Projected Income Statement: Edenred SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: Edenred SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,115 816 307 1,100 1,806 1,637 1,330 1,031
Change - -26.82% -62.38% 258.31% 64.18% -9.36% -18.75% -22.48%
Announcement Date 3/2/21 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/27/24 2/18/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Edenred SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 104 114 151 190 217 214.6 215.2 231.8
Change - 9.62% 32.46% 25.83% 14.21% -1.1% 0.25% 7.76%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 614 490 881 905 832 893 899.6 855.9
Change - -20.2% 79.8% 2.72% -8.07% 7.34% 0.73% -4.86%
Announcement Date 3/2/21 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/27/24 2/18/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Edenred SE

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 39.59% 41.18% 41.16% 43.52% 44.29% 45.41% 42.89% 43.4%
EBIT Margin (%) 31.06% 33.07% 33.83% 35.84% 36.41% 36.67% 33.99% 34.62%
EBT Margin (%) 26.62% 30.36% 29.79% 21.24% 27.98% 28.36% 26.32% 27.7%
Net margin (%) 16.25% 19.24% 19.01% 10.62% 17.75% 18% 16.02% 16.42%
FCF margin (%) 41.91% 30.12% 43.38% 36% 29.13% 30.21% 30.51% 27.06%
FCF / Net Income (%) 257.98% 156.55% 228.24% 338.95% 164.1% 167.84% 190.5% 164.85%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.6% 3.17% 3.59% 2.18% 3.82% 3.96% 3.58% 3.99%
ROE -19.65% - - - - - - -

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.92x 1.22x 0.37x 1.01x 1.43x 1.22x 1.05x 0.75x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.82x 1.67x 0.35x 1.22x 2.17x 1.83x 1.48x 1.2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.1% 7.01% 7.43% 7.56% 7.6% 7.26% 7.3% 7.33%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.93% 17.01% 18.06% 17.37% 17.15% 15.99% 17.02% 16.89%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.94% 23.27% 17.14% 20.99% 26.08% 24.03% 23.92% 27.09%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.926 2.296 3.832 4.14 4.152 4.013 3.585 4.037
Change - -21.51% 66.88% 8.04% 0.28% -3.35% -10.65% 12.6%
Dividend per Share 1 0.75 0.9 1 1.1 1.21 1.314 1.354 1.484
Change - 20% 11.11% 10% 10% 8.61% 3.03% 9.59%
Book Value Per Share 1 -5.002 -3.496 -2.883 -2.727 -3.782 -3.562 -3.221 -2.405
Change - 30.1% 17.53% 5.41% -38.68% 5.84% 9.56% 25.32%
EPS 1 0.97 1.19 1.46 1.01 2.01 2.141 1.979 2.252
Change - 22.68% 22.69% -30.82% 99.01% 6.52% -7.57% 13.81%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 245,817 249,135 249,207 249,257 241,974 240,087 240,087 240,087
Announcement Date 3/2/21 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/27/24 2/18/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 8.03x 8.69x
PBR -4.83x -5.34x
EV / Sales 1.95x 1.85x
Yield 7.64% 7.87%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
17.20EUR
Average target price
30.21EUR
Spread / Average Target
+75.71%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise