Projected Income Statement: Allegion plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Allegion plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 949 1,044 1,807 1,547 1,496 1,669 1,480 1,507
Change - 10.01% 73.08% -14.39% -3.3% 11.59% -11.32% 1.82%
Announcement Date 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/22/23 2/20/24 2/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Allegion plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 47.1 45.4 64 84.2 92.1 95.78 107.7 113.7
Change - -3.61% 40.97% 31.56% 9.38% 3.99% 12.43% 5.58%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 443.2 443.2 395.5 516.4 582.9 608.5 678 771
Change - 0% -10.76% 30.57% 12.88% 4.39% 11.43% 13.72%
Announcement Date 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/22/23 2/20/24 2/18/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Allegion plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.91% 21.57% 22.09% 23.52% 24.37% 24.88% 25.2% 26.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 21.04% 18.82% 19.46% 22.07% 22.82% 23.27% 23.66% 24.22%
EBT Margin (%) 13.43% 18.27% 15.72% 16.91% 18.52% 19.13% 19.8% 20.98%
Net margin (%) 11.56% 16.84% 14% 14.8% 15.84% 16.13% 16.61% 17.21%
FCF margin (%) 16.29% 15.46% 12.09% 14.14% 15.45% 14.94% 15.64% 16.99%
FCF / Net Income (%) 141.01% 91.76% 86.35% 95.56% 97.56% 92.64% 94.16% 98.73%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.41% 15.78% 13.01% 13.02% 13.58% 13.89% 13.4% 14.5%
ROE 39.46% 60.56% 53.85% 47.82% 42.39% 39.12% 33.89% 31.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.46x 1.69x 2.5x 1.8x 1.63x 1.65x 1.35x 1.28x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.14x 2.36x 4.57x 3x 2.57x 2.74x 2.18x 1.95x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.73% 1.58% 1.96% 2.31% 2.44% 2.35% 2.48% 2.51%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.24% 7.34% 8.85% 9.81% 10.02% 9.45% 9.86% 9.62%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 10.63% 10.24% 16.18% 16.31% 15.8% 15.74% 15.88% 14.75%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.283 5.399 5.204 6.8 7.706 8.305 9.41 -
Change - 2.19% -3.61% 30.67% 13.32% 7.78% 13.3% -
Dividend per Share 1 1.28 1.44 1.64 1.8 1.92 2.035 2.23 2.568
Change - 12.5% 13.89% 9.76% 6.67% 5.98% 9.61% 15.12%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.972 8.424 10.7 14.93 17.21 23.69 29.08 35.04
Change - -6.1% 26.97% 39.58% 15.27% 37.64% 22.76% 20.49%
EPS 1 3.39 5.34 5.19 6.12 6.82 7.55 8.301 8.69
Change - 57.52% -2.81% 17.92% 11.44% 10.71% 9.94% 4.68%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 92,039 89,696 87,845 87,788 86,929 86,032 86,032 86,032
Announcement Date 2/16/21 2/15/22 2/22/23 2/20/24 2/18/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 21.1x 19.2x
PBR 6.72x 5.47x
EV / Sales 3.77x 3.5x
Yield 1.28% 1.4%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
159.08USD
Average target price
183.09USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.09%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ALLE Stock
  4. Financials Allegion plc