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| 02:19am | Spanish stocks - Factors to watch on April 20 | RE |
| Apr. 19 | Spanish Competition Watchdog Launches Preliminary Probes Over April 2025 Blackout in Spain, Portugal | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Endesa, S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 20,899 | 32,896 | 25,459 | 21,307 | 21,424 | 21,481 | 21,341 | 21,656 |
| Change | - | 57.4% | -22.61% | -16.31% | 0.55% | 0.27% | -0.65% | 1.48% |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,278 | 5,565 | 3,777 | 5,293 | 5,756 | 5,975 | 6,014 | 6,229 |
| Change | - | 30.08% | -32.13% | 40.14% | 8.75% | 3.81% | 0.64% | 3.59% |
| EBIT 1 | 2,573 | 3,687 | 1,645 | 3,071 | 3,331 | 3,586 | 3,561 | 3,681 |
| Change | - | 43.31% | -55.38% | 86.69% | 8.47% | 7.65% | -0.69% | 3.37% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -31 | -215 | -590 | -493 | -451 | -456.1 | -489.9 | -520.5 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 1,924 | 3,487 | 1,065 | 2,589 | 2,915 | 3,160 | 3,033 | 3,103 |
| Change | - | 81.24% | -69.46% | 143.1% | 12.59% | 8.42% | -4.04% | 2.31% |
| Net income 1 | 1,435 | 2,541 | 742 | 1,888 | 2,198 | 2,362 | 2,349 | 2,406 |
| Change | - | 77.07% | -70.8% | 154.45% | 16.42% | 7.44% | -0.51% | 2.4% |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/24/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/22/25 | 2/23/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Endesa, S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 9,675 | 10,869 | 10,405 | 9,298 | - | 10,986 | 12,469 | 13,886 |
| Change | - | 12.34% | -4.27% | -10.64% | - | - | 13.5% | 11.36% |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/24/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/22/25 | 2/23/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Endesa, S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 2,082 | 2,132 | 2,284 | 1,846 | 2,829 | 3,685 | 3,436 |
| Change | - | 2.4% | 7.13% | -19.18% | - | 30.26% | -6.75% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 539 | -460 | 2,413 | 1,721 | 2,031 | 1,526 | 1,698 |
| Change | - | -185.34% | 624.57% | -28.68% | - | -24.86% | 11.25% |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/24/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/22/25 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Endesa, S.A.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 20.47% | 16.92% | 14.84% | 24.84% | 26.87% | 27.82% | 28.18% | 28.77% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 12.31% | 11.21% | 6.46% | 14.41% | 15.55% | 16.69% | 16.69% | 17% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 9.21% | 10.6% | 4.18% | 12.15% | 13.61% | 14.71% | 14.21% | 14.33% |
| Net margin (%) | 6.87% | 7.72% | 2.91% | 8.86% | 10.26% | 10.99% | 11.01% | 11.11% |
| FCF margin (%) | 2.58% | -1.4% | 9.48% | 8.08% | - | 9.45% | 7.15% | 7.84% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 37.56% | -18.1% | 325.2% | 91.15% | - | 86% | 64.95% | 70.57% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 5.28% | 5.65% | 1.62% | 4.8% | - | 6.28% | 5.97% | 5.82% |
| ROE | 29.96% | 46.45% | 11.8% | 23.23% | - | 27.15% | 25.59% | 25.01% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2.26x | 1.95x | 2.75x | 1.76x | - | 1.84x | 2.07x | 2.23x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 17.95x | -23.63x | 4.31x | 5.4x | - | 5.41x | 8.17x | 8.18x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 9.96% | 6.48% | 8.97% | 8.66% | - | 13.17% | 17.27% | 15.87% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 48.67% | 38.31% | 60.47% | 34.88% | - | 47.34% | 61.27% | 55.16% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 386.27% | -463.48% | 94.65% | 107.26% | - | 139.29% | 241.46% | 202.38% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 2.476 | 1.579 | 4.431 | 3.37 | - | 4.417 | 4.545 | 4.926 |
| Change | - | -36.2% | 180.54% | -23.95% | - | - | 2.9% | 8.38% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.437 | 1.585 | 1 | 1.318 | - | 1.641 | 1.661 | 1.736 |
| Change | - | 10.31% | -36.92% | 31.77% | - | - | 1.23% | 4.52% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 5.082 | 5.252 | 6.629 | 8.552 | - | 8.605 | 9.178 | 9.694 |
| Change | - | 3.36% | 26.22% | 29.01% | - | - | 6.67% | 5.63% |
| EPS 1 | 1.36 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 1.78 | 2.1 | 2.255 | 2.323 | 2.403 |
| Change | - | 76.47% | -70.83% | 154.29% | 17.98% | 7.38% | 3.02% | 3.45% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 1,058,669 | 1,058,590 | 1,058,517 | 1,058,550 | 1,041,573 | 1,038,804 | 1,038,804 | 1,038,804 |
| Announcement Date | 2/22/22 | 2/24/23 | 2/28/24 | 2/22/25 | 2/23/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 16.4x | 15.9x |
| PBR | 4.29x | 4.02x |
| EV / Sales | 2.29x | 2.38x |
| Yield | 4.45% | 4.5% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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