Projected Income Statement: BYD Company Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 38,544 -16,091 -38,436 -78,213 -82,378 -110,125 -145,538 -201,049
Change - -141.75% -138.87% -103.49% -5.33% -33.68% -32.16% -38.14%
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 11,774 37,344 97,457 122,094 97,360 93,704 88,021 86,257
Change - 217.17% 160.97% 25.28% -20.26% -3.75% -6.07% -2%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 33,619 28,123 43,381 47,632 36,094 40,341 60,405 71,826
Change - -16.35% 54.25% 9.8% -24.22% 11.77% 49.74% 18.91%
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BYD Company Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.58% 9.58% 9.86% 13.56% 14.77% 12.02% 12.63% 12.73%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.64% 3.11% 5.08% 6.33% 6.5% 5.1% 6.03% 6.33%
EBT Margin (%) 4.48% 2.14% 4.97% 6.19% 6.39% 5.2% 5.94% 6.26%
Net margin (%) 2.76% 1.44% 3.92% 4.99% 5.18% 4.14% 4.75% 5.03%
FCF margin (%) 21.91% 13.31% 10.23% 7.91% 4.64% 6.13% 6.15% 6.46%
FCF / Net Income (%) 793.96% 923.53% 260.98% 158.56% 89.67% 148.26% 129.54% 128.44%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.13% 1.23% 4.21% 5.12% 5.5% 4.19% 5.04% 5.25%
ROE 7.45% 4.01% 16.13% 24.05% 24.84% 17.13% 18.46% 19.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.72x - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 1.15x - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.67% 17.67% 22.98% 20.27% 12.53% 11.06% 8.88% 7.58%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 52.61% 184.54% 232.98% 149.52% 84.85% 90.76% 70.68% 58.76%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 35.02% 132.79% 224.65% 256.33% 269.74% 180.31% 144.24% 117.37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.253 7.596 16.13 19.45 15.29 12.81 15.46 15.71
Change - 44.61% 112.3% 20.64% -21.38% -16.27% 20.72% 1.61%
Dividend per Share 1 0.0493 0.035 0.3807 1.032 1.325 1.143 1.443 1.704
Change - -29.05% 987.63% 171.1% 28.36% -13.68% 26.19% 18.07%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.626 10.89 12.71 15.92 21.23 25.47 29.58 33.38
Change - 64.29% 16.79% 25.23% 33.33% 19.99% 16.14% 12.86%
EPS 1 0.49 0.3533 1.903 3.44 4.613 3.972 5.181 6.178
Change - -27.89% 438.68% 80.74% 34.11% -13.9% 30.44% 19.25%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 8,184,429 8,733,429 8,716,895 8,716,895 8,716,224 9,105,624 9,105,624 9,105,624
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/29/22 3/28/23 3/26/24 3/24/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 21.8x 16.7x
PBR 3.39x 2.92x
EV / Sales 0.82x 0.67x
Yield 1.32% 1.67%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
29
Last Close Price
86.44CNY
Average target price
113.17CNY
Spread / Average Target
+30.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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