www.vaalco.com
Q4 & FULL YEAR 2023 SUPPLEMENTAL INFORMATION
Profitably
and Sustainably
Growing Value
March 2024
SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT
Forward Looking Statements | www.vaalco.com |
This presentation includes "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, which are intended to be covered by the safe harbors created by those laws and other applicable laws. Where a forward-looking statement expresses or implies an expectation or belief as to future events or results, such expectation or belief is expressed in good faith and believed to have a reasonable basis. All statements other than statements of historical fact may be forward-looking statements. The words "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "expect," "intend," "forecast," "outlook," "aim," "target," "will," "could," "should," "may," "likely," "plan," "probably" or similar words may identify forward-looking statements, but the absence of these words does not mean that a statement is not forward-looking.Forward-looking statements in this presentation may include, but are not limited to, statements relating to (i) estimates of future drilling, production, sales and costs of acquiring crude oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids; (ii) the amount and timing of stock buybacks, if any, under VAALCO Energy Inc.'s ("VAALCO") stock buyback program and VAALCO's ability to enhance stockholder value through such plan; (iii) expectations regarding future exploration and the development, growth and potential of VAALCO's operations, project pipeline and investments, and schedule and anticipated benefits to be derived therefrom; (iv) expectations of future dividends, buybacks and other potential returns to stockholders; (v) the proposed acquisition (the "Acquisition") by VAALCO of Svenska Petroleum Exploration AB ("Svenska") and its terms, timing and closing, including receipt of required regulatory approvals and satisfaction of other closing conditions; (vi) expectations concerning the expected amount of cash-on-hand VAALCO will be required to pay to the seller at closing of the Acquisition; (vii) estimates of future cost margins and cost reductions, synergies, savings and efficiencies; (viii) expectations on timing of obtaining necessary approvals in Cote d'Ivoire for extension of the CI-40 license; (ix) expectations regarding the timing and costs of completion for scheduled maintenance of the FPSO; (x) expectations regarding VAALCO's ability to effectively integrate assets and properties it may acquire as a result of the Acquisition into its operations; (xi) expectations of future balance sheet strength; and (xii) expectations of future plans, priorities, focus and benefits of the proposed Acquisition. Such forward-looking statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from future results expressed, projected or implied by the forward-looking statements. These risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: the ability to obtain regulatory approvals in connection with the proposed Acquisition; the amount of any pre-closing dividends permitted by the law applicable to Svenska; the ability to complete the proposed Acquisition on the anticipated terms and timetable; the possibility that various closing conditions for the Acquisition may not be satisfied or waived; risks relating to any unforeseen liabilities of the Svenska; the outcome of any cost audits undertaken by the Cote d'Ivoire government; timing and amounts of any decommissioning or other wind up costs relating to any acquired Nigerian assets; declines in oil or natural gas prices; the level of success in exploration, development and production activities; actions of joint-venture partners; adverse weather conditions that may negatively impact development or production activities; the timing and costs of exploration and development expenditures; inaccuracies of reserve estimates or assumptions underlying them; revisions to reserve estimates as a result of changes in commodity prices; impacts to financial statements as a result of impairment write-downs; the ability to generate cash flows that, along with cash on hand, will be sufficient to support operations and cash requirements; the ability to attract capital or obtain debt financing arrangements; currency exchange rates and regulations; actions by joint venture co-owners; hedging decisions, including whether or not to enter into derivative financial instruments; international, federal and state initiatives relating to the regulation of hydraulic fracturing; failure of assets to yield oil or gas in commercially viable quantities; uninsured or underinsured losses resulting from oil and gas operations; inability to access oil and gas markets due to market conditions or operational impediments; the impact and costs of compliance with laws and regulations governing oil and gas operations; the ability to replace oil and natural gas reserves; loss of senior management or technical personnel; and other risks described under the caption "Risk Factors" in the Company's most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K and subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q, in each case filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC"). There may be additional risks that VAALCO does not presently know, or that the Company currently believes are immaterial, that could also cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements. In addition, forward-looking statements reflect VAALCO's expectations, plans or forecasts of future events and views as of the date of this announcement. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize, or should any of the assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may vary in material respects from those projected in these forward-looking statements. No obligation is being undertaken to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise, except as may be required under applicable securities laws.
Oil and Natural Gas Reserves
This announcement contains crude oil and natural gas metrics which do not have standardized meanings or standard methods of calculation as classified by the SEC and therefore such measures may not be comparable to similar measures used by other companies. Such metrics have been included herein to provide readers with additional measures to evaluate the proposed Acquisition; however, such measures may not be reliable indicators of the future performance of Svenska and future performance.
