DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS.
The following discussion of our financial condition and results of operations should
be read in conjunction with the consolidated financial statements and notes to those statements included in Item 1 of this Form 10-Q.
The discussion may contain certain forward- looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Forward-looking statements
are those that are not historical in nature. As a result of many factors, such as those set forth under "Risk Factors" in our
most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K, our actual results
may differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements.
Overview
company that was formed inSeptember 2003 . The Company's principal wholly-owned operating subsidiary isRoyal Palm Capital ,
LLC. We operate in two business segments: the asset management segment, which includes (a) the investment advisory services provided
by Royal Palm's wholly-owned subsidiary,
includes the investment activities conducted by Royal Palm.
with theSecurities and Exchange Commission ), are collectively referred to as
"
the Company receives management fees and expense reimbursements.
As manager,
day-to-day operations.
Pursuant to the terms of the management agreement,
provides Orchid with its management team,
including its officers, along with appropriate support personnel.
subject to the supervision and oversight of Orchid's board of directors and has only such functions and authority as delegated to
it.
Effective
trading, clearing and administrative
services to Orchid that were previously provided by a third party. The Company
received additional fees for providing such services.
referred to as "Royal Palm") maintains an investment portfolio, consisting primarily of residential mortgage-backed securities ("MBS")
issued and guaranteed by a federally chartered corporation or agency ("Agency MBS"). We also invest in the common stock of Orchid. Our investment
strategy focuses on, and our portfolio consists of, two categories of Agency MBS: (i) traditional pass-through Agency
MBS, such as mortgage pass-through certificates issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac orGinnie Mae (the "GSEs")
and collateralized mortgage obligations ("CMOs") issued by the GSEs ("PT MBS") and (ii) structured Agency MBS, such as interest only
securities ("IOs"), inverse interest only securities ("IIOs") and principal only securities ("POs"), among other types of
structured Agency MBS. In addition, Royal Palm receives dividends from its investment in Orchid common shares. Stock Repurchase Plan OnSeptember 16, 2021 , the Board authorized a share repurchase plan pursuant to Rule 10b5-1 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "2021 Repurchase Plan"). Pursuant to the 2021 Repurchase Plan, we may purchase shares of our Class A Common Stock from time to time for an aggregate purchase price not to exceed$2.5 million . Share repurchases may be executed through various means, including, without limitation, open market transactions. The 2021 Repurchase Plan does not obligate the Company to purchase any shares, and it expires onSeptember 16, 2023 . The authorization for the 2021 Repurchase Plan may be terminated, increased or decreased by the Company's Board of Directors in its discretion at any time. From the commencement of the 2021 Repurchase Plan, throughJune 30, 2022 , we repurchased a total of 321,702 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately$0.6 million , including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of$2.00 per share. During the six months endedJune 30, 2022 , the Company repurchased a total of 229,415 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately$0.5 million , including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of$1.96 per share. - 23 - Subsequent toJune 30, 2022 , the Company repurchased a total of 219,022 shares at an aggregate cost of approximately$0.4 million , including commissions and fees, for a weighted average price of$1.61
per share. Factors that Affect our Results of Operations and Financial Condition A variety of industry and economic factors (in addition to those related to the COVID-19
pandemic) may impact our results of operations and financial condition. These factors include: ? interest rate trends; ? the difference between Agency MBS yields and our funding and hedging costs; ? competition for, and supply of, investments in Agency MBS; ? actions taken by theU.S. government, including the presidential administration, theU.S. Federal Reserve (the "Fed"), theFederal Open Market Committee (the "FOMC"), theFederal Housing Finance Agency (the "FHFA") and theU.S. Treasury ; ? prepayment rates on mortgages underlying our Agency MBS, and credit trends
insofar as they affect prepayment
rates;
?
the equity markets and the ability of Orchid to raise additional capital;
? geo-political events that affect theU.S. and international economies, such as the ongoing crisis inUkraine ; and ? other market developments. In addition, a variety of factors relating to our business may also impact our results of operations and financial condition. These factors include: ? our degree of leverage; ? our access to funding and borrowing capacity; ? our borrowing costs; ? our hedging activities; ? the market value of our investments; ? the requirements to qualify for a registration exemption under the Investment Company Act; ? our ability to use net operating loss carryforwards and net capital loss carryforwards to reduce our taxable income; ? the impact of possible future changes in tax laws or tax rates; ? increases in our cost of funds resulting from increases in the Fed Funds rate that are controlled by the Fed which have occurred, and are likely to continue to occur, in 2022; and ? our ability to manage the portfolio of Orchid and maintain our role as manager.
Results of Operations Described below are the Company's results of operations for the six and three months endedJune 30, 2022 , as compared to the six and three months endedJune 30, 2021 . Net (Loss) Income Summary Consolidated net loss for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 was$4.7 million , or$0.44 basic and diluted loss per share of Class A Common Stock, as compared to a consolidated net income of$0.4 million , or$0.03 basic and diluted income per share of Class A Common Stock, for the six months endedJune 30, 2021 . Consolidated net loss for the three months endedJune 30, 2022 was$1.2 million , or$0.11 basic and diluted loss per share of Class A Common Stock, as compared to consolidated net loss of$0.9 million , or$0.08 basic and diluted loss per share of Class A Common Stock, for the three months endedJune 30, 2021 . - 24 - The components of net (loss) income for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, along with the changes in those components are presented in the table below. (in thousands) Six Months EndedJune 30 , Three Months EndedJune 30, 2022 2021 Change 2022 2021 Change Advisory services revenues$ 6,408 $ 4,211 $ 2,197 $$ 3,332 $ 2,186 $ 1,146 Interest and dividend income 1,636 2,201 (565) 742 1,084 (342) Interest expense (664) (570) (94) (376) (281) (95) Net revenues 7,380 5,842 1,538 3,698 2,989 709 Other expense (9,223) (1,822) (7,401) (2,865) (2,480) (385) Expenses (4,138) (3,481) (657) (2,113) (1,724) (389) Net (loss) income before income tax (benefit) provision (5,981) 539 (6,520) (1,280) (1,215) (65) Income tax (benefit) provision (1,315) 168 (1,483) (93) (295) 202 Net (loss) income$ (4,666) $ 371 $ (5,037) $$ (1,187) $ (920) $ (267) GAAP and Non-GAAP Reconciliation
Economic Interest Expense and Economic Net Interest Income We use derivative instruments, specifically Eurodollar and Treasury Note ("T-Note") futures contracts and TBA short positions to hedge a portion of the interest rate risk on repurchase agreements in a rising
rate environment.
We have not designated our derivative financial instruments as hedge accounting relationships,
but rather hold them for economic hedging purposes. Changes in fair value of these instruments are presented
in a separate line item in our consolidated statements of operations and not included in interest expense. As such, for financial reporting
purposes, interest expense and cost of funds are not impacted by the fluctuation in value of the derivative instruments.
For the purpose of computing economic net interest income and ratios relating
to cost of funds measures, GAAP interest expense, as reflected in our consolidated statements of operations, is
adjusted to reflect the realized and unrealized gains or losses on certain derivative instruments the Company uses that pertain to each period presented.
We believe that adjusting our GAAP interest expense for the periods presented by the gains or losses on these derivative
instruments may not accurately reflect our economic interest expense for these periods. The reason is that these derivative instruments
may cover periods that extend into the future, not just the current period.
Any realized or unrealized gains or losses on the derivative instruments reflect
the change in market value of the instrument caused by changes in underlying interest rates applicable to
the term covered by the instrument, which changes are reflective of the future periods covered by the derivative instrument, not just
the current period. For each period presented, we have combined the effects of the derivative financial instruments
in place for the respective period with the actual interest expense incurred on borrowings to reflect total economic
interest expense for the applicable period. Interest expense, including the effect of derivative instruments for the period, is referred to as economic interest
expense. Net interest income, when calculated to include the effect of derivative instruments for the period, is referred to
as economic net interest income. This presentation includes gains or losses on all contracts in effect during the reporting period,
covering the current period as well as periods in the future.
- 25 - We believe that economic interest expense and economic net interest income provide
meaningful information to consider, in addition to the respective amounts prepared in accordance with GAAP. The non-GAAP measures help management to evaluate its financial position and performance without the effects of certain transactions and GAAP
adjustments that are not necessarily indicative of our current investment portfolio or operations. The unrealized gains or losses
on derivative instruments presented in our consolidated statements of operations are not necessarily representative
of the total interest expense that we will ultimately realize. This is because as interest rates move up or down in the future, the gains
or losses we ultimately realize, and which will affect our total interest expense in future periods, may differ from the unrealized gains or losses recognized
as of the reporting date.
