Q3 RESULTS
2020
SUMMARY
- UPDATE ON COVIVIO'S MARKETS & KEY ACHIEVEMENTS
I.A. Update on Covivio's markets
I.B. Q3 2020 key achievements
- ACTIVITY AT END-SEPTEMBER
- II.A. Development pipeline
- II.B. Letting activity & revenues
APPENDIX
2
I.
UPDATE ON
COVIVIO'S
MARKETS & KEY
ACHIEVEMENTS
► Update on Covivio's markets
► Q3 2020 key achievements
Milan Via Dante
3
UPDATE ON OFFICES MARKETS / FRANCE, ITALY & GERMANY
LETTING ACTIVITY
PICKING-UP SLOWLY…
In Greater Paris and top 7 German cities1
Take-up
+13%
Q3 2020 vs Q2 2020
Longer decision processes in an uncertain environment
Vacancy remains healthy
4.7% on average
€16 BN IN
FRANCE
-27% vs 2019
€2.6 BN IN ITALY
+4% vs 2019
… WHILE INVESTMENT MARKET
REMAINS ACTIVE
€34 Bn YTD | ||||||
In France, Italy & Germany | ||||||
N u m e r o u s t r a n s a c t i o n s c o m f o r t i n g v a l u a t i o n s | ||||||
Both in Paris & the first ring | ||||||
47,200 m² Nestlé HQ | 20,000 m² off-plan in Malakoff | |||||
~3.8% yield | ||
~3.8% yield | ||
In Milan
4,000 m² in the CBD | 83,000 m² office portfolio | |||||
€15 BN IN | ||||||
~3.8% yield | ||||||
~3.6% yield | ||||||
TOP 7 | ||||||
GERMAN | ||||||
CITIES | ||||||
-33% vs 2019 | 4 | |||||
1 Milan Q3 data not available to date. Take-up and vacancy are the average of Greater Paris and Top 7 German cities.
Sources: CBRE, Colliers |
GERMAN RESIDENTIAL MARKET / SUPPORTIVE ENVIRONMENT CONTINUES
Focus on Berlin
Severe housing | 400,000 | new units needed per year |
in Germany | ||
shortage… |
…aggravated by | -1.8% | housing building permits |
slowing construction… | in July |
Rental offer is dropping
Number of apartments on offer to rent, in thousand
14.8
12.5 | 12.7 | 12.3 | ||
11.7 | 11.7 | |||
11.4 | 11.1 | |||
10.6 | ||||
9.1
8.6
6.8 6.1 6.8 6.9 6.5
5.4
4.4
Sept-20 vs Sept 19: -64%
05-19 | 07-19 | 09-19 | 11-19 | 01-20 | 03-20 | 05-20 | 07-20 | 09-20 |
Apartments prices keep on increasing
Evolution of median asking price in €/m²
… driving-up prices | +6.6% | housing price increase |
in Q2 year-on-year |
4 590 4 610
4 550
4 640
4 770 4 770 4 780
4 730
4 670
4 810
4 840
4 870 4 890 4 890 4 900
4 490
4 430
Sept-20 vs Sept 19: +6%
05/19 | 07/19 | 09/19 | 11/19 | 01/20 | 03/20 | 05/20 | 07/20 | 09/20 | 5 |
Sources: Guthmann Real Estate, Destatis
HOTEL MARKET / SHORT-TERM UNCERTAINTY PERSISTS
THE NEED & WILL TO TRAVEL IS THERE…
Better performance than expected during July & August
thanks to easing travel restrictions
D | May | June | July | August |
Occupancy rate | 6.8% | 17.9% | 32.4% | 38.9% |
- BUT THE SECTOR IS FACING
STRONG HEADWIND
Re-tightening of restrictions in September
Most business events cancelled in Europe in H2
(seminars, fairs, etc.)
-55% RevPar in Europe in August
Covivio's main hotel exposure, France & Germany
outperforming the rest of Europe in August
-71%-62%
-49%
-69%
-35%
-64%
-64%-72%
Source: MKG | 6 |
I.
UPDATE ON
COVIVIO'S
MARKETS & KEY
ACHIEVEMENTS
► Update on our markets
► Q3 2020 key achievements
Berlin Residential, new development
7
FULL LETTING OF PARIS 5TH GOBELINS…
4,500 M² REDEVELOPMENT PROJECT OF A FORMER ORANGE BUILDING
1. TRANSFORMATION OF AN OBSOLETE ASSET INTO A NEW EFFICIENT BUILDING
End-2018 | Departure of Orange & launch of redevelopment |
for €50 m total cost | |
Q1 2021 | Delivery |
2. OFFERING A PLUG & PLAY SOLUTION WITH FULL SERVICES
through Covivio's flex-workspace offer
3. | STRENGTHENING THE PARTNERSHIP WITH AN EXISTING | |
TENANT, A LARGE PUBLIC INSTITUTION | Paris Gobelins | |
5 years firm contract starting at delivery |
A GOOD EXAMPLE OF OUR CAPACITY TO EXTRACT THE VALUE
OF OUR €1 BN ORANGE PORTFOLIO IN PARIS
5.0%
EBIT yield
€2.5 m EBIT
=
+15% margin vs IFRS market rent
8
…PROVING THE RELEVANCE OF COVIVIO OFFICE STRATEGY
OFFERING
QUALITY LOCATIONS
Major business districts in
Paris | Milan | Top 5 |
& Greater Paris | German cities | |
for more details on the office portfolio
OFFERING
QUALITY BUILDINGS
THROUGH THE PIPELINE
- Transforming obsolete buildings
into efficient office spaces
- Ambitious green targets
Target 100% of the portfolio by 2025
with very good or excellent levels in our developments
- Improving well-being with wide services offer
Target 100% offices & residential buildings with a service offer by 2025
INCREASING
THE RANGE OF REAL
ESTATE SOLUTIONS
A high level of services
as a key differentiating strength
Mixed offer in the same building
Traditional lease + flexible component
4 buildings opened & 1 to come in Lyon
Full Plug & Play solutions
2 buildings & 1 to come in Paris 5th
for more details on the flexible offer
9
DISPOSALS / CLOSE TO €500 MILLION WITH +12% MARGIN
ON TRACK TO >€600 MILLION GROUP SHARE TARGET FOR 2020
Disposal agreements | €m | €m | Gross yield | Margin |
End-September 2020 | ||||
100% | Group share | Group share | Group share |
France offices1 | €190 m | €190 m | 5.6% | 7% |
Italy offices | €156 m | €139 m | 3.9% | 18% |
Germany | €186 m | €121 m | 3.1% | 19% |
Residential | ||||
Hotels | €22 m | €10 m | 6.4% | 17% |
Non-strategic | €61 m | €30 m | 7.1% | -5% |
(retail) | ||||
TOTAL | €616 m | €491 m | 4.6% | 12% |
New disposals in Q3
Mature & non-core offices in France & Italy
€44 m Group share 3% margin
German Residential
in Leipzig and Berlin
€109 m Group share 14% margin
10
1 Removal of one asset vs H1. Disposal process is delayed and removed from 2020 figures.
DELIVERING ON GERMAN RESIDENTIAL PIPELINE
2017: INITIATION | 2018-2020: PIPELINE DOUBLED |
by acquiring land banks | |
Exploiting land banks | |
on our portfolio | 1/3 of projects committed |
Incl. 1,600 m² land bank acquired in 2020 |
€800 m1
4,000 units on 285,000 m²
40% target margin
€400 m
pipeline
€256 m
committed1
2017 | H1 2020 |
2020: FIRST DELIVERIES | 2021 & BEYOND |
Successful projects | Acceleration of deliveries |
with 46% margin on sale |
+521 units to deliver
€159 m cost
123 units delivered | +247 units to deliver |
€29 m cost | €68 m cost |
with 46% margin on cost
202020212022
11
1 €540 m pipeline Group share and €166 m committed
CLOSING HOTEL ACQUISITION
TOURISM WILL COME BACK IN TOP EUROPEAN DESTINATIONS
CLOSING OF THE ACQUISITION OF 8 HOTELS
In the heart of some of the most visited European cities
PALAZZO NAIADI | ROME | PALAZZO GADDI | FLORENCE | HOTEL DEI DOGI | VENICE | HOTEL BELLINI | VENICE | |||||||
238 rooms / 5* | 86 rooms / 4* | 64 rooms / 5* | 100 rooms / 4* | |||||||||||
HOTEL PLAZA | NICE | HOTEL CARLO IV | PRAGUE | NY PALACE HOTEL BUDAPEST | NY RESIDENCE | BUDAPEST | ||||||||
152 rooms / 5* | 152 rooms / 5* | 185 rooms / 5* | 138 rooms / 5* | |||||||||||
€573 million
€248 m Group share
1,115 rooms
Closing in
September
(vs Q2 initially)
15 years firm lease duration
Triple net lease contracts1 with NH Hotels
Minimum guaranteed yield of 4.7%
12
1 Excluding Nice
ESG RATINGS / COVIVIO RANKED AMONG THE WORLD LEADERS
3 AGENCIES HAVE UPDATED THEIR RATING IN Q3
B-
Best possible rating | Prime status |
Sector leader1 | Top 3% worldwide | Among the sector |
leaders | ||
Ranked 5th worldwide | out of 358 real estate companies | |
out of 4,823 companies (all sectors)
13
1 #1 out of 86 European Real Estate companies
II.
