Projected Income Statement: Fortum Oyj

Forecast Balance Sheet: Fortum Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 7,023 9,628 1,084 942 367 1,479 1,350 1,392
Change - 37.09% -88.74% -13.1% -61.04% 303% 23.97% 3.11%
Announcement Date 3/12/21 3/3/22 3/2/23 2/7/24 2/11/25 2/3/26 - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Fortum Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 1,101 1,178 534 576 472 499 492.7 414.1
Change - 6.99% -54.67% 7.87% -18.06% 5.72% 4.21% -15.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,454 3,792 1,570 1,134 920 341 726 726.3
Change - 160.8% -58.6% -27.77% -18.87% -62.93% 9.28% 0.04%
Announcement Date 3/12/21 3/3/22 3/2/23 2/7/24 2/11/25 2/3/26 - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Fortum Oyj

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 4.97% 3.4% 27.67% 28.36% 26.83% 24.85% 27.08% 25.76%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.74% 2.26% 21.25% 23.01% 20.31% 18.52% 21.12% 19.48%
EBT Margin (%) 4.49% -0.26% 5.17% 23.59% 24.12% 18.76% 20.16% 18.77%
Net margin (%) 3.72% 0.66% -27.44% 22.56% 20.07% 15.33% 16.51% 15.41%
FCF margin (%) 2.97% 3.37% 17.83% 16.9% 15.86% 6.84% 13.49% 13.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 79.76% 513.13% -64.98% 74.9% 79.04% 44.58% 81.73% 90.03%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.49% 0.71% 1.79% 5.43% 4.99% 4.53% 6.05% 4.97%
ROE 14.06% 5.89% 15.66% 14.28% 10.28% 8.69% 10.23% 9.12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.89x 2.52x 0.44x 0.5x 0.24x 1.19x 0.93x 1.03x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.83x 2.54x 0.69x 0.83x 0.4x 4.34x 1.86x 1.92x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.25% 1.05% 6.07% 8.58% 8.14% 10% 9.16% 7.91%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 45.23% 30.86% 21.92% 30.27% 30.33% 40.24% 33.81% 30.7%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 75.72% 31.07% 34.01% 50.79% 51.3% 146.33% 67.86% 57.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.876 5.582 2.366 1.906 1.551 0.9362 1.508 1.277
Change - 94.07% -57.61% -19.46% -18.6% -39.66% 17.2% -15.34%
Dividend per Share 1 1.12 1.14 0.91 1.15 1.4 0.74 0.8755 0.7832
Change - 1.79% -20.18% 26.37% 21.74% -47.14% 15.93% -10.54%
Book Value Per Share 1 14.58 13.66 8.55 9.4 10.11 9.52 9.654 9.684
Change - -6.31% -37.41% 9.94% 7.55% -5.84% 1.47% 0.31%
EPS 1 2.05 0.83 -2.72 1.68 1.3 0.85 0.9775 0.8977
Change - -59.51% -427.71% 161.76% -22.62% -34.62% 19.34% -8.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 888,294 888,294 897,264 897,264 897,264 897,264 897,264 897,264
Announcement Date 3/12/21 3/3/22 3/2/23 2/7/24 2/11/25 2/3/26 - -
1EUR
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 21.4x 20.4x
PBR 1.91x 2.07x
EV / Sales 3.57x 3.58x
Yield 4.07% 4.38%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
UNDERPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
19.98EUR
Average target price
16.46EUR
Spread / Average Target
-17.61%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise