The following MD&A should be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial
statements and notes thereto appearing in Part 1, Item 1 of this report. The
words "Valley," the "Company," "we," "our" and "us" refer to Valley National
Bancorp and its wholly owned subsidiaries, unless we indicate otherwise.
Additionally, Valley's principal subsidiary, Valley National Bank, is commonly
referred to as the "Bank" in this MD&A.

The MD&A contains supplemental financial information, described in the sections
that follow, which has been determined by methods other than U.S. generally
accepted accounting principles (U.S. GAAP) that management uses in its analysis
of our performance. Management believes these non-GAAP financial measures
provide information useful to investors in understanding our underlying
operational performance, our business and performance trends and facilitate
comparisons with the performance of others in the financial services industry.
These non-GAAP financial measures should not be considered in isolation or as a
substitute for or superior to financial measures calculated in accordance with
U.S. GAAP. These non-GAAP financial measures may also be calculated differently
from similar measures disclosed by other companies.
Cautionary Statement Concerning Forward-Looking Statements

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, both in the MD&A and elsewhere, contains
forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities
Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements are not historical facts and
include expressions about management's confidence and strategies and
management's expectations about our business, new and existing programs and
products, acquisitions, relationships, opportunities, taxation, technology,
market conditions and economic expectations, including the potential effects of
the COVID-19 pandemic on our businesses and financial results and conditions.
These statements may be identified by such forward-looking terminology as
"should," "expect," "believe," "view," "will," "opportunity," "allow,"
"continues," "would," "could," "typically," "usually," "anticipate," or similar
statements or variations of such terms. Such forward-looking statements involve
certain risks and uncertainties and our actual results may differ materially
from such forward-looking statements. Factors that may cause actual results to
differ materially from those contemplated by such forward-looking statements,
include, but are not limited to:

•the continued impact of COVID-19 on the U.S. and global economies, including
business disruptions, reductions in employment and an increase in business
failures, specifically among our clients;
•the continued impact of COVID-19 on our employees and our ability to provide
services to our customers and respond to their needs as more cases of COVID-19
may arise in our primary markets;
•potential judgments, claims, damages, penalties, fines and reputational damage
resulting from pending or future litigation and regulatory and government
actions, including as a result of our participation in and execution of
government programs related to the COVID-19 pandemic or as a result of our
actions in response to, or failure to implement or effectively implement,
federal, state and local laws, rules or executive orders requiring that we grant
forbearances or not act to collect our loans;
•the impact of forbearances or deferrals we are required or agree to as a result
of customer requests and/or government actions, including, but not limited to
our potential inability to recover fully deferred payments from the borrower or
the collateral;
•the risks related to the discontinuation of the London Interbank Offered Rate
and other reference rates, including increased expenses and litigation and the
effectiveness of hedging strategies;
•damage verdicts or settlements or restrictions related to existing or potential
class action litigation or individual litigation arising from claims of
violations of laws or regulations, contractual claims, breach of fiduciary
responsibility, negligence, fraud, environmental laws, patent or trademark
infringement, employment related claims, and other matters;
•a prolonged downturn in the economy, mainly in New Jersey, New York, Florida
and Alabama, as well as an unexpected decline in commercial real estate values
within our market areas;
•higher or lower than expected income tax expense or tax rates, including
increases or decreases resulting from changes in uncertain tax position
liabilities, tax laws, regulations and case law;
                                       41

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

•the inability to grow customer deposits to keep pace with loan growth;
•a material change in our allowance for credit losses under CECL due to
forecasted economic conditions and/or unexpected credit deterioration in our
loan and investment portfolios;
•the need to supplement debt or equity capital to maintain or exceed internal
capital thresholds;
•greater than expected technology related costs due to, among other factors,
prolonged or failed implementations, additional project staffing and
obsolescence caused by continuous and rapid market innovations;
•the loss of or decrease in lower-cost funding sources within our deposit base,
including our inability to achieve deposit retention targets under Valley's
branch transformation strategy;
•cyber-attacks, computer viruses or other malware that may breach the security
of our websites or other systems to obtain unauthorized access to confidential
information, destroy data, disable or degrade service, or sabotage our systems;
•results of examinations by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC),
the Federal Reserve Bank (FRB), the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB)
and other regulatory authorities, including the possibility that any such
regulatory authority may, among other things, require us to increase our
allowance for credit losses, write-down assets, reimburse customers, change the
way we do business, or limit or eliminate certain other banking activities;
•our inability or determination not to pay dividends at current levels, or at
all, because of inadequate earnings, regulatory restrictions or limitations,
changes in our capital requirements or a decision to increase capital by
retaining more earnings;
•unanticipated loan delinquencies, loss of collateral, decreased service
revenues, and other potential negative effects on our business caused by severe
weather, the COVID-19 pandemic or other external events;
•unexpected significant declines in the loan portfolio due to the lack of
economic expansion, increased competition, large prepayments, changes in
regulatory lending guidance or other factors; and
•the failure of other financial institutions with whom we have trading,
clearing, counterparty and other financial relationships.

A detailed discussion of factors that could affect our results is included in
our SEC filings, including the "Risk Factors" section of our Annual Report on
Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

Valley's accounting policies are fundamental to understanding management's
discussion and analysis of its financial condition and results of operations. At
March 31, 2021, we identified our policies on the allowance for credit losses,
goodwill and other intangible assets, and income taxes to be critical accounting
policies because management has to make subjective and/or complex judgments
about matters that are inherently uncertain and because it is likely that
materially different amounts would be reported under different conditions or
using different assumptions. Management has reviewed the application of these
policies with the Audit Committee of Valley's Board of Directors. Our critical
accounting policies are described in detail in Part II, Item 7 in Valley's
Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2020.
New Authoritative Accounting Guidance

See Note 4 to the consolidated financial statements for a description of new
authoritative accounting guidance, including the respective dates of adoption
and effects on results of operations and financial condition.

Executive Summary



Company Overview. At March 31, 2021, Valley had consolidated total assets of
approximately $41.2 billion, total net loans of $32.3 billion, total deposits of
$32.6 billion and total shareholders' equity of $4.7 billion. Our commercial
bank operations include branch office locations in northern and central New
Jersey, the New York City
                                       42

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Boroughs of Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, and Long Island, Florida and Alabama.
Of our current 226 branch network, 58 percent, 17 percent, 18 percent and 7
percent of the branches are in New Jersey, New York, Florida and Alabama,
respectively. Despite targeted branch consolidation activity, we have
significantly grown both in asset size and locations over the past several years
primarily through bank acquisitions.

Impact of COVID-19. During the first quarter 2021, the COVID-19 pandemic
continued to cause uncertainty, volatility and disruption in financial markets
and in governmental, commercial and consumer activity in the United States and
globally, including the markets that we serve. However, the overall level of
economic activity and our outlook improved during the first quarter 2021 largely
due to government stimulus programs, central bank policies, strong vaccine
rollout efforts and consumers and businesses eager to return to a state of
normalcy after almost a year of lockdowns.
The American Rescue Plan Act of 2021, signed into law on March 11, 2021, is a
$1.9 trillion economic stimulus package intended to continue to facilitate the
recovery from the economic and health effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. This new
law combined with the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021 signed into law on
December 27, 2020, provides, amongst other stimulus, additional funding under
the SBA's Paycheck Protection Program (PPP). Valley's PPP loan portfolio
increased $212.5 million to $2.4 billion at March 31, 2021 from December 31,
2020, which was net of over $630 million of PPP loans forgiven by the SBA during
the first quarter 2021. During the second quarter 2021, Valley originated
approximately $108 million of additional PPP loans through May 4, 2021, which
was the last day the SBA's PPP loan application window was open for most
lenders.

In response to the COVID-19 pandemic and its economic impact on certain
customers and in accordance with provisions set forth by the Coronavirus Aid,
Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, Valley implemented short-term loan
modifications, such as payment deferrals, fee waivers, extensions of repayment
terms, or delays in payment that are insignificant, when requested by customers.
Generally, the modification terms allow for a deferral of payments for up to 90
days, which Valley may extend for an additional 90 days. Any extensions beyond
this period were made in accordance with applicable regulatory guidance. As of
March 31, 2021, Valley had $284 million of outstanding loans remaining in their
payment deferral period under short-term modifications representing
approximately 0.9 percent of our total loan portfolio at March 31, 2021 as
compared to $361 million, or 1.1 percent of total loans at December 31, 2020.

We continue to monitor the impact of COVID-19 closely, as well as any effects
that may result from the CARES Act, Enhancement Act and other government
stimulus or Federal Reserve actions. However, the extent to which the COVID-19
pandemic will impact our operations and financial results during the second
quarter 2021 and beyond is highly uncertain. See the "Operating Environment"
section of MD&A for more details.

We continue to closely monitor local conditions in the areas we serve and will
take actions as circumstances warrant, which may necessitate certain branch or
other office closures and reduced lobby services. Our business continuity plan
continues to remain in effect with many of our non-customer facing employees
continuing to work remotely.

Quarterly Results. Net income for the first quarter 2021 was $115.7 million, or
$0.28 per diluted common share, compared to $87.3 million, or $0.21 per diluted
common share, for the first quarter 2020. The $28.4 million increase in
quarterly net income as compared to the same quarter one year ago was largely
due to:

•a $27.3 million increase in net interest income mainly due to (i) lower rates
on our deposit products combined with a continued customer shift to deposits
without stated maturities, (ii) continued run-off of higher cost time deposits,
(iii) interest and fee income from PPP loans, and (iv) the prepayment of $534
million of long-term FHLB advances with a combined weighted average interest
rate of 2.48 percent in December 2020; and

•a $26.0 million decrease in our provision for credit losses mainly due to the
improved economic forecast component of the reserve as compared to March 31,
2020,
                                       43

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

partially offset by:

•a $10.1 million decrease in non-interest income mainly caused by lower commercial loan customer swap fees and a decrease in gains on the sales of residential mortgage loans;

•a $4.6 million increase in non-interest expense due to higher salary and employee benefits expense and increases in data processing costs and telecommunication expense; and

•a $10.2 million increase in income tax expense.



See the "Net Interest Income", "Non-Interest Income", "Non-Interest Expense",
and "Income Taxes" sections below for more details on the items above impacting
our first quarter 2021 results.

Operating Environment. During the first quarter 2021, real gross domestic
product expanded 6.4 percent compared to 4.3 percent growth in the fourth
quarter 2020. The acceleration in growth was broad-based as a result of
increased investments and households consumption for a range of goods and
services. Economic activity is likely to remain strong as COVID-19 cases are
expected to decline and vaccination rates in the country increase. In addition,
the recent passage of the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 should further
support this outlook. The Federal Reserve continued to assist economic activity
and the return to sustained expansion. At their meeting in March, the Federal
Open Market Committee maintained the target range for the federal funds rate
between 0.00 and 0.25 percent.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield ended the first quarter at 1.74 percent, 81
basis points higher compared with December 31, 2020. The spread between the 2-
and 10-year U.S. Treasury note yields ended the first quarter 2021 at 1.58
percent, a 78 basis point widening as compared to the end of the fourth quarter
2020.

For all commercial banks in the U.S., loans and leases declined approximately 3.2 percent on an annual basis in the first quarter 2021 compared to the previous linked quarter. For the industry, banks reported that demand for commercial and industrial lending remains weak. For commercial real estate loans, conditions were mixed. While demand picked up considerably for loans secured by multifamily residential structures, the environment remains challenged for loans secured by nonfarm nonresidential structures.



In the first quarter 2021, Valley's originations increased across most products,
particularly from residential mortgage and consumer lending. Valley also
benefited from a stronger origination pipeline for non-PPP commercial and
industrial and commercial real estate loans across its geographies, particularly
in Florida, partly driven by expansion of its lending teams. However, should
loan demand weaken or the expected recovery from the pandemic in Valley's
primary markets be prolonged, our business operations and results could be
adversely impacted, as highlighted elsewhere in this MD&A.

Loans. Loans increased $469.3 million to approximately $32.7 billion at
March 31, 2021 from December 31, 2020.
The increase was largely due to new loan volumes within the commercial and
industrial, commercial real estate and automobile loan portfolios in the first
quarter 2021. Within commercial and industrial loans, PPP loans increased $212.5
million to approximately $2.4 billion at March 31, 2021 from December 31, 2020.
Our first quarter new and refinanced loan originations included approximately
$288 million of residential mortgage loans originated for sale rather than
investment. Net gains on sales of residential loans were $3.5 million and $16.0
million in the first quarter 2021 and fourth quarter 2020, respectively. See
further details on our loan activities under the "Loan Portfolio" section below.
Asset Quality. Total non-performing assets (NPAs), consisting of non-accrual
loans, other real estate owned (OREO), other repossessed assets and a
non-accrual debt security increased $16.0 million to $210.5 million at March 31,
2021 as compared to December 31, 2020. Non-accrual loans increased $18.7 million
to $204.0 million at March 31, 2021 as compared to December 31, 2020 mainly due
to one commercial real estate loan and an increase in non-accrual residential
mortgage loans partially caused by the migration of loans previously reported in
the 60-89
                                       44

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

days past due category at December 31, 2020. Non-accrual loans represented 0.62
percent of total loans at March 31, 2021, as compared to 0.58 percent at
December 31, 2020.
Total accruing past due loans (i.e., loans past due 30 days or more and still
accruing interest) decreased $46.2 million to $52.8 million, or 0.16 percent of
total loans, at March 31, 2021 as compared to $99.0 million, or 0.31 percent of
total loans, at December 31, 2020 mainly due to declines in early stage
delinquencies for most loan categories. See further details in the
"Non-performing Assets" section below.

Deposits and Other Borrowings. Average non-interest bearing deposits; savings,
NOW and money market deposits; and time deposits represented approximately 30
percent, 52 percent and 18 percent of total deposits as of March 31, 2021,
respectively. Overall, average deposits increased by $79.4 million to $31.8
billion for the first quarter 2021 as compared to the fourth quarter 2020. Our
mix of the deposit categories within total average deposits for the first
quarter 2021 as compared to the fourth quarter 2020 experienced a continued
shift of maturing time deposits and consumer preference to non-maturity deposit
account due to the low level of interest rates.
Actual ending balances for deposits increased $649.6 million to approximately
$32.6 billion at March 31, 2021 from December 31, 2020 largely due to increases
of $847.8 million and $1.1 billion in the non-interest bearing and non-maturity
interest bearing deposit categories, respectively, partially offset by a $1.3
billion decrease in time deposits. The decrease in time deposits was driven by
normal run-off of maturing retail and brokered CDs with some continued migration
of retail balances to more liquid deposit product categories. Total brokered
deposits (consisting of both time and money market deposit accounts) decreased
approximately $800 million to $2.3 billion at March 31, 2021 as compared to $3.1
billion at December 31, 2020. Non-interest bearing deposits; savings, NOW and
money market deposits; and time deposits represented approximately 31 percent,
52 percent and 17 percent of total deposits as of March 31, 2021, respectively.
While we believe the current operating environment will likely continue to be
favorable for Valley's deposit gathering initiatives, we cannot guarantee that
we will be able to maintain deposit levels at or near those reported at
March 31, 2021.
Average short-term borrowings decreased $148.1 million to $1.2 billion for the
first quarter 2021 as compared to the fourth quarter 2020 due to reductions in
our excess liquidity levels. Average long-term borrowings (including junior
subordinated debentures issued to capital trusts which are presented separately
on the consolidated statements of financial condition) decreased by $456.4
million to $2.3 billion for the first quarter 2021 as compared to the fourth
quarter 2020 mainly due to the prepayment of $534 million of long-term FHLB
borrowings in December 2020.
Actual ending balances for short-term borrowings decreased by $63.3 million to
$1.1 billion at March 31, 2021 from the fourth quarter 2020 due to the decline
in overnight borrowings. Long-term borrowings decreased by $52.7 million to $2.2
billion at March 31, 2021 as compared to December 31, 2020 mainly attributable
to the normal maturities of FHLB advances.
Selected Performance Indicators. The following table presents our annualized
performance ratios for the periods indicated:
                                                                 Three Months Ended
                                                                     March 31,
                                                                 2021              2020
Return on average assets                                              1.14  %      0.92  %
Return on average assets, as adjusted                                 1.14  

0.93



Return on average shareholders' equity                                9.96  

7.92


Return on average shareholders' equity, as adjusted                   9.97  

8.01



Return on average tangible shareholders' equity (ROATE)              14.49        11.84
ROATE, as adjusted                                                   14.50        11.97



                                       45

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Adjusted return on average assets, adjusted return on average shareholders'
equity, ROATE and adjusted ROATE included in the table above are non-GAAP
measures. Management believes these measures provide information useful to
management and investors in understanding our underlying operational
performance, business and performance trends, and the measures facilitate
comparisons of our prior performance with the performance of others in the
financial services industry. These non-GAAP financial measures should not be
considered in isolation or as a substitute for or superior to financial measures
calculated in accordance with U.S. GAAP. These non-GAAP financial measures may
also be calculated differently from similar measures disclosed by other
companies. The non-GAAP measure reconciliations are presented below.

Adjusted net income is computed as follows:


                                                               Three Months Ended
                                                                   March 31,
                                                               2021           2020
                                                                 (in thousands)
     Net income, as reported                               $  115,710      $ 87,268
     Add: Losses on securities transactions (net of tax)           85            29

     Add: Merger related expenses (net of tax) (*)                  -           936

     Net income, as adjusted                               $  115,795
$ 88,233

(*) Merger related expenses are primarily within professional and legal fees, and other non-interest expense.



In addition to the items used to calculate net income, as adjusted, in the table
above, our net income is, from time to time, impacted by fluctuations in the
level of net gains on sales of loans and swap fees recognized from commercial
loan customer transactions. These amounts can vary widely from period to period
due to, among other factors, the amount of residential mortgage loans originated
for sale, loan portfolio sales and commercial loan customer demand for certain
products. See the "Non-Interest Income" section below for more details.

Adjusted annualized return on average assets is computed by dividing adjusted net income by average assets, as follows:


                                                                           Three Months Ended
                                                                                March 31,
                                                                      2021                        2020
                                                                            ($ in thousands)
Net income, as adjusted                                     $                115,795       $           88,233
Average assets                                              $             40,770,731       $       38,116,850
Annualized return on average assets, as adjusted                           1.14    %               0.93     %



Adjusted annualized return on average shareholders' equity is computed by dividing adjusted net income by average shareholders' equity, as follows:


                                                                            Three Months Ended
                                                                                March 31,
                                                                       2021                       2020
                                                                             ($ in thousands)
Net income, as adjusted                                      $                115,795       $          88,233
Average shareholders' equity                                 $              4,645,400       $       4,408,585
Annualized return on average shareholders' equity, as
adjusted                                                                    9.97    %               8.01    %





                                       46

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ROATE and adjusted ROATE are computed by dividing net income and adjusted net
income, respectively, by average shareholders' equity less average goodwill and
average other intangible assets, as follows:
                                                                                  Three Months Ended
                                                                                      March 31,
                                                                             2021                       2020
                                                                                   ($ in thousands)
Net income                                                         $                115,710       $          87,268
Net income, as adjusted                                                             115,795                  88,233
Average shareholders' equity                                       $              4,645,400       $       4,408,585
Less: Average goodwill and other intangible assets                                1,451,750               1,460,988
Average tangible shareholders' equity                              $              3,193,650       $       2,947,597
Annualized ROATE                                                                 14.49    %              11.84    %
Annualized ROATE, as adjusted                                                    14.50    %              11.97    %



Net Interest Income

Net interest income consists of interest income and dividends earned on interest earning assets, less interest expense on interest bearing liabilities, and represents the main source of income for Valley.