WI CPR Reserves
WI CPR reserves represent proved (1P) and proved plus probable (2P) estimates as reported by Petroleum Development Consultants Limited and prepared in accordance with the definitions and guidelines set forth in the 2018 Petroleum Resources Management Systems approved by the Society of Petroleum Engineers. Reserve estimates for Svenska are as of October 1, 2023. The SEC definitions of proved and probable reserves are different from the definitions contained in the 2018 Petroleum Resources Management Systems approved by the Society of Petroleum Engineers. As a result, 1P and 2P WI CPR reserves may not be comparable to United States standards. The SEC requires United States oil and gas reporting companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves after the deduction of royalties and production due to others but permits the optional disclosure of probable and possible reserves in accordance with SEC definitions.
2P WI CPR reserves for VAALCO, as disclosed herein, may differ from the SEC definitions of proved and probable reserves because:
•Pricing for SEC is the average closing price on the first trading day of each month for the prior year which is then held flat in the future, while the 2P WI CPR pricing is based on management pricing assumptions for future Brent oil pricing for 2023 of $70.00 and $80.00 in 2024, escalated 2% per year thereafter and for Equatorial Guinea, given the expectation of first oil beginning in 2026, Brent oil pricing of $74.27 was assumed for 2026, escalated 2% per year thereafter;
•Lease operating expenses are not escalated in the SEC case, while for the 2P WI CPR reserves case they are escalated at 2% annually beginning on January 1, 2023.
1P and 2P WI CPR reserves for Svenska, as disclosed herein, may differ from the SEC definitions of proved and probable reserves because:
•Pricing for SEC is the average closing price on the first trading day of each month for the prior year which is then held flat in the future, while the 1P and 2P WI CPR pricing for Svenska is based on pricing assumptions for future Brent oil pricing for 2023 of $84.5 and up to 2030 the Brent Oil price follows the average of four available forecasts and assumes flat real thereafter. Oil price is escalated 2% per year;
•Lease operating expenses are typically not escalated under the SEC rules, while for the WI CPR reserve estimates they are escalated at 2% annually beginning in 2024.
Management uses 1P and 2P WI CPR reserves as a measurement of operating performance because it assists management in strategic planning, budgeting and economic evaluations and in comparing the operating performance of VAALCO and Svenska to other companies. Management believes that the presentation of 1P and 2P WI CPR reserves is useful to its international investors, particularly those that invest in companies trading on the London Stock Exchange, in order to better compare reserve information to other London Stock Exchange-traded companies that report similar measures. However, 1P and 2P WI CPR reserves should not be used as a substitute for proved reserves calculated in accordance with the definitions prescribed by the SEC. In evaluating VAALCO's business, investors should rely on VAALCO's SEC proved reserves and consider 1P and 2P WI CPR reserves only supplementally. Following consummation of the Acquisition, VAACLO will report Svenska's reserves in accordance with the definitions and regulations promulgated by the SEC.
Other Oil and Gas Advisories
Investors are cautioned when viewing BOEs in isolation. A BOE conversation ratio of six thousand cubic feet of natural gas to one barrel of oil equivalent (6 MCF: 1 Bbl) is based on an energy equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. Given that the value ratio based on the current price of crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from the energy equivalency of 6:1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis may be an incomplete as an indication of value.
Slide 2 Q4 and Full Year 2023 Supplemental Information: Profitably and Sustainably Growing Value March 2024
Q4 2023 KEY METRICS
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Q4 2023
Change1
Reported Production | 23,330 BOEPD | -5% |
(Avg. WI Daily Production Volumes) | ||
Adjusted EBITDAX2 | $95.9 million | 34% |
Adjusted Net Income per Share2 | 37 cents | 429% |
Diluted Net Income per Share | 41 cents | 583% |
Cash flow from Operations | $51.8 million | -45% |
Cash Capital Expenditures | $19.9 million | -12% |
Free Cash Flow 2 | $32.3 million | -44% |
Shareholder Return (Dividend and Buyback) | $12.8 million | 0% |
Strong Quarterly Sales Growth and Higher Realized Pricing Led to Record Adjusted EBITDAX
Slide 3 Q4 and Full Year 2023 Supplemental Information: Profitably and Sustainably Growing Value March 2024
- % Change from Q3 2023 to Q4 2023
- Adjusted EBITDAX, Adjusted Net Income, Adjusted Net Income per share and Free Cash Flow are Non- GAAP financial measures and are described and reconciled to the closest GAAP measure in the Appendix or in the Q4 2023 earnings release
TRANSFORMATIVE RESULTS THROUGH FOCUSED EXECUTION
Revenue & Price
Total Revenues ($millions)
28%
2023 | $455 | 2022 | $354 |
Crude Sales 6,832 MBls up 86%
Production & Reserves
Production (MBOE)
83%
2023 6,829 | 2022 3,729 |
Net Revenue Interest (WI less Royalty)
Profitability & Cash Generation
Adjusted EBITDAX(1) ($millions)
50%
2023 | $280 | 2022 | $187 |
Increased sales more than offset lower realized pricing
Investment
Cash Capital Investment ($millions)
39%
2023 | $97 | 2022 | $160 |
Funding growth through organic drilling and accretive acquisitions
30% | Avg Realized Price (US$/BOE) | |||||
2023 $66 | 2022 | $95 | ||||
Strong average realized Brent pricing |
SEC Proved Reserves (MMBOE)
3%
2023 28.6 | 2022 27.9 |
Extending the economic field life of reserves
2P WI CPR Reserves(2) (MMBOE)
1%
2023 77.3 | 2022 76.4 |
Accretive acquisition of TGA in 2022
Net Cash From Ops ($millions)
74%
2023 | $224 | 2021 | $129 |
Increased Sales and Pricing
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Production
Growth,
Strong Cash Flow
Generation, and
Debt Free
Balance Sheet
Allows Increased
Shareholder
Returns
1) | Adjusted EBITDAX is a Non-GAAP financial measure and reconciled in VAALCO's earnings release issued 3/31/2023 | ||
Slide 4 | |||
Q4 and Full Year 2023 Supplemental Information: Profitably and Sustainably Growing Value March 2024 | 2) | Reserves estimates were prepared in accordance with the definitions and guidelines set forth in the 2018 Petroleum Resources Management Systems approved by the Society of | |
Petroleum Engineers and are as of 10/1/2023. See "Oil and Natural Gas Reserves" in the Safe Harbor Statements for further information. |
Q4 2023 GLOBAL PORTFOLIO
Canada
Egypt
Eq. Guinea
Global | Gabon |
23,330 BOEPD | 93% / 3% / 4% | |
WI Production | Oil | NGL Gas |
2,528,500 BOE | $19.9 million | |
WI Sales | Capex (cash) |
Slide 5 | Q4 and Full Year 2023 Supplemental Information: Profitably and Sustainably Growing Value March 2024 |
www.vaalco.com
- Diversified and de-risked portfolio of producing assets with individual routes to market and realizations
- African focused business with strong management experience in this market
- Concessions have recently been extended
▪ Oil & Gas friendly fiscal systems
- Strong financial position with no debt and ~$121 mm in cash
- Opportunities to expand our borrowing base allowingfor continued growth
STRATEGICALLY EXPANDING OUR | |
DIVERSIFIED AFRICAN-FOCUSED PORTFOLIO | www.vaalco.com |
Building Scale and Diversification with a Full-cycle,Low-risk, High Return Portfolio
A Growing, Diversified Footprint in Africa | Supported by High-Quality | |
Canadian Acreage | ||
Immediately Accretive Acquisition
Operated ✓ |
Non-Operated
Non-Operated |
Operated ✓
> Full-cycle portfolio with material | Operated ✓ |
production and cash flows |
- Critical mass of operations with running room for growth
> Highly capable subsurface/technical, operational and business development teams supporting growth
Operated ✓
- Majority operated assets
- Significant near-term growth potential through large drilling inventory
- Highly cash generative in current price environment
Current | 4,500 WI BOEPD (99% oil) |
Production | |
Reserves1,2 | 1P WI CPR reserves of 13.0 MMBOE (99% oil) |
2P WI CPR reserves of 21.7 MMBOE (97% oil) | |
All Cash | No issuance of debt or equity |
Purchase | Gross consideration $66.5 mm, subject to |
customary closing adjustments with 10/1/23 | |
effective date | |
Partially funded by cash on Svenska's balance | |
sheet with net cash outlay at expected Q2 2024 | |
closing estimated at $30 to $40 mm | |
Significant | FPSO maintenance and upgrades starting in 2025 |
Upside | enables future drilling and development; |
expected to restart in 2026 | |
Development drilling campaign planned in 2026 | |
Additional future upside in Kossipo development | |
that has been appraised by two wells drilled in | |
2002 and 2019 | |
Post-Closing Accretive Svenska Acquisition Adds Meaningful Production, Reserves and Upside
Slide 6 | Q4 and Full Year 2023 Supplemental Information: Profitably and Sustainably Growing Value March 2024 |
- Reserves only include currently sanctioned work, excluding future development opportunities
-
Reserves estimates were prepared in accordance with the definitions and guidelines set forth in the 2018 Petroleum Resources Management Systems approved by the Society of
Petroleum Engineers and are as of 10/1/2023. See "Oil and Natural Gas Reserves" in the Safe Harbor Statements for further information.
SVENSKA ACQUISITION HIGHLIGHTS
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Utilizing strong balance sheet to deliver value
accretive M&A
No issuance of debt or equity; acquisition to be funded with a portion of cash on hand
VAALCO has recent experience with FPSO
project and operating
similar asset
Ability to enhance value
through expertise
Cote d'Ivoire diversifies portfolio with new country
entry in West Africa
Strategically complementary assets add material production and reserves
Aligning with a respected operator
with proven track
record of success
Planned development drilling and Kossipo upside provide sustainable longevity
FPSO Baobab Ivoirien MV10
Aligns with Strategic Vision, Provides Strong Cash Flow in 2024 and Material Long-Term Upside Potential
Slide 7 Q4 and Full Year 2023 Supplemental Information: Profitably and Sustainably Growing Value March 2024
KEY FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
Svenska Acquisition Immediately Accretive to Shareholders | www.vaalco.com |
Adding Value to VAALCO's Portfolio
- Current production ~ 4,500 WI BOEPD (99% oil)
- Strong realizations closely aligned with Brent pricing
- Accretive across key per share metrics
- Low expected operating costs per BOE (less than $15/BOE)
Value Per Flowing WI ($/BOEPD)
25,000 | ||
20,000 | ||
$19,100 | ||
15,000 | ||
$14,800 | ||
10,000 | ||
$8,900 | ||
5,000 | $6,700 | |
0 | ||
EGY at (2/26/24) | Gross Consideration ($66.5 million) | Net Consideration ($30-$40mm) |
- Expect minimal additional G&A costs moving forward as VAALCO's existing operational and management teams will assume the majority of responsibilities following a short transitional period
- Forecasted to add cash flow from operating activities post closing
- Production will be included in 2024 guidance post- closing
Slide 8 Q4 and Full Year 2023 Supplemental Information: Profitably and Sustainably Growing Value March 2024
Cost Per BOE of 2P WI CPR Reserves1 ($/BOE)
$3.50
$3.00
$3.06
$2.50 $2.00
$1.50 | $1.84 | ||
$1.00 | $1.38 | ||
$0.50 | |||
$0.00 | |||
Gross Consideration ($66.5 million) | Net Consideration ($30-$40mm) | ||
- Reserves estimates were prepared in accordance with the definitions and guidelines set forth in the 2018 Petroleum Resources Management Systems approved by the Society of
Petroleum Engineers and are as of 10/1/2023. See "Oil and Natural Gas Reserves" in the Safe Harbor Statements for further information.
SIGNIFICANT ADDITIONS TO PRODUCTION AND RESERVES
Compelling Valuation Metrics at Highly Attractive Pricing | www.vaalco.com |
WI Production (BOEPD)
30,000
4,500
23,950
20,000
10,000
0
EGY FY2023 WI Production | Acq. WI Current Production |
Acquisition WI CPR Reserves1 (MMBOE)
25
20
15
10 | 21.7 | ||
5 | 13.0 | ||
0 | |||
1P | 2P | ||
CI-40 Subsea Configuration
-
Reserves estimates were prepared in accordance with the definitions and guidelines set forth in the 2018 Petroleum Resources Management Systems approved by the
Society of Petroleum Engineers. See "Oil and Natural Gas Reserves" in the Safe Harbor Statements for further information.
Slide 9 Q4 and Full Year 2023 Supplemental Information: Profitably and Sustainably Growing Value March 2024
COTE D'IVOIRE: CI-40LICENSE
Production from Multiple Reservoirs, and 9 Subsea Wells, with Upside from Identified Prospects | www.vaalco.com |
Canadian Natural ResourcesVAALCOPetroci Holding
57.61% WI | 27.39% WI | 15.00% WI | ||
Operator | (10% carried by license | |||
partners) | ||||
Asset Overview
- CI-40Baobab field was discovered in 2001 and is located in the western half of the CI-40 license, 30km offshore Côte d'Ivoire
- Baobab field is a low opex, highly cash generative asset with material reserves and upside resource base
- The field has been developed with 24 subsea production wells and 5 water injector wells tied back to a leased FPSO
- PSC license with initial term until April 11, 2028 with a 10-year extension option until April 2038
- Attractive fiscal terms with an 80% cost recovery cap, a 25% cost recovery uplift on development expenditures, and a 53% contractor profit oil take
- Industry friendly government with Total, Murphy and ENI currently active in Cote d'Ivoire
- FPSO maintenance and upgrades starting in 2025 enables future drilling and development; expected to restart in 2026 following the drilling campaign
- Significant development drilling expected to begin in 2026 with meaningful additions to production from the main Baobab field in CI-40, as well as potential future development of the Kossipo field also on the license
Water Depth | 900 - 1,300M |
Discovery year | 2001 |
License term | April 20381 |
First production | August 2005 |
Gross production to date | ~150 MMBOE |
Best estimate STOIIP | ~1,000 MMBOE |
Slide 10 Q4 and Full Year 2023 Supplemental Information: Profitably and Sustainably Growing Value March 2024
1) Assumes exercise of 10-year extension option under terms of the production sharing contract.
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VAALCO Energy Inc. published this content on 14 March 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 14 March 2024 13:23:12 UTC.