Projected Income Statement: Verallia

Forecast Balance Sheet: Verallia

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,268 1,406 1,365 1,809 1,866 1,745 1,587 1,572
Change - 10.88% -2.92% 32.53% 3.15% -6.5% -9.05% -0.95%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/19/25 2/24/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Verallia

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 256.3 367 418 323.4 258.9 305.7 328.1 332.6
Change - 43.19% 13.9% -22.63% -19.94% 18.07% 7.34% 1.37%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 385.2 332.2 439.9 264.2 274.8 259.6 288.8 299.8
Change - -13.76% 32.42% -39.94% 4.01% -5.52% 11.23% 3.82%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/19/25 2/24/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Verallia

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.36% 25.82% 28.38% 24.38% 20.78% 21.15% 23.01% 23.59%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.7% 16.66% 19.5% 13.29% 7.39% 9.37% 11.82% 12.44%
EBT Margin (%) 12.58% 14.25% 16.46% 9.37% 3.78% 6.5% 8.85% 8.96%
Net margin (%) 9.07% 10.2% 12.04% 6.82% 2.72% 4% 6.37% 6.36%
FCF margin (%) 14.41% 9.91% 11.27% 7.64% 8.25% 7.78% 8.37% 8.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) 158.78% 97.13% 93.6% 112.09% 303.31% 194.46% 131.41% 135.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.93% 8.36% 10.57% 5.16% 3.4% 7.95% 8.2% -
ROE 44.15% 39.46% 49.5% 24.75% 16.58% 16.76% 21.55% 22.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.87x 1.62x 1.23x 2.15x 2.7x 2.47x 2x 1.92x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.29x 4.23x 3.1x 6.85x 6.79x 6.72x 5.49x 5.24x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.58% 10.95% 10.71% 9.36% 7.77% 9.16% 9.51% 9.58%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 37.8% 42.4% 37.73% 38.39% 37.4% 43.29% 41.33% 40.63%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 66.54% 110.48% 95.02% 122.41% 94.21% 117.74% 113.62% 110.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.316 5.961 7.32 4.986 4.536 4.817 5.758 5.49
Change - 12.12% 22.79% -31.88% -9.03% 6.2% 19.53% -4.65%
Dividend per Share 1 1.05 1.4 2.15 1.7 1 1.146 1.302 1.407
Change - 33.33% 53.57% -20.93% -41.18% 14.59% 13.62% 8.07%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.192 8.562 7.746 8.458 7.434 8.6 9.644 9.73
Change - 38.27% -9.53% 9.19% -12.11% 15.69% 12.14% 0.89%
EPS 1 2.01 2.92 4.01 2 0.77 1.126 1.788 1.835
Change - 45.27% 37.33% -50.12% -61.5% 46.26% 58.76% 2.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 116,489 116,771 117,015 117,744 117,836 117,829 117,829 117,829
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/15/23 2/14/24 2/19/25 2/24/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 17x 10.7x
PBR 2.23x 1.99x
EV / Sales 1.2x 1.11x
Yield 5.98% 6.8%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
19.44EUR
Average target price
24.61EUR
Spread / Average Target
+26.60%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise