Projected Income Statement: China Conch Venture Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Conch Venture Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 5,834 10,030 17,705 23,433 - - - -
Change - 71.92% 76.52% 32.35% - - - -
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/28/22 3/29/23 3/25/24 3/26/25 - - -
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Conch Venture Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 4,267 6,200 5,364 5,279 2,797 878.1 711.5 711.5
Change - 45.28% -13.48% -1.58% -47.03% -68.6% -18.98% 0%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,558 -4,916 - - - 3,000 3,700 3,700
Change - -38.15% - - - - 23.33% 0%
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/28/22 3/29/23 3/25/24 3/26/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Conch Venture Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.7% 30.87% 34.39% 35.73% 43.51% 52.55% 54.66% 60.99%
EBIT Margin (%) 28.71% 25.41% 25.77% 24.17% 26.18% 26.84% 27.45% 26.59%
EBT Margin (%) 121.93% 95.01% 55.37% 35.83% 35.88% 44.5% 48.46% 50.18%
Net margin (%) 115.34% 89.31% 48.78% 30.74% 32.21% 38.9% 41.82% 42.91%
FCF margin (%) -53.88% -58.87% - - - 47.05% 56.02% 52.53%
FCF / Net Income (%) -46.71% -65.92% - - - 120.95% 133.94% 122.44%

Profitability

        
ROA 15.78% 12.1% 5.34% 3.16% 2.48% 2.9% 3.24% 3.46%
ROE 20.94% 17.79% 8.55% 5.4% 4.3% 5.17% 5.62% 5.94%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.7x 3.89x 6.52x 8.18x - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -1.64x -2.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 64.61% 74.24% 67.93% 65.86% 44.6% 13.77% 10.77% 10.1%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 197.6% 240.49% 197.5% 184.35% 102.49% 26.21% 19.71% 16.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -119.92% -126.11% - - - 29.27% 19.23% 19.23%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3753 0.6817 0.9951 - 1.171 1.29 1.4 1.45
Change - 81.65% 45.97% - - 10.14% 8.53% 3.57%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5917 0.5697 0.3509 0.1844 0.2802 0.5355 0.6474 0.7395
Change - -3.72% -38.41% -47.45% 51.97% 91.09% 20.91% 14.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 22.15 24.93 24.74 25.55 27.6 28.16 29.26 30.41
Change - 12.55% -0.74% 3.27% 8.01% 2.04% 3.89% 3.93%
EPS 1 4.06 3.95 2.12 1.36 1.17 1.361 1.503 1.615
Change - -2.71% -46.33% -35.85% -13.97% 16.28% 10.47% 7.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,804,750 1,826,765 1,812,985 1,809,946 1,792,041 1,792,041 1,792,041 1,792,041
Announcement Date 3/29/21 3/28/22 3/29/23 3/25/24 3/26/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 6.66x 6.03x
PBR 0.32x 0.31x
EV / Sales 2.55x 2.46x
Yield 5.91% 7.15%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
9.059CNY
Average target price
12.12CNY
Spread / Average Target
+33.77%
Consensus

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. 586 Stock
  4. Financials China Conch Venture Holdings Limited