Our presentation of the economic value of our hedging strategy has important
limitations. First, other market participants may calculate economic interest expense and economic net interest income
differently than the way we calculate them. Second, while we believe that the calculation of the economic value of our hedging strategy described
above helps to present our financial position and performance, it may be of limited usefulness as an analytical tool. Therefore, the
economic value of our investment strategy should not be viewed in isolation and is not a substitute for interest expense and net
interest income computed in accordance with GAAP. The tables below present a reconciliation of the adjustments discussed
above to interest expense shown for each period relative to our derivative instruments, and the consolidated statements of operations
line item, gains (losses) on derivative instruments, calculated in accordance with GAAP for each quarter in 2022 and 2021. Gains (Losses) on Derivative Instruments - Attributed to Current Period (Non-GAAP) (in thousands) Attributed to Current Period (Non-GAAP) Attributed to Future Periods (Non-GAAP) Repurchase Long-Term Repurchase Long-Term Statement of Three Months Ended Agreements Debt Total Agreements Debt Total OperationsJune 30, 2022 $ (186) $ (48) $ (234) $ 136 $ 48 $ 184 $ (50) March 31, 2022 (185) (48) (233) 185 48 233 -December 31, 2021 (707) (60) (767) 707 60 767 -September 30, 2021 (709) (57) (766) 709 57 766 -June 30, 2021 (708) (58) (766) 708 58 766 -March 31, 2021 (708) (58) (766) 708 58 766 - Six Months EndedJune 30, 2022 $ (371) $ (96) $ (467) $ 321 $ 96 $ 417 $ (50) June 30, 2021 (1,416) (116) (1,532) 1,416 116 1,532 $ - Economic Net Portfolio Interest Income (in thousands) Interest Expense on Repurchase Agreements Net Portfolio Effect of Interest Income Interest GAAP Non-GAAP Economic GAAP Economic Three Months Ended Income Basis Hedges (1) Basis (2) Basis Basis (3)June 30, 2022 $ 392 $ 73 $ (186) $ 259 $ 319 $ 133 March 31, 2022 491 31 (185) 216 460 275 December 31, 2021 511 21 (707) 728 490 (217)September 30, 2021 537 24 (709) 733 513 (196)June 30, 2021 578 31 (708) 739 547 (161)March 31, 2021 611 40 (708) 748 571 (137) Six Months EndedJune 30, 2022 $ 883 $ 104 $ (371) $ 475 $ 779 $ 408 June 30, 2021 1,189 71 (1,416) 1,487 1,118 (298) (1) Reflects the effect of derivative instrument hedges for only the period
presented.
(2)
Calculated by subtracting the effect of derivative instrument hedges
attributed to the period presented from GAAP interest expense. (3) Calculated by adding the effect of derivative instrument hedges attributed
to the period presented to GAAP net portfolio interest income.
- 26 - Economic Net Interest Income (in thousands) Net Portfolio Interest Expense on Long-Term Debt Interest Income Effect of Net Interest Income (Loss) GAAP Economic GAAP Non-GAAP Economic GAAP Economic Three Months Ended Basis Basis (1) Basis Hedges (2) Basis (3) Basis Basis (4)June 30, 2022 $ 319 $ 133 $ 304 $ (48) $ 352 $ 15 $ (219) March 31, 2022 460 275 256 (48) 304 204 (29)December 31, 2021 490 (217) 249 (60) 309 241 (526)September 30, 2021 513 (196) 248 (57) 305 265 (501)June 30, 2021 547 (161) 250 (58) 308 297 (469)March 31, 2021 571 (137) 250 (58) 308 321 (445) Six Months EndedJune 30, 2022 $ 779 $ 408 $ 560 $ (96) $ 656 $ 219 $ (248) June 30, 2021 1,118 (298) 500 (116) 616 618 (914) (1) Calculated by adding the effect of derivative instrument hedges attributed
to the period presented to GAAP net portfolio interest income. (2) Reflects the effect of derivative instrument hedges for only the period
presented.
(3)
Calculated by subtracting the effect of derivative instrument hedges
attributed to the period presented from GAAP interest expense. (4) Calculated by adding the effect of derivative instrument hedges
attributed to the period presented to GAAP net interest income. Segment Information We have two operating segments. The asset management segment includes the investment
advisory services provided by Bimini Advisors to Orchid and Royal Palm. The investment portfolio segment includes the
investment activities conducted by Royal Palm.
Segment information for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021 is as follows: (in thousands) Asset Investment Management Portfolio Corporate Eliminations Total 2022 Advisory services, external customers$ 6,408 $ - $ - $ -$ 6,408 Advisory services, other operating segments (1) 56 - - (56) - Interest and dividend income - 1,636 - - 1,636 Interest expense - (104) (560) (2) - (664) Net revenues 6,464 1,532 (560) (56) 7,380 Other expenses - (9,224) - - (9,224) Operating expenses (4) (3,237) (901) - - (4,138) Intercompany expenses (1) - (56) - 56 - Income (loss) before income taxes$ 3,227 $ (8,649) $ (560) $ -$ (5,982) Asset Investment Management Portfolio Corporate Eliminations Total 2021 Advisory services, external customers$ 4,211 $ - $ - $ -$ 4,211 Advisory services, other operating segments (1) 72 - - (72) - Interest and dividend income - 2,201 - - 2,201 Interest expense - (71) (499) (2) - (570) Net revenues 4,283 2,130 (499) (72) 5,842 Other (expenses) income - (1,976) 154 (3) - (1,822) Operating expenses (4) (2,230) (1,251) - - (3,481) Intercompany expenses (1) - (72) - 72 - Income (loss) before income taxes$ 2,053 $ (1,169) $ (345) $ -$ 539 - 27 - Segment information for the three months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021 is as follows: (in thousands) Asset Investment Management Portfolio Corporate Eliminations Total 2022 Advisory services, external customers$ 3,332 $ - $ - $ -$ 3,332 Advisory services, other operating segments (1) 27 - - (27) - Interest and dividend income - 742 - - 742 Interest expense - (73) (304) (2) - (377) Net revenues 3,359 669 (304) (27) 3,697 Other expenses - (2,865) - - (2,865) Operating expenses (4) (1,695) (417) - - (2,112) Intercompany expenses (1) - (27) - 27 - Income (loss) before income taxes$ 1,664 $ (2,640) $ (304) $ -$ (1,280) Asset Investment Management Portfolio Corporate Eliminations Total 2021 Advisory services, external customers$ 2,186 $ - $ - $ -$ 2,186 Advisory services, other operating segments (1) 37 - - (37) - Interest and dividend income - 1,084 - - 1,084 Interest expense - (31) (250) (2) - (281) Net revenues 2,223 1,053 (250) (37) 2,989 Other (expenses) income - (2,634) 154 (3) - (2,480) Operating expenses (4) (1,125) (599) - - (1,724) Intercompany expenses (1) - (37) - 37 - Income (loss) before income taxes$ 1,098 $ (2,217) $ (96) $ -$ (1,215)
Includes advisory services revenue received byBimini Advisors from Royal Palm. (2) Includes interest on long-term debt. (3) Includes gains on Eurodollar futures contracts entered into as a hedge on junior subordinated notes. (4) Corporate expenses are allocated based on each segment's proportional share of total revenues. Assets in each reportable segment were as follows: (in thousands) Asset Investment Management Portfolio Corporate TotalJune 30, 2022 $ 2,082 $ 82,326 $ 8,935 $ 93,343 December 31, 2021 1,901 111,022 9,162 122,085 Asset Management Segment Advisory Services Revenue Advisory services revenue consists of management fees and overhead reimbursements charged to Orchid for the management of its portfolio pursuant to the terms of a management agreement. We receive a monthly management fee in the amount of: ? One-twelfth of 1.50% of the first$250 million of Orchid's month-end equity, as defined in the management agreement, ? One-twelfth of 1.25% of Orchid's month-end equity that is greater than$250 million and less than or equal to$500 million , and ? One-twelfth of 1.00% of Orchid's month-end equity that is greater than$500 million . - 28 - OnApril 1, 2022 , pursuant to the third amendment to the management agreement entered into onNovember 16, 2021 , the Company began providing certain repurchase agreement trading, clearing and administrative services to Orchid that had been previously provided byAVM, L.P.
under an agreement terminated on
In consideration for such services, Orchid pays the following fees to the Company: ? A daily fee equal to the outstanding principal balance of repurchase agreement funding
in place as of the end of such day multiplied by 1.5 basis points for the amount of aggregate outstanding principal balance
less than or equal to$5 billion , and multiplied by 1.0 basis point for any amount of aggregate outstanding principal balance in excess of$5 billion , and ? A fee for the clearing and operational services provided by personnel of the Manager equal to$10,000 per month. In addition, Orchid is obligated to reimburse us for any direct expenses
incurred on its behalf and to pay to us an amount equal to Orchid's pro rata portion of certain overhead costs set forth in the management
agreement. The management agreement has been renewed throughFebruary 2023 and provides for automatic one-year extension options. Should Orchid terminate the management agreement without cause, it will be obligated to pay to us a termination fee
equal to three times the average annual management fee, as defined in the management agreement, before or on the last day of the automatic renewal
term.
