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Pre-market 07:00:28 am | |||
| 245.41 USD | +0.02% |
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243.96 | -0.59% |
| Dec. 04 | Wells Fargo Adjusts Price Target on Arthur J. Gallagher to $344 From $362, Maintains Overweight Rating | MT |
| Dec. 02 | Baldwin strikes $1 billion deal for rival insurance broker CAC Group | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 6,852 | 8,076 | 8,420 | 9,926 | 11,401 | 13,865 | 16,832 | 18,416 |
| Change | - | 17.87% | 4.26% | 17.89% | 14.85% | 21.62% | 21.39% | 9.42% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,699 | 2,029 | 2,554 | 3,010 | 3,571 | 4,563 | 5,655 | 6,389 |
| Change | - | 19.44% | 25.88% | 17.83% | 18.65% | 27.78% | 23.93% | 12.98% |
| EBIT 1 | - | 1,523 | 2,002 | 2,313 | 2,728 | 3,640 | 4,858 | 5,576 |
| Change | - | - | 31.46% | 15.55% | 17.96% | 33.4% | 33.49% | 14.77% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -196.4 | -226.1 | -256.9 | -296.7 | -381.3 | -638.8 | -666.4 | -727.6 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 870.9 | 975.1 | 1,327 | 1,185 | 1,875 | 2,439 | 3,227 | 3,469 |
| Change | - | 11.96% | 36.09% | -10.69% | 58.2% | 30.1% | 32.3% | 7.5% |
| Net income 1 | 818.8 | 906.8 | 1,114 | 969.5 | 1,463 | 2,107 | 2,828 | 3,249 |
| Change | - | 10.75% | 22.87% | -12.99% | 50.87% | 44.07% | 34.2% | 14.9% |
| Announcement Date | 1/28/21 | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 1/25/24 | 1/30/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 3,880 | 5,653 | 5,772 | 6,994 | -2,055 | 9,074 | 9,171 | 8,497 |
| Change | - | 45.7% | 2.11% | 21.17% | -129.38% | 541.47% | 1.07% | -7.35% |
| Announcement Date | 1/28/21 | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 1/25/24 | 1/30/25 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 128.6 | 182.7 | 193.6 | 141.9 | 215.7 | 287 | 350.3 |
| Change | - | 42.07% | 5.97% | -26.7% | 51.98% | 33.08% | 22.04% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 1,576 | 1,943 | 1,838 | 2,441 | 1,936 | 4,010 | 4,548 |
| Change | - | 23.31% | -5.38% | 32.8% | -20.71% | 107.16% | 13.44% |
| Announcement Date | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 1/25/24 | 1/30/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 24.79% | 25.12% | 30.33% | 30.32% | 31.32% | 32.91% | 33.59% | 34.63% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | - | 18.85% | 23.77% | 23.3% | 23.93% | 26.29% | 28.88% | 30.3% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 12.71% | 12.07% | 15.76% | 11.94% | 16.44% | 17.59% | 19.17% | 18.81% |
| Net margin (%) | 11.95% | 11.23% | 13.23% | 9.77% | 12.83% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 17.62% |
| FCF margin (%) | - | 19.51% | 23.07% | 18.52% | 21.41% | 13.96% | 23.82% | 24.66% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | - | 173.74% | 174.36% | 189.59% | 166.88% | 91.84% | 141.78% | 139.98% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | - | - | - | - | 2.52% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% |
| ROE | 14.3% | 15.46% | 18.82% | 19.3% | 12.43% | 11.31% | 13.14% | 13.45% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.28x | 2.79x | 2.26x | 2.32x | - | 1.99x | 1.62x | 1.33x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | 3.59x | 2.97x | 3.8x | - | 4.69x | 2.29x | 1.87x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | - | 1.59% | 2.17% | 1.95% | 1.24% | 1.56% | 1.7% | 1.9% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | - | 6.34% | 7.15% | 6.43% | 3.97% | 4.73% | 5.08% | 5.48% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | - | 8.16% | 9.4% | 10.53% | 5.81% | 11.14% | 7.16% | 7.7% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 8.987 | 8.22 | 9.899 | 9.262 | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | -8.53% | 20.42% | -6.44% | - | - | - | - |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.8 | 1.92 | 2.04 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.57 | 2.697 | 2.846 |
| Change | - | 6.67% | 6.25% | 7.84% | 9.09% | 7.08% | 4.93% | 5.54% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 32.19 | 40.82 | 43.15 | 49.73 | 80.61 | 94.45 | 108.3 | 117.2 |
| Change | - | 26.82% | 5.71% | 15.25% | 62.11% | 17.16% | 14.69% | 8.22% |
| EPS 1 | 4.2 | 4.37 | 5.19 | 4.42 | 6.5 | 7.638 | 10.36 | 11.7 |
| Change | - | 4.05% | 18.76% | -14.84% | 47.06% | 17.51% | 35.69% | 12.93% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 192,322 | 207,278 | 210,840 | 215,911 | 249,803 | 256,805 | 256,805 | 256,805 |
| Announcement Date | 1/28/21 | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 1/25/24 | 1/30/25 | - | - | - |
| 2025 * | 2026 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 32.1x | 23.7x |
| PBR | 2.6x | 2.27x |
| EV / Sales | 5.2x | 4.29x |
| Yield | 1.05% | 1.1% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
This super rating is the result of a weighted average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Global Valuation (Composite), EPS Revisions (4 months), and Visibility (Composite). We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Investor
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Global
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Quality
This composite rating is the result of an average of the rankings based on the following ratings: Capital Efficiency (Composite), Quality of Financial Reporting (Composite), and Financial Health (Composite). The company must be covered by at least 2 of these 3 ratings for the calculation to be performed. We recommend that you carefully review the associated descriptions.
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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- Financials Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.
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