Projected Income Statement: Tourism Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tourism Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 49 58.5 285 446 492 533 506 499
Change - 19.39% 387.18% 56.49% 10.31% 8.27% -5.07% -1.38%
Announcement Date 8/25/21 8/25/22 8/28/23 8/26/24 8/24/25 - - -
1NZD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tourism Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1.199 7.536 12.12 16.09 42.36 13.63 13.57 13.9
Change - 528.52% 60.84% 32.73% 163.33% -67.84% -0.38% 2.41%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - - -111.7 -13.81 108 6.1 14.4
Change - - - - 87.64% 882.21% -94.35% 136.07%
Announcement Date 8/25/21 8/25/22 8/28/23 8/26/24 8/24/25 - - -
1NZD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tourism Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.19% 14.52% 23.88% 22.45% 21.25% 23.96% 25.22% 25.81%
EBIT Margin (%) -2.37% 1.07% 13.5% 12.05% 9.26% 11.16% 13.29% 14.29%
EBT Margin (%) - - 10.09% 6.34% - 7.39% 9.51% 10.37%
Net margin (%) -3.81% -0.43% 7.51% 4.27% -2.75% 5.36% 7.1% 7.92%
FCF margin (%) - - - -12.12% -1.47% 11.28% 0.6% 1.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - - -283.58% 53.52% 210.47% 8.39% 16.48%

Profitability

        
ROA -2.29% -0.85% 5.14% 2.77% 1.87% 6.42% 7.9% 8.52%
ROE -4.29% -1.48% 10.58% 6.41% 4.8% 7.76% 10.83% 12.65%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.22x 1.16x 1.8x 2.16x 2.47x 2.32x 1.96x 1.75x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - -3.99x -35.66x 4.93x 82.91x 34.69x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.33% 2.18% 1.83% 1.75% 4.52% 1.42% 1.32% 1.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 2.98% 15.01% 7.65% 7.78% 21.27% 5.94% 5.25% 4.88%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - - -14.4% -306.84% 12.62% 222.5% 96.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.5819 -0.1415 -0.3219 -0.44 0.1299 0.5127 0.6381 0.7405
Change - -124.32% -127.44% -36.68% 129.52% 294.7% 24.46% 16.05%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.15 0.095 0.065 0.0923 0.1365 0.1792
Change - - - -36.67% -31.58% 42.05% 47.87% 31.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.064 2.181 2.85 2.83 2.61 2.495 2.676 2.821
Change - 5.7% 30.66% -0.7% -7.77% -4.4% 7.24% 5.42%
EPS 1 -0.092 -0.01 0.261 0.181 -0.117 0.2115 0.3122 0.3882
Change - 89.13% 2,710% -30.65% -164.64% 280.79% 47.59% 24.34%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 151,489 152,061 214,077 218,224 221,098 221,198 221,198 221,198
Announcement Date 8/25/21 8/25/22 8/28/23 8/26/24 8/24/25 - - -
1NZD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 10.2x 6.92x
PBR 0.87x 0.81x
EV / Sales 1.06x 0.96x
Yield 4.27% 6.32%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
4
Last Close Price
2.160NZD
Average target price
3.262NZD
Spread / Average Target
+51.04%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. THL Stock
  4. Financials Tourism Holdings Limited