The following table summarizes the advisory services revenue received from
Orchid in each quarter during 2022 and 2021. (in thousands) Advisory Services Repurchase, Average Average Clearing and Orchid Orchid Management Overhead Administrative Three Months Ended MBS Equity Fee Allocation Fees TotalJune 30, 2022 $ 4,260,727 $ 866,539 $ 2,631 $ 519 $ 183 $ 3,333 March 31, 2022 5,545,844 853,576 2,634 441 - 3,075 December 31, 2021 6,056,259 806,382 2,587 443 - 3,030 September 30, 2021 5,136,331 672,384 2,157 390 - 2,547 June 30, 2021 4,504,887 542,679 1,791 395 - 2,186 March 31, 2021 4,032,716 456,687 1,621 404 - 2,025 Six Months EndedJune 30, 2022 $ 4,903,286 $ 860,058 $ 5,265 $ 960 $ 183 $ 6,408 June 30, 2021 4,268,801 499,683 3,412 799 - 4,211 Investment Portfolio Segment Net Portfolio Interest Income We define net portfolio interest income as interest income on MBS less interest expense on repurchase agreement funding. During the six months endedJune 30, 2022 , we generated$0.8 million of net portfolio interest income, consisting of$0.9 million of interest income from MBS assets offset by$0.1 million of interest expense on repurchase liabilities. For the comparable period endedJune 30, 2021 , we generated$1.1 million of net portfolio interest income, consisting of$1.2 million of interest income from MBS assets offset by$0.1 million of interest expense on repurchase liabilities. The$0.3 million decrease in interest income for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 was due to a$17.8 million decrease in average MBS balances, combined with a 1 basis point ("bp") decrease in yields earned on the portfolio. There
was a
expense for the six months
ended
decrease in average repurchase liabilities that was partially offset by a 20 bp increase in cost of funds. - 29 - Our economic interest expense on repurchase liabilities for the six months endedJune 30 ,
2022 and 2021 was
and$1.5 million , respectively, resulting in$0.4 million and($0.3) million of economic net portfolio interest income (expense), respectively.
During the three months ended
generated approximately
$319,000 of net portfolio interest income, consisting of approximately$392,000 of interest income from MBS assets offset by approximately$73,000 of interest expense on repurchase liabilities. For the three months endedJune 30, 2021 , we generated approximately$547,000 of net portfolio interest income, consisting of approximately$578,000 of interest income from MBS assets offset by approximately$31,000 of interest expense on repurchase liabilities. Our economic interest expense on repurchase liabilities for the three months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021 was$0.3 million and$0.7 million , respectively, resulting in approximately$0.1 million and($0.2) million of economic net portfolio interest income (expense), respectively. The tables below provide information on our portfolio average balances, interest income, yield on assets, average repurchase agreement balances, interest expense, cost of funds, net interest income and net interest rate spread for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021 and each quarter in 2022 and 2021 on both a GAAP and economic basis. ($ in thousands) Average Yield on Average Interest Expense Average Cost of Funds MBS Interest Average Repurchase GAAP Economic GAAP Economic Three Months Ended Held (1) Income (2) MBS Agreements (1) Basis Basis (2) Basis Basis (3)June 30, 2022 $ 46,607 $ 392 3.36%$ 45,870 $ 73 $ 259 0.63% 2.25%March 31, 2022 57,741 491 3.40% 56,846 31 216 0.22% 1.52%December 31, 2021 62,597 511 3.27% 61,019 21 728 0.14% 4.77%September 30, 2021 66,692 537 3.22% 67,253 24 733 0.14% 4.36%June 30, 2021 70,925 578 3.26% 72,241 31 739 0.17% 4.09%March 31, 2021 69,017 611 3.54% 69,104 40 748 0.23% 4.33% Six Months EndedJune 30, 2022 $ 52,174 $ 883 3.39%$ 51,358 $ 104 $ 475 0.40% 1.85%June 30, 2021 69,971 1,189 3.40% 70,672 71 1,487 0.20% 4.21% ($ in thousands) Net Portfolio Net Portfolio Interest Income Interest Spread GAAP Economic GAAP Economic Three Months Ended Basis Basis (2) Basis Basis (4)June 30, 2022 $ 319 $ 133 2.73% 1.11%March 31, 2022 460 275 3.18% 1.88%December 31, 2021 490 (217) 3.13% (1.50)%September 30, 2021 513 (196) 3.08% (1.13)%June 30, 2021 547 (161) 3.09% (0.83)%March 31, 2021 571 (137) 3.31% (0.79)% Six Months EndedJune 30, 2022 $ 779 $ 408 2.99% 1.54%June 30, 2021 1,118 (298) 3.20% -0.81% (1) Portfolio yields and costs of borrowings presented in the tables above and the tables on pages 30 and 31 are calculated based on the average balances of the underlying
investment portfolio/repurchase
agreement balances and are annualized for the periods presented.
Average balances for quarterly periods are calculated using two data
points, the beginning and ending balances. (2) Economic interest expense and economic net interest income presented in the tables above and the tables on page 31 include the effect of derivative instrument hedges for only the period presented. (3) Represents interest cost of our borrowings and the effect of derivative instrument hedges attributed to the period related to hedging activities divided by average MBS. (4) Economic net interest spread is calculated by subtracting average economic
cost of funds from yield on average MBS.
- 30 - Interest Income and Average Earning Asset Yield Our interest income was$0.9 million for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and$1.2 million for the six months endedJune 30, 2021 . Average MBS holdings were$52.2 million and$70.0 million for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The$0.3 million decrease in interest income was due to a$17.8 million decrease in average MBS holdings, combined with a 1 basis point ("bp") decrease in yields. Our interest income was$0.4 million for the three months endedJune 30, 2022 and$0.6 million for the three months endedJune 30, 2021 . Average MBS holdings were$46.6 million and$70.9 million for the three months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The$0.2 million decrease in interest income was due to a$24.3 million decrease in average MBS holdings, partially offset by a 10 bp increase in yields in average MBS holdings. The tables below present the average
portfolio size, income
and yields of our respective
sub-portfolios, consisting of structured MBS and PT MBS, for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, and for each quarter during 2022 and 2021. ($ in thousands) Average MBS Held Interest Income Realized Yield on Average MBS PT Structured PT Structured PT Structured Three Months Ended MBS MBS Total MBS MBS Total MBS MBS TotalJune 30, 2022 $ 43,568 $ 3,039 $ 46,607 $ 333 $ 59 $ 392 3.06% 7.75% 3.36%March 31, 2022 54,836 2,905 57,741 472 19 491 3.45% 2.61% 3.40%December 31, 2021 59,701 2,896 62,597 500 11 511 3.35% 1.55% 3.27%September 30, 2021 64,641 2,051 66,692 533 4 537 3.30% 0.91% 3.22%June 30, 2021 70,207 718 70,925 579 (1) 578 3.30% (0.11)% 3.26%March 31, 2021 68,703 314 69,017 605 6 611 3.53% 6.54% 3.54% Six Months EndedJune 30, 2022 $ 49,202 $ 2,972 $ 52,174 $ 805 $ 78 $ 883 3.27% 5.24% 3.39%June 30, 2021 69,455 516 69,971 1,184 5 1,189 3.41% 1.92% 3.40% Interest Expense on Repurchase Agreements and the Cost of Funds Our average outstanding balances under repurchase agreements were$51.4 million and$70.7 million , generating interest expense of$104,000 and$71,000 for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. Our average cost of funds was 0.40% and 0.20% for six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. There was a 20 bp increase in the average cost of funds and a$19.3 million decrease in average outstanding repurchase agreements during the six months endedJune 30, 2022 , compared to the six months endedJune 30, 2021 . Our economic interest expense was$0.5 million and$1.5 million for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. There
was a 236 bp decrease in the average economic cost of funds to 1.85% for the six
months endedJune 30, 2022 from 4.21% for the six months endedJune 30, 2021 . The$1.0 million decrease in economic interest expense was due to the$19.3 million decrease in average outstanding repurchase agreements, combined with the 236 bp decrease economic cost of funds during the six months endedJune 30, 2022 . Our average outstanding balances under repurchase agreements were$45.9 million and$72.2 million , generating interest expense of approximately$73,000 and 31,000 for the three months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. Our average cost of funds was 0.63% and 0.17% for three months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. There was a 46 bp increase in the average cost of funds, partially offset by a$26.4 million decrease in average outstanding repurchase agreements during the three months endedJune 30, 2022 , compared to the three months endedJune 30, 2021 . - 31 - Our economic interest expense was$0.3 million and$0.7 million for the three months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. There was a 184 bp decrease in the average economic cost of funds to 2.25% for the three months endedJune 30, 2022 from 4.09% for the three months endedJune 30, 2021 . Because all of
our repurchase agreements are short-term, changes in market rates
have a
more immediate impact on our
interest expense. Our average cost of funds calculated on a GAAP basis was 30 bps below the average one-month LIBOR and 127 bps below the average six-month LIBOR for the quarter endedJune 30, 2022 . Our average economic cost of funds was 132 bps above the average one-
month LIBOR and 35 bps above the average
six-month LIBOR
for the quarter ended
The average term to maturity of the outstanding repurchase agreements increased from 16 days atDecember 31, 2021 to 26 days atJune 30, 2022 . The tables below present the average outstanding balances under our repurchase agreements, interest expense and average economic cost of funds, and average one-month and six-month LIBOR rates for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, and for each quarter in 2022 and 2021, on both a GAAP and economic basis. ($ in thousands) Average Balance of Interest Expense Average Cost of Funds Repurchase GAAP Economic GAAP Economic Three Months Ended Agreements Basis Basis Basis BasisJune 30, 2022 $ 45,870 $ 73 $ 259 0.63% 2.25%March 31, 2022 56,846 31 216 0.22% 1.52%December 31, 2021 61,019 21 728 0.14% 4.77%September 30, 2021 67,253 24 733 0.14% 4.36%June 30, 2021 72,241 31 739 0.17% 4.09%March 31, 2021 69,104 40 748 0.23% 4.33% Six Months EndedJune 30, 2022 $ 51,358 $ 104 $ 475 0.40% 1.85%June 30, 2021 70,672 71 1,487 0.20% 4.21% Average GAAP Cost of Funds Average Economic Cost of Funds Relative to Average Relative to Average Average LIBOR One-Month Six-Month One-Month Six-Month Three Months Ended One-Month Six-MonthLIBOR LIBOR LIBOR LIBOR June 30, 2022 0.93% 1.90% (0.30)% (1.27)% 1.32% 0.35%March 31, 2022 0.25% 0.76% (0.03)% (0.54)% 1.27% 0.76%December 31, 2021 0.09% 0.23% 0.05% (0.09)% 4.68% 4.54%September 30, 2021 0.09% 0.16% 0.05% (0.02)% 4.27% 4.20%June 30, 2021 0.10% 0.18% 0.07% (0.01)% 3.99% 3.91%March 31, 2021 0.13% 0.23% 0.10% 0.00% 4.20% 4.10% Six Months EndedJune 30, 2022 0.59% 1.33% (0.19)% (0.93)% 1.26% 0.52%June 30, 2021 0.11% 0.20% 0.09% 0.00% 4.10% 4.01% Dividend Income At bothJune 30, 2022 and December
31, 2021, we owned 2,595,357
shares of Orchid common stock. Orchid paid total dividends of$0.29 and$0.39 per share during the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. During the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, we received dividends on this common stock investment of approximately$0.8 million and$1.0 million , respectively. Orchid paid
total dividends of
during the three months ended
and 2021, respectively.
