Projected Income Statement: American Airlines Group Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: American Airlines Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 25,629 26,698 25,324 31,655 30,673 26,650 26,545 24,823
Change - 4.17% -5.15% 25% -3.1% -13.12% -0.39% -6.49%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: American Airlines Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 208 2,546 2,596 2,683 3,779 3,793 4,113 4,545
Change - 1,124.04% 1.96% 3.35% 40.85% 0.38% 8.41% 10.51%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 496 -373 1,207 1,300 -680 6.6 415 1,209
Change - -175.2% 423.59% 7.71% -152.31% 100.97% 6,187.88% 191.33%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: American Airlines Group Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -6.93% 10.57% 13.86% 11.85% 8.67% 7.08% 9.94% 10.56%
EBIT Margin (%) -18.45% 3.69% 7.6% 6.01% 2.98% 1.95% 5.04% 5.92%
EBT Margin (%) -8.53% 0.38% 2.12% 2.13% 0.35% -0.12% 2.95% 3.48%
Net margin (%) -6.67% 0.26% 1.56% 1.56% 0.2% -0.11% 2.18% 2.62%
FCF margin (%) 1.66% -0.76% 2.29% 2.4% -1.24% 0.01% 0.64% 1.78%
FCF / Net Income (%) -24.89% -293.7% 146.84% 153.66% -612.61% -9.59% 29.45% 68.09%

Profitability

        
ROA -3.1% 0.5% 2.91% 2.18% 0.38% -0.47% 1.8% 2.47%
ROE - - - - - 0.9% 39.3% 263.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -12.38x 5.16x 3.46x 4.93x 6.47x 6.06x 4.14x 3.47x
Debt / Free cash flow 51.67x -71.58x 20.98x 24.35x -45.11x 4,037.93x 63.96x 20.53x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.7% 5.2% 4.92% 4.95% 6.92% 6.1% 6.37% 6.7%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -10.05% 49.18% 35.47% 41.76% 79.74% 86.22% 64.1% 63.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 41.94% -682.57% 215.08% 206.38% -555.74% 57,475.52% 990.97% 375.91%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.093 3.317 5.284 5.522 4.688 5.833 6.753 8.784
Change - 203.44% 59.31% 4.5% -15.1% 24.43% 15.77% 30.07%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.1042 0.1344
Change - - - - - - - 28.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 -11.33 -8.913 -7.951 -6.048 -5.644 -5.53 -3.108 0.9004
Change - 21.35% 10.79% 23.93% 6.67% 2.02% 43.81% 128.97%
EPS 1 -3.09 0.19 1.21 1.24 0.17 -0.1829 2.202 2.779
Change - 106.15% 536.84% 2.48% -86.29% -207.56% 1,303.95% 26.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 647,477 649,901 653,541 657,131 660,086 661,385 661,385 661,385
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio -73.4x 6.1x
PBR -2.43x -4.32x
EV / Sales 0.57x 0.55x
Yield - 0.78%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
13.42USD
Average target price
15.53USD
Spread / Average Target
+15.70%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. AAL Stock
  4. Financials American Airlines Group Inc.
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