ACTIVITY
AT END-SEPTEMBER
► Development pipeline
► Letting activity & revenues
Milan The Sign
14
DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE / 72,000 M² DELIVERED YTD
€332 M COST IN GROUP SHARE
GREATER PARIS 25,600 M²
Châtillon - IRO
25,600 m² / €138 m / 6.4% yield
NEW
3,800 m² lease in September
now 34% pre-let
ITALY | GERMANY | ||||||
MILAN - The Sign A | 38,200 M² | 7,800 M² | |||||
MILAN - Duca D'Aosta | MILAN - Symbiosis School | BERLIN Residential | |||||
9,260 m² / €39 m / 7.3% yield | 2,600 m² / €13 m / 8.8% | ||||||
7,900 m² / €22 m / 7.6% | 7,800 m² / €29 m | ||||||
100% let | 100% let | 100% let | First deliveries |
of 123 units | |||
MILAN - Via Dante | TURIN - Ferrucci - phase 3 | ||
4,700 m² / €58 m | 13,730 m² / €33 m / 5.4% | ||
Covivio first flex-workspace in Milan | Total asset of 45 600 m² |
61% occupied | 95% let | 15 |
one month after opening
Q3 OFFICE ACTIVITY / LETTING ACTIVITY PICKING-UP IN SEPTEMBER
125,000 M² LET OR RENEWED IN Q3
Activity YTD | Of which in Q3 | ||
Mainly | |||
New lettings, mainly on | |||
45,400 m² | 14,600 m² | Chatillon IRO | |
the pipeline | for 7 years | Two assets in Milan CBD | |
Turin Corso Ferrucci | |||
23 Orange assets in France | ||
Renewals with long-term partners | 193,100 m² | in secondary locations |
and on iconic assets | 110,100 m² | |
One asset in Turin | ||
End-of lease & releases for redevelopment already included in the guidance
Two buildings to be redeveloped | ||
80,400 m² | in Paris CBD and Milan CBD | |
52,200 m² | ||
vacated | ||
Departures on two assets | ||
in Paris 15th and Hamburg | ||
16 |
GERMAN RESIDENTIAL REVENUE / +2.8% LFL RENTAL GROWTH
Berlin
49% of rents
+2.1% LfL
NRW, | +3.4% | |
Hamburg, | Hamburg | |
Dresden | ||
7% of rents | ||
& Leipzig | +2.6% LfL | |
Dresden & Leipzig | ||
10% of rents | ||
+3.6% LfL | ||
NRW | ||
34% of rents | ||
+3.5% LfL rental | ||
Rental growth | growth | |
stays strong |
Extracting 15-20%rent
reversion potential
Through reletting & modernization
Berlin +2.1%
Rental growth slowing due to regulation impact
Regulation effective since February 2020 4 constitutional complaints awaiting
decision
Judicial review ongoing with the ruling within 24 months
17
REVENUES AT END-SEPTEMBER / +1.5% LFL EXCLUDING HOTELS
Revenues | Revenues | Revenues | |||
End-September 2020, €million | 9 months 2020 | 9 months 2019 | 9 months 2020 | ||
100% | Group share | Group share | |||
France Offices | 180.8 | 171.9 | 157.8 | ||
Italy Offices | 126.1 | 109.9 | 96.2 | ||
Germany Offices | 47.6 | 4.9 | 37.6 | ||
Germany Residential | 184.2 | 115.7 | 118.3 | ||
SUB-TOTAL OFFICES & RESIDENTIAL | 538.7 | 402.3 | 410.0 | ||
Hotels in Europe | 114.0 | 91.1 | 44.5 | ||
TOTAL STRATEGIC ACTIVITIES | 652.7 | 493.3 | 454.5 | ||
Non-strategic (retail in France & Italy) | 14.6 | 17.2 | 9.4 | ||
TOTAL | 667.3 | 510.5 | 463.9 | ||
RENT COLLECTION | OFFICES | RESIDENTIAL | ||
97% | Decrease in occupancy | Rental growth continues | ||
collected | already included | |||
including 92% in Hotels | in the guidance given at H1 | |||
Occupancy rate | Average |
lease term | |
% | |
firm, in years | |
93.0% | 4.5 |
96.5% | 7.3 |
73.7% | 4.6 |
98.7% | n.a. |
93.4% | 5.5 |
100%1 | 14.3 |
94.4% | 7.2 |
97.8% | 6.6 |
94.4% | 7.2 |
HOTELS
97% of hotels reopened but H2 2020 is impacted by increasing restrictions
-74% LfL revenues in September
on variable leases & management contracts 18 1 On lease properties
KEY TAKEAWAYS
1. OPERATIONAL RESULTS IN LINE WITH GUIDANCE ANNOUNCED IN JULY
In Offices: Covivio's strategy is proving relevant | ||
2. | DELIVERING ON THE PIPELINE | |
In Residential: accelerating on deliveries with high-value creation | ||
3. DISPOSAL PLAN WELL ON TRACK TO REACH TARGET OF >€600 M GROUP SHARE
19
APPENDIX
Paris 5th Gobelins
20
PORTFOLIO
21
A HIGH-QUALITY, WELL LOCATED OFFICES PORTFOLIO
€12.4 bn
€10.2 bn Group share
AT END-JUNE 2020
92% LOCATED IN1
PARIS
€2.4 bn Group share
GREATER PARIS | ||||
€2.6 bn | & | MILAN | & | TOP 5 GERMAN CITIES |
€2.2 bn | €1.4 bn | |||
MAJOR FRENCH
CITIES
€0.8 bn
Lyon, Bordeaux, Marseille, Lille
22
1 Excluding Telecom Italia portfolio, 100% occupied and leased for 11 years
FRANCE OFFICES PORTFOLIO
A €7.1 BN PORTFOLIO
€5.9 bn in Group share
23% Western Crescent and La Défense
20% | |||
1st Ring | |||
% value | |||
Group share | 1% | ||
40% | 2nd Ring | ||
13% | |||
Paris | Major Regional Cities | ||
2% |
Covivio's Greater Paris Portfolio
Rueil-sur-Seine
PARIS CENTER OUEST
Regions |
LA DÉFENSE
REST OF PARIS
COVIVIO ASSETS
(% of the portfolio in Group share)
WESTERN CRESCENT | MAJOR BUSINESS DISTRICTS | 20 % |
VÉLIZY MEUDON | 9-12 % | |
6-9 %
FIRST RING3-6% 1-3 %
<1 %
23
ORANGE ASSETS / VALUE CREATIVE REDEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL
520,000 M² OF PARISIAN ASSETS
WITH HIGH POTENTIAL FOR TRANSFORMATION
Pereire
N2 Batignolles Montmartre
Maillot | Laborde | |
Jemmapes | ||
Carnot | ||
The Line | Anjou | Provence |
J. Goujon | Ménilmontant | |
Percier | ||
Steel | Voltaire | |
Gutenberg Art&Co | ||
Carré | ||
Suffren | Littre | P. Auguste |
Keller |
Gobelins
Raspail
Boulogne Molitor
Bobillot
Occupied Orange assets with potential
CARNOT | LABORDE |
Paris 17th | Paris 8th |
11,200 m² | 6,200 m² |
TOTAL COST
ANJOU | |
~€480 | Paris 8th |
M | |
10,100 m² |
CURRENT
VALUE
12,850
VALUE
CREATION
TARGET
>40%
Already transformed
Committed developments
M²
To de delivered in 2021 & 2023/2024
24
ITALY OFFICES PORTFOLIO
Milan: a €2.3 bn portfolio (€2.2 billion Group share)
Focusing on Milan (excl. Telecom Italia)
Milan
focused on the best locations
PORTFOLIO 100%
89%
-
value excl. Telecom Italia
-
M3
M5
Bicocca
M1
M1 | Certosa | Maciachini |
M2
€3.6 BN
PORTFOLIO
GROUP SHARE
€3.0 BN
Group share | Outside Milan |
11% |
Telecom Italia
11 years WALL / 100% occupancy
North of Italy | Others |
27% | |
35% | |
% value Telecom Italia | |
portfolio | |
- | |
Rome | Group share |
12% |
Turin
4%Milan
22%
26% Center & Semi-Center
16%
Periphery
Porta | |
Nuova | |
City Life | |
M5 | Semi-centre |
CBD | |
M1 | |
Lorenteggio | |
M4 | Centre |
Navigli | |
Ripamonti | |
Periphery | |
M2 | Milanofiori |
55% | |
CBD | Rental portfolio |
& Porta Nuova |
Developments
Lambrate /
Forlanini
M4
Linate
Airport
M3
25
GERMANY OFFICES PORTFOLIO
PORTFOLIO 100%
€1.7 BN
PORTFOLIO
GROUP SHARE
€1.4 BN
In the Top 5 German cities
Munich 8% | Other 1% |
Berlin 21%
Hamburg
19%
% value
-
Group share
Düsseldorf | Frankfurt |
31% | |
21% | |
+€0.6 bn of development potential
Especially in Berlin Alexanderplatz
Frankfurt - City Gate
26
COVIVIO FLEXIBLE OFFER / 21,300 M² OPENED ON 6 SITES
EUROMED MARSEILLE | GARE DE LYON - PARIS 12th | DANTE 7 - MILAN | SILEX II - LYON |
Opening of the 1st site in Marseille | 2nd site in Paris | Opening of the 1st site in Milan | Opening of the 1st site in Lyon | ||||||
2,300 m² | 5,000 m² | 4,700 m² | 5,000 m² | ||||||
Mixed building of 9,800 m² | Mixed building of 13,600 m² | Fully flexible site | Mixed building of 31,000 m² | ||||||
with traditional lease & flexible offer | with traditional lease & flexible offer | with traditional lease & flexible offer | |||||||
End-2017 | March 2018 | Sept. 2018 | Oct. 2018 | Oct.2019 | Aug 2020 | Q3 2021 |
1st site in Paris | Partnership with Orange | Partnership with Orange | 4th site in Paris | |
3,500 m² | 1,400 m² | 3,000 m² | 4,400 m² | |
Fully flexible site | Orange building of 5,900 m² | Mixed building of 18,600 m² | Fully flexible site | |
with Orange using 50% of the flexible space | with traditional lease & flexible offer | |||
MIROMESNIL - PARIS 8th | MONTMARTRE - PARIS 18th | CITE NUMERIQUE - BORDEAUX | GOBELINS - PARIS 5th |
27
GERMAN RESIDENTIAL PORTFOLIO
10% | 7% | ||||||||||
Dresden & Leipzig | |||||||||||
Hamburg | |||||||||||
PORTFOLIO 100% | 9% | ||||||||||
€6.4 | |||||||||||
BN | 49% | Commercial1 | |||||||||
34% | |||||||||||
Berlin | |||||||||||
% revenue | NRW | ||||||||||
40% | in | ||||||||||
Group share | |||||||||||
Residential | |||||||||||
PORTFOLIO
GROUP SHARE
€4.1 BN
Berlin: a €3.6 billion portfolio (€2.3 bn Group share)
focused on the best locations
Prime locations | Average locations |
72% of the portfolio | 5% of the portfolio |
Covivio Assets | |
Good locations | Basic locations |
23% of the portfolio | |
1 Ground floor retail, car parks
Sources: Engel & Volkers
28
HOTELS / A UNIQUE PORTFOLIO ABLE TO FACE A CONJUNCTURAL CRISIS
87% IN MAJOR EUROPEAN CITIES1…
PORTFOLIO2 | |||||
€2.4 BN | Edinburgh | ||||
Group share | Germany | Amsterdam | |||
26% | |||||
Warsaw | |||||
UK | London | Berlin | |||
15% | |||||
Lille Brussels | Krakow | ||||
% | |||||
value2 | Spain | Paris | Munich | ||
France | |||||
35% | 12% | ||||
Lyon | |||||
15 | Belgium | Nice | |||
6% | |||||
Major hotel | Other | ||||
6% | |||||
operators | Barcelona | ||||