During the three months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, we received dividends on this common stock investment of approximately$0.4 million and$0.5 million , respectively. - 32 - Long-Term Debt Junior Subordinated Notes Interest expense on our junior subordinated debt securities was$0.54 million and$0.50 million for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021, respectively. The average rate of interest paid for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 was 4.16% compared to 3.69% for the comparable period in 2021. Interest expense on our junior subordinated debt securities was$0.30 million and$0.25 million for the three month periods ended June
30, 2022 and 2021, respectively.
The average rate of interest paid for the
three months ended
4.50% compared to 3.67% for the comparable period in 2021. The junior subordinated debt securities pay interest at a floating rate. The rate is adjusted quarterly and set at a spread of 3.50% over the prevailing three-month LIBOR rate on the determination date. As ofJune 30, 2022 , the interest rate was 5.33%. Note Payable OnOctober 30, 2019 , the Company borrowed$680,000 from a bank. The note is payable in equal monthly principal and interest installments of approximately$4,500 throughOctober 30, 2039 . Interest accrues at 4.89% throughOctober 30, 2024 . Thereafter, interest accrues based on the weekly average yield to the United StatesTreasury securities adjusted to a constant maturity of 5 years, plus 3.25%. The note is secured by a mortgage on the Company's office building. Gains or Losses and Other Income The table below presents our gains or losses and other income for the six and three months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021. (in thousands) Six Months EndedJune 30 , Three Months EndedJune 30, 2022 2021 Change 2022 2021 Change Realized losses on sales of MBS$ (858) $ -$ (858) $ (858) $ -$ (858) Unrealized losses on MBS (4,034) (1,898) (2,136) (919) (506) (413) Total losses on MBS (4,892) (1,898) (2,994) (1,777) (506) (1,271) Losses on derivative instruments (50) - (50) (50) - (50) Unrealized losses on Orchid Island Capital, Inc. common stock (4,282) (78) (4,204) (1,038) (2,128) 1,090 We invest in MBS with the intent to earn net income from the realized yield on those assets over their related funding and hedging costs, and not for the
purpose of making short term gains from trading in these securities.
However, we have sold, and may
continue to sell, existing assets to acquire new assets, which our management believes might have higher risk-adjusted returns in light of
current or anticipated interest rates, federal government programs or general economic conditions or to
manage our balance sheet as part of our asset/liability management
strategy. During the six months
ended
proceeds of$23.1 million from the sales of MBS. We did not sell any MBS during the six months endedJune 30, 2021 . - 33 - The fair value of our MBS
portfolio and derivative instruments, and the
gains (losses) reported on
those financial instruments, are sensitive to changes in interest rates. The table below presents historical interest rate data as of the end of quarter during 2022 and 2021. 5 Year 10 Year 15 Year 30 Year ThreeU.S. Treasury U.S. Treasury Fixed-Rate Fixed-Rate Month Rate (1) Rate (1) Mortgage Rate (2) Mortgage Rate (2) Libor (3)June 30, 2022 3.00% 2.97% 4.65% 5.52% 1.97%March 31, 2022 2.42% 2.33% 3.39% 4.17% 0.84%December 31, 2021 1.26% 1.51% 2.35% 3.10% 0.21%September 30, 2021 1.00% 1.53% 2.18% 2.90% 0.12%June 30, 2021 0.87% 1.44% 2.27% 2.98% 0.13%March 31, 2021 0.94% 1.75% 2.39% 3.08% 0.19% (1) Historical 5 Year and 10 YearU.S. Treasury
Rates are obtained from quoted end of day prices on the
Exchange. (2) Historical 15 Year and 30 Year Fixed
Rate Mortgage Rates are obtained from Freddie Mac's Primary
Mortgage Market Survey . (3) Historical LIBOR are obtained from theIntercontinental Exchange Benchmark Administration Ltd. Operating Expenses For the six and three months endedJune 30, 2022 , our total operating expenses were approximately$4.1 million and$2.1 million , respectively, compared to approximately$3.5 million and$1.7 million for the six and three months endedJune 30, 2021 , respectively. The table below presents a breakdown of operating expenses for the six and three months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021. (in thousands) Six Months EndedJune 30 , Three Months EndedJune 30, 2022 2021 Change 2022 2021 Change Compensation and related benefits$ 2,606 $ 2,190 $ 416 $ 1,262 $ 1,067 $ 195 Legal fees 64 77 (13) 29 32 (3) Accounting, auditing and other professional fees 203 195 8 94 102 (8) Directors' fees and liability insurance 393 378 15 197 190 7 Administrative and other expenses 872 641 231 531 333 198$ 4,138 $ 3,481 $ 657 $ 2,113 $ 1,724 $ 389 Income Tax Provision We recorded an income tax (benefit) provision for the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021 of approximately$(1.3) million and$0.2 million , respectively, on a consolidated pre-tax book (loss) income of$(6.0) million and$0.5 million , respectively. We recorded an income tax benefit for the three months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021 of approximately$0.1 million and$0.3 million , respectively, on a consolidated pre-tax book loss of$1.3 million and$1.2 million , respectively. - 34 - Financial Condition:Mortgage-Backed Securities As ofJune 30, 2022 , our MBS portfolio consisted of$38.5 million of agency or government MBS at fair value and had a weighted average coupon of 3.55%. During the six months endedJune 30, 2022 , we received principal repayments of$5.1 million compared to$7.4 million for the comparable period endedJune 30, 2021 . The average prepayment speeds for the quarters endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021 were 20.0% and 21.9%, respectively. The following table presents the three-month constant prepayment rate ("CPR") experienced on our structured and PT MBS sub- portfolios, on an annualized basis, for the quarterly periods presented. CPR is a method of expressing the prepayment rate for a mortgage pool that assumes that a constant fraction of the remaining principal is prepaid each month or year. Specifically, the CPR in the chart below represents the three-month prepayment rate of the securities in the respective asset category. Structured PT MBS MBS Total Three Months Ended Portfolio (%) Portfolio (%) Portfolio (%)June 30, 2022 17.2 22.9 20.0March 31, 2022 18.5 25.6 20.9 December 31, 2021 13.7 35.2 21.1 September 30, 2021 15.5 26.9 18.3 June 30, 2021 21.0 31.3 21.9 March 31, 2021 18.5 16.4 18.3 The following tables summarize certain characteristics of our PT MBS and structured MBS as ofJune 30, 2022 andDecember 31, 2021 : ($ in thousands) Weighted Percentage Average of Weighted Maturity Fair Entire Average in Longest Asset Category Value Portfolio Coupon Months MaturityJune 30, 2022 Fixed Rate MBS$ 35,492 92.1% 4.03% 3241-May-52 Interest-Only MBS 3,034 7.9% 2.82% 30215-May-51 Inverse Interest-Only MBS 9 0.0% 5.45% 20315-May-39 Total MBS Portfolio$ 38,535 100.0% 3.55% 3221-May-52 December 31, 2021 Fixed Rate MBS$ 58,029 95.4% 3.69% 3301-Sep-51 Interest-Only MBS 2,759 4.6% 2.86% 30615-May-51 Inverse Interest-Only MBS 15 0.0% 5.90% 20915-May-39 Total MBS Portfolio$ 60,803 100.0% 3.41% 3291-Sep-51 - 35 - ($ in thousands)June 30, 2022 December 31, 2021 Percentage of Percentage of Agency Fair Value Entire Portfolio Fair Value Entire Portfolio Fannie Mae$ 24,701 64.1%$ 39,703 65.3% Freddie Mac 13,834 35.9% 21,100 34.7% Total Portfolio$ 38,535 100.0%$ 60,803 100.0%June 30, 2022 December 31, 2021 Weighted Average Pass -through Purchase Price$ 106.70 $ 109.33 Weighted Average Structured Purchase Price$ 4.48 $ 4.81 Weighted Average Pass -through Current Price$ 100.30 $ 109.30 Weighted Average Structured Current Price$ 12.95 $ 9.87 Effective Duration (1) 3.909 2.103 (1) Effective duration is the approximate percentage change in price
for a 100 basis point change in rates.