Net interest income on a tax equivalent basis totaling $293.6 million for the
first quarter 2021 increased $4.8 million and $27.2 million as compared to the
fourth quarter 2020 and first quarter 2020, respectively. The increase as
compared to the fourth quarter 2020 was mainly due to (i) increased interest and
fee income from PPP loans, (ii) continued run-off of higher cost time deposits,
(iii) the prepayment of $534 million of long-term FHLB advances with a combined
weighted average interest rate of 2.48 percent in December 2020, and (iv) lower
rates on our deposit products combined with a continued customer shift to
deposits without stated maturities. Interest expense of $39.1 million for the
first quarter 2021 decreased $7.0 million as compared to the fourth quarter
2020. Interest income on a tax equivalent basis in the first quarter 2021
decreased by $2.3 million to $332.7 million as compared to the fourth quarter
2020 mainly due to lower overall yields on average taxable investment securities
and loans and a decline in average balances within the investment portfolio due
to normal repayment activity, partially offset by a $8.7 million increase in
interest and fees on PPP loans caused by recognition of fee income on loans
forgiven by the SBA during the first quarter 2021.

Average interest earning assets increased $2.7 billion to $37.4 billion for the
first quarter 2021 as compared to the first quarter 2020 primarily due to
organic loan growth over the 12-month period, including $2.3 billion of PPP
loans. As compared to the fourth quarter 2020, average interest earning assets
decreased by $420.3 million from $37.8 billion partly driven by lower level of
excess liquidity held in overnight interest bearing deposits with banks. The
decrease in average overnight interest bearing deposits with banks was largely
caused by funds used in the prepayment of long-term FHLB borrowings totaling
$534 million in December 2020.

Average interest bearing liabilities decreased $280.9 million to $26.0 billion
for the first quarter 2021 as compared to the first quarter 2020 primarily due
to the repayments of long-term FHLB advances and a decline in overnight
borrowings, partially offset by higher average deposit levels caused by general
increases in customer balances. As compared to the fourth quarter 2020, average
interest bearing liabilities decreased by $754.0 million in the first quarter
2021 mainly due to decreases in long- and short-term borrowings largely
attributable to the December 2020 prepayment and normal maturities of FHLB
advances, respectively, as we reduced our reliance on wholesale funding sources.
See additional information under "Deposits and Other Borrowings" in the
Executive Summary section above.

Our net interest margin on a tax equivalent basis of 3.14 percent for the first
quarter 2021 increased by 8 basis points and 7 basis points from 3.06 percent
and 3.07 percent for the first quarter 2020 and fourth quarter 2020,
respectively. The yield on average interest earning assets increased by 2 basis
points on a linked quarter basis,
                                       47

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

mostly due to the higher yield on the PPP loan portfolio and reduced excess
liquidity held in overnight investments. The yield on average loans decreased by
1 basis point to 3.85 percent for the first quarter 2021 as compared to the
fourth quarter 2020. This decrease was mainly due to new and refinanced loan
originations at lower market interest rates and two less days during the first
quarter 2021, which were mostly offset by the increased yield on our PPP loan
portfolio. The overall cost of average interest bearing liabilities decreased 9
basis points to 0.60 percent for the first quarter 2021 as compared to the
linked fourth quarter 2020, largely due to the lower rates offered on deposit
products, maturing time deposits and a 4 basis point decrease in the average
cost of short-term borrowings. Our cost of total average deposits was 0.28
percent for the first quarter 2021 as compared to 0.33 percent for the fourth
quarter 2020.

Looking forward, we expect moderate ongoing interest rate pressures on our net
interest margin for the second quarter 2021 and beyond due to the low level of
market rates and the potential negative impact on the overall yield on new and
refinanced loan originations. However, we are also encouraged by the continued
potential opportunity to repay or reprice stated maturity deposits and
borrowings maturing at low costs during the remainder of 2021. On April 1, 2021,
we elected to call and prepay $60 million of subordinated notes that were
bearing interest of 6.25 percent per annum and had an original contractual
maturity date of April 1, 2026.
                                       48

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The following table reflects the components of net interest income for the three months ended March 31, 2021, December 31, 2020 and March 31, 2020:

© Edgar Online, source Glimpses