1Q 2021 Earnings Call
19 February 2021
Safe Harbor Statement & Disclosures
The earnings call and accompanying material include forward-looking comments and information concerning the company's plans and projections for the future, including estimates and assumptions with respect to economic, political, technological, weather, market acceptance, acquisitions and divestitures of businesses, anticipated transaction costs, the integration of new businesses, anticipated benefits of acquisitions, and other factors that impact our businesses and customers. They also may include financial measures that are not in conformance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America (GAAP). Words such as "forecast," "projection," "outlook," "prospects," "expected," "estimated," "will," "plan," "anticipate," "intend," "believe," or other similar words or phrases often identify forward-looking statements. Actual results may
differ materially from those projected in these forward-looking statements based on a number of factors and uncertainties,
including those related to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. Additional information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially is contained in the company's most recent Form 8-K and periodic report filed with the U.S.
Securities and Exchange Commission, and is incorporated by reference herein. Investors should refer to and consider the incorporated information on risks and uncertainties in addition to the information presented here. The company, except as required by law, undertakes no obligation to update or revise its forward-looking statements whether as a result of new developments or otherwise. The call and accompanying materials are not an offer to sell or a solicitation of offers to buy any of the company's securities.
1Q 2021 Results
($ millions except where noted)
New Segment Reporting
BUSINESS
UNITS
PRODUCTION AND PRECISION AG | SMALL AG AND TURF |
PRODUCTION
SYSTEMS
Corn and Soy Small GrainsSugar Cane Cotton | Dairy and LivestockHigh-value Crops Turf and Compact Utility |
PRODUCT LINES
Large Tractors Sprayers | Small Tractors | Commercial Mowing |
Combines Seeding | Hay and Forage | Utility Vehicles |
Cotton Pickers Tillage | Loaders | Golf |
Sugar Cane Harvesters & Loaders | Riding Lawn Equipment | |
Mid Tractors |
Production and Precision Ag
Small Ag and Turf
Ag & Turf
Industry Outlook - FY 2021
Source: Deere & Company forecast as of 19 February 2021
Production and Precision Ag
FY 2021 FORECAST
Net Sales
Operating Margin
$15.5-16.5B
19.5-20.5%
Source: Deere & Company forecast as of 19 February 2021
Small Ag and Turf
FY 2021 FORECAST
Net Sales
Operating Margin
$10.5-11.5B
14.5-15.5%
Source: Deere & Company forecast as of 19 February 2021
Construction and Forestry
Construction and Forestry
Industry Outlook - FY 2021
Source: Deere & Company forecast as of 19 February 2021
Construction and Forestry
FY 2021 FORECAST
Net Sales
Operating Margin
$10.5-11.0B
10.5-11.5%
Source: Deere & Company forecast as of 19 February 2021
Financial Services
Net Income - Results and Outlook
Source: Deere & Company forecast as of 19 February 2021
Deere & Company Outlook
FY 2021 FORECAST
Net Income
(attributable to Deere & Co.)