An effective duration of 3.909 indicates that an interest rate increase of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 3.909% decrease in the
value of the MBS in our investment portfolio atJune 30, 2022 .
An effective duration of 2.103 indicates that an interest rate increase
of 1.0% would be expected to cause a 2.103% decrease
in the value of the MBS in our investment portfolio at
These figures include the structured securities in the portfolio but do include the effect of our hedges. Effective duration quotes for
individual investments are obtained from The Yield
Book, Inc. The following table presents a summary of our portfolio assets acquired during the six months endedJune 30, 2022 and 2021. ($ in thousands) Six Months EndedJune 30, 2022 2021 Total Cost Average Price Weighted Average Yield Total Cost Average Price Weighted Average Yield PT MBS$ 10,822 $ 99.42 4.08%$ 12,368 $ 104.84 1.19% Structured MBS - - - 772 7.72 3.33% Our portfolio of PT MBS is typically comprised of adjustable-rate MBS, fixed-rate MBS and hybrid adjustable-rate MBS. We generally seek to acquire low duration assets that offer high levels of protection from mortgage prepayments provided that they are reasonably priced by the market. The stated contractual final maturity of the mortgage loans underlying our portfolio of PT MBS generally ranges up to 30 years. However, the effect of prepayments of the underlying mortgage loans tends to shorten the resulting cash flows from our investments substantially. Prepayments occur for various reasons, including refinancing of underlying mortgages, loan payoffs in connection with home sales, and borrowers paying more than their scheduled loan payments, which accelerates the amortization of the loans. The duration of our IO and IIO portfolio will vary greatly depending on the structural features of the securities. While prepayment activity will always affect the cash flows associated with the securities, the interest only nature of IO's may cause their durations to become extremely negative when prepayments are high, and less negative when prepayments are low. Prepayments affect the duration of IIO's similarly, but the floating rate nature of the coupon of IIOs (which is inversely related to the level of one month LIBOR) causes their price movements - and model duration - to be affected by changes in both prepayments and one month LIBOR - both current and anticipated levels. As a result, the duration of IIO securities will also vary greatly. - 36 - Prepayments on the loans underlying our MBS can alter the timing of the cash flows received by us. As a result, we gauge the interest rate sensitivity of its assets by measuring their effective duration. While modified duration measures the price sensitivity of a bond to movements in interest rates, effective duration captures both the movement in interest rates and the fact that cash flows to a mortgage related security are altered when interest rates move. Accordingly, when the contract interest rate on a mortgage loan is substantially above prevailing interest rates in the market, the effective duration of securities collateralized by such loans can be quite low because of expected prepayments. We face the risk that the market value of our PT MBS assets will increase or decrease at different rates than that of our structured MBS or liabilities, including our hedging instruments. Accordingly, we assess our interest rate risk by estimating the duration of our assets and the duration of our liabilities. We generally calculate duration and effective duration using various third-party models or obtain these quotes from third parties. However, empirical results and various third-party models may produce different duration numbers for the same securities. The following sensitivity analysis shows the estimated impact on the fair value of our interest rate-sensitive investments and hedge positions as ofJune 30, 2022 , assuming rates instantaneously fall 100 bps, rise 100 bps and rise 200 bps, adjusted to reflect the impact of convexity, which is the measure of the sensitivity of our hedge positions and Agency MBS' effective duration to movements in interest rates. ($ in thousands) Fair $ Change in Fair Value % Change in Fair Value MBS Portfolio Value -100BPS +100BPS +200BPS -100BPS +100BPS +200BPS Fixed Rate MBS$ 35,492 $ 1,584 $ (1,807) $ (3,756) 4.46% (5.09)% (10.58)% Interest-Only MBS 3,034 (255) 157 235 (8.40)% 5.18% 7.74% Inverse Interest-Only MBS 9 2 (2) (4) 22.04% (24.62)% (48.63)% Total MBS Portfolio$ 38,535 $ 1,331 $ (1,652) $ (3,525) 3.45% (4.29)% (9.15)% ($ in thousands) Notional $ Change in Fair Value % Change in Fair Value Amount (1) -100BPS +100BPS +200BPS -100BPS +100BPS +200BPS Treasury Futures Contracts Repurchase Agreement Hedges$ 7,000 $ (540) $ 460 $ 246 (7.71)% 6.57% 3.51%$ 7,000 $ (540) $ 460 $ 246 Gross Totals$ 791 $ (1,192) $ (3,279) (1) Represents the average contract/notional amount of Eurodollar futures contracts. In addition to changes in interest rates, other factors impact the fair value of our interest rate-sensitive investments and hedging instruments, such as the shape of the yield curve, market expectations as to future interest rate changes and other market conditions. Accordingly, in the event of changes in actual interest rates, the change in the fair value of our assets would likely differ from that shown above and such difference might be material and adverse to our stockholders. Repurchase Agreements As ofJune 30, 2022 , we had established borrowing facilities in the repurchase agreement market with a number of commercial banks and other financial institutions and had borrowings in place with four of these counterparties. We believe these facilities provide borrowing capacity in excess of our needs. None of these lenders are affiliated with us. These borrowings are secured by our MBS. - 37 - As ofJune 30, 2022 , we had obligations outstanding under the repurchase agreements of approximately$36.9 million with a net weighted average borrowing cost of 1.34%. The remaining maturity of our outstanding repurchase agreement obligations ranged from 13 to 40 days, with a weighted average maturity of 26 days. Securing the repurchase agreement obligation as ofJune 30, 2022 are MBS with an estimated fair value, including accrued interest, of$38.5 million and a weighted average maturity of 323 months. ThroughAugust 11, 2022 , we have been able to maintain our repurchase facilities with comparable terms to those that existed atJune 30, 2022 with maturities throughSeptember 19, 2022 . The table below presents information about our period-end, maximum and average repurchase agreement obligations for each quarter in 2022 and 2021. ($ in thousands) Ending Maximum Average Difference Between Ending Balance Balance Balance Repurchase Agreements and of Repurchase of Repurchase of Repurchase Average Repurchase Agreements Three Months Ended Agreements Agreements Agreements Amount PercentJune 30, 2022 $ 36,926 $ 53,289 $ 45,870 $ (8,944) (19.50)%March 31, 2022 54,815 58,772 56,846 (2,031) (3.57)%December 31, 2021 58,878 62,139 61,019 (2,141) (3.51)%September 30, 2021 63,160 72,047 67,253 (4,093) (6.09)%June 30, 2021 71,346 72,372 72,241 (895) (1.24)%March 31, 2021 73,136 76,004 69,104 4,032 5.83% Liquidity and Capital Resources Liquidity is our ability to turn non-cash assets into cash, purchase additional investments, repay principal and interest on borrowings, fund overhead and fulfill margin calls. We have both internal and external sources of liquidity. However, our material unused sources of liquidity include cash balances, unencumbered assets and our ability to sell encumbered assets to raise cash. Our balance sheet also generates liquidity on an on-going basis through payments of principal and interest we receive on our MBS portfolio and dividends we receive on our investment in Orchid common stock. Internal Sources of Liquidity Our internal sources of liquidity include our cash balances, unencumbered assets and our ability to liquidate our encumbered security holdings. Our balance sheet also generated liquidity on an ongoing basis through payments of principal and interest we receive on our MBS portfolio and dividends we receive on our investment in Orchid common stock. We have previously, and may again in the future, employ a hedging strategy that typically involves taking short positions in Eurodollar futures, T-Note futures, TBAs or other instruments. When the market causes these short positions to decline in value we are required to meet margin calls with cash. This can reduce our liquidity position to the extent other securities in our portfolio move in price in such a way that we do not receive enough cash through margin calls to offset the Eurodollar related margin calls. If this were to occur in sufficient magnitude, the loss of liquidity might force us to reduce the size of the levered portfolio, pledge additional structured securities to raise funds or risk operating the portfolio with less liquidity. - 38 - External Sources of Liquidity Our primary external sources of liquidity are our ability to (i) borrow under master repurchase agreements and (ii) use the TBA security market. Our borrowing capacity will vary over time as the market value of our interest earning assets varies. Our master repurchase agreements have no stated expiration, but can be terminated at any time at our option or at the option of the counterparty. However, once a definitive repurchase agreement under a master repurchase agreement has been entered into, it generally may not be terminated by either party. A negotiated termination can occur, but may involve a fee to be paid by the party seeking to terminate the repurchase agreement transaction. Under our repurchase agreement funding arrangements, we are required to post margin at the initiation of the borrowing. The margin posted represents the haircut, which is a percentage of the market value of the collateral pledged. To the extent the market value of the asset collateralizing the financing transaction declines, the market value of our posted margin will be insufficient and we will be required to post additional collateral. Conversely, if the market value of the asset pledged increases in value, we would be over collateralized and we would be entitled to have excess margin returned to us by the counterparty. Our lenders typically value our pledged securities daily to ensure the adequacy of our margin and make margin calls as needed, as do we. Typically, but not always, the parties agree to a minimum threshold amount for margin calls so as to avoid the need for nuisance margin calls on a daily basis. Our master repurchase agreements do not specify the haircut; rather haircuts are determined on an individual