Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | |
245.54 USD | -0.49% | -2.09% | +30.35% |
Nov. 22 | Arthur J. Gallagher & Co Insider Sold Shares Worth $2,917,196, According to a Recent SEC Filing | MT |
Nov. 21 | Arthur J. Gallagher Acquires Hughes Insurance Agency | MT |
Valuation
Fiscal Period : December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Capitalization 1 | 13 535 | 17 763 | 23 792 | 35 169 | 39 752 | 53 274 | - | - |
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 16 538 | 21 764 | 27 672 | 40 821 | 45 524 | 59 692 | 59 483 | 59 127 |
P/E ratio | 21,7x | 27,1x | 29,5x | 38,8x | 36,3x | 40,4x | 31,5x | 27,1x |
Yield | 2,23% | 1,81% | 1,46% | 1,13% | 1,08% | 0,89% | 0,95% | 1,00% |
Capitalization / Revenue | 1,99x | 2,52x | 3,47x | 4,35x | 4,72x | 5,31x | 4,63x | 4,23x |
EV / Revenue | 2,43x | 3,08x | 4,04x | 5,05x | 5,41x | 5,95x | 5,17x | 4,69x |
EV / EBITDA | 15,1x | 16,2x | 16,3x | 20,1x | 17,8x | 19,9x | 16,6x | 14,5x |
EV / FCF | 25,8x | 22,2x | - | 25,9x | 23,4x | 73,2x | 23,6x | 20,7x |
FCF Yield | 3,87% | 4,50% | - | 3,86% | 4,27% | 1,37% | 4,23% | 4,82% |
Price to Book | 3,01x | 3,44x | 3,84x | 4,16x | 4,37x | 4,89x | 4,02x | 3,33x |
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 183 652 | 186 523 | 192 322 | 207 278 | 210 840 | 215 911 | - | - |
Reference price 2 | 73,7 | 95,2 | 124 | 170 | 189 | 247 | 247 | 247 |
Announcement Date | 01/31/19 | 01/30/20 | 01/28/21 | 01/27/22 | 01/26/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
Fiscal Period : December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 6 792 | 7 056 | 6 852 | 8 076 | 8 420 | 10 026 | 11 498 | 12 599 |
EBITDA 1 | 1 097 | 1 341 | 1 699 | 2 029 | 2 554 | 3 004 | 3 589 | 4 084 |
EBIT 1 | - | - | - | 1 523 | 2 002 | 2 734 | 3 345 | 3 874 |
Operating Margin | - | - | - | 18,9% | 23,8% | 27,3% | 29,1% | 30,8% |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 479 | 626 | 871 | 975 | 1 327 | 1 675 | 2 150 | 2 379 |
Net income 1 | 634 | 669 | 819 | 907 | 1 114 | 1 291 | 1 670 | 1 919 |
Net margin | 9,33% | 9,48% | 11,9% | 11,2% | 13,2% | 12,9% | 14,5% | 15,2% |
EPS 2 | 3,40 | 3,52 | 4,20 | 4,37 | 5,19 | 6,10 | 7,83 | 9,10 |
Free Cash Flow 1 | 641 | 980 | - | 1 576 | 1 943 | 816 | 2 517 | 2 852 |
FCF margin | 9,43% | 13,9% | - | 19,5% | 23,1% | 8,14% | 21,9% | 22,6% |
FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 58,4% | 73,1% | - | 77,6% | 76,1% | 27,2% | 70,1% | 69,8% |
FCF Conversion (Net income) | 101% | 147% | - | 174% | 174% | 63,2% | 151% | 149% |
Dividend per Share 2 | 1,64 | 1,72 | 1,80 | 1,92 | 2,04 | 2,21 | 2,34 | 2,46 |
Announcement Date | 31.01.19 | 30.01.20 | 28.01.21 | 27.01.22 | 26.01.23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
Fiscal Period : December | 2021 Q2 | 2021 Q3 | 2021 Q4 | 2022 Q1 | 2022 Q2 | 2022 Q3 | 2022 Q4 | 2023 Q1 | 2023 Q2 | 2023 Q3 | 2023 Q4 | 2024 Q1 | 2024 Q2 | 2024 Q3 | 2024 Q4 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net sales 1 | 1 897 | 2 106 | 1 941 | 2 405 | 2 008 | 2 012 | 1 995 | 2 673 | 2 407 | 2 454 | 2 425 | 3 153 | 2 798 | 2 827 | 2 718 |
EBITDA 1 | 466 | 500 | 436 | 857 | 580 | 590 | 528 | 958 | 676 | 707 | 679 | 1 160 | 812 | 827 | 780 |
EBIT 1 | - | - | - | 697 | 440 | 444 | 385 | 799 | 500 | 546 | 650 | 1 125 | 778 | 802 | 771 |
Operating Margin | - | - | - | 29,0% | 21,9% | 22,1% | 19,3% | 29,9% | 20,8% | 22,3% | 26,8% | 35,7% | 27,8% | 28,4% | 28,3% |
Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 222 | 231 | 113 | 538 | 352 | 315 | 122 | 606 | 297 | 364 | 344 | 795 | 444 | 450 | 402 |
Net income 1 | 190 | 225 | 109 | 439 | 284 | 256 | 136 | 487 | 235 | 281 | 241 | 602 | 343 | 360 | 294 |
Net margin | 10,0% | 10,7% | 5,64% | 18,2% | 14,2% | 12,7% | 6,79% | 18,2% | 9,74% | 11,4% | 9,92% | 19,1% | 12,3% | 12,7% | 10,8% |
EPS 2 | 0,92 | 1,06 | 0,51 | 2,05 | 1,33 | 1,19 | 0,63 | 2,24 | 1,07 | 1,28 | 1,24 | 2,87 | 1,70 | 1,75 | 1,60 |
Dividend per Share 2 | 0,48 | 0,48 | 0,48 | 0,51 | 0,51 | 0,51 | 0,51 | 0,55 | 0,55 | 0,55 | 0,55 | 0,58 | 0,58 | 0,58 | 0,58 |
Announcement Date | 07/29/21 | 10/28/21 | 01/27/22 | 04/28/22 | 07/28/22 | 10/27/22 | 01/26/23 | 04/27/23 | 07/27/23 | 10/26/23 | - | - | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
Fiscal Period : December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Net Debt 1 | 3 003 | 4 002 | 3 880 | 5 653 | 5 772 | 6 418 | 6 209 | 5 853 |
Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2,74x | 2,98x | 2,28x | 2,79x | 2,26x | 2,14x | 1,73x | 1,43x |
Free Cash Flow 1 | 641 | 980 | - | 1 576 | 1 943 | 816 | 2 517 | 2 852 |
ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 14,7% | 14,4% | 14,3% | 15,5% | 18,8% | 19,4% | 20,5% | 20,4% |
Shareholders' equity 1 | 4 310 | 4 636 | 5 724 | 5 867 | 5 921 | 6 655 | 8 161 | 9 388 |
ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Assets 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Book Value Per Share 2 | 24,5 | 27,7 | 32,2 | 40,8 | 43,1 | 50,5 | 61,4 | 74,0 |
Cash Flow per Share 2 | - | - | 8,99 | 8,22 | 9,90 | -35,1 | 22,3 | - |
Capex 1 | 124 | 139 | - | 129 | 183 | 162 | 167 | 174 |
Capex / CA | 1,83% | 1,97% | - | 1,59% | 2,17% | 1,62% | 1,46% | 1,38% |
Announcement Date | 01/31/19 | 01/30/20 | 01/28/21 | 01/27/22 | 01/26/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating :
Investor Rating :
ESG Refinitiv :
B-
Sell
Buy

Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
246.74USD
Average target price
252.80USD
Spread / Average Target
+2.46%
EPS Revisions
1st Jan change | Capi. (M$) | |
---|---|---|
+30.87% | 53 274 M $ | |
+7.67% | 64 700 M $ | |
-1.19% | 24 955 M $ | |
+37.96% | 7 100 M $ | |
+9.37% | 5 371 M $ | |
+1.83% | 4 017 M $ | |
+23.75% | 2 036 M $ | |
+109.11% | 1 786 M $ | |
-29.47% | 1 140 M $ | |
-9.18% | 1 098 M $ |
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- Financials Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.