Effective Tax Rate*Net Operating Cash Flow*
$4.6-5.0B
24-26%
$4.6-5.0B
*Equipment Operations
Source: Deere & Company forecast as of 19 February 2021
A Model for Sustainability
IMPROVED OUTCOMES DRIVEN BY EXISTING TECHNOLOGIES
FUEL SAVED
FERTILIZER REDUCEDHERBICIDES
REDUCEDSEED CORN
SAVED
One farm can achieve lower GHG emissions equivalent to nearly
1,000,000
passenger vehicle miles per production cycle*
*Based on a 6,500 acre model farm
SOYBEANS
SAVEDEMISSIONS AVOIDED
$40/acre
ECONOMIC VALUE TO OUR CUSTOMERS
Building Better Infrastructure
EARTHMOVING - GRADE CONTROL
IMPROVED OUTCOMES DRIVEN BY EXISTING TECHNOLOGIES
ROADBUILDING - COLD-IN-PLACE RECYCLING
LESS | EMISSIONS |
REDUCED | |
MATERIALS | AVOIDED |
FUEL | |
USED | |
USAGE |
1,900 TONS LESS ASPHALT used on an annual basis per machine
ROADWAY | LESS | EMISSIONS |
LIFE | MATERIALS | AVOIDED |
USED |
One Cold Recycler reduces GHG emissions by the equivalent of
12M PASSENGER VEHICLE MILES/JOB
Operating our Business in a Sustainable and Socially Responsible Manner
Appendix
Other Financial Information
Equipment Operations
($ millions)
COS (percent of Net Sales)*
SA&G*
Research and Development*
Capital Expenditures
Pension/OPEB Expense
Pension/OPEB Contributions
*As reported (including Employee Separation Expense) Source: Deere & Company forecast as of 19 February 2021
1Q 2021
72%
3%
14%
FY 2021 Forecast
~73%
~4%
~2%
~ $900
~ $140
~ $950
January 2021 Retail Sales (Rolling 3 Months) and Dealer Inventories
Retail Sales U.S. and Canada Ag Industry* | Deere** |
2WD Tractors (< 40 PTO hp) 37% | Less than the industry |
2WD Tractors (40 < 100 PTO hp) 26% | Less than the industry |
2WD Tractors (100+ PTO hp) 8% | Less than the industry |
4WD Tractors 24% | More than the industry |
Combines 6% | More than the industry |
Deere Dealer Inventories*** U.S. and Canada Ag 2021 | 2020 |
2WD Tractors (100+ PTO hp) 28% | 32% |
Combines 12% | 15% |
* As reported by the Association of Equipment Manufacturers ** As reported to the Association of Equipment Manufacturers *** In units as a % of trailing 12 months retail sales, as reported to the Association of Equipment Manufacturers
January 2021 Retail Sales (Rolling 3 Months)
Retail Sales Europe Ag | Deere* |
Tractors
Double digits
Combines
Double digits
Retail Sales U.S. and Canada | Deere* |
Selected Turf & Utility Equipment
Double digits
Construction & Forestry
First-in-the-Dirt Settlements
Single digit High single digit
* Based on internal sales reports
Deere Use-of-Cash Priorities
Manage the balance sheet, including liquidity, to support a rating that provides access to low-cost and readily available short- and long-term funding mechanisms (reflects the strategic nature of our financial services operation)Fund value-creating investments in our businessesConsistently and moderately raise dividend targeting a 25%-35% payout ratio of mid-cycle earnings
Consider share repurchase as a means to deploy excess cash to shareholders, once above requirements are met
CASH FROM OPERATIONSCOMMITTED TO "A" RATINGFUND OPERATING & GROWTH NEEDS
COMMON STOCK
DIVIDENDSHARE REPURCHASE
Segment Reporting Q&A
Why is Deere changing segment reporting?
The updated segment reporting aligns with the new operating model. While Production & Precision Ag and Small Ag & Turf will continue to collaborate to leverage efficiencies, the business segments will be managed separately to accommodate the specific needs of each customer base.
Why are Mid Tractors included in both Production & Precision Ag and Small Ag & Turf?
Mid Tractors are used in operations across both business segments. Therefore, the product line is split based on end use of equipment by production system.
Will Deere disaggregate Production & Precision Ag and Small Ag & Turf by geography?
Splits will be provided in revenue recognition disclosures in subsequent quarterly filings.
Will Deere split Construction and Forestry into further segments?
There are no plans to further segment Construction and Forestry.
Sustainability
We run so life can leap forward.
For additional information please view the
2020 Sustainability Report at:
https://www.deere.com/en/our-company/sustainability/
Deere & Company's 2Q 2021 earnings call is scheduled for 9:00 a.m. central time on Friday, 21 May 2021.
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Deere & Company published this content on 19 February 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 19 February 2021 13:38:05 UTC.