repurchase transaction basis. As discussed above, we invest a portion of our capital in structured MBS. We generally do not apply leverage to this portion of our portfolio. The leverage inherent in structured securities replaces the leverage obtained by acquiring PT securities and funding them in the repurchase market. This structured MBS strategy has been a core element of the Company's overall investment strategy since 2008. However, we have and may continue to pledge a portion of our structured MBS in order to raise our cash levels, but generally will not pledge these securities in order to acquire additional assets. In future periods we expect to continue to finance our activities through repurchase agreements. As ofJune 30, 2022 , we had cash and cash equivalents of$5.6 million . We generated cash flows of$6.0 million from principal and interest payments on our MBS portfolio and had average repurchase agreements outstanding of$51.4 million during the six months endedJune 30, 2022 . In addition, during the six months endedJune 30, 2022 , we received approximately$6.3 million in management fees and expense reimbursements as manager of Orchid and approximately$0.8 million in dividends from our investment in Orchid common stock. Outlook Orchid Island Capital Inc. Orchid Island Capital reported a second quarter 2022 loss of$60.1 million and its shareholders equity declined from$592.4 million to$506.4 million . The market conditions described below led to the loss as agency MBS underperformed comparable duration treasuries and the Orchid's hedge positions. The decline in shareholders equity is likely to lead to reduced management fees at Bimini Advisors going forward if Orchid is unable to rebuild its shareholders equity since the amount of the management fees paid to the Company are a function of Orchid's equity. Orchid also reduced its monthly dividend twice during the first quarter from$0.065 per month to$0.045 per month. The reduction in the dividend decreased the monthly dividend revenues to the Company. Orchid is obligated to reimburse us for direct expenses paid on its behalf and to pay to us Orchid's pro rata share of overhead as defined in the management agreement. As a stockholder of Orchid, we will also continue to share in distributions, if any, paid by Orchid to its stockholders. Our operating results are also impacted by changes in the market value of our holdings of Orchid common shares, although these market value changes do not impact our cash flows from Orchid. - 39 - Economic Summary The second quarter of 2022 was another transitional period as the outlook for the economy, inflation and monetary policy changed materially. Inflationary data was the driver of these developments. Inflation in theU.S. began to accelerate during the second quarter of 2021. For several months market participants, and especially the Fed, assumed that inflation would prove transitory as it was assumed temporary supply chain constraints caused by COVID-19 were the cause and that these constraints would fade as the effects of COVID-19 itself declined over time. The sub-components of inflation exhibiting the largest increases were items likely to be affected by the effects of COVID-19 on the supply of labor, or lack thereof in this case. By early in the fourth quarter of 2021 the Fed formally dropped their contention that inflation was "transitory."The Fed quickly pivoted from providing monetary policy accommodation to constraining inflation and reducing their balance sheet. The war in theUkraine , which started in late February of 2022, exacerbated the inflationary forces. At the beginning of the second quarter market participants expected year-over-year inflation readings to moderate as baseline effects would kick in, since inflation had surged starting in the second quarter of 2021. This did not happen, and the monthly core consumer price index ("CPI") readings for May and June of 2022 were quite high - 0.6% and 0.7% respectively - after a 0.6% increase for April of 2022. Inflation was accelerating during the second quarter, not moderating, and becoming broader based. Further, survey-based measures of inflation expectations were rising rapidly. The most recent measures of inflation are the highest in four decades. While several important metrics of economic activity remain very strong, particularly hiring in the labor market and the unemployment rate, other measures have softened. In particular, interest rate sensitive sectors of the economy, such as the housing market and large consumer goods such as sales of cars and light trucks, have declined from peak levels seen earlier in the year. The stock markets in theU.S. and abroad have declined materially so far in 2022 and most broad equity indices are down between 10% and 30% year to date inU.S. dollar terms. With the Fed in the midst of an accelerated tightening cycle the dollar has strengthened against most major currencies, such as the Euro, Yen, Yuan and most emerging market currencies. Interest Rates With inflation accelerating to the highest level since the early 1980s and the Fed intent on taking the Fed Funds rate to levels well above their presumptive "neutral" rate of 2.50% to 2.75%, interest rates increased further during the second quarter. The yield on the 10- yearU.S. Treasury Note came within a few basis points of 3.50% onJune 14, 2022 , a few days after the May CPI was released. That same day, the yield on the 2-yearU.S. Treasury Note reached 3.43%. Yields on both benchmark treasuries declined modestly over the balance of the quarter and into the third quarter of 2022.The Fed reacted quickly as these developments unfolded and raised the Fed Funds rate by 50 basis points onMay 4, 2022 , and 75 basis points onJune 15, 2022 .The Fed raised the Fed Funds rate by another 75 basis points onJuly 27, 2022 . The market expects the Fed to continue to raise rates at each remaining meeting in 2022 and for the Fed Funds rate to end the year with a target range of 3.5% - 3.75%. This range is clearly above the Fed's long-term neutral rate - deemed to be between 2.50% and 2.75%.The Fed has also acknowledged their efforts to bring inflation under control and taking the Fed Funds rate above neutral may cause the economy to enter a recession. They deem these steps as necessary to prevent inflation from remaining higher than the Fed's target rate of inflation. - 40 - This rapid transition from accommodation to the extreme removal of policy accommodation - to the point of a restrictive policy stance - has materially changed the outlook for the economy.The Fed's policy actions have also been matched by most central banks across the globe, and most market participants expect a global recession within a year or so. In the U.S., market participants feel the Fed will succeed in reducing inflation, albeit at the cost of a recession, and as a result theU.S. Treasury yield curve has inverted. Current market pricing in the Fed Funds futures market indicate the market expects the Fed to be cutting rates as early as the first quarter of 2023. Accordingly, the yield on the 2-yearU.S. Treasury Note now exceeds the yield on the 10-yearU.S. Treasury Note. Incoming economic data during the second quarter and early third quarter has exacerbated the yield curve inversion. It appears the economy is slowing even quicker than feared, but with inflation so high it does not appear that the Fed will stop tightening. Such conditions, should they persist, are likely to keep shorter maturityU.S. Treasuries high - reflecting increases to the Fed Funds rate over the near term - relative to longer rates, which reflect market expectations for inflation to ultimately be contained, the economy to slow and the Fed to eventually lower the Fed Funds rate. The Agency MBS Market The Agency MBS market generated a negative return of 3.9 % during the second quarter of 2022. As interest rates rose, the prospect of the Fed raising the Fed Funds rate well above 3% by year end and the largest MBS investors selling or decreasing their exposure to the sector, Agency MBS spreads relative to benchmark interest rates increased to levels just below those observed in March of 2020. The largest investors of Agency MBS, the Fed via quantitative easing (which is now quantitative tightening as the Fed allows their holdings of Agency MBS to run-off), large domestic banks (which due to quantitative tightening are experiencing declines in reserves/deposits) and large money managers (which see other sectors of the fixed income markets as more attractive or are experiencing out-flows in their assets under management and selling assets across all of their holdings), are collectively causing demand for Agency MBS to decline materially and driving the spread widening. The relative performance across the Agency MBS universe is skewed in favor of higher coupon, 30-year securities that are currently in production by originators. Lower coupon securities, especially those held in large amounts by the Fed, and which may eventually be sold by the Fed, have performed the worst, however, subsequent toJune 30, 2022 , performance of these securities has improved. As both the domestic and the global economies appear to be slowing, the more credit sensitive sectors of the fixed income markets have come under pressure and are likely to further weaken if the economies do indeed contract. As a result, the relative performance of Agency MBS, while negative in absolute terms, has been better than most sectors of the fixed income markets. Actions by the Fed as described above may prevent the sector from performing well in the near term but, if the economy does contract and enter a recession, the sector could do well on a relative performance basis owing to the lack of credit exposure of Agency MBS. This is consistent with the sector's history of performance in a counter-cyclical manner - doing well when the economy is soft and relatively poorly when the economy is strong. Recent Legislative and Regulatory Developments In response to the deterioration in the markets forU.S. Treasuries, Agency MBS and other mortgage and fixed income markets as investors liquidated investments in response to the economic crisis resulting from the actions to contain and minimize the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic, on the morning ofMonday, March 23, 2020 , the Fed announced a program to acquireU.S. Treasuries and Agency MBS in the amounts needed to support smooth market functioning. With these purchases, market conditions improved substantially. Through November of 2021, the Fed was committed to purchasing$80 billion ofU.S. Treasuries and$40 billion of Agency MBS each month. In November of 2021, it began tapering its net asset purchases each month and ended net asset purchases entirely by early March of 2022. OnMay 4, 2022 , theFOMC announced a plan for reducing the Fed's balance sheet. In June of 2022, in accordance with this plan, the Fed began reducing its balance sheet by a maximum of$30 billion ofU.S. Treasuries and$17.5 billion of Agency MBS each month, with those numbers expected to double in September of 2022 to a maximum of$60 billion ofU.S. Treasuries and$35 billion of Agency MBS each month. - 41 - OnDecember 27, 2020 , formerPresident Trump signed into law an additional$900 billion coronavirus aid package as part of the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2021, providing for extensions of many of the CARES Act policies and programs as well as additional relief. OnJanuary 29, 2021 , the CDC issued guidance extending eviction moratoriums for covered persons throughMarch 31, 2021 . The FHFA subsequently extended the foreclosure moratorium begun under the CARES Act for loans backed by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and the eviction moratorium for real estate owned by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac untilJuly 31, 2021 andSeptember 30, 2021 , respectively. The U.S.Housing and Urban Development Department subsequently extended the FHA foreclosure and eviction moratoria toJuly 31, 2021 , andSeptember 30, 2021 , respectively. Despite the expirations of these foreclosure moratoria, a final rule adopted by theCFPB onJune 28, 2021 , effectively prohibited servicers from initiating a foreclosure beforeJanuary 1, 2022 in most instances. Following the end of this limitation,U.S. foreclosure starts for the first half of 2022 were up 153% and down 1% from the comparable periods in 2021 and 2020, respectively, and at 41% of the 10-year historic average for the comparable period. InJanuary 2019 , the Trump administration made statements of its plans to work withCongress to overhaul Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and expectations to announce a framework for the development of a policy for comprehensive housing finance reform soon. OnSeptember 30, 2019 , the FHFA announced that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were allowed to increase their capital buffers to$25 billion and$20 billion , respectively, from the prior limit of$3 billion each. This step could ultimately lead to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac being privatized and represents the first concrete step on the road to GSE reform. OnJune 30, 2020 , the FHFA released a proposed rule on a new regulatory framework for the GSEs which seeks to implement both a risk-based capital framework and minimum leverage capital requirements. The final rule on the new capital framework for the GSEs was published in the federal register inDecember 2020 . OnJanuary 14, 2021 , theU.S. Treasury and the FHFA executed letter agreements allowing the GSEs to continue to retain capital up to their regulatory minimums, including buffers, as prescribed in the December rule. These letter agreements provide, in part, (i) there will be no exit from conservatorship until all material litigation is settled and the GSE has common equity Tier 1 capital of at least 3% of its assets, (ii) the GSEs will comply with the FHFA's regulatory capital framework, (iii) higher-risk single-family mortgage acquisitions will be restricted to current levels, and (iv) theU.S. Treasury and the FHFA will establish a timeline and process for future GSE reform. However, no definitive proposals or legislation have been released or enacted with respect to ending the conservatorship, unwinding the GSEs, or materially reducing the roles of the GSEs in theU.S. mortgage market. OnSeptember 14, 2021 , theU.S. Treasury and the FHFA suspended certain policy provisions in the January agreement, including limits on loans acquired for cash consideration, multifamily loans, loans with higher risk characteristics and second homes and investment properties. OnFebruary 25, 2022 , the FHFA published a final rule, effective as ofApril 26, 2022 , amending the GSE capital framework established inDecember 2020 by, among other things, replacing the fixed leverage buffer equal to 1.5% of a GSE's adjusted total assets with a dynamic leverage buffer equal to 50% of a GSE's stability capital buffer, reducing the risk weight floor from 10% to 5%, and removing the requirement that the GSEs must apply an overall effectiveness adjustment to their credit risk transfer exposures. OnJune 14, 2022 , the GSEs announced that they will each charge a 50 bps fee for commingled securities issued on or afterJuly 1, 2022 to cover the additional capital required for such securities under the GSE capital framework. Industry groups have expressed concern that this poses a risk to the fungibility of the Uniform Mortgage-Backed Security ("UMBS"), which could negatively impact liquidity and pricing in the market for TBA securities. In 2017, policymakers announced that LIBOR will be replaced byDecember 31, 2021 . The directive was spurred by the fact that banks are uncomfortable contributing to the LIBOR panel given the shortage of underlying transactions on which to base levels and the liability associated with submitting an unfounded level. However, theICE Benchmark Administration , in its capacity as administrator of USD LIBOR, has announced that it intends to extend publication of USD LIBOR (other than one-week and two-month tenors) by 18 months toJune 2023 . Notwithstanding this extension, a joint statement by key regulatory authorities called on banks to cease entering into new contracts that use USD LIBOR as a reference rate by no later thanDecember 31, 2021 . - 42 - OnDecember 7, 2021 , theCFPB released a final rule that amends Regulation Z, which implemented the Truth in Lending Act, aimed at addressing cessation of LIBOR for both closed-end (e.g., home mortgage) and open-end (e.g., home equity line of credit) products. The rule, which mostly became effective in April of 2022, establishes requirements for the selection of replacement indices for existing LIBOR- linked consumer loans. Although the rule does not mandate the use of SOFR as the alternative rate, it identifies SOFR as a comparable rate for closed-end products and states that for open-end products, theCFPB has determined that ARRC's recommended spread-adjusted indices based on SOFR for consumer products to replace the one-month, three-month, or six-month USD LIBOR index "have historical fluctuations that are substantially similar to those of the LIBOR indices that they are intended to replace." TheCFPB reserved judgment, however, on a SOFR-based spread-adjusted replacement index to replace the one-year USD LIBOR until it obtained additional information. OnMarch 15, 2022 , the Adjustable Interest Rate (LIBOR) Act (the "LIBOR Act") was signed into law as part of the Consolidated Appropriations Act, 2022 (H.R. 2471). The LIBOR Act provides for a statutory replacement benchmark rate for contracts that use LIBOR as a benchmark and do not contain any fallback mechanism independent of LIBOR. Pursuant to the LIBOR Act, SOFR becomes the new benchmark rate by operation of law for any such contract. The LIBOR Act establishes a safe harbor from litigation for claims arising out of or related to the use of SOFR as the recommended benchmark replacement. The LIBOR Act makes clear that it should not be construed to disfavor the use of any benchmark on a prospective basis. The LIBOR Act also attempts to forestall challenges that it is impairing contracts. It provides that the discontinuance of LIBOR and the automatic statutory transition to a replacement rate neither impairs or affects the rights of a party to receive payment under such contracts, nor allows a party to discharge their performance obligations or to declare a breach of contract. It amends the Trust Indenture Act of 1939 to state that the "the right of any holder of any indenture security to receive payment of the principal of and interest on such indenture security shall not be deemed to be impaired or affected" by application of the LIBOR Act to any indenture security. One-week and two-monthU.S. dollar LIBOR rates phased out onDecember 31, 2021 , but otherU.S. dollar tenors may continue untilJune 30, 2023 . We will monitor the emergence of SOFR carefully as it appears likely to become the new benchmark for hedges and a range of interest rate investments. EffectiveJanuary 1, 2021 , Fannie Mae, in alignment with Freddie Mac, extended the timeframe for its delinquent loan buyout policy for Single-Family Uniform Mortgage-Backed Securities (UMBS) and Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS) from four consecutively missed monthly payments to twenty-four consecutively missed monthly payments (i.e., 24 months past due). This new timeframe applied to outstanding single-family pools and newly issued single-family pools and was first reflected whenJanuary 2021 factors were released on the fourth business day inFebruary 2021 . For Agency MBS investors, when a delinquent loan is bought out of a pool of mortgage loans, the removal of the loan from the pool is the same as a total prepayment of the loan. The respective GSEs anticipated, however, that delinquent loans will be repurchased in most cases before the 24-month deadline under one of the following exceptions listed below. • a loan that is paid in full, or where the related lien is released and/or the note debt is satisfied or forgiven; • a loan repurchased by a seller/servicer under applicable selling and servicing requirements; • a loan entering a permanent modification, which generally requires it to be removed from the MBS. During any modification trial period, the loan will remain in the MBS until the trial period ends; • a loan subject to a short sale or deed-in-lieu of foreclosure; or • a loan referred to foreclosure. Because of these exceptions, the GSEs believe based on prevailing assumptions and market conditions this change will have only a marginal impact on prepayment speeds, in aggregate. Cohort level impacts may vary. For example, more than half of loans referred to foreclosure are historically referred within six months of delinquency. The degree to which speeds are affected depends on delinquency levels, borrower response, and referral to foreclosure timelines. - 43 - The scope and nature of the actions theU.S. government or the Fed will ultimately undertake are unknown and will continue to evolve Effect on Us Regulatory developments, movements in interest rates and prepayment rates affect us in many ways, including the following: Effects on our Assets A change in or elimination of the guarantee structure of Agency MBS may increase our costs (if, for example, guarantee fees increase) or require us to change our investment