|
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 16.97 USD | +3.86% |
|
-3.67% | -16.59% |
| Mar. 02 | Qualcomm Signs Coalition With Industry Partners for 6G Development, Deployment | MT |
| Mar. 02 | XPeng Reports Vehicle Deliveries of 15,256 Units in February | MT |
Projected Income Statement: XPeng Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 5,844 | 20,988 | 26,855 | 30,676 | 40,866 | 77,574 | 104,800 | 128,338 |
| Change | - | 259.12% | 27.95% | 14.23% | 33.22% | 89.82% | 35.1% | 22.46% |
| EBITDA 1 | -3,856 | -5,742 | -7,295 | -8,782 | -4,085 | -557.2 | 2,017 | 5,613 |
| Change | - | -48.91% | -27.05% | -20.39% | 53.48% | 86.36% | 462.06% | 178.25% |
| EBIT 1 | -3,297 | -6,579 | -8,706 | -10,889 | -6,658 | -3,082 | -45.53 | 3,301 |
| Change | - | -99.54% | -32.31% | -25.09% | 38.86% | 53.71% | 98.52% | 7,350.09% |
| Interest Paid 1 | 110.6 | -55.34 | -132.2 | -268.7 | -344 | -416.6 | -423.4 | -469.3 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -2,731 | -4,837 | -9,118 | -10,394 | -5,831 | -1,629 | 1,392 | 5,208 |
| Change | - | -77.13% | -88.51% | -13.99% | 43.9% | 72.06% | 185.41% | 274.24% |
| Net income 1 | -2,732 | -4,863 | -9,139 | -10,376 | -5,790 | -1,559 | 1,368 | 5,172 |
| Change | - | -78.01% | -87.92% | -13.53% | 44.19% | 73.08% | 187.72% | 278.17% |
| Announcement Date | 3/8/21 | 3/28/22 | 3/17/23 | 3/19/24 | 3/18/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million
Estimates
Forecast Balance Sheet: XPeng Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -31,192 | -35,893 | -6,814 | -11,587 | -8,313 | -18,403 | -24,442 | -30,907 |
| Change | - | -15.07% | 81.02% | -70.05% | 28.26% | -121.39% | -32.82% | -26.45% |
| Announcement Date | 3/8/21 | 3/28/22 | 3/17/23 | 3/19/24 | 3/18/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million
Estimates
Cash Flow Forecast: XPeng Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 806.1 | 2,300 | 4,680 | 2,312 | 2,226 | 2,913 | 2,797 | 2,905 |
| Change | - | 185.3% | 103.5% | -50.61% | -3.69% | 30.88% | -3.98% | 3.85% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -945.8 | -3,394 | -12,508 | -1,355 | -4,238 | 5,442 | 8,196 | 10,791 |
| Change | - | -258.87% | -268.51% | 89.16% | -212.72% | 228.39% | 50.61% | 31.67% |
| Announcement Date | 3/8/21 | 3/28/22 | 3/17/23 | 3/19/24 | 3/18/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million
Estimates
Forecast Financial Ratios: XPeng Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | -65.98% | -27.36% | -27.16% | -28.63% | -10% | -0.72% | 1.92% | 4.37% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | -56.42% | -31.35% | -32.42% | -35.5% | -16.29% | -3.97% | -0.04% | 2.57% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -46.73% | -23.05% | -33.95% | -33.88% | -14.27% | -2.1% | 1.33% | 4.06% |
| Net margin (%) | -46.75% | -23.17% | -34.03% | -33.82% | -14.17% | -2.01% | 1.3% | 4.03% |
| FCF margin (%) | -16.18% | -16.17% | -46.58% | -4.42% | -10.37% | 7.01% | 7.82% | 8.41% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 34.62% | 69.8% | 136.87% | 13.06% | 73.2% | -349.05% | 599.3% | 208.66% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | -10.13% | -8.81% | -13.33% | -13.33% | -6.94% | -1.73% | 1.97% | 4.2% |
| ROE | -19.8% | -12.7% | -23.12% | -28.33% | -17.13% | -4.73% | 5.54% | 14.7% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 13.79% | 10.96% | 17.43% | 7.54% | 5.45% | 3.76% | 2.67% | 2.26% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | -20.91% | -40.05% | -64.15% | -26.32% | -54.49% | -522.88% | 138.67% | 51.75% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -85.22% | -67.75% | -37.41% | -170.55% | -52.52% | 53.54% | 34.13% | 26.92% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | -0.1853 | -1.332 | -9.614 | 1.098 | -2.128 | 4.376 | 8.672 | 7.977 |
| Change | - | -619.1% | -621.52% | 111.42% | -293.81% | 305.64% | 98.17% | -8.01% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 22.4 | 51.31 | 42.91 | 38.57 | 33.07 | 31.28 | 31.71 | 33.44 |
| Change | - | 129.01% | -16.37% | -10.12% | -14.25% | -5.43% | 1.38% | 5.47% |
| EPS 1 | -7.24 | -5.92 | -10.67 | -11.92 | -6.12 | -1.547 | 1.084 | 4.199 |
| Change | - | 18.23% | -80.24% | -11.72% | 48.66% | 74.72% | 170.04% | 287.44% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 768,381 | 843,413 | 856,765 | 939,549 | 948,803 | 954,678 | 954,678 | 954,678 |
| Announcement Date | 3/8/21 | 3/28/22 | 3/17/23 | 3/19/24 | 3/18/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY
Estimates
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | -72.8x | 104x |
| PBR | 3.6x | 3.55x |
| EV / Sales | 1.15x | 0.79x |
| Yield | - | - |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
28
Last Close Price
112.60CNY
Average target price
184.57CNY
Spread / Average Target
+63.91%
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
- Stock Market
- Equities
- XPEV Stock
- Financials XPeng Inc.
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