Projected Income Statement: CMOC Group Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: CMOC Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 22,309 15,490 18,776 -922 -1,781 -16,990 -39,490 -67,238
Change - -30.57% 21.21% -104.91% -93.17% -854.04% -132.43% -70.27%
Announcement Date 3/15/22 3/17/23 3/12/24 3/21/25 3/27/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: CMOC Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,260 10,470 12,527 4,714 7,583 13,011 11,567 10,874
Change - 145.75% 19.65% -62.37% 60.85% 71.58% -11.1% -5.99%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,930 4,984 3,015 27,673 13,260 34,244 34,348 36,570
Change - 158.21% -39.5% 817.79% -52.08% 158.24% 0.31% 6.47%
Announcement Date 3/15/22 3/17/23 3/12/24 3/21/25 3/27/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: CMOC Group Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 7.37% 8.25% 10.25% 14.68% 17.24% 26.45% 26.68% 27.67%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.05% 5.72% 7.13% 11.86% 17.09% 24.16% 24.29% 25.29%
EBT Margin (%) 5.04% 5.67% 7.09% 11.79% 17.01% 23.67% 23.51% 25.41%
Net margin (%) 2.94% 3.51% 4.43% 6.35% 9.84% 13.77% 13.64% 14.53%
FCF margin (%) 1.11% 2.88% 1.62% 12.99% 6.42% 14.36% 13.75% 14.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) 37.8% 82.15% 36.55% 204.5% 65.2% 104.25% 100.82% 97.11%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.16% 4.01% 4.88% 7.64% 11% 16.94% 14.7% 14.73%
ROE 10.42% 13.41% 15% 20.96% 26.61% 33.69% 27.45% 25.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.74x 1.09x 0.98x - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 11.56x 3.11x 6.23x - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.45% 6.05% 6.73% 2.21% 3.67% 5.46% 4.63% 4.2%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 33.24% 73.36% 65.62% 15.08% 21.28% 20.63% 17.36% 15.16%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 220.72% 210.07% 415.47% 17.04% 57.18% 37.99% 33.67% 29.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.291 0.7155 0.7196 1.499 0.9742 2.345 2.05 2.782
Change - 145.88% 0.57% 108.37% -35.03% 140.73% -12.59% 35.71%
Dividend per Share 1 0.0712 0.0851 0.1542 0.255 0.286 0.527 0.5582 0.6007
Change - 19.41% 81.3% 65.32% 12.16% 84.28% 5.9% 7.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.27 2.347 2.71 3.242 3.853 5.087 6.175 7.459
Change - 3.4% 15.47% 19.61% 18.85% 32.03% 21.39% 20.8%
EPS 1 0.24 0.28 0.38 0.63 0.95 1.544 1.616 1.768
Change - 16.67% 35.71% 65.79% 50.79% 62.48% 4.71% 9.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 21,450,727 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310 21,394,310
Announcement Date 3/15/22 3/17/23 3/12/24 3/21/25 3/27/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.3x 10.8x
PBR 3.44x 2.83x
EV / Sales 1.42x 1.27x
Yield 3.01% 3.19%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
17.50CNY
Average target price
25.44CNY
Spread / Average Target
+45.39%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 603993 Stock
  4. 3993 Stock
  5. Financials CMOC Group Limited