strategy altogether. For example, the elimination of the guarantee structure of Agency MBS may cause us to change our investment strategy to focus on non-Agency MBS, which in turn would require us to significantly increase our monitoring of the credit risks of our investments in addition to interest rate and prepayment risks. Lower long-term interest rates can affect the value of our Agency MBS in a number of ways. If prepayment rates are relatively low (due, in part, to the refinancing problems described above), lower long-term interest rates can increase the value of higher-coupon Agency MBS. This is because investors typically place a premium on assets with yields that are higher than market yields. Although lower long- term interest rates may increase asset values in our portfolio, we may not be able to invest new funds in similarly-yielding assets. If prepayment levels increase, the value of our Agency MBS affected by such prepayments may decline. This is because a principal prepayment accelerates the effective term of an Agency MBS, which would shorten the period during which an investor would receive above-market returns (assuming the yield on the prepaid asset is higher than market yields). Also, prepayment proceeds may not be able to be reinvested in similar-yielding assets. Agency MBS backed by mortgages with high interest rates are more susceptible to prepayment risk because holders of those mortgages are most likely to refinance to a lower rate. IOs and IIOs, however, may be the types of Agency MBS most sensitive to increased prepayment rates. Because the holder of an IO or IIO receives no principal payments, the values of IOs and IIOs are entirely dependent on the existence of a principal balance on the underlying mortgages. If the principal balance is eliminated due to prepayment, IOs and IIOs essentially become worthless. Although increased prepayment rates can negatively affect the value of our IOs and IIOs, they have the opposite effect on POs. Because POs act like zero-coupon bonds, meaning they are purchased at a discount to their par value and have an effective interest rate based on the discount and the term of the underlying loan, an increase in prepayment rates would reduce the effective term of our POs and accelerate the yields earned on those assets, which would increase our net income. Higher long-term rates can also affect the value of our Agency MBS. As long-term rates rise, rates available to borrowers also rise. This tends to cause prepayment activity to slow and extend the expected average life of mortgage cash flows. As the expected average life of the mortgage cash flows increases, coupled with higher discount rates, the value of Agency MBS declines. Some of the instruments the Company uses to hedge our Agency MBS assets, such as interest rate futures, swaps and swaptions, are stable average life instruments. This means that to the extent we use such instruments to hedge our Agency MBS assets, our hedges may not adequately protect us from price declines, and therefore may negatively impact our book value. It is for this reason we use interest only securities in our portfolio. As interest rates rise, the expected average life of these securities increases, causing generally positive price movements as the number and size of the cash flows increase the longer the underlying mortgages remain outstanding. This makes interest only securities desirable hedge instruments for pass-through Agency MBS. - 44 - As described above, the Agency MBS market began to experience severe dislocations inmid-March 2020 as a result of the economic, health and market turmoil brought about by COVID-19. OnMarch 23, 2020 , the Fed announced that it would purchase Agency MBS andU.S. Treasuries in the amounts needed to support smooth market functioning, which largely stabilized the Agency MBS market, but ended these purchases inMarch 2022 and announced plans to reduce its balance sheet.The Fed's planned reduction of its balance sheet could negatively impact our investment portfolio. Further, the moratoriums on foreclosures and evictions described above will likely delay potential defaults on loans that would otherwise be bought out of Agency MBS pools as described above. Depending on the ultimate resolution of the foreclosure or evictions, when and if it occurs, these loans may be removed from the pool into which they were securitized. If this were to occur, it would have the effect of delaying a prepayment on the Company's securities until such time. As the majority of the Company's Agency MBS assets were acquired at a premium to par, this will tend to increase the realized yield on the asset in question. Because we base our investment decisions on risk management principles rather than anticipated movements in interest rates, in a volatile interest rate environment we may allocate more capital to structured Agency MBS with shorter durations. We believe these securities have a lower sensitivity to changes in long-term interest rates than other asset classes. We may attempt to mitigate our exposure to changes in long-term interest rates by investing in IOs and IIOs, which typically have different sensitivities to changes in long- term interest rates than PT MBS, particularly PT MBS backed by fixed-rate mortgages. Effects on our borrowing costs We leverage our PT MBS portfolio and a portion of our structured Agency MBS with principal balances through the use of short-term repurchase agreement transactions. The interest rates on our debt are determined by the short term interest rate markets. Increases in the Fed Funds rate, SOFR or LIBOR typically increase our borrowing costs, which could affect our interest rate spread if there is no corresponding increase in the interest we earn on our assets. This would be most prevalent with respect to our Agency MBS backed by fixed rate mortgage loans because the interest rate on a fixed-rate mortgage loan does not change even though market rates may change. In order to protect our net interest margin against increases in short-term interest rates, we may enter into interest rate swaps, which economically convert our floating-rate repurchase agreement debt to fixed-rate debt, or utilize other hedging instruments such as Eurodollar, Fed Funds and T-Note futures contracts or interest rate swaptions. Summary During the latter part of the second quarter of 2022 inflation data drove a material change in Fed policy, interest rates and the outlook for the economy. Specifically, the CPI for May, released in June, was far above market expectations. Survey measures of inflation expectations, released on the same day, surged to multi-decade highs. In July, the June CPI reading was released and was again well above market expectations. Equally troubling, elevated inflation readings were very broad based, implying inflationary pressures have clearly spread from just those sectors most exposed to COVID-19 related supply constraints. This was the catalyst for the Fed to pivot even more forcefully than they did during late 2021/early 2022, and the Fed raised the Fed Funds rate by 200 basis points collectively at the May, June and July meetings. The market expects the Fed to continuing raising the Fed Funds rate by another 100 basis points by year-end. Increases in the Fed Funds rate are likely to affect economic activity, and the Fed has acknowledged their actions may lead to a recession. Sectors of the economy most sensitive to interest rates - such as housing - have already started to slow and other economic indicators have shown evidence of slowing, such as new orders and production levels for the manufacturing sector as reported by theInstitute for Supply Management . Initial claims for unemployment in July of 2022 have risen by approximately 94,000 above the low reading reported in March of 2022. - 45 - The market appears to anticipate the Fed will be able to contain inflation and that the result will be a contraction in economic growth. This is reflected in yields for longer-termU.S. Treasuries. With the Fed expected to increase the Fed Funds rate by another 100 basis points or more, shorter maturityU.S. Treasuries remain elevated, with the yield on the 2-yearU.S. Treasury Note yielding approximately 3.07% onAugust 3, 2022 . The combined effect - more increases to the Fed Funds rate, inflation to be ultimately contained by the Fed albeit potentially at the expense of a recession, has caused the yield curve to invert whereby shorter maturityU.S. Treasuries yield more than long-termU.S. Treasuries. This condition may persist for the balance of 2022 and into 2023. The Agency MBS market generated negative returns for the second quarter (-3.9%) and year-to-date (-8.8%), and such returns were lower than comparable durationU.S. Treasuries by 1.20% and 2.3%, respectively. During June of 2022, spreads to comparable durationU.S. Treasuries were near the extreme levels observed in March of 2020 when the markets experienced the extreme turbulence in the early days of the COVID-19 pandemic that triggered unprecedented intervention in the market by the Fed. In spite of this poor performance, Agency MBS actually delivered better returns than most sectors of the fixed income markets during the second quarter and first six months of 2022. For this reason, returns to the sector may remain low as the largest participants in the sector - the Fed via quantitative easing, now quantitative tightening, and large banks and money managers - refrain from increasing their investments in the sector. However, if the economy does enter into a recession the sector could outperform other sectors owing to its lack of credit risk and the prospects for lower funding rates and declining longer-term rates. Through the early days of the third quarter of 2022, Agency MBS have performed well and most of the widening in spreads that occurred in June of 2022 has reversed. Critical Accounting Estimates Our consolidated financial statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP. GAAP requires our management to make some complex and subjective decisions and assessments. Our most critical accounting policies involve decisions and assessments which could significantly affect reported assets, liabilities, revenues and expenses, and these decisions and assessments can change significantly each reporting period. There have been no changes to the processes used to determine our critical accounting estimates as discussed in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2021 . Capital Expenditures AtJune 30, 2022 , we had no material commitments for capital expenditures. ITEM 3.
QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES
ABOUT MARKET RISK. Not Applicable. - 46 -
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