Despite expectations for recovery by the end of 2020, the outlook remains unclear due to risks associated with the resumption of economic activities
- Full-scaledemand recovery depends on automobile production and tire consumption trends
Operational Status of Tire Manufacturers
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul-Dec | ||
Asia(China) | Rapid decline | Recovery | ||||||
Europe | - | Rapid decline | Moderate | Recovery | ||||
North America | - | - | Rapid decline | Moderate Recovery | ||||
Direction of business portfolio
Improve business portfolio dependent on major businesses by expanding into growth markets
Net Sales Billions of yen
Carbon Black | |
Other | |
Carbon Black | Graphite Electrode |
Graphite Electrode |
Industrial Furnaces
Carbon BlackSmelting and Lining
Fine Carbon
Carbon Black
Graphite Electrode
Graphite Electrode
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020f |
Building a future of Smelting and Lining business
The next largest pillar to Graphite electrode and Carbon black
(representing 20%+ of consolidated sales
Maintenance of a Sound Financial Position
Financial policies to expand and diversify our global business base
Basic Financial Policies
- Secure liquidity to support growth strategies and maintain financial soundness
- We will enhance our management structure, and maintain and improve our credit rating (R&I: A-)
Liquidity on Hand
- Raise the level of liquidity on hand by 3.3 times in 3 years
We will increase the level of liquidity on hand (cash and deposits + short- term liquidity line) to build up resistance against uncertainty. We optimize capital efficiency by managing the cash position of the entire Group through the employment of a global cash management system (GCMS).
(Reference) | (100 million yen) | |||
2017/12 | 2018/12 | 2019/12 | 2020/6 | |
Untapped short-term liquidity line | 240 | 340 | 420 | 780 |
Cash and deposits | 222 | 468 | 527 | 742 |
On-hand liquidity ratio (times) | 2.5 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 4.7 |
- Strengthen the financial base and maintain/improve the credit rating
- Secure long-term, stable financing and maintain access to financial and capital markets
- Maintain liquidity, refinance, and reduce risk
- Optimize global cash management and capital efficiency (Global Cash Management System/in-house banking function)
(100 million yen) | |||||||||
1,800 | 6.0 | ||||||||
3.3 times | |||||||||
1,500 | 5.0 | ||||||||
1,200 | 4.0 | ||||||||
900 | 3.0 | ||||||||
600 | 2.0 | ||||||||
300 | 1.0 | ||||||||
0 | 0.0 | ||||||||
2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | ||||||
Untapped short-term liquidity line | Cash and deposits | ||||||||
On-hand liquidity ratio (times)
*On-hand liquidity ratio is calculated by dividing liquidity on hand (cash + deposits) by monthly sales (net sales/consolidated accounting period)
Maintenance and Improvement of Credit Rating and Debt
Reduction
Executed M&A worth a total of 180 billion yen over four years. Hybrid financing underpinned the credit rating in the A-zone while preventing stock dilution
Lower adjusted net D/E ratio from 0.3 times to 0.0 times | |||||||||||||||||
Subordinated | Subordinated | Subordinated | |||||||||||||||
in four to five years | |||||||||||||||||
Bonds No. 1 | Loan No. 1 | Bonds No. 2 | |||||||||||||||
Maturity | 30NC5 | 30NC7 | 30NC10 | We will secure liquidity on hand and reduce debt pursuing a net cash position | |||||||||||||
to increase our ability to invest in the future. Our policy is to use a certain | |||||||||||||||||
Amount raised | 25,000 | 25,000 | 20,000 | ||||||||||||||
amount of operating cash flow to repay borrowings and lower the adjusted net | |||||||||||||||||
Issue date | 2019/12/10 | 2019/12/27 | 2020/6/30 | debt-to-equity ratio from 0.3 times to 0.0 times. | |||||||||||||
Net D/E | |||||||||||||||||
1st call date | 2024/12/10 | 2026/12/27 | 2030/6/30 | 0.500 | |||||||||||||
5-year yen swap | 7-year yen swap | 10-year yen swap | |||||||||||||||
Interest rate (%) | rate | rate | rate | 0.000 | |||||||||||||
+0.85% | +0.95% | +1.70% | |||||||||||||||
Step-up | Initial spread +1.0% after the first call date | ||||||||||||||||
0.500 | |||||||||||||||||
Optional coupon | Optional deferral allowed (cumulative) / mandatory | ||||||||||||||||
2017 2018 2019 2020 | |||||||||||||||||
skips | payment clause provided / subject to additional interest |
Replacement | Provided in the terms and conditions of the bonds; there |
restrictions clause | are exceptions |
Subordination | Subordination |
clause | |
Issuer rating | A- (R&I) |
Bond rating | BBB (R&I) |
(Reference) | (100 million yen) | |||
2017/12 | 2018/12 | 2019/12 | 2020/6 | |
Adjusted net interest-bearing debt | (60) | 29 | 703 | 538 |
Adjusted equity | 1,264 | 1,871 | 2,368 | 2,345 |
Adjusted net D/E (times) | (0.047) | 0.016 | 0.297 | 0.230 |
Equity credit | 50% (R&I) | *Adjusted net D/E is the debt-to-equity ratio that takes into account the equity credit assigned by |
rating agencies in hybrid financing. | ||
ESG activities
- Emphasize activities to achieve Sustainability Goals
- Establishing ESG structure to follow globalization of our business
Materiality and Sustainability Goals | excerpts | |||||
Materiality | Materiality | Fiscal2020 Sustainability Goals | ||||
(Themes) | Elements | |||||
Harmony | Reducing | Reducing greenhouse | Reduce energy consumption per | |||
with the | environmental | gas emissions | unit production(cut by 1% or | |||
global | impact | more annually) | ||||
environment | ||||||
Technological | Emphasize research | Devote 60% or more of | ||||
Contributing | Innovation | and development | development expenditures to | |||
to society | reducing environmental burden | |||||
through our | Supplying safe | Further elevate quality | Reduce electrode consumption | |||
business | and secured | rate(3% reduction from 2019) | ||||
products | ||||||
Strengthening | ||||||
Corporate | Establish a consolidated governance system | |||||
Strengthenin | Governance | |||||
g our | ||||||
management | Promoting | Reduce occupational | Reduce frequency rate of | |||
base | Occupational | accidents | occupational accidents(0.98 or | |||
Safety and | lower) | |||||
Health | ||||||
Listed in the ESG indices (FTSE) in June 2020
These indices are developed by FTSE Russell, a wholly owned subsidiary of London Stock Exchange Group.
Companies that demonstrate strong ESG efforts are selected these indices.
FTSE Russell (the trading name of FTSE International Limited and Frank Russell Company) confirms that Tokai Carbon has been independently assessed according to the FTSE4Good and FTSE Blossom Japan Index criteria, and has satisfied the requirements to become a constituent of the FTSE4Good Index Series and FTSE Blossom Japan Index. Created by the global index provider FTSE Russell, the FTSE4Good Index Series and FTSE Blossom Japan Index are designed to measure the performance of companies demonstrating strong Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) practices. The FTSE4Good indices and FTSE Blossom Japan Index are used by a wide variety of market participants to create and assess responsible investment funds and other products.FTSE4Good Index Series: https://www.ftserussell.com/products/indices/FTSE4Good
FTSE Blossom Japan Index:https://www.ftserussell.com/products/indices/blossom-japan
Our continued commitment to sustainability
¥14
billion+
The Addis Plant, in Louisiana, will also receive new waste-heat recovery equipment. The plant meet all of its electricity needs internally.
Environmental CAPEX initiatives
Three U.S. Carbon black production introduced scrubbers to reduce the environmental load during the production
CO2
reduction
The scrap recycling EAF mill will increase worldwide in the light of reducing environmental load and recycle0
Realizing recycling society
We contribute to reduce CO2 emission by stably supplying high quality (lower consumption rate) graphite electrode
Reference Material
Net Sales of Main Subsidiaries
Millions of yen
Subsidiary | Jan-Jun | Jan-Jun | YoY Change | Location | Summary |
2019 | 2020 | /Business | |||
Tokai ErftCarbon | 18,244 | 6,871 | 11,373 | Germany | |
Graphite Electrodes | |||||
Tokai Carbon GE | 22,519 | 7,049 | 15,469 | U.S. | Contributing to consolidated |
Graphite Electrodes | results from November 2017 | ||||
Thai Tokai Carbon Product | 9,351 | 5,034 | 4,317 | Thailand | |
Carbon Black | |||||
Tokai Carbon Tianjin | 2,342 | 1,517 | 824 | China | |
Carbon Black | |||||
Tokai Carbon CB | 24,265 | 14,173 | 10,092 | U.S. | Contributing to consolidated |
Carbon Black | results from September 2018 | ||||
Cancarb | 3,633 | 3,024 | 608 | Canada | |
Carbon Black | |||||
Tokai Carbon Korea | 8,486 | 9,669 | +1,182 | Korea | Contributing to consolidated |
Fine Carbon | results from June 2018 | ||||
Key Indicators
f=forecast | Millions of yen | |||||
