Projected Income Statement: Air New Zealand Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Air New Zealand Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,042 1,575 1,108 1,537 1,402 1,613 2,083 2,310
Change - -48.22% -29.65% 38.72% -8.78% 15.05% 29.14% 10.9%
Announcement Date 8/25/21 8/24/22 8/23/23 8/28/24 8/27/25 - - -
1NZD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Air New Zealand Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 231 327 602 791 780 1,220 1,232 910.2
Change - 41.56% 84.1% 31.4% -1.39% 56.39% 0.97% -26.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 92 223 937 19 160 -1,090 -838 -280
Change - 142.39% 320.18% -97.97% 742.11% -781.25% 23.12% 66.59%
Announcement Date 8/25/21 8/24/22 8/23/23 8/28/24 8/27/25 - - -
1NZD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Air New Zealand Limited

Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.47% -0.15% 20.32% 13.94% 13.71% 10.12% 13.03% 15.97%
EBIT Margin (%) -14.98% -24.58% 9.34% 3.33% 2.95% -1.39% 0.46% 3.64%
EBT Margin (%) -16.33% -29.63% 9.07% 3.29% 2.8% -1.91% -0.47% 2.49%
Net margin (%) -11.48% -21.62% 6.51% 2.16% 1.87% -1.26% -0.31% 1.92%
FCF margin (%) 3.66% 8.16% 14.8% 0.28% 2.37% -15.84% -11.62% -3.64%
FCF / Net Income (%) -31.83% -37.73% 227.43% 13.01% 126.98% 1,257.3% 3,689.57% -189.85%

Profitability

        
ROA -4.06% -7.86% 4.79% 1.65% 1.46% -1.51% 1.08% 2.77%
ROE -23.85% -42.59% 22.36% 7.14% 6.37% -4.64% 0.12% 8.39%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 8.97x -393.75x 0.86x 1.63x 1.51x 2.32x 2.22x 1.88x
Debt / Free cash flow 33.07x 7.06x 1.18x 80.89x 8.76x -1.48x -2.49x -8.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.18% 11.96% 9.51% 11.72% 11.55% 17.73% 17.07% 11.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 68.14% -8,175% 46.81% 84.06% 84.23% 175.29% 131% 74.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 251.09% 146.64% 64.25% 4,163.16% 487.5% -111.92% -146.98% -325.08%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.317 0.163 0.3266 0.2639 0.2557 0.2061 0.2674 0.3357
Change - -48.58% 100.38% -19.2% -3.1% -19.4% 29.72% 25.55%
Dividend per Share 1 - - 0.06 0.035 0.025 - 0.001 0.0227
Change - - - -41.67% -28.57% - - 2,173%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.984 0.4979 0.6172 0.5967 0.5884 0.5384 0.5368 0.557
Change - -49.4% 23.96% -3.32% -1.39% -8.5% -0.29% 3.77%
EPS 1 -0.257 -0.408 0.122 0.043 0.037 -0.0274 -0.00372 0.0466
Change - -58.75% 129.9% -64.75% -13.95% -174.03% 86.42% 1,352.69%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,122,810 3,368,446 3,368,430 3,368,464 3,305,616 3,239,622 3,239,622 3,239,622
Announcement Date 8/25/21 8/24/22 8/23/23 8/28/24 8/27/25 - - -
1NZD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio -15.9x -117x
PBR 0.81x 0.81x
EV / Sales 0.44x 0.48x
Yield - 0.23%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
SELL
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
0.4350NZD
Average target price
0.5700NZD
Spread / Average Target
+31.03%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. AIR Stock
  4. Financials Air New Zealand Limited
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