Projected Income Statement: American Airlines Group Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: American Airlines Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 32,506 25,629 26,698 25,324 31,655 28,407 27,878 26,529
Change - -21.16% 4.17% -5.15% 25% -10.26% -1.86% -4.84%
Announcement Date 1/28/21 1/20/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: American Airlines Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,958 208 2,546 2,596 2,683 3,647 4,163 4,197
Change - -89.38% 1,124.04% 1.96% 3.35% 35.92% 14.15% 0.81%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -8,501 496 -373 1,207 1,300 281.3 487.1 995
Change - 105.83% -175.2% 423.59% 7.71% -78.36% 73.19% 104.26%
Announcement Date 1/28/21 1/20/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: American Airlines Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -46.18% -6.93% 10.57% 13.86% 11.85% 9.49% 10.75% 10.99%
EBIT Margin (%) -65.68% -18.45% 3.69% 7.6% 6.01% 3.43% 4.98% 5.6%
EBT Margin (%) -66.06% -8.53% 0.38% 2.12% 2.13% 0.71% 2.87% 3.36%
Net margin (%) -51.25% -6.67% 0.26% 1.56% 1.56% 0.63% 2.15% 2.53%
FCF margin (%) -49.03% 1.66% -0.76% 2.29% 2.4% 0.51% 0.83% 1.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) 95.68% -24.89% -293.7% 146.84% 153.66% 81.47% 38.81% 64.13%

Profitability

        
ROA -15.59% -3.1% 0.5% 2.91% 2.18% 0.65% 2.11% 2.71%
ROE - - - - - 15.3% 516.32% 105.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -4.06x -12.38x 5.16x 3.46x 4.93x 5.46x 4.43x 3.93x
Debt / Free cash flow -3.82x 51.67x -71.58x 20.98x 24.35x 100.99x 57.23x 26.66x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.29% 0.7% 5.2% 4.92% 4.95% 6.66% 7.12% 6.83%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -24.46% -10.05% 49.18% 35.47% 41.76% 70.13% 66.2% 62.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -23.03% 41.94% -682.57% 215.08% 206.38% 1,296.5% 854.57% 421.77%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -13.52 1.093 3.317 5.284 5.522 5.943 7.307 7.45
Change - 108.08% 203.44% 59.31% 4.5% 7.63% 22.95% 1.96%
Dividend per Share 1 0.1 - - - - - - 0.1796
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 -11.05 -11.33 -8.913 -7.951 -6.048 -5.409 -3.431 -0.931
Change - -2.56% 21.35% 10.79% 23.93% 10.56% 36.58% 72.86%
EPS 1 -18.36 -3.09 0.19 1.21 1.24 0.5453 1.786 2.509
Change - 83.17% 106.15% 536.84% 2.48% -56.03% 227.46% 40.53%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 610,774 647,477 649,901 653,541 657,131 660,086 660,086 660,086
Announcement Date 1/28/21 1/20/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 27.4x 8.38x
PBR -2.77x -4.36x
EV / Sales 0.7x 0.65x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
14.96USD
Average target price
15.82USD
Spread / Average Target
+5.77%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
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  4. Financials American Airlines Group Inc.