2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 f | ||
Net Sales | 88,580 | 106,252 | 231,302 | 262,028 | 190,000 | |
Operating Income | 1,131 | 11,093 | 73,065 | 54,344 | 6,100 | |
EBITDA | 9,627 | 18,201 | 85,374 | 77,053 | 32,000 | |
Net income Attributable to | 7,929 | 12,346 | 73,393 | 31,994 | 1,000 | |
Owners of the Parent Company | ||||||
ROS | 1.3 | 10.4% | 31.6 | 20.7% | 3.2% | |
% | % | |||||
ROE | 6.8 | 10.4% | 46.8 | 16.0% | 0.5% | |
% | % | |||||
ROIC | 0.7 | 7.7% | 29.6 | 13.1% | - | |
% | % | |||||
Capital Investment | 6,013 | 4,282 | 11,794 | 24,341 | 35,000 | |
Depreciation and | 8,124 | 6,647 | 10,390 | 18,503 | 20,000 | |
Amortization | ||||||
R&D Expenses | 2,249 | 1,482 | 1,883 | 2,460 | 3,000 | |
Interest bearing liabilities | 17,048 | 16,144 | 49,710 | 148,030 | - | |
Net D/E ratio | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | |
Adjusted Net D/E ratio | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | - | |
Number of Employees | 1,980 | 2,142 | 2,944 | 3,714 | - | |
Exchange Rate (JPY/USD) | 108.85 | 112.19 | 110.43 | 109.05 | 106.00 | |
※EBITDA =Operation income + Depreciation + Goodwill amortization
Quarterly Segment Results by Segment
f=forecast | Millions of yen | ||||||||||
2019 | 2020 | ||||||||||
Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Full Year | Q1 | Q2 | 2nd Half | Full Year (f) | |||
Net Sales | 68,838 | 70,338 | 59,448 | 63,404 | 262,028 | 52,790 | 40,948 | 96,262 | 190,000 | ||
Graphite Electrodes | 27,540 | 29,511 | 15,971 | 18,294 | 91,317 | 11,460 | 9,467 | 16,172 | 37,100 | ||
Carbon Black | 27,308 | 27,286 | 25,763 | 21,391 | 101,751 | 21,030 | 11,600 | 29,069 | 61,700 | ||
Fine Carbon | 8,296 | 7,664 | 7,286 | 7,122 | 30,369 | 7,825 | 7,718 | 14,555 | 30,100 | ||
Smelting and Lining | - | - | 4,511 | 10,151 | 14,662 | 6,652 | 6,248 | 23,399 | 36,300 | ||
Industrial Furnaces and | 2,212 | 2,801 | 3,194 | 4,432 | 12,641 | 3,242 | 3,147 | 8,310 | 14,700 | ||
Related Products | |||||||||||
Friction | 2,030 | 1,886 | 1,857 | 1,706 | 7,480 | 1,639 | 1,535 | 2,925 | 6,100 | |
materials | ||||||||||
Other | Anode | 1,413 | 1,151 | 827 | 269 | 3,661 | 903 | 1,193 | 1,803 | 3,900 |
materials | ||||||||||
Operat | ||||||||||
Anode | ||||||||||
ions | 36 | 36 | 36 | 35 | 144 | 35 | 35 | 28 | 100 | |
materials | ||||||||||
Anode | 3,480 | 3,073 | 2,721 | 2,011 | 11,286 | 2,579 | 2,765 | 4,756 | 10,100 | |
materials | ||||||||||
Operating Income | 21,226 | 19,215 | 8,980 | 4,922 | 54,344 | 6,750 | 932 | 283 | 6,100 | |
Operating Income | 15,423 | 15,917 | 4,921 | 3,126 | 39,388 | 2,131 | 609 | ▲5,222 | ▲3,700 | |
Carbon Black | 3,424 | 2,262 | 2,282 | 542 | 8,512 | 1,741 | 1,850 | 309 | 200 | |
Fine Carbon | 1,905 | 1,549 | 1,463 | 1,188 | 6,107 | 1,919 | 1,564 | 2,516 | 6,000 | |
Smelting and Lining | - | 972 | 272 | 356 | 1,600 | 175 | 414 | 1,939 | 1,700 |
Industrial Furnaces and | 586 | 762 | 806 | 1,072 | 3,227 | 868 | 790 | 1,740 | 3,400 |
Related Products | |||||||||
Other Operations | 166 | 33 | 82 | 303 | 21 | 242 | 9 | ▲234 | 0 |
Inter-segment | 279 | 339 | 304 | 347 | 1,270 | 330 | 404 | ▲765 | ▲1,500 |
eliminations | |||||||||
Disclaimer Regarding Forward-looking Statements
- Forward-lookingstatements in this document are based on information obtainable at the time this document was published and assumptions as of the date of publication concerning elements of uncertainty that could affect future earnings.
- Actual results may differ substantially, depending on various future factors. Factors that affect business performance include, but are not limited to, economic conditions, trends in product demand and market prices, and fluctuation in exchange rates.
- The quantitative goals, reference values, investment amounts, and other numerical goals in this document only express the medium-term strategy and vision of the company; they are not performance forecasts. The company is not obligated to update such information.
- Please see the disclosures in the Consolidated Financial Results for the official earnings forecast, based on the rules of Tokyo Stock Exchange, Inc.
IR contact:
General Affairs Department TC-IR@tokaicarbon.co.jp
Copyright© 2020 Tokai Carbon Co., Ltd. All rights reserved
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Tokai Carbon Co. Ltd. published this content on 05 August 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 05 August 2020 08:06:11 UTC