Projected Income Statement: VINCI

Forecast Balance Sheet: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 17,989 19,266 18,536 16,126 20,415 20,293 18,826 16,847
Change - 7.1% -3.79% -13% 26.6% -0.6% -7.23% -10.51%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 2,079 1,892 3,292 3,140 4,161 4,388 4,506 4,536
Change - -8.99% 74% -4.62% 32.52% 5.45% 2.71% 0.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,990 5,282 4,146 6,628 6,808 4,838 4,948 5,397
Change - 32.38% -21.51% 59.86% 2.72% -28.94% 2.28% 9.08%
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: VINCI

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.69% 15.96% 16.56% 17.38% 17.72% 18.09% 18.25% 18.43%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.61% 9.56% 11.06% 12.14% 12.56% 12.74% 12.91% 13.09%
EBT Margin (%) 4.22% 7.73% 9.98% 10.2% 10.3% 10.83% 11.21% 11.55%
Net margin (%) 2.87% 5.26% 6.91% 6.83% 6.79% 6.58% 7.09% 7.43%
FCF margin (%) 9.23% 10.69% 6.72% 9.63% 9.51% 6.53% 6.51% 6.89%
FCF / Net Income (%) 321.26% 203.39% 97.35% 140.96% 140% 99.26% 91.9% 92.71%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.97% 2.72% 4% 4.08% 3.92% 3.73% 4.83% 5.07%
ROE 6.01% 11.83% 17.45% 17.4% 16.75% 15.44% 16.01% 16.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.04x 2.44x 1.81x 1.35x 1.61x 1.52x 1.36x 1.17x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.51x 3.65x 4.47x 2.43x 3x 4.19x 3.8x 3.12x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.81% 3.83% 5.34% 4.56% 5.81% 5.93% 5.93% 5.79%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.12% 24% 32.23% 26.25% 32.79% 32.77% 32.51% 31.43%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 52.11% 35.82% 79.4% 47.37% 61.12% 90.7% 91.08% 84.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 11.82 13.56 16.45 13.5 14.33 15.25 15.94 17.42
Change - 14.65% 21.38% -17.97% 6.16% 6.45% 4.52% 9.3%
Dividend per Share 1 2.04 2.9 4 4.5 4.75 4.832 5.31 5.765
Change - 42.16% 37.93% 12.5% 5.56% 1.72% 9.91% 8.57%
Book Value Per Share 1 37.12 38.98 45.47 49.48 51.89 57.06 61.29 65.95
Change - 5.01% 16.64% 8.82% 4.88% 9.97% 7.41% 7.61%
EPS 1 2.2 4.51 7.47 8.18 8.43 8.5 9.37 10.11
Change - 105% 65.63% 9.5% 3.06% 0.83% 10.24% 7.9%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 562,062 567,846 563,597 570,844 563,091 555,774 555,774 555,774
Announcement Date 2/5/21 2/4/22 2/9/23 2/7/24 2/6/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 13.7x 12.4x
PBR 2.03x 1.89x
EV / Sales 1.15x 1.1x
Yield 4.16% 4.57%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
116.10EUR
Average target price
135.49EUR
Spread / Average Target
+16.70%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise