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GLENCORE PLC |
Market Closed -
Other stock markets
|
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | |
| 457.4 GBX | +0.85% | +3.53% | -17.20% | |
| Dec. 08 | Energy trader Gunvor raises U.S. DOJ fine provision to $650 mln - sources | RE |
| Dec. 08 | Yankuang Energy Renews Fuel Purchase Agreement with Affiliate | MT |
Valuation
| Fiscal Period : December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 51 363 | 41 176 | 42 124 | 66 427 | 85 268 | 69 930 | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 84 311 | 76 320 | 77 552 | 97 827 | 112 122 | 98 772 | 97 798 | 95 706 |
| P/E ratio | 15,5x | -104x | -22,8x | 13,3x | 5,02x | 9,84x | 10,4x | 9,54x |
| Yield | 5,38% | 6,41% | - | 5,13% | 6,59% | 7,42% | 4,61% | 6,52% |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0,23x | 0,19x | 0,30x | 0,33x | 0,33x | 0,32x | 0,32x | 0,33x |
| EV / Revenue | 0,38x | 0,35x | 0,54x | 0,48x | 0,44x | 0,45x | 0,45x | 0,45x |
| EV / EBITDA | 5,35x | 6,58x | 6,71x | 4,59x | 3,29x | 5,52x | 5,25x | 5,17x |
| EV / FCF | 12,3x | 19,0x | -61,7x | 18,7x | 11,8x | 12,8x | 12,6x | 12,6x |
| FCF Yield | 8,15% | 5,26% | -1,62% | 5,36% | 8,46% | 7,81% | 7,91% | 7,93% |
| Price to Book | 1,15x | 1,06x | 1,12x | 1,81x | 1,90x | 1,62x | 1,55x | 1,53x |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 13 827 043 | 13 194 320 | 13 221 312 | 13 094 998 | 12 762 238 | 12 195 829 | - | - |
| Reference price 2 | 3,71 | 3,12 | 3,19 | 5,07 | 6,68 | 5,73 | 5,73 | 5,73 |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/19 | 2/18/20 | 2/16/21 | 2/15/22 | 2/15/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Annual data)
| Fiscal Period : December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 219 754 | 215 111 | 142 338 | 203 751 | 255 984 | 218 866 | 218 513 | 214 262 |
| EBITDA 1 | 15 767 | 11 601 | 11 560 | 21 323 | 34 060 | 17 880 | 18 629 | 18 513 |
| EBIT 1 | 9 143 | 4 151 | 4 416 | 14 495 | 26 657 | 11 060 | 11 229 | 10 578 |
| Operating Margin | 4,16% | 1,93% | 3,10% | 7,11% | 10,4% | 5,05% | 5,14% | 4,94% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 4 679 | -888 | -5 116 | 7 375 | 22 879 | 9 238 | 9 414 | 11 744 |
| Net income 1 | 3 408 | -404 | -1 903 | 4 974 | 17 320 | 7 355 | 6 435 | 7 457 |
| Net margin | 1,55% | -0,19% | -1,34% | 2,44% | 6,77% | 3,36% | 2,94% | 3,48% |
| EPS 2 | 0,24 | -0,03 | -0,14 | 0,38 | 1,33 | 0,58 | 0,55 | 0,60 |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 6 872 | 4 017 | -1 257 | 5 242 | 9 482 | 7 715 | 7 738 | 7 588 |
| FCF margin | 3,13% | 1,87% | -0,88% | 2,57% | 3,70% | 3,53% | 3,54% | 3,54% |
| FCF Conversion (EBITDA) | 43,6% | 34,6% | - | 24,6% | 27,8% | 43,1% | 41,5% | 41,0% |
| FCF Conversion (Net income) | 202% | - | - | 105% | 54,7% | 105% | 120% | 102% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0,20 | 0,20 | - | 0,26 | 0,44 | 0,43 | 0,26 | 0,37 |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/19 | 2/18/20 | 2/16/21 | 2/15/22 | 2/15/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Income Statement Evolution (Quarterly data)
| Fiscal Period : December | 2019 S1 | 2019 S2 | 2020 S1 | 2020 S2 | 2021 S1 | 2021 S2 | 2022 S1 | 2022 S2 | 2023 S1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 107 098 | 108 013 | 70 961 | 71 377 | 93 805 | 109 946 | 134 435 | 121 549 | 107 415 |
| EBITDA 1 | 5 582 | - | 4 833 | 6 727 | 8 654 | 12 669 | 18 918 | 15 142 | 9 397 |
| EBIT 1 | 2 229 | - | 1 472 | 2 944 | 5 305 | 9 190 | 15 415 | 11 242 | 6 305 |
| Operating Margin | 2,08% | - | 2,07% | 4,12% | 5,66% | 8,36% | 11,5% | 9,25% | 5,87% |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 519 | - | -5 175 | 59,0 | 2 014 | 5 361 | 16 012 | 6 867 | 5 999 |
| Net income 1 | 226 | - | -2 600 | 697 | 1 277 | 3 697 | 12 085 | 5 235 | 4 568 |
| Net margin | 0,21% | - | -3,66% | 0,98% | 1,36% | 3,36% | 8,99% | 4,31% | 4,25% |
| EPS 2 | 0,02 | -0,05 | -0,20 | 0,06 | 0,10 | 0,28 | 0,92 | 0,41 | 0,36 |
| Dividend per Share | 0,10 | 0,10 | - | - | 0,08 | 0,16 | - | 0,22 | - |
| Announcement Date | 8/7/19 | 2/18/20 | 8/6/20 | 2/16/21 | 8/5/21 | 2/15/22 | 8/4/22 | 2/15/23 | 8/8/23 |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
Balance Sheet Analysis
| Fiscal Period : December | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 32 948 | 35 144 | 35 428 | 31 400 | 26 854 | 28 842 | 27 868 | 25 776 |
| Net Cash position 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 2,09x | 3,03x | 3,06x | 1,47x | 0,79x | 1,61x | 1,50x | 1,39x |
| Free Cash Flow 1 | 6 872 | 4 017 | -1 257 | 5 242 | 9 482 | 7 715 | 7 738 | 7 588 |
| ROE (net income / shareholders' equity) | 12,1% | 5,68% | -4,89% | 23,5% | 42,3% | 14,3% | 14,6% | 12,9% |
| Shareholders' equity 1 | 28 226 | -7 115 | 38 955 | 21 141 | 40 975 | 51 466 | 44 071 | 57 835 |
| ROA (Net income/ Total Assets) | 4,36% | 1,85% | -1,57% | 7,43% | 14,5% | 5,74% | 5,14% | 6,45% |
| Assets 1 | 78 111 | -21 860 | 121 041 | 66 913 | 119 289 | 128 176 | 125 146 | 115 651 |
| Book Value Per Share 2 | 3,23 | 2,94 | 2,85 | 2,80 | 3,52 | 3,54 | 3,69 | 3,75 |
| Cash Flow per Share 2 | 0,93 | 0,63 | 0,20 | 0,66 | 1,04 | 0,87 | 0,91 | 0,96 |
| Capex 1 | 4 687 | 4 712 | 3 921 | 3 618 | 4 177 | 4 917 | 5 261 | 5 282 |
| Capex / Sales | 2,13% | 2,19% | 2,75% | 1,78% | 1,63% | 2,25% | 2,41% | 2,47% |
| Announcement Date | 2/20/19 | 2/18/20 | 2/16/21 | 2/15/22 | 2/15/23 | - | - | - |
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates
EPS & Dividend
Year-on-year evolution of the PER
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Trading Rating :
Investor Rating :
ESG Refinitiv :
C+
Sell
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
5.734USD
Average target price
6.702USD
Spread / Average Target
+16.89%
EPS Revisions
| 1st Jan change | Capi. | |
|---|---|---|
| -17.20% | 69 552 M $ | |
| +4.62% | 158 B $ | |
| -3.71% | 119 B $ | |
| -9.58% | 38 388 M $ | |
| +17.31% | 35 774 M $ | |
| +2.83% | 19 369 M $ | |
| +0.17% | 16 428 M $ | |
| -20.62% | 11 087 M $ | |
| +18.13% | 10 880 M $ | |
| -21.75% | 9 312 M $ |
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