Artprice Half-year report: the art market returns to strong growth in the West

Artprice Half-year report: the art market returns to strong growth in the West [09 Aug 2022]

Global turnover from Fine Art auction sales increased by 8.8% in H1 2022, despite another wave of Covid-19 in China. Artprice counted a record number of auction transactions around the world and observes a growing enthusiasm for works by artists from the second half of the 20th and the beginning of the 21st century, whose prices are highly volatile.

thierry Ehrmann, President and Founder of Artmarket.com: "A comprehensive study of the results of public auctions reveals growing competition between New York, London and Hong Kong. This competition is rapidly inflating the prices of works by young artists to levels usually reserved for great masters. On the occasion of the Frieze London and Paris+ fairs (the latter run by Art Basel), Artprice will be publishing an exclusive report dedicated to 'Ultra Contemporary' Art: a term that designates a dynamic that is developing around artists under 40 years old, like Matthew Wong, Avery Singer and Refik Anadol.

H1 2022 KEY FIGURES

• Global Fine Art auction proceeds reached $7.49 billion.

• The art market's 5th most prosperous H1 period ever recorded.

• An increase of 8.8% versus H1 2021.

• A record 326,000 lots sold in H1 2022 versus 313,400 in H1 2021

• The Global Artprice Index is down 13.8%

• Christie's hammered the 2nd best art auction result of all time at $195 million.

• The unsold rate rose to 31% versus 27% in H1 2021.

• With turnover of $3.27 billion, New York was clearly the world's leading market place.

• In second and third place, London hammered $1.43 billion and Hong Kong took $610 million.

• Not far behind, the Parisian art market generated $518 million and has attracted a growing number of international institutions.

• Christie's and Sotheby's account for 38% of global fine art turnover.

• The Macklowe Collection became the most expensive collection ever sold in the world, generating $922 million.

• 180 NFTs sold at auction generating $8.5 million.

ORGANIZATION AND STRUCTURE OF THE ART MARKET

As the health crisis wanes worldwide, Fine Art auctions settled down to an unsold rate of 31%, almost one in three works offered for sale. This level corresponds to a stable average over the last twenty years, fluctuating between 36% in 2009 and 27% in 2021. Indeed, this key market indicator has reacted quite differently compared with how it reacted in the last major crisis that affected the global art market, the 2009 financial crisis. Back then, collectors decided to take less financial risk, whereas the health crisis of 2021 prompted buyers to switch to a new entirely dematerialized sales channel.

In the first half of 2021, the market found a new balance thanks to the coexistence of two different and complementary sales channels (one physical, the other digital), which allowed auction transactions to continue at a healthy pace reaching a historic number of 326,000 Fine Art lots in six months.In H1 2022 this volume further increased to an unprecedented intensity, despite the postponement of many auctions in China (whose turnover volume is down 53%) due to an additional wave of Covid-19.

The United States (up 42% vs. H1 2021) and the UK (up 26%) have driven growth. The two powerful Anglo-Saxon markets alone accounted for exactly two thirds of global Fine Art auction turnover. China, for its part,only accounted for 12% of global fine art auction turnover, a result that it owes in large part to Hong Kong which accounted for 70% of the value of the entireChinese art market (including Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan).

France continued to grow (+14%) consolidating its 4th place ahead of Germany (-5%) after a sensational performance in 2021. In addition to the presence of Christie's and Sotheby's, a number of Parisian auction operators posted exceptionally strong performances: Artcurial (+42%) and Aguttes (+154%), among others. Meanwhile, The French capital is attracting a growing number of major international players likeDavid Zwirner, while the Gagosian and Continua galleries have opened new spaces in France. Paris is delighted to see the upcoming arrival of Hauser & Wirth as well as the opening of a Phillips auction room. Bonhams has acquired the French house Cornette de Saint-Cyr (operating in Paris and Brussels). Lastly, the Art Basel company will henceforth be the official organizer of the international autumn art fair organized at the Grand Palais in Paris, entitled Paris+, which will replace the FIAC.

Japan and Switzerland also had an excellent start to 2022 with increases of 74% and 145% in their respective auction turnover totals. Without directly competing with Hong Kong (which still weighs seven times more), Tokyo is positioning itself on the Asian continent as a hub for major contemporary artists, including Andy Warhol, Yoshitomo Nara, Yayoi Kusama, but also young talents like Mr Doodle and Ayako Rokkaku (born in 1982), whose auction sales have already exceeded $18.6 million this year. For its part, Switzerland is continuing to carve out a place for itself on the Post-Impressionist and Modern Art market, with sales of important works by Ferdinand Hodler, Alberto Giacometti and Marc Chagall.

TRENDS: NFTs ANDULTRA CONTEMPORARY ART

Propelled to center stage in March 2021 with a first public auction result at $69.4 million, NFTs (non-fungible tokens) have created something of a revolution on the art market, with a new type of work, new collectors and a new currency.

Of the 277 NFTs auctioned in H1 2022, 65% sold for an average price of $47,000. This situation is very different from H2 2021 in which 225 NFTs were offered for sale, of which 86% sold at an average price of $520,000. BEEPLE (1981)'s Human One (2021) fetched nearly $29 million last November at Christie's, whereas the best NFT result in H1 2022 was just $1.38 million for Living Architecture: Casa Batlló (2022) by Refik ANADOL (1985).

The 104 CryptoPunks that Sotheby's announced in February 2022 were finally withdrawn on the eve of their scheduled sale. The withdrawal of such a lot, estimated between $20 and $30 million, underscoresthe extent to which NFT market players remain somewhat skeptical about the service provided by traditional intermediaries. Not only are they expensive (transaction costs amount to an average of 20% compared with around 2% to 3%via NFT platforms) but they also are governed by a much less flexible schedule. The major auction houses are nevertheless continuing their efforts to participate in this emerging market, although they only very rarely sell major NFT collections (BAYC, WoW, etc.). For the time being, such projects no longer seemto need the marketing efforts or the legitimacy of regulated auction houses.

At the same time, the volatility of crypto-currencies, starting with that of the Ether (which has seen its value halved since the start of the year), has exacerbated the mistrust of traditional collectors vis-à-vis this disruptive market. Fortunately, this lull will provide a good number of artists, dealers, collectors and institutions - starting with museums - an opportunity to take an interest in digital works and to consider acquiring NFTs without the pressure of record sales and over-mediatization.

https://www.artprice.com/nft

The NFT phenomenon obviously stems from the same enthusiasm that Artprice is observing for the work of young artists, some of whom are eliciting record multi-million dollar results even before their work has been exhibited in a major museum or before they have even enjoyed a solo show in a gallery. The recent auction records for works by artists under 40 (whose very recent works are already trading on the second market) will be analyzed by the next Artprice UltraContemporary Art Report to be published in October 2022. This will notably be an opportunity to highlight the growing success and influence of young female painters.

Top 10 personal records for living artists under 40 at auction in H1 2022(©artprice.com)

1. Avery Singer (1987): $5,253,000

2. Christina Quarles (1985): $4,527,000

3. Jennifer Packer (1984): $2,349,000

4. María Berrio (1982): $1,562,500

5. Robbie Barrat (1999): $841,317

6. Robert Nava (1985): $639,401

7. Issy Wood (1993): $588,042

8. Lauren Quin (1992): $588,042

9. Louis Fratino (1993): $365,400

10. Jordy Kerwick (1982): $277,200