Madrid | |||||
…WITH SOUND
PROFITABILTY PROFILE
~35%
EBITDAR Margin
in 2019
~1.8x
rent cover1
in 2019
CENTRAL LOCATIONS + PROFITABLE ASSETS = STRATEGIC HOTELS FOR OPERATORS
1 Cities with >2 million overnight stay per year 29 2 At-end June 2020, excl. the acquisition to be realized in Q3 2020
COVIVIO HOTEL PORTFOLIO / DIVERSIFIED BY TENANT & SEGMENT
27% | |||||
B&B | Economic | ||||
11% | RHG | ||||
11% | |||||
IHG | |||||
17% | Marriott | ||||
7% | |||||
% revenue1 | 38 % | % value | |||
Midscale | |||||
in Group Share | NH Hotels | in Group Share | |||
7% | |||||
Hotusa | |||||
3% | |||||
Accor | Barcelo | ||||
27% | 2% | ||||
35% | |||||
Upscale | |||||
Other | |||||
15% | |||||
1 Based on 2019 annualized revenues 30
ESG STRATEGY
31
COVIVIO CARBON TRAJECTORY: -1/3 OVER 2010-2030
Covivio carbon trajectory | -1/3 carbon weight/m² over 2010-2030 |
In line with the <2° trajectory of the 2015 Paris agreement | |
Average carbon weight per m²
▪ Over all European activities
Average carbon weight per m²
▪ Taking into account the whole life cycle of our assets
-17% | (construction + refurbishment + operation) |
at end-2019 | ▪ On all emissions scopes (1, 2 and 3) |
▪ Without using carbon compensation or green electricity | |
▪ Compliant with TCFD1 recommendations |
Approved by the Science Based Targets initiative since 2018
1 Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures | 32 |
OWNING & DEVELOPING SUSTAINABLE BUILDINGS IN A SUSTAINABLE CITY…
GREENER ASSETS
84%
with in German residential
First operator to obtain 100% of assets certified "HQE in Operation" in Germany
100%
Target 2025
CLOSE TO PUBLIC | 96% | 100% |
TRANSPORT | <5' walk from public transports | Target 2025 |
SUPPORTING | 230,000 m² | Target |
100% | ||
BIODIVERSITY | of offices with a Biodivercity label1 | of new office |
development projects | ||
with Green areas |
1 Already labelled or aiming at the Biodivercity label or equivalent (like Eco-jardin)33
…AND GENERATING MORE WELL BEING FOR END-USERS
E
MORE | Target 100% |
SERVICES | of office & residential buildings |
with a service offer by 2025 |
Success of our flex-workspace offer
Offer a digital journey to our clients
- Deployment of our Office service app started in 2020
► Residential app available to 100% of tenants since | Covivio#home |
June 2019 with already 4,650 users | |
MORE | Target 100% |
WELL-BEING | of our new office development |
projects with a well-being certification | |
34
CONTACT
Paul Arkwright | Hugo Soussan |
Tel.: +33 1 58 97 51 85 | Tel.: +33 1 58 97 51 54 |
Mobile: +33 6 77 33 93 58 | Mobile: +33 6 84 44 95 40 |
paul.arkwright@covivio.fr | hugo.soussan@covivio.fr |
Paris
30, avenue Kléber 75116 Paris
Tel.: +33 1 58 97 50 00
www.covivio.eu
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Covivio SA published this content on 15 October 2020 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 15 October 2020 16:39:01 UTC